Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 27, NWS Seattle, WA

January 17, 2011Skagit County, Washington

NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Jan 17, 2011, 12:41 AM PST for Skagit County, Washington. It took effect at Jan 17, 2011, 8:53 AM PST. It was in force for 37 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 17, 2011, 12:41 AM PST (08:41 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 17, 2011, 8:53 AM PST
Expired
Jan 18, 2011, 9:39 PM PST
In force
37 hr
Issued by
NWS Seattle, WA
Flood severity
Minor

County Skagit County, WA

The radar

The Seattle radar (KATX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Skagit River near Mt Vernon (MVEW1).

Action stage
23.5 ft
Minor stage
28 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
32 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12200500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

142 
WGUS46 KSEW 170841
FLWSEW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1241 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON...

  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY.

.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 39

MORE RAIN FELL OVER THE SKAGIT DRAINAGE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE
UPPER TRIBUTARIES HAVE RESUMED THEIR RISE. IT IS LIKELY THESE RISES
WILL BE MINOR...BUT COUPLED WITH LOCAL INFLOWS THEY WILL BE ENOUGH
TO DRIVE THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MOUNT VERNON ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC057-171741-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0027.110117T1700Z-110119T0403Z/
/MVEW1.1.ER.110117T1700Z.110118T0600Z.110118T1903Z.NO/
1241 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* FROM THIS MORNING TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 12:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 28.6 FEET AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING 
  FROM SEDRO WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH...
  WITH SHALLOW FLOODING IN LOW PASTURE LANDS AND OVER A FEW LOW-LYING
  ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT 
  CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$
BURKE
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
10 follow-up statements
788 
WGUS86 KSEW 171032
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
232 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 41

                NORTH WEST REGION

MODERATE RAIN OVER THE NORTH CASCADES WILL DRIVE THE REACH OF THE
NOOKSACK RIVER NEAR NORTH CEDARVILLE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE SKAGIT
RIVER WILL ALSO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER IS
FORECAST TO RISE BUT CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE. ANY FLOODING ON ALL 
THREE OF THESE RIVERS SHOULD BE MINOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-171932-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110118T0615Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.110117T0826Z.110117T1800Z.110117T2115Z.NO/
232 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT  1:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 146.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 146.8 
  FEET AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC057-171932-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1319Z/
/CONW1.1.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1800Z.110118T0419Z.NO/
232 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  1:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 29.6 FEET
  AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND 
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO SEDRO
  WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO 
  A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC057-171932-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0027.110117T1700Z-110119T0403Z/
/MVEW1.1.ER.110117T1700Z.110118T0600Z.110118T1903Z.NO/
232 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* FROM 9 AM MONDAY UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  2:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 28.6 FEET AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING 
  FROM SEDRO WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH...
  WITH SHALLOW FLOODING IN LOW PASTURE LANDS AND OVER A FEW LOW-LYING
  ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT 
  CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$
BURKE
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
599 
WGUS86 KSEW 171203
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
403 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 45

                NORTH WEST REGION

MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR ON THE REACH OF THE NOOKSACK NEAR NORTH
CEDARVILLE...THE SKAGIT RIVER...AND THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR
ARLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-172103-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110118T1052Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.110117T0826Z.110117T1115Z.110118T0152Z.NO/
403 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* FROM 12 AM MONDAY UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT  3:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 146.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR AT 147.0 FEET AT 5 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 147.3 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF LOW FARM LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN...WITH SWIFT WATER MOVING OVER SEVERAL ROADS.

$$

WAC057-172103-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1319Z/
/CONW1.1.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1800Z.110118T0419Z.NO/
403 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  3:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 29.6 FEET
  AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND 
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO SEDRO
  WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO 
  A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC057-172103-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0027.110117T1700Z-110119T0403Z/
/MVEW1.1.ER.110117T1700Z.110118T0600Z.110118T1903Z.NO/
403 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* FROM 9 AM MONDAY UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 28.6 FEET AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING 
  FROM SEDRO WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH...
  WITH SHALLOW FLOODING IN LOW PASTURE LANDS AND OVER A FEW LOW-LYING
  ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT 
  CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-172103-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0028.110117T1422Z-110118T0536Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.110117T1422Z.110117T1800Z.110117T2036Z.NO/
403 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* FROM 6 AM MONDAY UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  3:39 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 6 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 14.8 FEET AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL LOCALLY SPILL 
  OVER ITS BANKS.  MINOR FLOODING AROUND SILVANA WILL OCCUR...
  INCLUDING OVER PIONEER HIGHWAY.  A STAGE OF 14 FEET ON THE 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH
  COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$
BURKE
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
688 
WGUS86 KSEW 171701
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
901 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 49

                NORTH WEST REGION

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE IN THE CASCADES TODAY...BUT 
GRADUALLY DECREASE AS THE SNOW LEVEL FALLS FROM 4500 FEET TODAY TO 
2500 FEET TONIGHT. THE FOLLOWING IS AN UPDATED FORECAST FOR THE
SKAGIT RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC057-180201-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1333Z/
/CONW1.2.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1800Z.110118T0433Z.NO/
901 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  8:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 30.5
FEET AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND 
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO
SEDRO WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT
CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC057-180200-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0027.110117T1653Z-110119T0403Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0600Z.110118T1903Z.NO/
901 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING. 
* AT  8:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 31.5
FEET AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD FROM SEDRO 
  WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH. FLOOD WATERS 
  WILL INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING ROADS...FARMLANDS AND RESIDENTIAL 
  AREAS. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A 
  PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
292 
WGUS86 KSEW 171909
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 51

                NORTH WEST REGION

PRECIPITATION RATES WILL EASE TODAY OVER THE NORTH CASCADES. COOLER
AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO NEAR
2500 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO
DROP TONIGHT. THE UPPER REACHES OF THE RIVERS HAVE CRESTED OR ARE
IN THE PROCESS OF CRESTING THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-180409-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110118T1154Z/
/NRKW1.2.ER.110117T0826Z.110117T1715Z.110118T0254Z.NR/
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 10:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 148.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 148.9 FEET AT 9 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 148.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING DOWNSTREAM THROUGH LYNDEN...WITH SWIFT WATERS COVERING 
  SOME FARM LANDS AND ROADS. EROSION MAY AFFECT SOME RIVER BANKS.

$$

WAC057-180409-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1333Z/
/CONW1.2.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1900Z.110118T0433Z.NO/
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING NOW AROUND 30.0 FEET. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND 
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO
SEDRO WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT
CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC057-180409-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110119T0403Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0600Z.110118T1903Z.NO/
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING. 
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 31.0
FEET AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
TUESDAY LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD FROM SEDRO 
  WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH. FLOOD WATERS 
  WILL INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING ROADS...FARMLANDS AND RESIDENTIAL 
  AREAS. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A 
  PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-180408-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-110118T0522Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.110117T1635Z.110117T1815Z.110117T2022Z.NO/
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 13.3 FEET AT 10 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING OF OSO LOOP ROAD AND CAUSE MINOR RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 13 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-180408-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110118T1316Z/
/ARLW1.2.ER.110117T1324Z.110118T0000Z.110118T0416Z.NO/
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 10:39 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 17.5
FEET AROUND 4 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE
TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE
FLOODING MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA, ALONG NORMAN ROAD AND IN
FLORENCE. A STAGE OF 17 FEET ON THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS
ROUGHLY TO PHASE 3 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
453 
WGUS86 KSEW 180033
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 57

                NORTH WEST REGION

PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN LIGHT DURING THE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS OVER THE AREA. PRECIPITATION WITH THE NEXT 
SYSTEM ON TUESDAY WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS THAN WHAT HAS OCCURRED 
OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. IN ADDITION THE SNOW LEVEL WILL BE 
DOWN TO AROUND 1500 FEET SO THE PRECIPITATION THAT DOES FALL IN THE 
MOUNTAINS WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND STAY IN THE MOUNTAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-180933-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110118T1114Z/
/NRKW1.2.ER.110117T0826Z.110117T1715Z.110118T0214Z.NR/
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 147.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 148.9 FEET AT 9 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC057-180933-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1200Z/
/CONW1.2.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1715Z.110118T0300Z.NO/
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  4:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 30.1 FEET AT 9 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND 
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO
SEDRO
  WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO 
  A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC057-180933-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110119T1023Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0600Z.110119T0123Z.NO/
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT  4:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 31.0
FEET
  AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD FROM SEDRO 
  WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH. FLOOD WATERS 
  WILL INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING ROADS...FARMLANDS AND RESIDENTIAL 
  AREAS. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A 
  PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-180103-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-110118T0522Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.110117T1635Z.110117T1815Z.110117T1931Z.NO/
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 11:30 AM MONDAY
AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

WAC061-180933-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110118T2108Z/
/ARLW1.2.ER.110117T1324Z.110117T1924Z.110118T1208Z.NO/
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  4:09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 17.6 FEET AT 11 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR 
  FLOODING MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA...INCLUDING OVER PIONEER 
  HIGHWAY AND ALONG NORMAN RD.  A STAGE OF 16 FEET ON THE 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO PHASE 2 IN THE
SNOHOMISH
  COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
600 
WGUS86 KSEW 180528
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY.
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY.
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MOUNT VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 62

                NORTH WEST REGION

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY ALONG THE LOWER REACHES
OF THE NOOKSACK AND SKAGIT RIVERS. THE UPPER REACHES OF BOTH RIVERS 
CRESTED EARLIER TODAY AND HAVE FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THEY WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

FLOODING HAS ENDED ON THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AND IT WILL CONTINUE
TO RECEDE SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON.

&&

WAC073-180558-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110118T1114Z/
/NRKW1.2.ER.110117T0826Z.110117T1715Z.110118T0112Z.NR/
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* AT  8:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 145.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 5 PM MONDAY THIS 
  EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

WAC073-181428-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0031.110118T0521Z-110118T2100Z/
/NKSW1.1.ER.110118T0350Z.110118T0445Z.110118T1200Z.NO/
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.2 FEET AROUND 10 PM 
  MONDAY THEN FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER FROM NEAR FERNDALE 
  DOWNSTREAM TO THE MOUTH.

$$

WAC057-180558-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1200Z/
/CONW1.2.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1715Z.110118T0141Z.NO/
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 6 PM MONDAY THIS 
  EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

WAC057-181428-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110119T1023Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0600Z.110119T0123Z.NO/
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MOUNT VERNON
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT  9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 31.0 FEET
  AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD FROM SEDRO 
  WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH. FLOOD WATERS 
  WILL INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING ROADS...FARMLANDS AND RESIDENTIAL 
  AREAS. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A 
  PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-180558-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110118T2108Z/
/ARLW1.2.ER.110117T1324Z.110117T1924Z.110118T0110Z.NO/
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* AT  9:09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 5 PM MONDAY THIS 
  EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
160 
WGUS86 KSEW 181217
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
417 AM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MOUNT VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 69

                NORTH WEST REGION

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TODAY ALONG THE LOWER REACH OF THE NOOKSACK 
RIVER...AND THROUGH TONIGHT ALONG THE LOWER REACH OF THE SKAGIT 
RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-182117-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-110119T0302Z/
/NKSW1.1.ER.110118T0350Z.110118T1030Z.110118T1802Z.NO/
417 AM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT  4:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 20.1 FEET AT 2 AM TUESDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER FROM NEAR FERNDALE 
  DOWNSTREAM TO THE MOUTH.

$$

WAC057-182116-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110119T1023Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0830Z.110119T0123Z.NO/
417 AM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MOUNT VERNON
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  3:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 30.9 FEET AT 12 AM TUESDAY AND WILL
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD FROM SEDRO 
  WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH. FLOOD WATERS 
  WILL INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING ROADS...FARMLANDS AND RESIDENTIAL 
  AREAS. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A 
  PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
877 
WGUS86 KSEW 182106
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
106 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 76

                NORTH WEST REGION

WATER IS SLOWLY DRAINING FROM THE RIVER BASINS. MINOR FLOOD CONTINUES
FOR THE SKAGIT RIVER AT MT. VERNON AND FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE
LOWER REACHES OF THE NOOKSACK BELOW FERNDALE AS THE FLOOD WAVE
PASSES THROUGH THE AREA OUT TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-190302-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-110119T0302Z/
/NKSW1.1.ER.110118T0350Z.110118T1030Z.110118T1734Z.NO/
106 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 12:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9:34 AM TUESDAY AND
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.  FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN SOME AREAS UNTIL 
  THE FLOOD WAVE HAS COMPLETELY PASSED DOWNSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER FROM NEAR FERNDALE 
  DOWNSTREAM TO THE MOUTH.

$$

WAC057-190606-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110119T0847Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0830Z.110118T2347Z.NO/
106 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 12:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING 
  FROM SEDRO WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH...
  WITH SHALLOW FLOODING IN LOW PASTURE LANDS AND OVER A FEW LOW-LYING
  ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT 
  CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

JBB
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
624 
WGUS86 KSEW 190009
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
409 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 77

                NORTH WEST REGION

WATER IS SLOWLY DRAINING FROM THE RIVER BASINS. FLOODING CONTINUES
FOR THE SKAGIT RIVER AT MT. VERNON AS THE FLOOD WAVE
PASSES THROUGH THE AREA OUT TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-190039-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-110119T0302Z/
/NKSW1.1.ER.110118T0350Z.110118T1030Z.110118T1734Z.NO/
409 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE
* AT  3:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE  9:34 AM TUESDAY THIS 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.


$$

WAC057-190909-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110119T1200Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0830Z.110118T2239Z.NO/
409 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  3:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  2:39 PM TUESDAY AND
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.  FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN SOME AREAS UNTIL 
  THE FLOOD WAVE HAS COMPLETELY PASSED DOWNSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING 
  FROM SEDRO WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH...
  WITH SHALLOW FLOODING IN LOW PASTURE LANDS AND OVER A FEW LOW-LYING
  ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT 
  CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
660 
WGUS86 KSEW 190539
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
939 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY.
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 80

                NORTH WEST REGION

THE SKAGIT RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND THE RIVER
WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC057-190609-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110119T1200Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0830Z.110118T2239Z.NO/
939 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* AT  9:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE  2:39 PM TUESDAY EARLY 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.


$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 16, 9:14 PM PST, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 9:14 PM PST, 3 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
914 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING OVER THE TOP OF A FLAT RIDGE OF
HIGH PRES OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON WILL GIVE A BURST OF HEAVY
RAINFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS AND THE LOWLANDS TONIGHT...MAINLY NORTH OF
EVERETT. SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF AS SNOW LEVELS FALL TO 3000 FEET
MONDAY AFTERNOON OR MONDAY NIGHT. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA TUESDAY GIVING A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN. DRY AND TRANQUIL HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER THAT GAVE HEAVY RAINFALL LAST
NIGHT AND THIS MORNING TO OREGON AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF WASHINGTON
HAS MOVED SOUTH INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND WEAKENED. AS SHOWN BY
SHORT RANGE GUIDANCE OVER THE PAST 2 DAYS...A DISTURBANCE MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON IS ONCE
AGAIN ENHANCING PRECIPITATION FROM ABOUT EVERETT AND STAMPEDE PASS
NORTHWARD. A BURST OF HEAVY RAIN WITH AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES IN THE
MOUNTAINS...MAINLY NORTH CASCADES AND LESSER AMOUNTS IN THE
LOWLANDS. SNOW LEVELS HAVE FALLEN TO AROUND 6000 FEET AND WILL FALL
BACK TO ABOUT 3500 FEET BY LATE MON AFTERNOON AS COOL AIR ALOFT
FILTERS IN FROM THE NW. AS THE DISTURBANCE DRIVES OFF TO THE EAST
EARLY MON MORNING...EXPECT SHOWER ACTIVITY TO TAPER OFF MON AND MON
NIGHT.

LARGE SCALE MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT THE MEAN UPPER RIDGE THAT
HAS BEEN OVER THE WEST COAST THE PAST COUPLE DAYS WILL RETROGRADE
BACK TO AROUND 150W BY TUE. THEY DIFFER ON A WEAKENING UNDERCUTTING
SOUTHERN STREAM DISTURBANCE THAT TRACKS EASTWARD ALONG ABOUT 45W
TUE. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN COMPLETELY DRYING OUT THIS SYSTEM BEFORE IT
REACHES THE WEST COAST WHILE THE US MODELS BRING AN ALL DAY LIGHT
RAIN TO MUCH OF THE AREA AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH MAINLY SW
WA AND N OREGON. CURRENT FORECASTS FOLLOW THE GFS/NAM GUIDANCE AND
THERE IS NO REASON TO CHANGE THOSE THOUGHTS AT THIS TIME.  ALL
MODELS SHOW COOLER AND MUCH NEEDED DRY WEATHER OVER THE AREA ON WED.

THE AFTERNOON ZONE PACKAGE WAS UPDATED TO INCLUDE LOCAL GUSTS TO 45
MPH TONIGHT IN THE PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS AND ALONG THE COAST. THE
REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM FORECASTS LOOK GOOD. ALBRECHT

.LONG TERM...PREVIOUS LONG TERM FORECAST FOLLOWS...THE PERIOD FROM
THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY DOES NOT LOOK OF MUCH CONSEQUENCE. THE
MODELS SHOW A FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WITH A WEATHER SYSTEM EVERY
2 DAYS OR SO. THE GFS AND ECMWF AGREE NICELY IN BRINGING A WET BUT
PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM THROUGH WRN WA ON THU AFTN OR EVENING AND THEN A
SECOND WETTER SYSTEM THAT COULD TAKE MOST OF NEXT WEEKEND TO PASS
BY.   HANER

&&

.HYDROLOGY...HYDROLOGICALLY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ENDED THIS MORNING
OVER SOUTHERN AREAS AND THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE CENTRAL CASCADES.
THERE IS STILL SOME MODERATE RAIN OVER THE NORTH CASCADES BUT THE
BETTING IS THIS WILL NOT ADD MUCH TO RIVER FLOWS THERE. UPPER
REACHES OF ALL RIVERS HAVE CRESTED AND SOME REACHES THAT WERE ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE ARE NOW BELOW. LOWER REACHES OF LONGER RIVERS STILL HAVE
SOME FLOODING AHEAD OF THEM.

IT APPEARS THAT ANY FLOODING ON THE STILLAGUAMISH SKAGIT AND
NOOKSACK WILL BE MINOR AND MAY NOT HAPPEN AT ALL. STARTING WITH THE
SKYKOMISH RIVER SOUTHWARD MOST RIVERS FLOWING OUT OF THE CASCADES
FLOODED AND SOME MAJOR FLOODING SEEMS LIKELY TO OCCUR...ON THE
COWLITZ NEAR RANDLE AND ON THE SNOHOMISH RIVER.

A COUPLE OF RIVERS FLOWING OFF THE SOUTHERN OLYMPICS...THE SKOKOMISH
AND SATSOP...HAVE MINOR FLOODING. HEAVY RAIN THAT WAS FORECAST FOR
THE WILLAPA HILLS LARGELY DID NOT MATERIALIZE AND THE CHEHALIS RIVER
WILL HAVE ONLY SOME MINOR FLOODING AT WORSE. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT ALONG THE CHEHALIS AND ALSO OVER SKAGIT AND WHATCOM
COUNTIES.

THE GREEN RIVER IS SLIGHTLY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE TO
CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OVER LOW LYING FARM LANDS ON THE MIDDLE GREEN
RIVER UPSTREAM OF AUBURN. THE FORECAST IS FOR RELEASES FROM HOWARD
HANSON DAM TO KEEP THE RIVER RUNNING AT ABOUT TEN THOUSAND CFS
THROUGH THE NEXT FOUR DAYS. ONCE THE RIVER FALLS BACK BELOW FLOOD
STAGE...NO MORE FLOODING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 10 DAYS. BURKE

&&

.AVIATION...
STRONG...WLY FLOW ALOFT AND LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST.
EXPECT A CDFNT TO SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA ON MON. THE AIR MASS WILL BE
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE. THE CASCADES AND OLYMPIC RANGE WILL BE
OBSCURED. EXPECT CIGS TO BE MAINLY IN THE MVFR CATEGORY.

KSEA...THE SAND POINT PROFILER SHOWED 45 TO 50 KT WINDS FROM THE SW
ABOUT 2K FT ABOVE THE SFC. THUS WILL INCLUDE LLWS IN THE KSEA AND
KBFI TAFS TIL AT LEAST 0900 UTC. OTHERWISE ANTICIPATE MVFR CIGS
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...EXPECT ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON MON.
MEANWHILE...STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MON BEFORE
WEAKENING MON NIGHT.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND/OR ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
     FOR MUCH OF THE CWA.

PZ...GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATER...
     CENTRAL/EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA...AND THE PUGET SOUND/
     HOOD CANAL.

     A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINING WATERS
     EXCEPT THE ADMIRALTY INLET.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROUGH GRAYS HARBOR
     BAR CONDITIONS TIL 4 PM TUE.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 16, 5:25 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWWhatcom28 hr
Jan 16, 5:25 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWThurston34 hr
Jan 16, 9:05 PM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW24 hr
Jan 16, 11:02 PM PSTAreal Flood WarningSEWKing30 hr
Jan 16, 11:40 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing4 days
Jan 16, 11:40 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing9 days
Jan 17, 2:59 AM PSTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasSEW54 hr
Jan 17, 3:30 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish18 hr
Jan 17, 7:24 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish9 hr
Jan 17, 7:24 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWGrays Harbor51 hr
Jan 17, 8:01 AM PSTWinter Weather AdvisorySEW11 hr
Jan 17, 12:28 PM PSTWind AdvisorySEW5 hr
Jan 17, 12:47 PM PSTAreal Flood WarningSEWSnohomish20 hr
Jan 17, 1:05 PM PSTAreal Flood WarningSEWLewis6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.