Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2011
River Flood Warning 22, NWS Seattle, WA
NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Jan 16, 2011, 12:05 PM PST for Lewis County, Thurston County, Washington. It took effect at Jan 16, 2011, 6:34 PM PST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 16, 2011, 12:05 PM PST (20:05 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 16, 2011, 6:34 PM PST
- Expired
- Jan 17, 2011, 11:35 AM PST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Seattle, WA
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Lewis County, WA, Thurston County, WA
The radar
The Portland,OR radar (KRTX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Skookumchuck River near Bucoda (BCDW1). The gauge peaked at 13.92 ft at Jan 16, 2011, 11:00 PM PST.
- Action stage
- 209.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 211.5 ft
- Moderate stage
- 213 ft
- Major stage
- 215 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12026400, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
889 WGUS46 KSEW 162005 FLWSEW BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 1205 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WESTERN WASHINGTON... SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA AFFECTING LEWIS AND THURSTON COUNTIES. .FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 24 HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUED RAIN TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY WILL GIVE MODERATE FLOODING TO PORTIONS OF THE SKAGIT RIVER IN SKAGIT COUNTY AND MINOR FLOODING TO THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER IN LEWIS AND THURSTON COUNTIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA. && WAC057-170505- /O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0021.110117T0204Z-110118T1436Z/ /CONW1.2.ER.110117T0204Z.110117T1600Z.110118T0536Z.NO/ 1205 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE * FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY MORNING. * AT 11:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 6 PM SUNDAY AND CREST NEAR 31.1 FEET AROUND 8 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY NIGHT. * IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO SEDRO WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM. $$ WAC041-067-170505- /O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0022.110117T0234Z-110118T0658Z/ /BCDW1.1.ER.110117T0234Z.110117T1200Z.110117T2158Z.NO/ 1205 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA * FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY EVENING. * AT 11:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY AND CREST NEAR 14.9 FEET AROUND 4 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL FLOOD A FEW ROADS AND LOW PASTURE LANDS NEAR BUCODA. $$ ALBRECHT WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
4 follow-up statements
056
WGUS86 KSEW 170251
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
651 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...
CARBON RIVER NEAR FAIRFAX AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY.
DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...
PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY.
COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA AFFECTING LEWIS AND THURSTON
COUNTIES.
NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
NISQUALLY RIVER NEAR NATIONAL AFFECTING LEWIS AND PIERCE COUNTIES.
COWLITZ RIVER AT PACKWOOD AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY.
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 31
SOUTH WEST REGION
HEAVY RAIN ENDED OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADES THIS MORNING. MOST
RIVERS HAVE CRESTED AND ARE FALLING THOUGH LOWER REACHES OF SOME
LONGER RIVERS ARE STILL RISING. MOST FLOODING HAS BEEN MINOR. THE
COWLITZ RIVER NEAR RANDLE WILL HAVE MAJOR FLOODING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.
&&
WAC053-170321-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110117T1215Z/
/FFXW1.1.ER.110116T2113Z.110116T2115Z.110116T2116Z.NO/
651 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
THE CARBON RIVER NEAR FAIRFAX
* AT 6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 1:16 PM SUNDAY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE CARBON RIVER WILL LOCALLY SPILL OUT OF
ITS BANKS INTO NEARBY FIELDS AND OVER THE CARBON RIVER RD...
INCLUDING INSIDE RAINIER NATIONAL PARK
$$
WAC053-171051-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110118T1846Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.110116T1027Z.110117T1800Z.110118T0946Z.NO/
651 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 5:45 PM SUNDAY THE FLOW WAS 6177 CFS.
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS
ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING. AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE
NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST
VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON
ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY.
$$
WAC041-053-171051-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110118T1516Z/
/NISW1.2.ER.110117T0128Z.110117T0600Z.110118T0616Z.NO/
651 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NISQUALLY RIVER NEAR NATIONAL
* FROM 5 PM SUNDAY UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 6:00 PM SUNDAY THE FLOW WAS 7887 CFS.
* FLOOD FLOW IS 8000 CFS.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
$$
WAC067-170321-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T2321Z/
/DSRW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
651 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER
* AT 5:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...THE DESCHUTES RIVER LOCALLY SPILLS OVER ITS
BANKS INTO LOW FIELDS AND FORESTED LANDS, MAINLY ALONG VAIL CUTOFF
ROAD AND REICHEL ROAD (EAST OF THE TOWN OF VAIL).
$$
WAC041-171051-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110117T1200Z/
/PACW1.1.ER.110116T2224Z.000000T0000Z.110116T2322Z.NO/
651 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE COWLITZ RIVER AT PACKWOOD
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 3:22 PM SUNDAY AND
WILL CONTINUE TO FALL. FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN SOME AREAS UNTIL
THE FLOOD WAVE HAS COMPLETELY PASSED DOWNSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL SPILL OVER ITS BANKS
INTO NEARBY LOW PASTURE LANDS FROM THE UPPER REACHES DOWNSTREAM
THROUGH PACKWOOD.
$$
WAC041-171050-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T0614Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T1200Z.110118T2114Z.NO/
651 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 6:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 22.5 FEET
AROUND 4 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING
FROM THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE LAKE...WITH
DANGEROUS INUNDATION OF MANY ROADS INCLUDING US HIGHWAY 12...
RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS...AND FARMS. FLOODING WILL OCCUR
ALL ALONG THE RIVER INCLUDING HEADWATERS...TRIBUTARIES...AND OTHER
STREAMS WITHIN AND NEAR THE COWLITZ RIVER BASIN.
$$
WAC041-067-171050-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110118T0602Z/
/BCDW1.1.ER.110117T0217Z.110117T1200Z.110117T2102Z.NO/
651 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA
* FROM 6 PM SUNDAY UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 5:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY
AND CREST NEAR 14.9 FEET AROUND 4 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY
WILL FLOOD A FEW ROADS AND LOW PASTURE LANDS NEAR BUCODA.
$$
WAC041-171050-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0019.110117T0236Z-110117T1925Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.110116T2315Z.110117T0145Z.110117T1025Z.NO/
651 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 5:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 10.9 FEET AT 6 PM SUNDAY AND WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND
RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS ALONG THE NEWAUKUM RIVER AND ITS
FORKS. FLOODING IN SOME AREAS MAY BE DEEP AND HAZARDOUS ESPECIALLY
NEAR RIVERS. IMPACTED ROADWAYS AND SURROUNDING AREAS INCLUDE
JACKSON HWY. AND TUNE...RUSH...SOMMERVILLE...GRIEL...HAMILTON...
TAUSCHER...GUERRIER...KIRKLAND...MACOMBER...RICE...SENN...LUCAS
CREEK...MIDDLE FORK AND NORTH FORK ROADS. A STAGE OF 10.5 ON THE
NEWAUKUM ROUGHLY CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 FLOOD IN THE LEWIS COUNTY
FLOOD SYSTEM.
$$
WAC067-171050-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0024.110117T1045Z-110118T2256Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.110117T1045Z.110118T0000Z.110118T1356Z.NO/
651 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* FROM 3 AM MONDAY UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3 AM MONDAY
AND CREST NEAR 15.1 FEET AROUND 4 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL
FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY INCLUDING JAMES ROAD...
INDEPENDENCE ROAD AND MOON ROAD. FLOOD WATERS WILL ALSO COVER
NEARBY FARM LANDS.
$$
BURKE
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE864
WGUS86 KSEW 170809
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1209 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...
NISQUALLY RIVER NEAR NATIONAL AFFECTING LEWIS AND PIERCE COUNTIES.
COWLITZ RIVER AT PACKWOOD AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...
PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY.
SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA AFFECTING LEWIS AND THURSTON
COUNTIES.
NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY.
COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 37
SOUTH WEST REGION
THE NISQUALLY RIVER AND THE REACH OF THE COWLITZ NEAR PACKWOOD HAVE
FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL. SEVERAL OTHER
AREA RIVERS WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING. THE REACH
OF THE COWLITZ RIVER NEAR RANDLE IS AT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.
&&
WAC053-171409-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110118T0854Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.110116T1027Z.110116T2100Z.110117T2354Z.NO/
1209 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:45 PM SUNDAY THE FLOW WAS 4548 CFS.
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW
FLOOD FLOW THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS
ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING. AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE
NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST
VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON
ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY.
$$
WAC041-053-170839-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110118T1516Z/
/NISW1.1.ER.110117T0128Z.000000T0000Z.110117T0131Z.NO/
1209 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
THE NISQUALLY RIVER NEAR NATIONAL
* AT 11:00 PM SUNDAY THE FLOW WAS 6345 CFS.
* FLOOD FLOW IS 8000 CFS.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD FLOW SUNDAY EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 5:31 PM SUNDAY AND
WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
$$
WAC041-170839-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110117T1200Z/
/PACW1.1.ER.110116T2224Z.000000T0000Z.110116T2322Z.NO/
1209 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
THE COWLITZ RIVER AT PACKWOOD
* AT 11:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 3:22 PM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
$$
WAC041-171409-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T0614Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T1200Z.110118T2114Z.NO/
1209 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 22.3 FEET
AROUND 4 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING
FROM THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE LAKE...WITH
DANGEROUS INUNDATION OF MANY ROADS INCLUDING US HIGHWAY 12...
RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS...AND FARMS. FLOODING WILL OCCUR
ALL ALONG THE RIVER INCLUDING HEADWATERS...TRIBUTARIES...AND OTHER
STREAMS WITHIN AND NEAR THE COWLITZ RIVER BASIN.
$$
WAC041-067-171408-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110118T0306Z/
/BCDW1.1.ER.110117T0230Z.110117T1200Z.110117T1806Z.NO/
1209 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 11:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.2 FEET
AROUND 4 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY
WILL FLOOD A FEW ROADS AND LOW PASTURE LANDS NEAR BUCODA.
$$
WAC041-171408-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110117T1838Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.110116T2315Z.110117T0515Z.110117T0938Z.NO/
1209 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT 11:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 11.1 FEET AT 9 PM SUNDAY AND WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND
RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS ALONG THE NEWAUKUM RIVER AND ITS
FORKS. FLOODING IN SOME AREAS MAY BE DEEP AND HAZARDOUS ESPECIALLY
NEAR RIVERS. IMPACTED ROADWAYS AND SURROUNDING AREAS INCLUDE
JACKSON HWY. AND TUNE...RUSH...SOMMERVILLE...GRIEL...HAMILTON...
TAUSCHER...GUERRIER...KIRKLAND...MACOMBER...RICE...SENN...LUCAS
CREEK...MIDDLE FORK AND NORTH FORK ROADS. A STAGE OF 10.5 ON THE
NEWAUKUM ROUGHLY CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 FLOOD IN THE LEWIS COUNTY
FLOOD SYSTEM.
$$
WAC067-171408-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0024.110117T1150Z-110118T2100Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.110117T1150Z.110118T0000Z.110118T1200Z.NO/
1209 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* FROM 4 AM MONDAY UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 AM MONDAY
AND CREST NEAR 14.6 FEET AROUND 4 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL
FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY INCLUDING JAMES ROAD...
INDEPENDENCE ROAD AND MOON ROAD. FLOOD WATERS WILL ALSO COVER
NEARBY FARM LANDS.
$$
BURKE
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE931
WGUS86 KSEW 171349
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
549 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...
NEWAUKUM RIVER NEAR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...
PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY.
COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA AFFECTING LEWIS AND THURSTON
COUNTIES.
CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY.
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 47
SOUTH WEST REGION
HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE IN THE CASCADES TODAY...BUT
GRADUALLY DECREASE AS THE SNOW LEVEL FALLS FROM 4500 FEET TODAY TO
2500 FEET TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW THE UPPER REACHES OF RIVERS TO
RECEDE AS FLOOD CRESTS CONTINUE DOWNSTREAM.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.
&&
WAC053-172149-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110118T0854Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.110116T1027Z.110116T2100Z.110117T2354Z.NO/
549 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* FROM 2 AM SUNDAY UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 4:45 AM MONDAY THE FLOW WAS 4280 CFS.
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE SLIGHTLY AND CREST NEAR 5000 CFS
AROUND 10 AM MONDAY...THEN FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS
ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING. AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE
NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST
VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON
ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY.
$$
WAC041-172149-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T0614Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T1230Z.110118T2114Z.NO/
549 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 5:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW
FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING
FROM THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE LAKE...WITH
DANGEROUS INUNDATION OF MANY ROADS INCLUDING US HIGHWAY 12...
RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS...AND FARMS. FLOODING WILL OCCUR
ALL ALONG THE RIVER INCLUDING HEADWATERS...TRIBUTARIES...AND OTHER
STREAMS WITHIN AND NEAR THE COWLITZ RIVER BASIN.
$$
WAC041-067-172149-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110118T0306Z/
/BCDW1.1.ER.110117T0230Z.110117T0715Z.110117T1806Z.NO/
549 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 4:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 13.9 FEET AT 11 PM SUNDAY AND WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY
WILL FLOOD A FEW ROADS AND LOW PASTURE LANDS NEAR BUCODA.
$$
WAC041-171419-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110117T1838Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.110116T2315Z.110117T0500Z.110117T0843Z.NO/
549 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
THE NEWAUKUM RIVER NEAR CHEHALIS
* AT 5:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 12:43 AM MONDAY EARLY
THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
$$
WAC067-172148-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110118T2100Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.110117T1122Z.110118T0000Z.110118T1200Z.NO/
549 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.6 FEET
AROUND 4 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL
FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY INCLUDING JAMES ROAD...
INDEPENDENCE ROAD AND MOON ROAD. FLOOD WATERS WILL ALSO COVER
NEARBY FARM LANDS.
$$
MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE259
WGUS86 KSEW 171935
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...
PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY.
SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA AFFECTING LEWIS AND THURSTON
COUNTIES.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...
SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY.
COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY.
CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY.
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 53
OLYMPIC PENINSULA AND SOUTHWEST REGION
PRECIPITATION RATES WILL EASE TODAY OVER THE OLYMPICS AND CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN CASCADES. COOLER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL DROP
THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO NEAR 2500 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SNOW LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO DROP TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW THE UPPER
REACHES OF RIVERS TO RECEDE AS FLOOD CRESTS CONTINUE DOWNSTREAM.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.
&&
WAC045-180435-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110118T0940Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.110114T1948Z.110117T1100Z.110118T0040Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 16.9 FEET AT 3 AM MONDAY AND WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD
FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST
BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.
$$
WAC053-172005-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110118T0854Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.110116T1027Z.110116T2100Z.110117T1623Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE FLOW WAS 4120 CFS.
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD FLOW THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 AM THIS
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 4000 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL LOCALLY SPILL OVER
ITS BANKS.
$$
WAC041-180435-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T0614Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T1230Z.110118T2114Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO
BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL CAUSE MAJOR
FLOODING FROM THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE
LAKE...WITH DANGEROUS INUNDATION OF MANY ROADS INCLUDING US HIGHWAY
12...RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS...AND FARMS. FLOODING WILL
OCCUR ALL ALONG THE RIVER INCLUDING HEADWATERS...TRIBUTARIES...AND
OTHER STREAMS WITHIN AND NEAR THE COWLITZ RIVER BASIN.
$$
WAC041-067-172005-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110118T0306Z/
/BCDW1.1.ER.110117T0230Z.110117T0715Z.110117T1345Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 6 AM THIS
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
$$
WAC067-180434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110118T2100Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.110117T1122Z.110118T0000Z.110118T1200Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.6
FEET
AROUND 4 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL
FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY INCLUDING JAMES ROAD...
INDEPENDENCE ROAD AND MOON ROAD. FLOOD WATERS WILL ALSO COVER
NEARBY FARM LANDS.
$$
WAC027-180434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110119T1653Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110117T2151Z.110118T1200Z.110119T0753Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* FROM 2 PM MONDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 PM
MONDAY
AND CREST NEAR 21.2 FEET AROUND 4 AM TUESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL
FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT
ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.
$$
FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLEWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 16, 9:40 AM PST, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 9:40 AM PST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
940 AM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS...A WET FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A STREAM OF
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BRING RAIN TO WESTERN WASHINGTON THROUGH
TODAY. HEAVY RAIN IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH SNOW LEVELS AROUND 8000 FEET
WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ON SOME RIVERS. RAIN WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
MONDAY AND THE SNOW LEVEL WILL FALL TO AROUND 3000 FEET MONDAY
NIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE WILL BUILD WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM...LOOKS LIKE THE ONGOING HEAVY RAIN EVENT IS EITHER
PEAKING OR HAS PEAKED...DEPENDING ON WHERE YOU ARE. A CONVEYOR BELT
OF WARM AIR...RICH MOISTURE CONTENT AND STRONG WEST WINDS ALOFT HAS
BEEN FEEDING INTO WRN WA SINCE YESTERDAY AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A
FLAT UPPER RIDGE AXIS. A SHORTWAVE OFF THE B.C. COAST WILL
EFFECTIVELY SHOVE THE MOISTURE AXIS SOUTH A LITTLE THIS AFTN AND
EVNG...PUSHING THE AXIS OF THE CONVEYOR BELT DOWN SOUTH OF MOUNT
RAINIER. ALREADY...RADAR HAS SHOWN BREAKS IN THE RAIN OVER THE NORTH
CASCADES FROM THE STILLAGUAMISH BASIN ON NORTH. RAINFALL ALONG THE
I-5 CORRIDOR HAS ALSO BECOME MORE SPOTTY. 850 MB DEWPOINTS ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP BY ABOUT 2 DEGREES CELSIUS ACROSS MOST OF WRN WA
THIS AFTN...SO THE LESSENED MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE AIR WILL HELP TO
LOWER RAINFALL RATES A BIT AS WELL. 24-HOUR QPF FROM NOW THROUGH
LATE MON MORNING WOULD INDICATE RAINFALL AMTS OF UP TO 2.5 INCHES
FOR THE CENTRAL CASCADES FROM HIGHWAY 2 ON SOUTH.
THE UPPER RIDGE RETROGRADES WESTWARD QUICKLY ON MON MORNING...
ALLOWING A PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT TO FINALLY DROP IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. WOULD EXPECT ONE LAST QUICK BURST OF RAIN DURING THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS ON MONDAY WITH THE COLD FRONT...BUT I WOULD EMPHASIZE
THAT THIS LAST BURST OF RAIN WILL BE SHORT DURATION...LASTING JUST A
COUPLE OF HOURS. ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...SNOW LEVELS
WILL FALL DOWN TO NEAR 3000 FEET...AND LINGERING PRECIP AMTS AND
RATES WILL QUICKLY FALL TO HYDROLOGICALLY INSIGNIFICANT LEVELS.
HANER
A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE GFS HAS SHOWN THIS FEATURE FAIRLY CONSISTENTLY
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS...BUT IT HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENT WITH THE
DETAILS OF ITS LOCATION AND TIMING. THE NAM ALSO SHOWS THIS FEATURE
BUT MUCH WEAKER. AND WHILE SOME PREVIOUS RUNS OF THE EUROPEAN MODEL
DID NOT SHOW IT AT ALL...THE MOST RECENT ONE DOES. AT ANY RATE...IT
WILL NOT HAVE ANY SPECIAL IMPACT EXCEPT SOME RAIN OVER THE LOWLANDS
AND SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. HANER
.LONG TERM...FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...WEDNESDAY AND PERHAPS
THURSDAY WILL BE DRIER DAYS...AS THE UPPER RIDGE ESTABLISHES ITSELF
ONCE AGAIN OFFSHORE AND GIVES NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. AGREEMENT BETWEEN MODELS AND RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY
CONTINUES TO BE POOR BEYOND THURSDAY...THOUGH THERE IS DECENT
INDICATION THAT ANOTHER ORGANIZED FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY
OR SATURDAY. MCDONNAL
&&
.HYDROLOGY...HEAVIEST RAIN SO FAR HAS BEEN FOCUSED OVER THE SOUTH
CENTRAL CASCADES. PARADISE IS THE WINNER OF THE 24-HOUR RAIN CONTEST
WITH 4.41 INCHES. MOST OF THE OTHER MORE TYPICALLY WET SPOTS FROM
THE SKYKOMISH BASIN ON SOUTH HAVE BEEN IN THE 2-3 INCH RANGE.
RAINFALL AMTS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES OVER THE NORTH CASCADES HAVE
BEEN CONFINED TO MARBLEMOUNT AND BAKER LAKE. PARADISE...WHICH IS AT
5500 FT IS MT RAINIER NP...IS STILL 39 DEGREES...AND SNOW LEELS ARE
LIKELY UP AROUND 8000 FEET. WE HAVE LIKELY SEEN THE HEAVIEST OF THE
RAIN...BUT HYDROLOGICALLY SIGNIFICANT RAINS WILL BE WATCHED
CAREFULLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND MAINSTEM RIVERS WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE...EVEN AFTER THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS DONE. FLOOD
WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR MANY OF THE BASINS FLOWING OFF
THE CASCADES FROM THE SNOHOMISH ON SOUTH TO THE COWLITZ. MOSTLY
MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST...BUT THE COWLITZ IS
EXPECTING A MAJOR FLOOD. THOUGH THE CHARTS ON OUR WEBPAGE SHOW SOME
OF THE NORTH CASCADES RIVERS RISING ABOVE FLOOD...THIS IS LESS
CONFIDENT GIVEN DECREASING RAINFALL RATES UP THAT WAY RIGHT NOW...SO
NO FLOOD WARNINGS ARE UP AT THIS TIME FOR THE NOOKSACK AND SKAGIT.
OF COURSE...THE SKOKOMISH WILL FLOOD.
THE GREEN RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT
THE AUBURN GAUGE. THIS WOULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OVER LOW LYING
FARM LANDS UPSTREAM OF AUBURN.
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF WESTERN WASHINGTON.
THE FORECAST IS FOR RAIN TO SLOWLY TAPER BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THERE
IS NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEK AFTER MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THE GREEN RIVER WILL NOT FLOOD DURING THAT PERIOD.
HANER
&&
.AVIATION...A COLD FRONT OVER THE NW PORTION OF WRN WA WILL SAG SE
ACROSS THE REST OF WRN WA THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. MOIST CONDITIONS AT ALL LEVELS AND
SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
CERTAIN ENOUGH TO PUT IN TAFS.
LLWS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SRN PARTS OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING.
KSEA...S WIND 15-20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT...EASING BY LATE THIS
EVENING.
&&
.MARINE...A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING. MESO LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH PART OF ADMIRALTY INLET
WILL INDUCE THE STRONGEST SLY GRADIENTS AND WINDS OVER THE PUGET
SOUND AND CENTRAL STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA. THE REMAINING WATERS WILL
LIKELY EXPERIENCE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS ALONG AND BEHIND THE
FRONT TODAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE ACROSS THE AREA ON MON.
&&
.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND/OR ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
FOR MUCH OF THE CWA.
PZ...GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PUGET SOUND/HOOD CANAL...AND
CENTRAL STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL REMAINING
WATERS.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR ROUGH GRAYS HARBOR BAR
CONDITIONS THRU LATE MON NIGHT.
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLEIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 16, 9:00 AM PST, 3 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
900 AM PST SUN JAN 16 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0858 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW MONTESANO 46.97N 123.65W
01/16/2011 M3.67 INCH GRAYS HARBOR WA TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR RAINFALL
0845 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW RANDLE 46.54N 121.99W
01/16/2011 M2.40 INCH LEWIS WA TRAINED SPOTTER
RAINFALL TOTAL SINCE 2 PM SATURDAY.
&&
DDAMICOThe office that day
Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 8:04 PM PST | Areal Flood Warning | SEW | Grays Harbor, Lewis, Mason, Thurston | 18 hr |
| Jan 15, 8:38 PM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Pierce | 22 hr |
| Jan 15, 8:38 PM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Pierce | 39 hr |
| Jan 15, 8:38 PM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Lewis, Pierce | 28 hr |
| Jan 15, 8:38 PM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Thurston | 22 hr |
| Jan 15, 8:38 PM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Lewis | 28 hr |
| Jan 15, 8:38 PM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Lewis | 3 days |
| Jan 15, 8:38 PM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Lewis | 3 hr |
| Jan 16, 2:11 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Snohomish | 50 hr |
| Jan 16, 2:11 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | King | 17 hr |
| Jan 16, 2:11 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | King | 55 hr |
| Jan 16, 3:05 AM PST | Small Craft Advisory | SEW | 6 hr | |
| Jan 16, 3:16 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | King | 6 days |
| Jan 16, 6:15 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Snohomish | 15 hr |
| Jan 16, 6:15 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Snohomish | 15 hr |
| Jan 16, 6:15 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Snohomish | 15 hr |
| Jan 16, 6:15 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Snohomish | 69 hr |
| Jan 16, 6:15 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Snohomish | 3 days |
| Jan 16, 6:23 AM PST | Areal Flood Warning | SEW | Snohomish | 12 hr |
| Jan 16, 9:39 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Lewis | 20 hr |
| Jan 16, 11:00 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Grays Harbor | 24 hr |
| Jan 16, 12:05 PM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Skagit | 33 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.