Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 208, NWS Charleston, WV

June 23, 2011Boyd County, Carter County, Greenup County, Kentucky; Cabell County, Wayne County, West Virginia; Lawrence County, Ohio

NWS Charleston, WV issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 23, 2011, 7:26 PM EDT for Boyd County, Carter County, Greenup County, Kentucky; Cabell County, Wayne County, West Virginia; Lawrence County, Ohio. It was in force for 49 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 23, 2011, 7:26 PM EDT (23:26 UTC)
Expired: Jun 23, 2011, 8:15 PM EDT
In force: 49 min
Issued by: NWS Charleston, WV
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Lawrence County, OH, Cabell County, WV, Wayne County, WV

The radar

The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 23, 7:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Ashland, KY	SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN ASHLAND AREA AND THROUGHOUT COUNTY.
Jun 23, 7:50 PM EDT	HAIL 0.5	Huntington, WV

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 23, 1:37 PM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 151 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -24 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 725 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 76 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

050 
WUUS51 KRLX 232326
SVRRLX
KYC019-043-089-OHC087-WVC011-099-240015-
/O.NEW.KRLX.SV.W.0208.110623T2326Z-110624T0015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
726 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BOYD COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CANNONSBURG...ASHLAND...
  EAST CENTRAL CARTER COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF GRAYSON...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREENUP COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHWESTERN CABELL COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HUNTINGTON...
  NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WAYNE...BEECH FORK STATE PARK...
  SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PROCTORVILLE...CHESAPEAKE...

* UNTIL 815 PM EDT

* AT 725 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  NAPLES...OR 6 MILES WEST OF CANNONSBURG...AND MOVING EAST AT 35
  MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  RUSH...COALTON...PRINCESS...GARNER...DURBIN...CATLETTSBURG...
  KENOVA...BURNAUGH...CEREDO...CENTERVILLE AND BARBOURSVILLE.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...I-64 BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 171 AND 191 IN KENTUCKY...AND BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 21
IN WEST VIRGINIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3850 8287 3849 8222 3818 8228 3825 8261
      3827 8262 3826 8265 3833 8296
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 273DEG 29KT 3841 8280

$$

28

3 follow-up statements

188 
WWUS51 KRLX 232350
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
750 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

KYC043-089-232358-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-110624T0015Z/
CARTER KY-GREENUP KY-
750 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREENUP AND EAST
CENTRAL CARTER COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED EAST OF CARTER 
AND GREENUP COUNTIES...SO THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. HOWEVER...OTHER 
WEAKER THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND PEA 
SIZE HAIL.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3825 8227 3829 8258 3833 8273 3839 8279
      3850 8267 3849 8222
TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 273DEG 29KT 3840 8257

$$

KYC019-OHC087-WVC011-099-240015-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-110624T0015Z/
BOYD KY-LAWRENCE OH-CABELL WV-WAYNE WV-
750 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR BOYD COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN
SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND NORTHERN WAYNE AND SOUTHWESTERN CABELL COUNTIES
IN WEST VIRGINIA...

AT 742 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE 
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED NEAR CATLETTSBURG...OR NEAR CANNONSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 35 
MPH.

THIS STORM ALSO SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ROTATION. A TORNADO DOES NOT 
APPEAR IMMINENT...BUT A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9PM 
EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CEREDO...BURLINGTON...CHESAPEAKE...LAVALETTE...HUNTINGTON...BEECH
FORK STATE PARK...PROCTORVILLE...PEA RIDGE AND BARBOURSVILLE

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...I-64 BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 182 AND 191 IN KENTUCKY...AND BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 21
IN WEST VIRGINIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3825 8227 3829 8258 3833 8273 3839 8279
      3850 8267 3849 8222
TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 273DEG 29KT 3840 8257

$$

19

051 
WWUS51 KRLX 240006
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
806 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

KYC019-240015-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-110624T0015Z/
BOYD KY-
806 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BOYD COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED EAST OF BOYD 
COUNTY...SO THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3829 8239 3832 8247 3837 8258 3846 8257
      3849 8222 3825 8227
TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 273DEG 29KT 3839 8236

$$

OHC087-WVC011-099-240015-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-110624T0015Z/
LAWRENCE OH-CABELL WV-WAYNE WV-
806 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND NORTHWESTERN
WAYNE AND SOUTHWESTERN CABELL COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA...

AT 759 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HUNTINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS STORM ALSO SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ROTATION. A TORNADO DOES NOT 
APPEAR IMMINENT AT THIS TIME...BUT A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 9PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PEA 
RIDGE AND BARBOURSVILLE.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...I-64 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
1 AND 21 IN WEST VIRGINIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3829 8239 3832 8247 3837 8258 3846 8257
      3849 8222 3825 8227
TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 273DEG 29KT 3839 8236

$$

19

569 
WWUS51 KRLX 240011
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
811 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

OHC087-WVC011-099-240021-
/O.EXP.KRLX.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-110624T0015Z/
LAWRENCE OH-CABELL WV-WAYNE WV-
811 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY
IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND NORTHWESTERN WAYNE AND SOUTHWESTERN CABELL 
COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA WILL EXPIRE AT 815 PM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
AND NO LONGER POSES A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...THUS THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER OTHER WEAKER
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND PEA SIZE HAIL.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3829 8239 3832 8247 3837 8258 3846 8257
      3849 8222 3825 8227
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 273DEG 29KT 3838 8230

$$

19

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 23, 3:19 PM EDT, 4 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 3:19 PM EDT, 4 hours 7 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
319 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD FRONT CROSSES SLOWLY TONIGHT THRU FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
PREVAILS SATURDAY. UPPER LEVEL WAVES APPROACHES SUNDAY. WARM FRONT
LIFTS NORTH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER COLD FRONT LATE TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
COLD FRONT AS OF 18Z LOCATED ACROSS WESTERN OH AND WESTERN KY.
MORNING DISTURBANCE HAS SHIFTED NORTH AND EAST OF THE CWA.
ASSOCIATED LOW AND MID LVL CLDS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO FOLLOW
SUIT...WITH MUCH OF THE MTNS STUCK IN THE CLOUDS TDY. LAST FEW HRS
HAVE SEEN THE STRATOCU FINALLY STARTING TO MIX OUT THOUGH.

PREFRONTAL CONVECTION HAS FIRED RIGHT ON CUE WITH APPROACH OF YET
ANOTHER UPR DISTURBANCE. MODELS HAVE DONE A GREAT JOB WITH THIS
AT LEAST IN THE FORCING FIELDS AND HAVE CONTINUED TO USE A
CONSENSUS APPROACH WITH TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF POPS USING VORT.

SVR POTENTIAL BEST ALONG OH RVR AND ACROSS COAL FIELDS WHERE BEST
SHEAR RESIDES ALONG WITH GREATEST AMNT OF SFC HEATING HAS OCCURRED.
STILL WORRIED ABOUT CAPPING INVERSION AND WHAT EFFECTS IT WILL
HAVE FARTHER EAST...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING LACK OF MUCH INSOLATION
TDY ACROSS THE MTNS. SO FAR CONVECTION HAS BEEN LOW TOPPED AND
ABSENT OF MUCH LIGHTNING. HOWEVER SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN SOMEWHAT
FAVORABLE FOR WEAK ROTATION WITH THE STRONGER DISCRETE CELLS.

COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY SLIDE EAST TONIGHT AND BECOME RATHER
DIFFUSE. HAVE FRONT IN SE OH ARND 00Z...PERHAPS CHECKING UP FOR A
TIME BEFORE RESUMING A SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESS. MAY TAKE TILL 12Z
TO CLR MTNS...WAITING FOR UPR TROF TO GO NEG TILT. HAVE ANOTHER
LINE OF LKLY POPS WITH ACTUAL FRONT OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER MUCH OF
THE CONVECTION WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH UPR AIR DISTURBANCE THIS
AFTN AND EVENING.

WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH FOR LCL WATER PROBLEMS DESPITE PWATS COMING
DOWN. THINKING IS AS FRONT BECOMES MORE PARALLEL TO FLOW COULD SEE
MORE IN THE WAY OF TRAINING.

FRONT...OR WHAT IS LEFT OF IT SHIFTS EAST TOMORROW AS UPR TROF AND
FRESHER AIRMASS WORKS IN. MODELS AGREE IN TAKING A DISTURBANCE
THRU TOMORROW AFTN WITH UPR TROF. THIS SHOULD BE ABLE TO SPARK OF
SOME LOW TOPPED SHRA OR CONVECTION IN THE AFTN/EARLY EVEN...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTH. WENT MORE PESSIMISTIC WITH SKY COVER TOMORROW
WITH UPR TROF AND DIURNAL HEATING AIDING IN CU DEVELOPMENT.

HAVE GONE ON HIGH SIDE FOR LOWS TONIGHT AND A BLEND FOR HIGHS
TOMORROW. MAY TAKE TILL TOMORROW AFTN FOR LWR DWPTS TO
ARRIVE...BUT TEMPS WILL STAY IN THE UPR 70S SOUTH AND MID/LOW 70S
NORTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS ACTIVITY MOVE EAST BEHIND THE FRONT
FRIDAY NIGHT. DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH DRIER AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT. GUIDANCE SHOWS FRONT
STALLING SOUTH OF THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...TO LIFT NORTH LATER
SUNDAY.

NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THRU THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
STORM ACTIVITY RETURNS SUNDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS WAVE WITH
SOME MINOR PLACEMENT DIFFERENCES NOTED. THEREFORE...INTRODUCE
CHANCE POPS SPREADING FROM NORTHWEST TO EAST LATE SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT.

WITH THIS UPPER LEVEL FORCING...THE STALLED FRONT LIFTS SLOWLY
NORTH ACROSS WV SUNDAY NIGHT...AND NORTH OF WV BY MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS FEATURE...ALONG WITH DIURNAL HEATING...COULD ENHANCE SHOWERS
AND STORMS DEVELOPMENT WITH ADDITIONAL WEAKER DISTURBANCES PASSING
ALOFT. THEREFORE...REARRANGED POPS AND WX LOCATIONS HAVING CHANCES
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA ATTM TUESDAY NIGHT...DECREASING FROM WEST
TO EAST BY MID WEDNESDAY.

ONCE AGAIN...BLENDED GMOS AND HPC GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH SOME MINOR TWEAKS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
18Z THURSDAY THRU 18Z FRIDAY...
BKN LINE OF SHRA AND CONVECTION CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS SE OH...NE
KY AND WESTERN WV ASSOCIATED WITH UPR AIR DISTURBANCE AND APPROACH
OF COLD FRONT. THIS CONVECTION WILL AFFECT KHTS AND KPKB THRU
20Z...AND KCRW AND KCKB AFTER 20Z. MTN TERMINALS MAY ESCAPE
CONVECTION TIL ACTUAL COLD FRONT NEARS OVERNIGHT. HAVE INSERTED
TEMPO GROUPS TO HANDLE CONVECTION ACROSS TERMINALS. VFR OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION.

COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SE OH AFTER 00Z...SLOWLY CLEARING OH RVR
BY 06Z...AND EXITING MTNS AFTER 12Z WHILE BECOMING DIFFUSE IN
NATURE. SHOULD SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHRA AND POSSIBLE CONVECTION
WITH FRONT ITSELF TONIGHT...HENCE LEAVING CB IN MOST OF THE TAF
SITES TO 06Z.

SOME MVFR STRATUS MAY DEVELOP POST FRONTAL AND HAVE ACCOUNTED FOR
IN FCST. ANY LOW STRATUS SHOULD BURN OFF FRI MORNING...WITH A
REDEVELOPMENT OF CU AND STRATOCU WITH APPROACH OF UPR TROF. SOME
LOW TOPPED SHRA OR CONVECTION TOMORROW AFTN AS UPR DISTURBANCE
MOVES THRU.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING AND DEGREE OF RESTRICTIONS IN
SHOWERS/STORMS MAY VARY FROM FORECAST. WIDESPREAD MVFR MAY NOT
FORM AFTER 06Z AS FORECAST.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    L    M    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 18Z FRIDAY...
BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS FROM INTERMITTENT CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LESS COMMON THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ARJ/30
NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...ARJ
LONG TERM...ARJ
AVIATION...30

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 23, 1:46 PM EDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
146 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>008-013>016-024>027-241800-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE-GALLIA-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON-
LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-
146 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

...TORNADO WATCH 541 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>085-VAZ003-004-WVZ009>011-017>020-028>040-046-
047-241800-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-VINTON-MEIGS-DICKENSON-
BUCHANAN-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-
NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
146 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. PRIMARY
THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION...HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD
CREATE LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 23, 5:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA
531 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 PM     HAIL             LOUISA                  37.98N 82.59W
06/23/2011  U0.75 INCH       LAWRENCE           KY   PUBLIC

&&

NNNN

Local storm report, Jun 23, 5:37 PM EDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
537 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             3 NW CRUM               37.93N  82.48W
06/23/2011  E0.25 INCH       WAYNE              WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 30 MPH WINDS. .25 INCHES OF RAIN IN 10
            MINUTES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100739

JFD

Special weather statement, Jun 23, 6:08 PM EDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
608 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

OHZ075-083>085-232245-
ATHENS OH-JACKSON OH-MEIGS OH-VINTON OH-
608 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN JACKSON...
NORTHWESTERN MEIGS...VINTON AND WESTERN ATHENS COUNTIES...

AT 604 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST
OF WELLSTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR HAMDEN AROUND 615 PM...HAMDEN AROUND 620
PM...MCARTHUR...AND CREOLA AROUND 625 PM...RADCLIFFE AROUND 630 PM...
ZALESKI...RADCLIFFE...AND LAKE HOPE STATE PARK AROUND 635 PM AND LAKE
HOPE STATE PARK AROUND 640 PM.

PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3907 8192 3917 8271 3927 8271 3932 8260
      3938 8254 3938 8252 3940 8251 3939 8230
      3942 8229 3945 8200

28

Local storm report, Jun 23, 6:26 PM EDT, 1 hour before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
626 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W DANVILLE            38.08N  81.87W
06/23/2011                   BOONE              WV   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ALONG LICK CREEK
            ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100740

JFD

Local storm report, Jun 23, 7:06 PM EDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
706 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             4 NE CARTER             38.47N  83.07W
06/23/2011  E0.70 INCH       CARTER             KY   PUBLIC

            GUSTY WINDS

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100741

JFD

Local storm report, Jun 23, 7:14 PM EDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
714 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             ALBANY                  39.22N  82.20W
06/23/2011  E0.25 INCH       ATHENS             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100742

JFD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 23, 3:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boyd	63 min
Jun 23, 4:34 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Lawrence	41 min
Jun 23, 6:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boyd, Carter, Greenup	45 min
Jun 23, 6:57 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RLX	Boyd, Carter, Greenup	33 min
Jun 23, 3:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Cabell, Mason, Putnam	44 min
Jun 23, 3:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Lincoln, Wayne	32 min
Jun 23, 4:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Cabell, Lincoln, Wayne	67 min
Jun 23, 4:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Boone, Kanawha, Lincoln	46 min
Jun 23, 5:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boone, Lincoln, Logan, Mingo, Wayne	53 min
Jun 23, 5:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Boone, Fayette, Nicholas, Raleigh	62 min
Jun 23, 7:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Wood	33 min
Jun 23, 12:56 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Perry	34 min
Jun 23, 3:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Lawrence	26 min
Jun 23, 3:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Morgan	28 min
Jun 23, 6:08 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Athens, Meigs, Vinton	37 min
Jun 23, 6:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Athens, Meigs, Vinton	64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2011 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in West Virginia, 2011 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Ohio, 2011 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.