Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Paducah, KY

April 23, 2011Muhlenberg County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 23, 2011, 1:12 AM CDT for Muhlenberg County, Kentucky. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 23, 2011, 1:12 AM CDT (06:12 UTC)
Expired: Apr 23, 2011, 1:45 AM CDT
In force: 33 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 50.0 mph

County Muhlenberg County, KY

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 23, 1:04 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 719 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -77 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1368 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 185 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 309 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.4
Supercell composite: 6.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

753 
WUUS53 KPAH 230612
SVRPAH
KYC177-230645-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0098.110423T0612Z-110423T0645Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
112 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN MUHLENBERG COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 145 AM CDT.

* AT 104 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WEIR..AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  WEIR...
  GREENVILLE...
  POWDERLY...
  DUNMOR...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER
INFORMATION.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY
AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

&&

LAT...LON 3716 8693 3708 8691 3705 8726 3706 8727
      3707 8726 3708 8727 3721 8732 3728 8700
      3721 8690
TIME...MOT...LOC 0612Z 260DEG 41KT 3714 8717
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

1 follow-up statement

497 
WWUS53 KPAH 230634
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
134 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

KYC177-230645-
/O.CON.KPAH.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-110423T0645Z/
MUHLENBERG KY-
134 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN MUHLENBERG COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

AT 130 AM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING 
DIME SIZE HAIL 2 MILES SOUTH OF GREENVILLE.  THIS STORM WAS MOVING 
EAST AT 45 MPH AND OUT OF THE COUNTY.

.

LAT...LON 3716 8693 3708 8691 3705 8726 3706 8727
      3707 8726 3708 8727 3721 8732 3728 8700
      3721 8690
TIME...MOT...LOC 0632Z 260DEG 41KT 3717 8689
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 22, 6:36 PM CDT, 6 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 22, 6:36 PM CDT, 6 hours 36 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
636 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION ONLY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
JUST CANCELLED THE SEVERE WATCH...AS THE MAIN CLUSTER IS
NORTHEAST OF THE REGION...AND THE SCATTERED STORMS OVER SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS HAVE REALLY WEAKENED.

AS FOR SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT...20Z SOUNDING FROM KSGF INDICATES
JUST A MINOR CAP LEFT...WITH A NEARLY DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATE
ABOVE. VERTICALLY DEVELOPED CU ARE NOTED OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND THE COLD FRONT
IS LOCATED RIGHT NEAR JOPLIN MISSOURI. LOW TO MID 60S DEWPOINTS HAVE
SPREAD OVER ALL BUT THE FAR NOTHEAST CORNER OF OUR AREA...AND SHOULD
MAKE IT THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA BY 00Z.

LOOKING FOR THE REAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT TO INITIATE NEAR THE FRONT
IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED INITIALLY WITH THE FULL RANGE OF SEVERE
WEATHER POSSIBILITIES. THEY WILL MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND
EVENTUALLY DEVELOP INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
BETWEEN 00Z AND 03Z. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO BECOME LINEAR
AS THEY APPROACH THE AREA...SO WE WILL BE LOOKING FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AS THE PRIMARY CONCERN TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES MAY BE A
CONCERN IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS EARLY ON IN THE
EVENT AS WELL.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH LOOKING GOOD FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ALL MODELS
ARE INDICATING THAT THE EFFECTIVE BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT NEAR THE
OHIO RIVER LATE TONIGHT...AND PROVIDE A PERSISTENT FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL INTO SATURDAY. WIDESPREAD 2-3 INCH
RAINS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE WATCH AREA...BUT A RELATIVELY
NARROW ZONE OF 4-5 INCH AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE THE FRONT
STALLS OUT.

BEYOND SATURDAY...THE MODELS ARE NOT AS AGRESSIVE IN SHIFTING THE
FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION NORTH AND WEST OF OUR AREA AS IN THE PAST
FEW DAYS...SO HAVE KEPT A BIT HIGHER POPS AND MORE QPF IN THE GRIDS
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. QPF NUMBERS FROM SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY IN OUR GRIDS HAVE 3-6 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA WITH
THE GREATEST AMOUNTS FROM SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS. WOULD PREFER TO GET THE FIRST ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINS
IN HERE AND SEE HOW FAR SOUTHEAST IT GETS...BEFORE EXTENDING THE
WATCH THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IT WILL MOST LIKELY BE AROUND FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...
MAIN UPDATE TO 00Z TAF PACKAGE IS TO INCLUDE A PERIOD OF TSRA FROM
ROUGHLY 00Z TO 05Z AS ONGOING DEVELOPMENT TO THE WEST OF THE FA
CONTINUES TO MOVE/BUILD EASTWARD. THREAT TO THE TERMINALS MAY
PERSIST BEYOND 05Z ESPECIALLY EAST DEPENDING ON AMOUNT OF
ORGANIZATION/SPEED OF PROPAGATION. AS COLD FRONT LAYS DOWN ALONG
THE OHIO RIVER SHRA WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT AND IMPACTS TO
SIG/VSBY COULD PERSIST THROUGH THE PD.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR BALLARD-CALDWELL-
     CARLISLE-CRITTENDEN-DAVIESS-FULTON-GRAVES-HENDERSON-HICKMAN-
     HOPKINS-LIVINGSTON-LYON-MARSHALL-MCCRACKEN-MCLEAN-UNION KY-
     WEBSTER.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR BOLLINGER-BUTLER-
     CAPE GIRARDEAU-CARTER-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-PERRY MO-
     RIPLEY-SCOTT-STODDARD-WAYNE MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ALEXANDER-EDWARDS-
     FRANKLIN-GALLATIN-HAMILTON-HARDIN-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-
     MASSAC-PERRY IL-POPE-PULASKI-SALINE-UNION IL-WABASH-WAYNE
     IL-WHITE-WILLIAMSON.

IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-
     SPENCER-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 22, 3:57 PM CDT, 9 hours 15 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
357 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-231000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
357 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS BEEN POSTED TONIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM
DONIPHAN TO DEXTER TO PERRYVILLE. THE REMAINDER OF THE FOUR STATE
AREA IS IN A SLIGHT RISK.

AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THIS EVENING...NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...POSSIBLY AS LATE AS 03Z. SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN THESE AREAS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL
THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.
WITH TIME THE STORMS WILL ORGANIZE INTO A LARGE LINE OR MULTIPLE
LINE SEGMENTS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS BECOMING THE PRIMARY
THREAT...AS THE STORMS MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

OVERNIGHT...FLASH FLOODING WILL BECOME A MAJOR CONCERN. THE COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT NEAR THE OHIO RIVER...WHICH MAY
RESULT IN TRAINING OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG IT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...ALONG AND BEHIND THE STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A
FEW PERIODS OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT FLOODING WILL
ONLY BECOME MORE INTENSE WITH EACH SUCCESSIVE ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS.
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO NEXT WEEK. IN
ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE
COMING WEEK. WE ARE WATCHING NEXT MONDAY EVENING AND NIGHT FOR A
POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT AS WELL. IN FACT SEVERE WEATHER
APPEARS POSSIBLE IN MORE THAN ONE ROUND FROM LATE MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY FOR THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT.

DRS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 22, 11:12 PM CDT, 2 hours before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1112 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1111 PM     HEAVY RAIN       POSEYVILLE              38.17N 87.78W
04/22/2011  E0.00 INCH       POSEY              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 INCHES REPORTED WITH COMMON STREET FLOODING.

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 11:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1116 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1107 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 WSW ROBARDS           37.66N 87.64W
04/22/2011                   HENDERSON          KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            JUST NORTH OF WEBSTER-HENDERSON COUNTY LINE ON NORTH END
            OF POOLE. MULTIPLE HOUSES DAMAGED AND AT LEAST 1 WITH
            ROOF OFF. NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN.

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 11:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1131 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1127 PM     TORNADO          STANLEY                 37.82N 87.24W
04/22/2011                   DAVIESS            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 11:34 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1134 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1133 PM     HAIL             LEDBETTER               37.05N 88.50W
04/22/2011  E0.75 INCH       LIVINGSTON         KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 11:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1138 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1133 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     OWENSBORO               37.76N 87.12W
04/22/2011                   DAVIESS            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MAJOR ROTATION N OR HOSPITAL IN OWENSBORO ALONG OHIO
            RIVER.

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Apr 23, 12:43 AM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1243 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1243 PM     HAIL             3 W POSEYVILLE          38.17N 87.84W
04/22/2011  E1.00 INCH       POSEY              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DLL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 22, 9:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle	43 min
Apr 22, 9:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Ballard, McCracken	35 min
Apr 22, 10:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, Union, Webster	22 min
Apr 22, 10:31 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Ballard, Crittenden, Daviess, Henderson, Livingston, McCracken and 2 more	6 hr
Apr 22, 10:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Crittenden, Daviess, Henderson, Hopkins, McLean and 3 more	43 min
Apr 22, 11:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess, Henderson, McLean, Webster	30 min
Apr 22, 11:24 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess	25 min
Apr 22, 11:58 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Caldwell, Hopkins, Lyon, Marshall, Muhlenberg	2 hr
Apr 23, 4:27 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Crittenden, Daviess, Henderson, Hopkins, Livingston, McLean and 2 more	3 hr
Apr 23, 6:27 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Daviess, Henderson, Union	4 hr
Apr 23, 2:20 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Ballard, McCracken	25 min
Apr 23, 2:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard, McCracken	6 min
Apr 23, 2:31 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Ballard, McCracken	29 min
Apr 23, 2:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle, Graves, Livingston, McCracken, Marshall	29 min
Apr 23, 2:50 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	McCracken	25 min
Apr 23, 2:51 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Graves, McCracken, Marshall	24 min
Apr 23, 3:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, Marshall	33 min
Apr 23, 3:17 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Livingston, Lyon, Marshall	28 min
Apr 23, 3:20 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon	25 min
Apr 23, 3:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Christian, Crittenden, Hopkins, Lyon, Union and 1 more	41 min
Apr 23, 3:36 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins, Lyon	24 min
Apr 23, 3:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Calloway, Lyon, Marshall, Trigg	32 min
Apr 23, 3:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess, Hopkins, McLean, Webster	22 min
Apr 23, 4:15 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg	30 min
Apr 23, 4:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg	25 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2011 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.