Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011
Flash Flood Warning 50, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this flash flood warning at Apr 27, 2011, 4:43 PM CDT for Caldwell County, Hopkins County, Kentucky. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 27, 2011, 4:43 PM CDT (21:43 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 27, 2011, 10:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Caldwell County, KY, Hopkins County, KY
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 714 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -84 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -38 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
717 WGUS53 KPAH 272143 FFWPAH KYC033-107-280330- /O.NEW.KPAH.FF.W.0050.110427T2143Z-110428T0330Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 443 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR LEVEE BREACH FOR... NORTH CENTRAL CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... WEST CENTRAL HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY... * UNTIL 1030 PM CDT * AT 407 PM CDT...SPOTTERS AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLASH FLOODING DUE TO A LEVEE BREACH ON CLEAR CREEK NORTH OF FRYER KENTUCKY ON HIGHWAY 293...JUST SOUTH OF THE HOPKINS COUNTY LINE. COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE CLOSED HIGHWAY 293 DUE TO WATER OVER THE ROAD. * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING AND WILL LIKELY WORSEN THE FLOODING IN AND AROUND THE CLEAR CREEK LEVEE BREACH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. && LAT...LON 3738 8774 3726 8779 3727 8793 3734 8786 $$ RST/SMITH
1 follow-up statement
769 WGUS73 KPAH 280319 FFSPAH FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1019 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 KYC033-107-280330- /O.CON.KPAH.FF.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110428T0330Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HOPKINS KY-CALDWELL KY- 1019 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...AND NORTH CENTRAL CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... AT 407 PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...SPOTTERS AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLASH FLOODING DUE TO A LEVEE BREACH ON CLEAR CREEK NORTH OF FRYER KENTUCKY ON HIGHWAY 293...JUST SOUTH OF THE HOPKINS COUNTY LINE. COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE CLOSED HIGHWAY 293 DUE TO WATER OVER THE ROAD. THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 1030 PM CDT. RESIDENTS IN THE CLEAR CREEK AREA ALONG HIGHWAY 293 SHOULD NOTE THAT AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING STILL REMAINS IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY FOR RUNOFF DUE TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS. THIS RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WATER LEVELS HIGH ACROSS THE REGION...UNTIL MOST OF THE CREEKS AND AND STREAMS CAN DRAIN INTO LARGER TRIBUTARIES AND RIVERS DOWNSTREAM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. && LAT...LON 3738 8774 3726 8779 3727 8793 3734 8786 $$ SMITH
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Apr 27, 1:16 PM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 27, 1:16 PM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
116 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011
.DISCUSSION...
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE IS FOR PRIMARY HAZARD OF LARGE HAIL GIVEN
COOLING MID TROPOSPHERIC TEMPS...AIDED/ABETTED BY STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS OVERHEAD AND SWEEPS THRU.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH DEVELOPING HELICITY PROFILES WITH LOW INCOMING
IN CASE TORNADIC THREAT DEVELOPS...SPC BEING ON TOP OF THAT
ALREADY PER EARLIER CONFERENCE CALL.
GRADIENT WINDS WILL ENHANCE WITH SURFACE LOW MOVING THRU AND
SHOULD SEE WINDS SHIFTING FROM SLYS TO WSLYS/NWLYS WITH TIME. SOME
GUSTS TO NEAR ADVISORY THRESHOLDS MAY BE POSSIBLE.
ANOTHER 1 TO POTENTIALLY 1.5" OF RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE
SYSTEM PASSAGE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WE WILL THEREFORE LEAVE THE
FFA RUNNING THRU ITS INHERITED EXPIRATION TIME OF 700 PM...AND
CONTINUE OUTLOOK/FORECAST FOR HEAVY RAIN AS WELL.
CLEARING/IMPROVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT-TOMORROW AND
SHOULD LAST INTO/THRU MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY...OFFERING MUCH
NEEDED REPRIEVE FROM SVR WX/HEAVY RAIN. SAVE EXCEPTION IS SMALLISH
CYCLONIC FLOW ENERGY POPS FOR THURSDAY PM/EVENING...BUT QPF SHOULD
BE LIGHT.
NEXT BEST CHC PCPN IS LATER IN THE WEEKEND...SPECIFICALLY SAT
NIGHT-SUN NIGHT TIME FRAME WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM PASSAGE AND
POTENTIALLY AN INCH OR TWO MORE OF RAINFALL. HAVE MENTIONED THIS
IN HWO AND WILL BE SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE UPON WITH REGARD TO
CONTINUED FLOODING.
&&
.AVIATION...
CONVECTIVE OUTBREAK WITH SYSTEM PASSAGE THIS PM WILL LOWER CIGS
FROM MVFR TO IFR AT TIMES. IFR VSBYS IN HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE
AND HAIL IS THE SVR WX THREAT...THOUGH NOT IN TAFS (YET). AS THE
SURFACE WAVE PASSES...GRADIENT WINDS COULD YIELD SOME GUSTS NEAR
30 KTS AT TIMES...WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLYS TO WESTERLYS
OR NORTHWESTERLYS OVER THE COURSE OF THE EVENING. GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW AS THE
SYSTEM PUSHES EAST.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BALLARD-
CALDWELL-CALLOWAY-CARLISLE-CHRISTIAN-CRITTENDEN-DAVIESS-
FULTON-GRAVES-HENDERSON-HICKMAN-HOPKINS-LIVINGSTON-LYON-
MARSHALL-MCCRACKEN-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-TRIGG-UNION KY-
WEBSTER.
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BOLLINGER-
BUTLER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-CARTER-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-PERRY
MO-RIPLEY-SCOTT-STODDARD-WAYNE MO.
IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALEXANDER-
EDWARDS-FRANKLIN-GALLATIN-HAMILTON-HARDIN-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-
JOHNSON-MASSAC-PERRY IL-POPE-PULASKI-SALINE-UNION IL-WABASH-
WAYNE IL-WHITE-WILLIAMSON.
IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR GIBSON-PIKE-
POSEY-SPENCER-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 27, 3:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 316 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-281015- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 316 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS PLACED THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE REGION IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING...WITH A MODERATE RISK EAST OF A LINE FROM MAYFIELD AND UNION TOWN KENTUCKY...ONWARD TO PETERSBURG INDIANA. THIS MODERATE RISK AREA COVERS PART OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND THE PURCHASE AREA OF WEST KENTUCKY...AS WELL AS THE ENTIRE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY. INITIALLY...THE PRIMARY HAZARDS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA WILL WILL LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. INTO THE MID AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...THE HAZARD WILL INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES...AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES ALONG THE COLD FRONT...TAPPING INTO STRONGLY SHEARED WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES SHOULD DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT AND OVERNIGHT...AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR TO CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PLEASE REFER TO THE ANY ONGOING FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR TO CATASTROPHIC RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. IN ADDITION...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINS LATER IN THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING...UNTIL THE COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA. SEVERE WEATHER...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING REPORTS SHOULD BE RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. SMITH
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 27, 2:35 PM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
235 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM TSTM WND GST ELLSINORE 36.93N 90.75W
04/27/2011 E65 MPH CARTER MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
RSTLocal storm report, Apr 27, 3:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
312 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM TSTM WND GST 7 NW POPLAR BLUFF 36.84N 90.50W
04/27/2011 M60 MPH BUTLER MO TRAINED SPOTTER
TREES DOWN
&&
RSTSpecial weather statement, Apr 27, 3:58 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 358 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 KYZ022-272145- TODD KY- 358 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TODD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY UNTIL 445 PM CDT... AT 355 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WIND AROUND 40 MPH. THIS STORM WAS PART OF A LINE OF STORMS THAT EXTENDED FROM NEAR GUTHRIE TO DAYSVILLE. THE STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE GUTHRIE AND AREAS SOUTHEAST OF ELKTON. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN AS WELL...WHICH MAY RESULT IN STANDING WATER ON AREA ROADS. WATER LEVELS IN SMALL CREEKS...STREAMS AND IN DITCHES MAY RISE QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.
Local storm report, Apr 27, 4:13 PM CDT, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
413 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0410 PM TORNADO 2 W CHAFFEE 37.18N 89.70W
04/27/2011 SCOTT MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
SMITHLocal storm report, Apr 27, 4:22 PM CDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
422 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0411 PM TSTM WND GST DELTA 37.20N 89.74W
04/27/2011 M50 MPH CAPE GIRARDEAU MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Apr 27, 4:27 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
427 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0422 PM TSTM WND DMG FRUITLAND 37.45N 89.64W
04/27/2011 CAPE GIRARDEAU MO EMERGENCY MNGR
TEN INCH CHERRY SNAPPED ABOVE THE GROUND AT HIGHWAY FF
AND HIGHWAY 61.
&&
SMITHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 7:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, Marshall | 28 min |
| Apr 26, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Graves | 46 min |
| Apr 26, 7:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Calloway, Graves, Marshall | 27 min |
| Apr 26, 7:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Calloway, Marshall | 32 min |
| Apr 26, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, McCracken, Marshall | 28 min |
| Apr 26, 7:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Christian, Lyon, Trigg | 50 min |
| Apr 26, 7:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Ballard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Crittenden, Fulton and 7 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 26, 7:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Fulton, Graves, Hickman | 35 min |
| Apr 26, 7:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Lyon, Marshall, Trigg | 46 min |
| Apr 26, 8:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins | 51 min |
| Apr 26, 8:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Hopkins | 34 min |
| Apr 26, 8:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg | 44 min |
| Apr 26, 9:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Christian, Henderson, Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg, Todd and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 26, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Hopkins, McLean, Webster | 24 min |
| Apr 26, 9:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg | 46 min |
| Apr 26, 9:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Daviess, Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg | 51 min |
| Apr 26, 9:54 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Daviess | 6 hr |
| Apr 26, 10:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Daviess | 29 min |
| Apr 26, 11:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Todd | 27 min |
| Apr 27, 1:23 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian, Todd | 37 min |
| Apr 27, 9:10 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | PAH | Ballard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more | 48 hr |
| Apr 27, 1:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Calloway, Christian, Hopkins, McLean, Marshall and 3 more | 5 hr |
| Apr 27, 5:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Daviess, Henderson, Union | 6 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.