Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 562, NWS Norman, OK

September 18, 2011Bryan County, Marshall County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 18, 2011, 4:53 PM CDT for Bryan County, Marshall County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 52 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Sep 18, 2011, 4:53 PM CDT (21:53 UTC)
Expired: Sep 18, 2011, 5:45 PM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Norman, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Bryan County, OK, Marshall County, OK

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 154 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Sep 18, 5:20 PM CDT	HAIL 1	7 Ssw Kingston, OK

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 27 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Sep 18, 3:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 581 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -136 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1222 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 139 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

755 
WUUS54 KOUN 182153
SVROUN
OKC013-095-182245-
/O.NEW.KOUN.SV.W.0562.110918T2153Z-110918T2245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
453 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN BRYAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 453 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORM NEAR CENTRAL LAKE TEXOMA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...
WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CALERA...CARTWRIGHT...COLBERT...
  MCBRIDE...SOUTHERN LAKE TEXOMA...WILLIS AND WOODVILLE.

LAT...LON 3382 9653 3383 9662 3385 9664 3389 9660
      3391 9665 3385 9668 3382 9673 3382 9676
      3387 9679 3387 9683 3384 9685 3386 9688
      3398 9687 3397 9642 3377 9643 3377 9650
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 284DEG 17KT 3388 9682

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 18, 3:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 18, 3:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
300 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT MAKING STEADY BUT SLOW PROGRESS ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. BY 00Z...FRONT WILL CLEAR ALL
BUT FAR SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF OUR CWA. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND STORMS STILL EXPECTED FROM ABOUT 4 PM THROUGH AT LEAST
THE FIRST HALF OF THE EVENING...MAINLY IN AN AREA SOUTH AND EAST
OF ARCHER CITY...TO PAULS VALLEY...TO SEMINOLE. THERE APPEARS TO
BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY IN PLACE NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT TO
SUPPORT SOME SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL.

QUIET WEATHER WILL BE SEEN TOMORROW AND MOST OF TUESDAY...AHEAD OF
SUBSTANTIAL UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. FRONTAL AND
POST FRONTAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
PROGD INSTABILITY NOT TOO IMPRESSIVE BUT GIVEN STEEP LAPSE RATES
ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH POST-FRONTAL...LARGE HAIL WOULD BE A
CONCERN. COOLER BUT DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED LATE WEEK INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  85  56  88 /  10   0   0  10
HOBART OK         57  86  56  90 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  62  87  58  91 /  10   0   0   0
GAGE OK           49  87  53  90 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     57  84  56  85 /  10   0   0  10
DURANT OK         64  87  57  90 /  60  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

06/11

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 18, 11:55 AM CDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1155 AM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA INCLUDING A SMALL
PART OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK INCLUDES THE AREA SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM
SEMINOLE TO PAULS VALLEY TO WAURIKA TO ARCHER CITY...TEXAS.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM 3 PM
THROUGH 10 PM.

IMPACTS...
SOME DAMAGE TO AUTOMOBILES...ROOFTOPS...AND TENDER VEGETATION FROM
LARGE HAIL.

DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 65 MPH.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS FROM 3 PM UNTIL
10 PM.

DISCUSSION...
MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY
...ALLOWING STRONG SURFACE HEATING BY MIDDAY. A COLD FRONT
MOVING SOUTHEAST WILL REACH THE WESTERN BOUNDARY OF THE SLIGHT RISK
AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A PLUME OF WARM MID LEVEL AIR WILL CAP
THE UNSTABLE AIR ALONG THE FRONT...SO THUNDERSTORMS MAY STRUGGLE TO
DEVELOP UNTIL PEAK HEATING OCCURS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. BOTH
INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL BE AT THE LOWER END OF THE MODERATE
RANGE...WHICH IS SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING HAIL UP TO
ABOUT THE SIZE OF PING PONG BALLS...AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS. STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND THE RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER WILL DIMINISH AS THE SUN SETS AND AS STORMS EXIT
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY SEP 19.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...90 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...50 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
AFTER DRY WEATHER ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WHEN ANOTHER COLD FRONT ARRIVES TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. COOLER...DRIER AIR IS THEN FORECAST TO SETTLE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 18, 4:11 PM CDT, 42 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
411 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011

OKZ048-051-052-182130-
BRYAN OK-MARSHALL OK-ATOKA OK-
411 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR ATOKA...BRYAN AND MARSHALL
COUNTIES.

AT 408 PM CDT... STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED ALONG AN AREA
EXTENDING FROM ATOKA... TO CANEY... TO LAKE TEXOMA.  THE STORMS WERE
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. PERSONS IN THE LAKE TEXOMA AREA SHOULD
REMAIN OFF THE LAKE AND SEEK ADEQUATE SHELTER UNTIL ALL STORMS MOVE
OUT OF THE AREA

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3415 9595 3406 9593 3374 9641 3383 9662
      3389 9660 3391 9665 3384 9669 3391 9691
      3396 9693 3417 9664 3411 9658 3411 9646
      3416 9641 3434 9640 3442 9630 3442 9615
      3457 9610 3466 9597 3448 9577 3417 9577

CJS

Special weather statement, Sep 18, 4:28 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
428 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011

OKZ047-048-050>052-182145-
BRYAN OK-JOHNSTON OK-LOVE OK-MARSHALL OK-ATOKA OK-
428 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR ATOKA...BRYAN...JOHNSTON...
LOVE AND MARSHALL COUNTIES.

AT 425 PM CDT...RADAR DETECTED WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDING FROM JUST EAST OF THACKERVILLE TO WILLIS TO DURANT
AND TUSHKA.  THE STORMS ARE MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.  A FEW OF THE
STORMS WILL PRODUCE HAIL NEAR THE SIZE OF NICKELS OR QUARTERS
AND WINDS UP TO 50 MPH.  SOME OF THE STORMS MAY EXCEED SEVERE
LEVELS AND A FEW WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS.  THE STRONGEST STORM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST WEST OF
WILLIS.

LAT...LON 3416 9577 3415 9595 3393 9592 3377 9651
      3382 9653 3385 9664 3389 9660 3391 9666
      3385 9668 3382 9676 3387 9679 3384 9686
      3395 9693 3380 9708 3373 9709 3371 9715
      3374 9718 3380 9722 3389 9718 3460 9574

Special weather statement, Sep 18, 4:45 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
445 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011

OKZ051-052-182215-
BRYAN OK-MARSHALL OK-
445 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR BRYAN AND MARSHALL COUNTIES.

AT 444 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
WILLIS...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. OTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE
LOCATED NEAR COLBERT...MEAD AND KENEFIC.  HAIL BETWEEN NICKELS
AND QUARTERS IS POSSIBLE ALONG WITH BRIEF BUT VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

LAT...LON 3378 9652 3382 9653 3381 9657 3385 9664
      3389 9660 3391 9665 3385 9668 3382 9673
      3382 9676 3387 9679 3387 9683 3384 9686
      3390 9691 3401 9689 3416 9631 3415 9622
      3375 9619

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 17, 7:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Cotton	60 min
Sep 17, 7:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Major	56 min
Sep 17, 7:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garfield, Grant, Kay, Noble	61 min
Sep 17, 7:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Cotton, Jefferson	45 min
Sep 17, 7:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Canadian	27 min
Sep 17, 7:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Oklahoma	27 min
Sep 17, 8:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Stephens	30 min
Sep 17, 8:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garfield, Major	58 min
Sep 17, 8:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Payne	15 min
Sep 17, 8:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Cotton, Jefferson	14 min
Sep 17, 8:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Oklahoma	25 min
Sep 17, 8:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Cotton, Jefferson	41 min
Sep 17, 8:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Logan, Payne	28 min
Sep 17, 8:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garfield	65 min
Sep 17, 9:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garfield, Noble	63 min
Sep 17, 10:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Payne	31 min
Sep 17, 11:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Payne	33 min
Sep 18, 12:14 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Bryan	31 min
Sep 18, 4:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Atoka, Bryan, Marshall	19 min
Sep 18, 4:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Atoka, Bryan, Marshall	17 min
Sep 18, 4:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Bryan, Marshall	30 min
Sep 18, 5:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Atoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall	43 min
Sep 18, 5:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Atoka	56 min
Sep 18, 6:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Bryan	57 min
Sep 18, 6:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Hughes	17 min
Sep 18, 6:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Coal, Hughes	51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2011 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.