Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 852

September 18, 20117 counties in Arkansas; 6 counties in Missouri; 30 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 18, 2011, 3:30 PM CDT for 7 counties in Arkansas; 6 counties in Missouri; 30 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 18, 2011, 3:30 PM CDT (20:30 UTC)
Expired
Sep 18, 2011, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 43 counties

Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 18, 4:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton67 min
Sep 18, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Muskogee, Sequoyah66 min
Sep 18, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Wagoner62 min
Sep 18, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan, Marshall52 min
Sep 18, 5:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, McDonald43 min
Sep 18, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall43 min
Sep 18, 5:19 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarry26 min
Sep 18, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah, Wagoner65 min
Sep 18, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian62 min
Sep 18, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha57 min
Sep 18, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka56 min
Sep 18, 5:40 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarry23 min
Sep 18, 5:42 PM CDTTornado WarningTSABenton, Washington48 min
Sep 18, 6:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan57 min
Sep 18, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCoal, Hughes51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-09-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-09-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 228 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1001 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
228 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
350 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 18, 2:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Sebastian, Washington2 hr
Sep 18, 5:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Clark, Columbia, Conway, Garland, Hempstead and 19 more7 hr
Sep 18, 6:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Garland, Howard and 11 more57 min
Sep 17, 10:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Cleveland, Coal and 28 more88 min
Sep 18, 3:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLove31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.