Severe Thunderstorm Warning 125, NWS Milwaukee, WI

675 
WWUS53 KMKX 030857
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
357 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

WIC025-045-055-105-030945-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0125.000000T0000Z-110903T0945Z/
DANE WI-GREEN WI-JEFFERSON WI-ROCK WI-
357 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
ROCK...JEFFERSON...NORTHEASTERN GREEN AND SOUTHEASTERN DANE COUNTIES
UNTIL 445 AM CDT...

AT 353 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM COTTAGE GROVE TO STOUGHTON TO
EVANSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LAKE RIPLEY AND CAMBRIDGE AROUND 405 AM CDT.
  EDGERTON AROUND 410 AM CDT.
  LAKE MILLS AROUND 415 AM CDT.
  MILTON...JEFFERSON AND FORT ATKINSON AROUND 420 AM CDT.
  JOHNSON CREEK AROUND 425 AM CDT.
  PALMYRA AROUND 440 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE FULTON...
ALBION...ROCKDALE...INDIANFORD...BUSSEYVILLE...MILFORD...JOHNSTOWN
CENTER...ROME...HELENVILLE AND HEBRON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY 
LEAD TO URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE 
THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 8953 4291 8955 4314 8951 4317 8854
      4285 8854 4284 8877 4284 8878 4267 8878
TIME...MOT...LOC 0856Z 268DEG 37KT 4310 8916 4293 8914
          4277 8930
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

HENTZ

531 
WWUS53 KMKX 030915
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
415 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

WIC045-030925-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0125.000000T0000Z-110903T0945Z/
GREEN WI-
415 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GREEN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 4276 8926 4294 8923 4315 8926 4317 8854
      4285 8854 4284 8878 4267 8878
TIME...MOT...LOC 0915Z 268DEG 37KT 4314 8888 4294 8884
          4280 8919

$$

WIC025-055-105-030945-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0125.000000T0000Z-110903T0945Z/
DANE WI-JEFFERSON WI-ROCK WI-
415 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
ROCK...JEFFERSON AND SOUTHEASTERN DANE COUNTIES UNTIL 445 AM CDT...

AT 411 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WATERLOO TO FORT ATKINSON TO
EVANSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  JOHNSON CREEK AND JEFFERSON AROUND 420 AM CDT.
  MILTON AROUND 430 AM CDT.
  PALMYRA AROUND 445 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
INDIANFORD...FULTON...HELENVILLE...PIPERSVILLE...ROME...HEBRON...
IXONIA...NWS SULLIVAN/MILWAUKEE...SULLIVAN AND JOHNSTOWN CENTER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4276 8926 4294 8923 4315 8926 4317 8854
      4285 8854 4284 8878 4267 8878
TIME...MOT...LOC 0915Z 268DEG 37KT 4314 8888 4294 8884
          4280 8919
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

HENTZ

990 
WWUS53 KMKX 030926
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
426 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

WIC025-055-105-030945-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0125.000000T0000Z-110903T0945Z/
DANE WI-JEFFERSON WI-ROCK WI-
426 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
ROCK...JEFFERSON AND SOUTHEASTERN DANE COUNTIES UNTIL 445 AM CDT...

AT 420 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM JOHNSON CREEK TO FORT ATKINSON TO
MILTON...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  SULLIVAN AROUND 440 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE 
ROME...PIPERSVILLE...HEBRON...NWS SULLIVAN/MILWAUKEE...IXONIA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY 
LEAD TO URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE 
THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4294 8913 4315 8915 4317 8854 4285 8854
      4284 8877 4284 8878 4276 8879 4273 8906
TIME...MOT...LOC 0925Z 268DEG 37KT 4314 8874 4294 8870
          4279 8893
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

HENTZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
233 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...HIGH

SURFACE BOUNDARY FROM EASTERN IOWA ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS EARLY
THIS MORNING EXPECTED TO PUSH NORTH AS SURFACE LOW NEAR LAKE
WINNIPEG MOVES EAST TO NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR THIS EVENING.  FRONT IS
RATHER DIFFUSE WITH A DOUBLE STRUCTURE AND MAIN INSTABILITY
REMAINING SOUTH ALONG BOUNDARY THAT SHOULD SAG SOUTH AND EXTEND
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS TO NORTHERN INDIANA THIS EVENING.

EARLY MORNING THUNDERSTORMS AIDED BY A WEAK TO MODERATE SOUTHWEST
850 MB JET ACROSS IOWA PUSHING TOWARD SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN ALONG
WITH UPPER DIVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH A RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A
70 KNOT UPPER JET ACROSS NORTHERN WISCONSIN. THE UPPER JET LIFTS
NORTHEAST LATER THIS MORNING BUT UPPER DIVERGENCE INCREASES AGAIN
BY AFTERNOON AS UPPER TROUGH PUSHES TOWARD THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.

HIGH DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 70S WILL REMAIN POOLED ACROSS SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN INTO THE EARLY EVENING ALONG WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES APPROACHING 2 INCHES.  THEREFORE HEAVY RAIN IS A POSSIBILITY.
LOCAL 4 KM WRF OFF LAPS BRINGS THE STRONG IOWA MCS ACROSS SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN THROUGH 14Z THEN LINGERING SCATTERED SHOWERS. 03Z HRRR IS
SIMILAR BUT IS NOT AS STRONG WITH THE STORMS.   AFTER THAT THE
GENERAL TREND OF THE NAM APPEARS REASONABLE.

BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE EARLY THIS MORNING THEN
AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.  PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
WIND DAMAGE.

.SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH

A GOOD AMOUNT OF DRY AIR WILL WORK INTO THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING
BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE AND SURFACE FRONT...WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES FALLING DOWN TO AROUND 1/2 INCH. SHOULD BE DRY THROUGH
THE DAY WITH COOLER HIGHS STRUGGLING TO AROUND 70.

A REINFORCING SHOT OF DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH AND
HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES IN. WILL BE A COOL LABOR DAY...WITH TEMPS
STARTING IN IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S AWAY FROM THE LAKE...WITH LOW
50S NEAR THE LAKE. MODELS HAVE TRENDED A BIT COOLER OVER THE LAST 24
HOURS...SO NUDGED HIGHS DOWN A COUPLE DEGREES. MAY EVEN END UP BEING
COOLER WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOW 60S IF CURRENT MODEL 925 MB TEMPS
OF 9-10C VERIFY. WILL DEFINITELY BE A STARK CONTRAST TO THE 90
DEGREE WEATHER FROM THE LAST TWO DAYS...ESPECIALLY WITH SOME CLOUDS
POSSIBLE AND A NORTHERLY BREEZE.

HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO HOLD PRETTY WELL THROUGH MUCH OF
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR...WITH
TEMPERATURES SLOWLY MODERATING TO AROUND NORMAL BY THURSDAY OR
FRIDAY.

THE ONLY POSSIBLE HICCUP TO THE CURRENT EXPECTED WEATHER WOULD BE
THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM LEE. MODELS ARE NOT IN
GREAT AGREEMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM...BUT THE LATEST ECMWF DOES SUGGEST
A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE FRIDAY AS THE LOW MEANDERS BACK WESTWARD. TOO
MUCH UNCERTAINTY AT THIS POINT TO ADD POPS...BUT SOMETHING TO WATCH
DOWN THE ROAD.

&&

.AVIATION...

AREAS OF IFR/LIFR IN FOG/STRATUS ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
WISCONSIN EARLY THIS MORNING...ALTHOUGH SOME IFR IN FOG ALSO
EXPECTED SOUTHEAST.

MVFR/IFR ALSO EXPECTED IN AREAS OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...

MAINLY LIGHT WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT UNTIL A COLD FRONT BRINGS
INCREASING NORTHWEST/NORTH WINDS LATE TONIGHT.  PERIODS OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.

BRISK NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS AND RESULTANT WAVES WILL LIKELY REACH
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...DDV/07
TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...HENTZ/06

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
328 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-040830-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
328 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND INTO
THIS EVENING UNTIL A COLD FRONT EXITS SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

SOME STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT...AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY.

LMZ643>646-040830-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
328 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND INTO
THIS EVENING.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
BRISK NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE SUBSEQUENT HIGH
WAVES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME...AND INTO TUESDAY BEFORE
SUBSIDING.

THE HIGHER WAVES WILL BRING AN INCREASING RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

HENTZ

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
147 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

WIZ056-062-067-030745-
IOWA-LAFAYETTE-SAUK-
147 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD IOWA AND LAFAYETTE COUNTIES...

AT 144 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 31 MILES WEST OF
DODGEVILLE TO 44 MILES WEST OF DARLINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BLACKHAWK LAKE RECREATION AREA BY 215 AM CDT...
  LONE ROCK AIRPORT AND BELMONT BY 225 AM CDT...
  MINERAL POINT AIRPORT AND BENTON BY 230 AM CDT...
  GOVERNOR DODGE STATE PARK AND SPRING GREEN BY 235 AM CDT...
  DARLINGTON BY 245 AM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL
THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

REM