Severe Thunderstorm Warning 122, NWS Milwaukee, WI

413 
WWUS53 KMKX 030718
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
218 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

WIC049-065-030745-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0122.000000T0000Z-110903T0745Z/
IOWA WI-LAFAYETTE WI-
218 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
LAFAYETTE AND IOWA COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

AT 212 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MUSCODA TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF PLATTEVILLE
TO MENOMINEE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO
ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MINERAL POINT AIRPORT AND BENTON AROUND 225 AM CDT.
  GOVERNOR DODGE STATE PARK...MINERAL POINT AND DODGEVILLE AROUND 230
  AM CDT.
  SHULLSBURG AROUND 235 AM CDT.
  DARLINGTON AROUND 240 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE NEW
DIGGINGS...LEAD MINE...GOVERNOR DODGE ST PARK...RIDGEWAY AND ARENA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO 
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH 
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4319 9044 4319 9024 4316 9018 4316 9008
      4314 9006 4319 9001 4319 8984 4251 9011
      4250 9042
TIME...MOT...LOC 0717Z 271DEG 37KT 4312 9027 4281 9035
          4252 9053
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 0.75IN

$$

HENTZ

159 
WWUS53 KMKX 030734
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
234 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

WIC049-065-030745-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0122.000000T0000Z-110903T0745Z/
IOWA WI-LAFAYETTE WI-
234 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
LAFAYETTE AND IOWA COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

AT 230 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM SPRING GREEN TO MINERAL POINT TO BENTON...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  SHULLSBURG AROUND 240 AM CDT.
  DARLINGTON AROUND 245 AM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE RIDGEWAY AND
ARENA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4319 9044 4319 9024 4316 9018 4316 9008
      4314 9006 4319 9001 4319 8984 4251 9011
      4250 9042
TIME...MOT...LOC 0733Z 271DEG 37KT 4313 9007 4281 9020
          4258 9035
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 0.75IN

$$


HENTZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
344 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

.TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM

PRESENCE OF SURFACE BOUNDARY WITH SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW SCATTER SHOWERS
AND SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. HRRR AND WRF4L
MODELS DEVELOP SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION LATER TONIGHT THAT MOVES W
TO E ACROSS SOUTHERN WI FROM AROUND 10PM THROUGH 2AM. SIGNIFICANT
UPPER LEVEL FORCING FROM APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
FAVORABLE REGION OF JET SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH BEST CHANCE OF SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE WIND DAMAGE.

.SHORT TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE
MEDIUM TO HIGH.

MODELS SHOWING STRONG COLD FRONT SHIFTING EAST THROUGH THE AREA
SATURDAY EVENING. DECENT INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR EXISTS
AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA...SO STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE PER SPC DAY 2 SLIGHT RISK. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION
THIS IN HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...MODELS SHOW STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION
TAKING HOLD OF THE REGION INTO SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH
CANADIAN HIGH MOVING SLOWLY INTO THE REGION. FALL LIKE
TEMPERATURES WILL THEN OCCUR ACROSS THE AREA INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...AS 850MB AND 925MB TEMPERATURES CRASH INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS ABOVE ZERO CELSIUS RANGE. LOOK FOR HIGHS TO STRUGGLE TO
REACH THE 70S...WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AWAY FROM THE LAKE AND 50S
NEAR IT.

SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
HOWEVER...AREA FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING LIMITED MOISTURE. FOR
NOW...WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST GOING...BUT MAY SEE MORE CLOUDS GIVEN
THE STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

MAY SEE LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AT TIMES SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY...AS LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME SOMEWHAT ONSHORE WITH LARGE
DELTA T VALUES OF 15 TO 18 DEGREES CELSIUS. MOISTURE AVAILABILITY
IS LIMITED...SO WILL NOT MENTION SHOWERS AT THIS TIME...BUT DID
ADD SOME CLOUDS NEAR THE LAKESHORE.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE
MEDIUM.

GFS/ECMWF LINGERS ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH THE REST OF NEXT
WEEK. HOWEVER...THESE MODELS ALSO ARE SHOWING MOISTURE FROM LEFTOVER
CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVING NORTHWARD INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND. CLOUDS AND RAIN WITH THIS FEATURE MAY
CLIP SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. HOWEVER...WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY FOR
NOW...AS THE AREA IS ON THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF THIS CIRCULATION.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN COOL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...PREDOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TROUGH EARLY
EVENING WITH EXCEPTION OF TEMPORARY IFR VIS AND CIGS DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS REGION BETWEEN ROUGHLY
04-08Z. FOG POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING AFTER THUNDERSTORMS PASS AND
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIGHT WINDS COMBINE TO PRODUCE
MVFR VIS CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...BRISK NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND
ANOTHER COLD FRONT FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS AND
RESULTANT WAVES THROUGH MONDAY MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...08/WOOD
TODAY/TONIGHT/AVIATION/MARINE...23/BRUESKE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
802 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-031215-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
802 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DEVELOP ALONG AND NEAR A
STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE AREA. GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WOULD
BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY...MAINLY
SOUTH OF A LONE ROCK TO HORICON TO PORT WASHINGTON LINE. THE
STATIONARY FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS
SATURDAY...ALONG WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA
SATURDAY EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WOULD BE THE MAIN
HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT...AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY.

LMZ643>646-031215-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
802 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND NEAR A STATIONARY
FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WOULD BE THE MAIN
HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY EVENING...MAINLY SOUTH OF PORT WASHINGTON. THE STATIONARY
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY...ALONG WITH A
STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING. GUSTY
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WOULD BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. BRISK
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...IN THE
WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE SUBSEQUENT HIGH WAVES ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THIS TIME...AND INTO TUESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING.

REM
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
147 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

WIZ056-062-067-030745-
IOWA-LAFAYETTE-SAUK-
147 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD IOWA AND LAFAYETTE COUNTIES...

AT 144 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 31 MILES WEST OF
DODGEVILLE TO 44 MILES WEST OF DARLINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BLACKHAWK LAKE RECREATION AREA BY 215 AM CDT...
  LONE ROCK AIRPORT AND BELMONT BY 225 AM CDT...
  MINERAL POINT AIRPORT AND BENTON BY 230 AM CDT...
  GOVERNOR DODGE STATE PARK AND SPRING GREEN BY 235 AM CDT...
  DARLINGTON BY 245 AM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL
THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

REM