Alert archive / Arkansas / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Memphis, TN

March 29, 2011Mississippi County, Arkansas

NWS Memphis, TN issued this special weather statement at Mar 29, 2011, 8:04 PM CDT for Mississippi County, Arkansas. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 29, 2011, 8:04 PM CDT (01:04 UTC)
Expired
Mar 29, 2011, 8:30 PM CDT
In force
26 min
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN

County Mississippi County, AR

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2011-03-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2011-03-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 210 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
463 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
210 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
394 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 29, 6:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 6:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
641 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011/

DISCUSSION...
ELEVATED CONVECTION IS ONGOING ACROSS NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...SOUTH
MISSOURI...AND PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE. STILL NO REPORTS OF
SMALL HAIL ACROSS ANY OF OUR FORECAST AREA NOR UPSTREAM ACROSS
NORTH ARKANSAS. 5-7 HUNDRED MB LAPSE RATES ARE BETWEEN 7 AND 8
DEGREES C/KM. LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE AT THEIR STEEPEST NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 RIGHT NOW...BUT ONLY WEAKEN SLIGHTLY...BY AT MOST A
DEGREE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. FARTHER SOUTH...7.25 TO 7.75 DEGREE LAPSE
RATES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE A BIT LONGER. EVEN THOUGH LAPSE RATES
ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...PROXIMITY TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND VORT MAX SHOULD KEEP THE THREAT
OF AT LEAST SMALL HAIL IN THE AREA WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THIS SYSTEM IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM WHICH BROUGHT
WIDESPREAD HAIL TO THE MIDSOUTH. THE TWO MAIN DIFFERENCES SHOULD
OFFSET EACH OTHER. THE WARM FRONT IS FARTHER SOUTH BUT THE UPPER
LEVEL DYNAMICS ARE STRONGER. IF A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ALONG AN
INVERTED TROUGH IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AS THE GFS
SUGGESTS...WIND COULD BECOME A BIGGER THREAT IN NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI AROUND MIDNIGHT.

EVERYTHING STILL LOOKS ON TRACK FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOISTURE LOOKS LIMITED
DURING THIS TIME FRAME HOWEVER IN HIGHLY AMPLIFIED NORTH WESTERLY
FLOW...DYNAMICS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN AT LEAST A FEW
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

THE WEEKEND LOOKS MUCH NICER AS A RIDGE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST
SHIFTS INTO THE PLAINS SHUNTING THE MEAN STORM TRACK TO THE EAST
OF OUR AREA. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST SATURDAY
DOMINATING THE WEATHER ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH FOR MOST OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 70S EACH DAY...WITH 1000-500 MB
THICKNESSES SUPPORTIVE OF LOW TO MIDDLE 80S IN SOUTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. INCREASING CLOUD
COVER MAY PREVENT US FROM BECOMING THAT WARM.

EARLY NEXT WEEK...A MORE PROTOTYPICAL SPRING WEATHER SYSTEM LOOKS
TO BE IN THE WORKS. UNLIKE THE PAST 2-3 EVENTS THIS SYSTEM LOOKS
LIKE IT MAY HAVE BOTH DYNAMIC AND THERMAL ENERGY WORKING IN ITS
FAVOR. IN ADDITION MULTIPLE DAYS OF SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SHOULD ENSURE ADEQUATE MOISTURE IN IN PLACE.

30/SIRMON

&&

.AVIATION...

00Z TAF SET

A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN PUSHING ACROSS THE
MIDSOUTH NORTH OF I-40 DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. GENERALLY
IFR CONDITIONS OR LOWER HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THESE AREAS...WITH
VFR OR MVFR CONDITIONS FURTHER SOUTH. THINK MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA..NAMELY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF KMEM-KMKL BETWEEN 01Z-04Z...AND CONTINUING
THROUGH 08-12Z.

CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE TO IFR TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
AT IFR LEVELS INTO MID MORNING WEDNESDAY WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS
THEREAFTER.

BORGHOFF

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  44  60  41  58 / 100  10  10  20
MKL  42  57  36  57 / 100  10  10  20
JBR  41  55  39  58 / 100  10  10  30
TUP  51  63  39  62 / 100  10  10  20

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 29, 3:14 AM CDT, 16 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
314 AM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-301015-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
314 AM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT ACROSS AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40. LARGE HAIL
IS THE MAIN THREAT...WITH A SECONDARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS
CONFINED TO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
NORTH OF I-40. SMALL HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING THE THREAT OF A FEW STRONG STORMS
TO THE MIDSOUTH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

A POTENT COLD FRONT WILL BRING A THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS AREAS SOUTH OF I-40 LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

JAB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 29, 6:04 PM CDT, 2 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
604 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             TRENTON                 35.97N 88.94W
03/29/2011  E0.75 INCH       GIBSON             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0553 PM     HAIL             TREZEVANT               36.01N 88.62W
03/29/2011  E0.75 INCH       CARROLL            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

BORGHOFF
Local storm report, Mar 29, 6:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
615 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             MCKENZIE                36.14N 88.51W
03/29/2011  E0.50 INCH       CARROLL            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0607 PM     HAIL             HUNTINGDON              36.01N 88.41W
03/29/2011  E0.75 INCH       CARROLL            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0609 PM     HAIL             1 N HUNTINGDON          36.02N 88.41W
03/29/2011  E0.25 INCH       CARROLL            TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BORGHOFF
Local storm report, Mar 29, 6:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
642 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     HAIL             DYERSBURG               36.04N 89.38W
03/29/2011  E0.25 INCH       DYER               TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

0612 PM     HAIL             HORNERSVILLE            36.04N 90.11W
03/29/2011  E0.25 INCH       DUNKLIN            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BORGHOFF
Local storm report, Mar 29, 7:46 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
746 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     HAIL             NETTLETON               34.10N 88.62W
03/29/2011  E1.00 INCH       LEE                MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

BORGHOFF
Special weather statement, Mar 29, 7:46 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
746 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

ARZ009-018-026-MOZ113-115-300115-
CRAIGHEAD AR-CLAY AR-GREENE AR-DUNKLIN MO-PEMISCOT MO-
746 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR...

  SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  NORTH CENTRAL CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  GREENE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHERN DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
  WEST CENTRAL PEMISCOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING UP TO DIME SIZE HAIL WAS LOCATED OVER
WALCOTT AT 745 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...DUNKLIN...GREENE AND PEMISCOT
COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR CROWLEYS RIDGE STATE PARK...
KENNETT...LAKE FRIERSON STATE PARK...MARMADUKE...PARAGOULD...RECTOR
AND SENATH...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3639 9005 3612 8992 3593 9070 3610 9078
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 249DEG 57KT 3605 9063

RRH
Special weather statement, Mar 29, 8:04 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
804 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

ARZ026-028-MOZ113-115-TNZ048-300130-
CRAIGHEAD AR-MISSISSIPPI AR-DUNKLIN MO-PEMISCOT MO-LAUDERDALE TN-
804 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR...

  EASTERN CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
  SOUTHWESTERN PEMISCOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
  NORTH CENTRAL LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING UP TO DIME SIZE HAIL WAS LOCATED
OVER LAKE CITY AT 804 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CRAIGHEAD...DUNKLIN...LAUDERDALE...MISSISSIPPI AND PEMISCOT
COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR BLYTHEVILLE...CARAWAY...
GOSNELL...LAKE CITY...LEACHVILLE...MANILA AND MONETTE...SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT ALSO
INCLUDES BIG LAKE.

&&

LAT...LON 3608 8977 3580 8973 3573 9048 3592 9052
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 261DEG 49KT 3584 9038

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe47 min
Mar 29, 8:36 PM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryMEGDeSoto, Tunica4 days
Mar 29, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGTallahatchie, Yalobusha44 min
Mar 29, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Lafayette, Yalobusha42 min
Mar 29, 10:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMonroe33 min
Mar 29, 10:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGChickasaw47 min
Mar 29, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Monroe30 min
Mar 29, 10:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Union33 min
Mar 29, 11:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGPrentiss, Tishomingo32 min
Mar 29, 10:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCrockett36 min
Mar 29, 7:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGGreene29 min
Mar 29, 8:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCraighead34 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arkansas, 2011Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.