Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Advisories in 2011
River Flood Advisory 12, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this river flood advisory at Mar 29, 2011, 8:36 PM CDT for DeSoto County, Tunica County, Mississippi; Shelby County, Tennessee; Crittenden County, Lee County, Arkansas. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 29, 2011, 8:36 PM CDT (01:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 3, 2011, 2:08 AM CDT
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
Counties Crittenden County, AR, Lee County, AR, DeSoto County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Shelby County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Mississippi River at Memphis (MEMT1).
- Action stage
- 28 ft
- Minor stage
- 34 ft
- Moderate stage
- 40 ft
- Major stage
- 46 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07032000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Mar 29, 6:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 6:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 641 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 .UPDATE... UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011/ DISCUSSION... ELEVATED CONVECTION IS ONGOING ACROSS NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...SOUTH MISSOURI...AND PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE. STILL NO REPORTS OF SMALL HAIL ACROSS ANY OF OUR FORECAST AREA NOR UPSTREAM ACROSS NORTH ARKANSAS. 5-7 HUNDRED MB LAPSE RATES ARE BETWEEN 7 AND 8 DEGREES C/KM. LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE AT THEIR STEEPEST NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 RIGHT NOW...BUT ONLY WEAKEN SLIGHTLY...BY AT MOST A DEGREE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. FARTHER SOUTH...7.25 TO 7.75 DEGREE LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE A BIT LONGER. EVEN THOUGH LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...PROXIMITY TO AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND VORT MAX SHOULD KEEP THE THREAT OF AT LEAST SMALL HAIL IN THE AREA WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM WHICH BROUGHT WIDESPREAD HAIL TO THE MIDSOUTH. THE TWO MAIN DIFFERENCES SHOULD OFFSET EACH OTHER. THE WARM FRONT IS FARTHER SOUTH BUT THE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS ARE STRONGER. IF A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AS THE GFS SUGGESTS...WIND COULD BECOME A BIGGER THREAT IN NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AROUND MIDNIGHT. EVERYTHING STILL LOOKS ON TRACK FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MOISTURE LOOKS LIMITED DURING THIS TIME FRAME HOWEVER IN HIGHLY AMPLIFIED NORTH WESTERLY FLOW...DYNAMICS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN AT LEAST A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. THE WEEKEND LOOKS MUCH NICER AS A RIDGE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST SHIFTS INTO THE PLAINS SHUNTING THE MEAN STORM TRACK TO THE EAST OF OUR AREA. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST SATURDAY DOMINATING THE WEATHER ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH FOR MOST OF THE WEEKEND. HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 70S EACH DAY...WITH 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES SUPPORTIVE OF LOW TO MIDDLE 80S IN SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. INCREASING CLOUD COVER MAY PREVENT US FROM BECOMING THAT WARM. EARLY NEXT WEEK...A MORE PROTOTYPICAL SPRING WEATHER SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE IN THE WORKS. UNLIKE THE PAST 2-3 EVENTS THIS SYSTEM LOOKS LIKE IT MAY HAVE BOTH DYNAMIC AND THERMAL ENERGY WORKING IN ITS FAVOR. IN ADDITION MULTIPLE DAYS OF SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT SHOULD ENSURE ADEQUATE MOISTURE IN IN PLACE. 30/SIRMON && .AVIATION... 00Z TAF SET A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN PUSHING ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH NORTH OF I-40 DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. GENERALLY IFR CONDITIONS OR LOWER HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THESE AREAS...WITH VFR OR MVFR CONDITIONS FURTHER SOUTH. THINK MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA..NAMELY ALONG AND SOUTH OF KMEM-KMKL BETWEEN 01Z-04Z...AND CONTINUING THROUGH 08-12Z. CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE TO IFR TONIGHT AND CONTINUE AT IFR LEVELS INTO MID MORNING WEDNESDAY WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS THEREAFTER. BORGHOFF && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 44 60 41 58 / 100 10 10 20 MKL 42 57 36 57 / 100 10 10 20 JBR 41 55 39 58 / 100 10 10 30 TUP 51 63 39 62 / 100 10 10 20 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 29, 3:14 AM CDT, 17 hours 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 314 AM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-301015- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 314 AM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40. LARGE HAIL IS THE MAIN THREAT...WITH A SECONDARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS CONFINED TO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NORTH OF I-40. SMALL HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING THE THREAT OF A FEW STRONG STORMS TO THE MIDSOUTH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A POTENT COLD FRONT WILL BRING A THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS. RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS AREAS SOUTH OF I-40 LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT. JAB
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 29, 6:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
615 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM HAIL MCKENZIE 36.14N 88.51W
03/29/2011 E0.50 INCH CARROLL TN TRAINED SPOTTER
0607 PM HAIL HUNTINGDON 36.01N 88.41W
03/29/2011 E0.75 INCH CARROLL TN TRAINED SPOTTER
0609 PM HAIL 1 N HUNTINGDON 36.02N 88.41W
03/29/2011 E0.25 INCH CARROLL TN EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
BORGHOFFLocal storm report, Mar 29, 6:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
642 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0512 PM HAIL DYERSBURG 36.04N 89.38W
03/29/2011 E0.25 INCH DYER TN EMERGENCY MNGR
0612 PM HAIL HORNERSVILLE 36.04N 90.11W
03/29/2011 E0.25 INCH DUNKLIN MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
BORGHOFFLocal storm report, Mar 29, 7:46 PM CDT, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
746 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 PM HAIL NETTLETON 34.10N 88.62W
03/29/2011 E1.00 INCH LEE MS LAW ENFORCEMENT
QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.
&&
BORGHOFFSpecial weather statement, Mar 29, 7:46 PM CDT, 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 746 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 ARZ009-018-026-MOZ113-115-300115- CRAIGHEAD AR-CLAY AR-GREENE AR-DUNKLIN MO-PEMISCOT MO- 746 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTH CENTRAL CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... GREENE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHERN DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... WEST CENTRAL PEMISCOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING UP TO DIME SIZE HAIL WAS LOCATED OVER WALCOTT AT 745 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH. PEOPLE IN CLAY...CRAIGHEAD...DUNKLIN...GREENE AND PEMISCOT COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR CROWLEYS RIDGE STATE PARK... KENNETT...LAKE FRIERSON STATE PARK...MARMADUKE...PARAGOULD...RECTOR AND SENATH...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. && LAT...LON 3639 9005 3612 8992 3593 9070 3610 9078 TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 249DEG 57KT 3605 9063 RRH
Special weather statement, Mar 29, 8:04 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 804 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 ARZ026-028-MOZ113-115-TNZ048-300130- CRAIGHEAD AR-MISSISSIPPI AR-DUNKLIN MO-PEMISCOT MO-LAUDERDALE TN- 804 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR... EASTERN CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... SOUTHWESTERN PEMISCOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... NORTH CENTRAL LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING UP TO DIME SIZE HAIL WAS LOCATED OVER LAKE CITY AT 804 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. PEOPLE IN CRAIGHEAD...DUNKLIN...LAUDERDALE...MISSISSIPPI AND PEMISCOT COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR BLYTHEVILLE...CARAWAY... GOSNELL...LAKE CITY...LEACHVILLE...MANILA AND MONETTE...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT ALSO INCLUDES BIG LAKE. && LAT...LON 3608 8977 3580 8973 3573 9048 3592 9052 TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 261DEG 49KT 3584 9038
Local storm report, Mar 29, 8:11 PM CDT, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
811 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0753 PM HAIL EVERGREEN 34.17N 88.52W
03/29/2011 E1.00 INCH ITAWAMBA MS TRAINED SPOTTER
QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND LIGHTLY.
&&
BORGHOFFThe office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe | 47 min |
| Mar 29, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 44 min |
| Mar 29, 10:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Lafayette, Yalobusha | 42 min |
| Mar 29, 10:12 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Monroe | 33 min |
| Mar 29, 10:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Chickasaw | 47 min |
| Mar 29, 10:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Monroe | 30 min |
| Mar 29, 10:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Union | 33 min |
| Mar 29, 11:58 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Prentiss, Tishomingo | 32 min |
| Mar 29, 10:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Crockett | 36 min |
| Mar 29, 7:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Greene | 29 min |
| Mar 29, 8:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Mississippi | 26 min |
| Mar 29, 8:56 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Craighead | 34 min |
Nearby
River Flood Advisories in Mississippi, 2011River Flood Advisories in Arkansas, 2011River Flood Advisories in Tennessee, 2011Every river flood advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.