Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011

Flash Flood Warning 140, NWS Little Rock, AR

November 21, 2011Hot Spring County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this flash flood warning at Nov 21, 2011, 8:23 PM CST for Hot Spring County, Arkansas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 21, 2011, 8:23 PM CST (02:23 UTC)
Expired
Nov 21, 2011, 11:30 PM CST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Hot Spring County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2011-11-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 485 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2011-11-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 131 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
485 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1180 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
246 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Nov 21, 5:50 PM CST, 2 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 21, 5:50 PM CST, 2 hours 33 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 21, 7:00 PM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
700 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
700 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY
EVENING OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS...WITH LOCALIZED AREAS OF
FLOODING POSSIBLE. DUE TO EARLIER DAY RAINS AND MONDAY EVENING
RAIN...SOME RIVER FLOODING IS BECOMING A CONCERN. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF ARKANSAS THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN REDEVELOP OVER MOST OF
ARKANSAS...AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS STALLED AND SOME UPPER
LEVEL ENERGY MOVES ACROSS THE STATE. TONIGHT MOST OF THE WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE STATE.
BOTH FLASH FLOODING AND SOME INCREASED THREAT OF RIVER FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREATS. HOWEVER...THE
FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE OF GREATEST CONCERN. MONDAY
NIGHT ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND WITH
ISOLATED AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE STATE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDAY HOURS ON TUESDAY WITH A
STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT FINALLY SWEEPING THROUGH THE STATE AND
TAKING THE RAIN WITH ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ONE TO ONE AND A
HALF INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN MAINLY THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF
THE STATE TUESDAY.

THE THREAT FOR SOME SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALSO PERSIST TUESDAY AS
ENOUGH INSTABILITY COULD EXIST ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...GENERALLY OVER
SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. IT MUST BE NOTED THAT POTENTIAL
CLOUD COVER COULD LIMIT THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...WITH DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED. ANOTHER STRONG STORM
SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...WITH
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.

RIVER FLOODING WILL REMAIN A CONCERN THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TWO
THROUGH DAY SEVEN PERIOD AS RIVERS REACT TO ALL OF THE RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON TUESDAY IF THE SEVERE STORMS DO
MATERIALIZE.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

51/63/59

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 21, 4:44 PM CST, 3 hours 39 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
444 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011

ARZ056-057-064-212315-
ARKANSAS AR-JEFFERSON AR-LINCOLN AR-
444 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN...
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND ARKANSAS COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CST...

AT 440 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WOODVILLE...OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF STAR
CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AROUND PEA SIZE...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WOODVILLE...          RICHARDSON...
  LITTLE BAYOU METO PARK...                   LINWOOD...
  LANGFORD...           GRADY...              GILLETT...
  ENGLISH LAKE...       DOUGLAS...            DE WITT...
  ALMYRA...             VARNER...             SWAN LAKE...
  STAPLE...             SARASSA...            REYDELL...
  MOSCOW...             LODGE CORNER...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN!

LAT...LON 3454 9144 3420 9110 3399 9156 3416 9184
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 241DEG 25KT 3412 9165

59
Special weather statement, Nov 21, 6:12 PM CST, 2 hours 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
612 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011

ARZ037-038-220040-
SCOTT AR-YELL AR-
612 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN YELL AND EASTERN
SCOTT COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CST...

AT 609 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF MUDDY CREEK WMA...OR 18
MILES NORTH OF MT IDA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AROUND PEA SIZE AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MUDDY CREEK WMA...    FOURCHE VALLEY...     WING...
  WALTREAK...           ROVER...              NOLA...
  GRAVELLY...           CHULA...              BRIGGSVILLE...
  BLUFFTON...           BLUE BALL...          WARDS CROSSING...
  WALNUT GROVE...       SUNLIGHT BAY PARK...  POTATO HILL MTN...
  PLEASANT HILL...      LITTLE TEXAS...       GILKEY...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN!

LAT...LON 3512 9361 3494 9325 3474 9363 3487 9380
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 227DEG 33KT 3482 9366

59

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 21, 6:12 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLZKYell28 min
Nov 21, 6:33 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKLogan, Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell3 hr
Nov 21, 7:54 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Johnson, Logan, Newton and 7 more3 hr
Nov 21, 8:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk, Scott25 min
Nov 21, 8:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk, Scott33 min
Nov 21, 9:19 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKPolk, Scott26 min
Nov 21, 9:25 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Logan, Montgomery, Perry, Polk, Saline and 2 more3 hr
Nov 21, 9:35 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKScott25 min
Nov 21, 9:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPike22 min
Nov 21, 9:56 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell34 min
Nov 21, 10:20 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKYell25 min
Nov 21, 10:48 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Johnson, Logan, Newton and 7 more3 hr
Nov 21, 11:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Montgomery, Pike, Polk35 min
Nov 21, 11:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Saline24 min
Nov 21, 11:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Pike35 min
Nov 22, 12:10 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLZKClark, Hot Spring45 min
Nov 22, 12:18 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Logan, Montgomery, Perry, Polk, Saline and 2 more4 hr
Nov 22, 12:48 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLZKPulaski, Saline57 min
Nov 22, 1:18 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLZKYell30 hr
Nov 22, 1:30 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Logan, Perry, Pope and 5 more2 hr
Nov 22, 9:44 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLZKRandolph47 hr
Nov 22, 9:48 AM CSTRiver Flood AdvisoryLZKLawrence, Randolph23 hr
Nov 22, 10:39 AM CSTRiver Flood AdvisoryLZKCalhoun, Ouachita72 hr
Nov 22, 11:02 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe6 days
Nov 22, 11:06 AM CSTRiver Flood AdvisoryLZKIndependence, Jackson71 hr
Nov 22, 11:07 AM CSTRiver Flood AdvisoryLZKPrairie, White, Woodruff24 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.