Severe Thunderstorm Warning 197, NWS Jackson, KY

735 
WWUS53 KJKL 102020
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
420 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYC063-115-153-165-175-205-102045-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-110610T2045Z/
ROWAN KY-ELLIOTT KY-MORGAN KY-MENIFEE KY-JOHNSON KY-MAGOFFIN KY-
420 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
MAGOFFIN...EXTREME NORTHWESTERN JOHNSON...NORTHEASTERN MENIFEE...
MORGAN...SOUTHWESTERN ELLIOTT AND SOUTH CENTRAL ROWAN COUNTIES UNTIL
445 PM EDT...

AT 419 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
DINGUS...OR 9 MILES EAST OF WEST LIBERTY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOON...FRITZ...SILVERHILL...MAGGARD...GIFFORD...MARY...PLUTARCH...
  GULLETT...TELLA...MIMA...LICKSBURG...HENDRICKS...GRAYFOX...EVER...
  COON...QUOD...EMMA...RELIEF...OPHIR AND LACEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 8298 3801 8302 3800 8302 3797 8300
      3801 8296 3800 8293 3766 8312 3787 8347
      3800 8352 3810 8341
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 288DEG 35KT 3791 8309
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

RAY

026 
WWUS53 KJKL 102031
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
431 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYC153-165-205-102041-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-110610T2045Z/
ROWAN KY-MENIFEE KY-MAGOFFIN KY-
431 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MAGOFFIN...
NORTHEASTERN MENIFEE AND SOUTH CENTRAL ROWAN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3805 8298 3801 8302 3797 8300 3801 8296
      3800 8293 3786 8301 3789 8304 3789 8313
      3787 8313 3777 8327 3774 8325 3787 8347
      3792 8349 3795 8345 3805 8343 3804 8340
      3809 8333
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 288DEG 35KT 3787 8296

$$

KYC063-115-175-102045-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-110610T2045Z/
ELLIOTT KY-MORGAN KY-JOHNSON KY-
431 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN JOHNSON...MORGAN AND SOUTHWESTERN ELLIOTT COUNTIES UNTIL
445 PM EDT...

AT 428 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WIN...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF SALYERSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 8298 3801 8302 3797 8300 3801 8296
      3800 8293 3786 8301 3789 8304 3789 8313
      3787 8313 3777 8327 3774 8325 3787 8347
      3792 8349 3795 8345 3805 8343 3804 8340
      3809 8333
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 288DEG 35KT 3787 8296
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

RAY

757 
WWUS53 KJKL 102043
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYC063-115-175-102053-
/O.EXP.KJKL.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-110610T2045Z/
ELLIOTT KY-MORGAN KY-JOHNSON KY-
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTHWESTERN
JOHNSON...MORGAN AND SOUTHWESTERN ELLIOTT COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445
PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3805 8298 3801 8302 3797 8300 3801 8296
      3800 8293 3786 8301 3789 8304 3789 8313
      3787 8313 3777 8327 3774 8325 3787 8347
      3792 8349 3795 8345 3805 8343 3804 8340
      3809 8333
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 288DEG 35KT 3783 8282

$$

RAY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1158 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

.SHORT TERM.../THIS AFTERNOON/...UPDATED

ISOLATED CONVECTION DEVELOPED THIS MORNING. IT WAS NOT HANDLED WELL
BY THE MODELS AND WAS NOT ANTICIPATED SO EARLY IN THE DAY. ITS
INITIATION WAS OBVIOUSLY ELEVATED...LIKELY OWING TO WEAK WARM AIR
ADVECTION. HOWEVER...LOCAL VAD WIND PROFILES ALSO SHOWED THE LOW
LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION TOPPED BY A LAYER OF COLD AIR ADVECTION
WHICH MAY HAVE ALSO AIDED THE INITIATION. WILL NOT ANTICIPATE ANY
GREAT INCREASE IN COVERAGE DESPITE HEATING...WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF FEATURES TO FOCUS DEVELOPMENT...AND A POTENTIAL FOR DRIER AIR
ALOFT IN FORECAST SOUNDINGS TO BEGIN MIXING DOWN AS MIXING BECOMES
DEEPER. HOWEVER...HAVE EXPANDED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TO COVER THE
ENTIRE AREA TODAY...CONSIDERING THE ACTIVITY ONGOING AT MID DAY IN
THE SW WHERE THERE WAS NOTHING IN THE EARLY MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE
FOR TODAY.

THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

/TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN HAS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE INTER
MOUNTAIN WEST...ANOTHER LOW OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC AND A BROAD RIDGE
ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS. THE RIDGE HAS BECOME RELATIVELY
SUPPRESSED OF RECENT WHICH WILL ALLOW MINOR SHORT WAVES TO SPARK
PERIODS OF TSRA ACTIVITY... MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
THE HEATING OF THE DAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL
CROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA SAT AND
SAT NIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR AREA WIDE PRECIPITATION. THIS COLD
FRONT WILL DROP HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY BACK TO NEAR NORMAL
READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. IN THE MEANTIME WE WILL SEE
CONTINUED UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

.LONG TERM.../SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

THE EXTENDED FORECAST BEGINS ON SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A ZONAL PATTERN
OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND A CLOSED 500MB LOW MOVING UP THE ST
LAWRENCE SEAWAY. AT THE SURFACE...A FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
FEATURE WILL HAVE PUSHED THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. THIS APPEARS TO
HAVE BEEN THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP AND THE AREA WILL ENTER ANOTHER
PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER. THE FRONT THEN STALLS SOUTH OF THE BORDER IN
TN FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WORKWEEK. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK THE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETROGRADE TO THE DESERT SW AND ALLOW A 50H TROUGH
TO BECOME BRIEFLY ESTABLISHED IN THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS WILL BRING A
SERIES OF FRONTAL BNDRYS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WITH WAVES OF
ALTERNATING WARM FRONT/COLD FRONT TO DROP THROUGH AND LIFT AGAIN OVER
THE COMMONWEALTH ON WED AND WED NIGHT. THEN THE RIDGE BUILDS BACK
INTO THE AREA AND DRY WEATHER RETURNS. AFTER A BRIEF FLIRTATION WITH
LOWER 80S EARLY IN THE WEEK... THE HIGHS WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE MID
80S BEFORE THE MID WEEK FRONT DROPS THEM SLIGHTLY ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/...UPDATED

VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING AT MID DAY. THEY MAY
PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BUT DO NOT THINK THERE WILL BE A LOT
OF COVERAGE. WILL USE CB IN THE TAF CLOUD GROUPS...WITH CONFIDENCE TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE TS OR EVEN VCTS IN TAFS. ANY REMAINING STORMS SHOULD
DIE OUT EARLY THIS EVENING. VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED AGAIN LATE TONIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALIZED VLIFR...BUT PROBABLY NOT
LOWER THAN MVFR AT TAF SITES. OUTSIDE OF VALLEY FOG AND ISOLATED
STORMS...VFR IS EXPECTED.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...DUSTY/HAL
LONG TERM....DUSTY
AVIATION...HAL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
255 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-111000-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
255 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. LOCALLY
DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THEN AGAIN
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DUSTY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
323 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BETHEL                  38.25N 83.87W
06/09/2011                   BATH               KY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND CABLE LINE DOWN IN BETHEL. ALSO DIME SIZED HAIL
            COVERED THE GROUND AND THE TEMPERATURE WENT FROM 90 TO 60
            DEGREES IN A SHORT TIME.

0300 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BETHEL                  38.25N 83.87W
06/09/2011                   BATH               KY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND A CABLE LINE DOWN IN BETHEL. ALSO...DIME SIZED
            HAIL COVERED THE GROUND AND THE TEMPERATURE DROPPED FROM
            90 DEGREES TO 60 DEGREES IN A SHORT TIME.

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
325 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BETHEL                  38.25N 83.87W
06/10/2011                   BATH               KY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND A CABLE LINE DOWN IN BETHEL. ALSO...DIME SIZED
            HAIL COVERED THE GROUND AND THE TEMPERATURE DROPPED FROM
            90 DEGREES TO 60 DEGREES IN A SHORT TIME.

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
326 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             5 ESE SHARPSBURG        38.17N 83.84W
06/10/2011  E0.75 INCH       BATH               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JCARICO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
329 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYZ044-051-052-102030-
FLEMING-ROWAN-BATH-
329 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
THROUGH 430 PM EDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

   SOUTH CENTRAL FLEMING...
   WEST CENTRAL ROWAN AND
   EASTERN BATH.

AT 329 PM EDT...A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED NEAR PEASTICKS...OR JUST NORTHEAST OF OWINGSVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 5 MPH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND
ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.
MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY.

RAY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
338 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYZ059-060-106-108-102030-
MENIFEE-POWELL-MORGAN-WOLFE-
338 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
THROUGH 430 PM EDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

   EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN...
   SOUTH CENTRAL MENIFEE...
   SOUTHEASTERN POWELL AND
   NORTHWESTERN WOLFE.

AT 338 PM EDT...A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED NEAR PINE RIDGE...OR NEAR CAMPTON...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...CAMPTON AROUND
350 PM EDT...CALABOOSE AROUND 400 PM EDT...VALERIA AROUND 405 PM
EDT...GOSNEYVILLE AROUND 415 PM EDT...STILLWATER AROUND 420 PM EDT.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE
INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.
MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY.

RAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
352 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HAIL             POLKSVILLE              38.14N 83.66W
06/10/2011  E0.75 INCH       BATH               KY   911 CALL CENTER

0330 PM     TSTM WND DMG     POLKSVILLE              38.14N 83.66W
06/10/2011                   BATH               KY   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWNED.

&&

ABE