Severe Thunderstorm Warning 196, NWS Jackson, KY

160 
WWUS53 KJKL 101950
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
350 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYC173-237-102000-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0196.000000T0000Z-110610T2030Z/
MONTGOMERY KY-WOLFE KY-
350 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL WOLFE AND
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3785 8345 3787 8351 3803 8375 3812 8370
      3809 8333
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 297DEG 16KT 3800 8354

$$

KYC011-165-175-205-102030-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0196.000000T0000Z-110610T2030Z/
ROWAN KY-BATH KY-MORGAN KY-MENIFEE KY-
350 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
MENIFEE...NORTHWESTERN MORGAN...SOUTHEASTERN BATH AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ROWAN COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

AT 349 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
RATLITT...OR 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF FRENCHBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ZILPO...SCRANTON...DENNISTON...BANGOR...LICK FORK...BIG WOODS...
  WELLINGTON...DAN...KOREA...ARTVILLE...PARAGON...EBON...CRANEY AND
  EZEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3785 8345 3787 8351 3803 8375 3812 8370
      3809 8333
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 297DEG 16KT 3800 8354
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

RAY

971 
WWUS53 KJKL 102000
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
400 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYC011-102009-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0196.000000T0000Z-110610T2030Z/
BATH KY-
400 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BATH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3809 8333 3787 8344 3802 8361 3802 8358
      3805 8358 3806 8357 3805 8349 3808 8347
      3809 8351 3808 8352 3810 8354 3811 8353
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 297DEG 16KT 3798 8350

$$

KYC165-175-205-102030-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0196.000000T0000Z-110610T2030Z/
ROWAN KY-MORGAN KY-MENIFEE KY-
400 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
MENIFEE...NORTHWESTERN MORGAN AND SOUTH CENTRAL ROWAN COUNTIES UNTIL
430 PM EDT...

AT 358 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
SCRANTON...OR 7 MILES EAST OF FRENCHBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BANGOR...LICK FORK...BIG WOODS...DAN...KOREA...ARTVILLE...
  PARAGON...EBON...CRANEY AND EZEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3809 8333 3787 8344 3802 8361 3802 8358
      3805 8358 3806 8357 3805 8349 3808 8347
      3809 8351 3808 8352 3810 8354 3811 8353
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 297DEG 16KT 3798 8350
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

RAY

311 
WWUS53 KJKL 102022
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
422 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYC165-175-205-102033-
/O.EXP.KJKL.SV.W.0196.000000T0000Z-110610T2030Z/
ROWAN KY-MORGAN KY-MENIFEE KY-
422 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MENIFEE...
NORTHWESTERN MORGAN AND SOUTH CENTRAL ROWAN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
430 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

LAT...LON 3809 8333 3787 8344 3802 8361 3802 8358
      3805 8358 3806 8357 3805 8349 3808 8347
      3809 8351 3808 8352 3810 8354 3811 8353
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 297DEG 16KT 3793 8338

$$

RAY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1158 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

.SHORT TERM.../THIS AFTERNOON/...UPDATED

ISOLATED CONVECTION DEVELOPED THIS MORNING. IT WAS NOT HANDLED WELL
BY THE MODELS AND WAS NOT ANTICIPATED SO EARLY IN THE DAY. ITS
INITIATION WAS OBVIOUSLY ELEVATED...LIKELY OWING TO WEAK WARM AIR
ADVECTION. HOWEVER...LOCAL VAD WIND PROFILES ALSO SHOWED THE LOW
LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION TOPPED BY A LAYER OF COLD AIR ADVECTION
WHICH MAY HAVE ALSO AIDED THE INITIATION. WILL NOT ANTICIPATE ANY
GREAT INCREASE IN COVERAGE DESPITE HEATING...WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF FEATURES TO FOCUS DEVELOPMENT...AND A POTENTIAL FOR DRIER AIR
ALOFT IN FORECAST SOUNDINGS TO BEGIN MIXING DOWN AS MIXING BECOMES
DEEPER. HOWEVER...HAVE EXPANDED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TO COVER THE
ENTIRE AREA TODAY...CONSIDERING THE ACTIVITY ONGOING AT MID DAY IN
THE SW WHERE THERE WAS NOTHING IN THE EARLY MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE
FOR TODAY.

THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

/TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN HAS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE INTER
MOUNTAIN WEST...ANOTHER LOW OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC AND A BROAD RIDGE
ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS. THE RIDGE HAS BECOME RELATIVELY
SUPPRESSED OF RECENT WHICH WILL ALLOW MINOR SHORT WAVES TO SPARK
PERIODS OF TSRA ACTIVITY... MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
THE HEATING OF THE DAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL
CROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA SAT AND
SAT NIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR AREA WIDE PRECIPITATION. THIS COLD
FRONT WILL DROP HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY BACK TO NEAR NORMAL
READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. IN THE MEANTIME WE WILL SEE
CONTINUED UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

.LONG TERM.../SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

THE EXTENDED FORECAST BEGINS ON SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A ZONAL PATTERN
OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND A CLOSED 500MB LOW MOVING UP THE ST
LAWRENCE SEAWAY. AT THE SURFACE...A FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
FEATURE WILL HAVE PUSHED THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. THIS APPEARS TO
HAVE BEEN THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP AND THE AREA WILL ENTER ANOTHER
PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER. THE FRONT THEN STALLS SOUTH OF THE BORDER IN
TN FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WORKWEEK. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK THE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETROGRADE TO THE DESERT SW AND ALLOW A 50H TROUGH
TO BECOME BRIEFLY ESTABLISHED IN THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS WILL BRING A
SERIES OF FRONTAL BNDRYS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WITH WAVES OF
ALTERNATING WARM FRONT/COLD FRONT TO DROP THROUGH AND LIFT AGAIN OVER
THE COMMONWEALTH ON WED AND WED NIGHT. THEN THE RIDGE BUILDS BACK
INTO THE AREA AND DRY WEATHER RETURNS. AFTER A BRIEF FLIRTATION WITH
LOWER 80S EARLY IN THE WEEK... THE HIGHS WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE MID
80S BEFORE THE MID WEEK FRONT DROPS THEM SLIGHTLY ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/...UPDATED

VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING AT MID DAY. THEY MAY
PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BUT DO NOT THINK THERE WILL BE A LOT
OF COVERAGE. WILL USE CB IN THE TAF CLOUD GROUPS...WITH CONFIDENCE TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE TS OR EVEN VCTS IN TAFS. ANY REMAINING STORMS SHOULD
DIE OUT EARLY THIS EVENING. VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED AGAIN LATE TONIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALIZED VLIFR...BUT PROBABLY NOT
LOWER THAN MVFR AT TAF SITES. OUTSIDE OF VALLEY FOG AND ISOLATED
STORMS...VFR IS EXPECTED.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...DUSTY/HAL
LONG TERM....DUSTY
AVIATION...HAL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
255 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-111000-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
255 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. LOCALLY
DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THEN AGAIN
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DUSTY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
317 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             SHARPSBURG              38.20N 83.93W
06/10/2011  M0.88 INCH       BATH               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ABE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
318 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             ODESSA                  38.22N 83.75W
06/10/2011  E1.25 INCH       BATH               KY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL ALONG HIGHWAY 119 NEAR
            ODESSA.

&&

RAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
323 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BETHEL                  38.25N 83.87W
06/09/2011                   BATH               KY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND CABLE LINE DOWN IN BETHEL. ALSO DIME SIZED HAIL
            COVERED THE GROUND AND THE TEMPERATURE WENT FROM 90 TO 60
            DEGREES IN A SHORT TIME.

0300 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BETHEL                  38.25N 83.87W
06/09/2011                   BATH               KY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND A CABLE LINE DOWN IN BETHEL. ALSO...DIME SIZED
            HAIL COVERED THE GROUND AND THE TEMPERATURE DROPPED FROM
            90 DEGREES TO 60 DEGREES IN A SHORT TIME.

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
325 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BETHEL                  38.25N 83.87W
06/10/2011                   BATH               KY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND A CABLE LINE DOWN IN BETHEL. ALSO...DIME SIZED
            HAIL COVERED THE GROUND AND THE TEMPERATURE DROPPED FROM
            90 DEGREES TO 60 DEGREES IN A SHORT TIME.

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
326 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             5 ESE SHARPSBURG        38.17N 83.84W
06/10/2011  E0.75 INCH       BATH               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JCARICO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
329 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

KYZ044-051-052-102030-
FLEMING-ROWAN-BATH-
329 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
THROUGH 430 PM EDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

   SOUTH CENTRAL FLEMING...
   WEST CENTRAL ROWAN AND
   EASTERN BATH.

AT 329 PM EDT...A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED NEAR PEASTICKS...OR JUST NORTHEAST OF OWINGSVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 5 MPH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND
ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.
MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY.

RAY