Severe Thunderstorm Warning 235, NWS Indianapolis, IN

239 
WWUS53 KIND 200903
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
503 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

INC059-081-097-145-200930-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0235.000000T0000Z-110620T0930Z/
HANCOCK-JOHNSON-MARION-SHELBY-
503 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
HANCOCK...JOHNSON...SOUTHERN MARION AND WESTERN SHELBY COUNTIES UNTIL
530 AM EDT...

AT 500 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BEECH GROVE TO
FRANKLIN...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  FRANKLIN AROUND 510 AM EDT...
  NEW PALESTINE AROUND 525 AM EDT...
  FAIRLAND AND BOGGSTOWN AROUND 530 AM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3944 8574 3941 8625 3963 8625 3963 8628
      3975 8629 3977 8574
TIME...MOT...LOC 0903Z 266DEG 18KT 3969 8604 3953 8609
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

50

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
247 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

.UPDATE...
THE SYNOPSIS...NEAR TERM AND SHORT TERM SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED
BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
A LINGERING WARM FRONT OVER ILLINOIS AND INDIANA WILL CONTINUE TO
PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK.
TODAY THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH NORTH AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS IN
THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW MUCH WARMER AND VERY HUMID AIR
TO SURGE INTO CENTRAL INDIANA FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND PROVIDE AMPLE
MOISTURE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. A COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED
TO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BRINGING
CHANCES FOR MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
BUILD IN ACROSS INDIANA ON FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...BRINGING A RETURN
TO DRY AND COOLER WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON POPS. SINCE GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND
APPEARS TO MESH WELL WITH LATEST RADAR TRENDS WILL USE A BLEND FOR
TODAY.

SHORT TERM GUIDANCE WAS HINTING AT A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FORMING
VERY EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG A WEAK BOUNDARY ORIENTED NW-SE...FROM
ROUGHLY VERMILLION COUNTY EXTENDING DOWN INTO LAWRENCE. SURE ENOUGH
THIS HAS COME TO FRUITION IN THE LAST HOUR AND A CORE ON ONE OF
THUNDERSTORMS HAS GROWN TALL ENOUGH TO PRODUCE HAIL THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS PER A RECENT REPORT.

AS RAPID REFRESH AND OTHER GUIDANCE INDICATES...THIS LINE WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SLOWLY PUSH EASTWARD THROUGH 12Z THIS
MORNING...POTENTIALLY PRODUCING ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL IN SOME OF THE
STRONGER TSTMS. LATER THIS MORNING...AN MCS WHICH IS CURRENTLY OVER
ERN IOWA (ABOUT TO ENTER WRN IL) SHOULD MOVE ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL
INDIANA THROUGH 18Z TODAY...BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND TSTMS TO
THE AREA.

IN TERMS OF POPS FOR TODAY...WENT LIKELY THROUGH 12Z THIS MORNING
WHERE THE LINE CURERNTLY IS AND WHERE IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. FOR THE 12-18Z TIMEFRAME PAINTED IN LIKELY
POPS AROUND AND NORTH OF I-70 WITH LOWER CHANCES TO THE SOUTH. BY
THIS AFTERNOON WE SHOULD BE SUFFIENTLY CAPPED THAT WENT ISOLATED FOR
MOST AREAS. SPC HAS ONCE AGAIN PLACE OUR CWA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SVR...CONSIDERING THE AMPLE INSTABILITY...WITH THE MAIN THREATS
BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

USED A MOS BLEND FOR HIGHS TODAY AND CUT BACK ON TEMPS ACROSS THE
NORTH TO ACCOUNT FOR THE REMNANTS OF THE MCS MOVING ACROSS HERE
EARLY IN THE DAY. LOOK FOR HIGHS IN THE LOW-MID 80S N TO NEAR 90 S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PATTERN OVERALL SO WILL USE A
BLEND THIS PERIOD TOO. STRONGER RIDGING WILL BUILD ACROSS CENTRAL
INDIANA BY TONIGHT AND MODEL SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW OUR
ATMOSPHERE WELL CAPPED. DRY WX AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE IN STORE
FOR TONIGHT WITH LOWS AROUND 70.

RIDGE SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND HIGH INSTABILITY
RETURNS. THIS WILL BRING A RETURN FOR CHANCES OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH MAY BECOME SEVERE. PER SPC/S SEVERE
WEATHER OUTLOOK...SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT...DAYTIME HEATING WILL
STEEPEN LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS A BROAD AND UNSTABLE WARM
SECTOR SUCH THAT INHIBITION WILL BECOME NEGLIGIBLE. AS A RESULT
...ISOLATED-SCT THUNDERSTORMS MAY SEEMINGLY DEVELOP WITHIN A
SOMEWHAT CHAOTIC OR RANDOM FASHION IN AREAS WELL AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT. EVEN SO...DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD SUPPORT A MIX OF
SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND EVEN ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

USED A MOS BLEND FOR HIGHS IN THE LOW 90S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ECMWF AND GFS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL
PATTERN AND WILL USE A BLEND. WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS LOOKS TO BE
IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS ON
WEDNESDAY...THUS WILL KEEP TSRA MENTIONS AT THAT TIME AND CONTINUE
CHANCES INTO THURSDAY. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL REMAIN ON THURSDAY
WITH COOLER AIR ALOFT THAT COULD RESULT IN SOME INSTABILITY
SHOWERS.

COOLER AND DRIER NORTHERLY FLOW WILL BUILD ACROSS INDIANA FOR
FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY AS LARGE CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURES SLOWLY
DIVES SOUTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS RIDGING BUILDS ALOFT. MEXMOS
POPS LOOK TOO HIGH AS THEY ARE LEANING TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY TOO MUCH
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR GIVEN THIS PATTERN. THUS WILL KEEP A DRY
FORECAST FOR NOW FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 200600Z TAFS/...
ISOLATED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHERN SITES BEFORE
12Z...BUT BETTER CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL COME AFTER 12Z AS A
WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH. BY 18Z OR SO CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS IN. FOR NOW WILL USE A
COMBINATION OF CB AND VCTS TO HIGHLIGHT THREAT. STORM THREAT
SHOULD EB GONE BY 00Z.

OTHER PROBLEM IS FOG TONIGHT. GROUND FOG IS LIKELY WITH LIGHT WINDS
AND PLENTIFUL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. FOR NOW WILL GO WITH MVFR
CONDITIONS AND MENTION AREAS OF DENSE FOG NEARBY WITH BCFG. FOG WILL
BURN OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE.

WINDS WILL HAVE A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT AND LESS THAN 15 KNOTS THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...PUMA/SMF
NEAR TERM...SMF
SHORT TERM...SMF
LONG TERM....PUMA
AVIATION...MK/50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
254 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-210700-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
254 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THE MAIN THREATS...IN ADDITION TO
LIGHTNING WHICH IS A HAZARD WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. LOCALIZED
FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN ANY OF THE SLOWER MOVING THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS PERIOD WITH
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES AS THE MAIN
THREATS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN WITH ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR
FLOODING REPORTS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

SMF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
253 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

INZ053-054-062-063-200745-
BROWN-MONROE-MORGAN-OWEN-
253 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN BROWN...NORTHERN
MONROE...SOUTHERN MORGAN AND EASTERN OWEN COUNTIES UNTIL 345 AM
EDT...

AT 251 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF SPENCER...OR 14 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BLOOMINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG
WITH HEAVY RAIN.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
PARAGON AROUND 315 AM EDT...
MARTINSVILLE AROUND 340 AM EDT...
MAHALASVILLE AROUND 345 AM EDT...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3953 8632 3929 8624 3922 8676 3945 8684
TIME...MOT...LOC 0653Z 255DEG 15KT 3933 8667

50

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
306 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

INZ036-044-045-200730-
MONTGOMERY-PARKE-PUTNAM-
306 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY...
NORTHEASTERN PARKE AND NORTHERN PUTNAM COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM EDT...

AT 305 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROCKVILLE...OR 14 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CRAWFORDSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
RUSSELLVILLE AROUND 315 AM EDT...
NEW MARKET AROUND 325 AM EDT...
LADOGA AND ROACHDALE AROUND 330 AM EDT...

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3995 8709 3997 8709 4002 8670 3976 8669
      3981 8713 3995 8714
TIME...MOT...LOC 0706Z 269DEG 19KT 3989 8706

50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
400 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 AM     HAIL             1 E MOORESVILLE         39.62N 86.35W
06/20/2011  E0.25 INCH       MORGAN             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMFLECHT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
406 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0401 AM     HAIL             MARTINSVILLE            39.42N 86.42W
06/20/2011  E0.88 INCH       MORGAN             IN   PUBLIC

&&

SMFLECHT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
420 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 AM     HAIL             2 S GREENWOOD           39.59N 86.11W
06/20/2011  E1.00 INCH       JOHNSON            IN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SMFLECHT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
430 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 AM     HAIL             MOORESVILLE             39.62N 86.37W
06/20/2011  E0.88 INCH       MORGAN             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMFLECHT