Alert archive / Ohio / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Wilmington, OH

May 22, 2011Butler County, Ohio

NWS Wilmington, OH issued this special weather statement at May 22, 2011, 4:07 PM EDT for Butler County, Ohio. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2011, 4:07 PM EDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2011, 4:30 PM EDT
In force
23 min
Issued by
NWS Wilmington, OH

County Butler County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 67 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2011-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 460 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2011-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
460 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
720 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 22, 1:08 PM EDT, 2 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 22, 1:08 PM EDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
108 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TODAY...WITH A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE WARM AIRMASS. A COLD
FRONT WILL THEN APPROACH BY MONDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL BRING MORE UNSETTLED
WEATHER RESULTING IN SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE TODAY IN THE WARM SECTOR OF AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...CURRENTLY THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
THE BEST LIFTING MECHANISMS ARE CURRENTLY OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
WEST OF OUR FORECAST AREA...WHERE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED. THIS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO HOLD TOGETHER AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE NUDGED UP AFTERNOON
POPS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN ZONES THIS AFTERNOON TO
REFLECT THESE THUNDERSTORMS PROGRESSING ACROSS PARTS OF OUR CWA.
HAVE KEPT CHANCE POPS SOUTH OF THESE STORMS AS SCATTERED SHOWERS
HAVE HAD THE TENDENCY TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO TRACK INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT.
INSTBY LINGERS INTO THE EVENING AND THUS HAVE CONTD CHC/SLIGHT CHC
POPS CONTINUING EARLY AND THEN TAPERING TO SLIGHT CHC. UNCERTAINTY
EXITS REGARDING COVERAGE OF PRECIP LATER TONIGHT. LATEST NUMERICAL
MODEL RUNS INDICATING THAT A S/W WL PUSH INTO THE WEST LATE WITH
AN ASSOCIATED AREA OF FORCING PIVOTING ACRS THE FA. HAVE KEPT POPS
LOW BUT THIS MAY REQUIRE HIGHER POPS BETWEEN 06 AND 12Z IF
SUBSEQUENT RUNS CONT TO SHOW THIS FEATURE. HAVE TRENDED TONIGHTS
LOWS ON THE WARM SIDE OF GUID.

THE UPPER LOW TO OPEN UP WITH S/W ROTATING THRU THE SRN GREAT
LAKES WITH A BAND OF WESTERLY 45-50KT H5 WINDS PIVOTING THRU
MONDAY AFTN. MODERATE TO STRONG INSTBY TO DEVELOP AS SFC TD/S IN
THE UPR 60S YIELD BLYR CAPES OF 2000-2500 J/KG DURG THE AFTN. THIS
INSTBY COMBINED WITH S/W WL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP
CONVECTION MONDAY AFTN. WITH FAVORABLE BULK SHEAR EXPECT STORMS TO
BE ORGANIZED. WL EXPAND LKLY POPS MON AFTN INTO THE EVENING. WL
ALSO CONTINUE TO MENTION CHC FOR SEVERE WEATHER GIVEN INSTBY AND
SHEAR. HAVE ACCEPTED A BLEND OF MAV/MET FOR HIGHS MONDAY.

IN SPLIT FLOW REGIME...WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
WITH SFC FRONT DROPPING INTO OHIO AND LAYING OUT E-W PARALLEL TO
THE FLOW. NUMERICAL MODELS POINTING TO EMBEDDED S/W WHICH INDUCES
A SFC WAVE THAT RIPPLES THRU TUE AFTN/TUE EVENING. EXPECT A
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TO DEVELOP WITH THE BEST FORCING ACROSS NRN
SECTIONS OF ILN/S FA. WL BUMP UP POPS TO LKLY CAT TUE AFTN/EVE.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEK.
A FRONT WILL STRETCH WEST TO EAST WITH AN INITIAL WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVING ALONG IT ON TUESDAY. THEN THE MAIN SYSTEM WILL
APPROACH ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE COULD STILL BE SOME LINGERING PRECIPITATION INTO
SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT PASS TO THE EAST OF
THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A
KLUK/KILN LINE UNTIL 00Z TODAY. CURRENTLY HAVE ONLY VFR CONDITIONS
FORECAST...HOWEVER MAY NEED ADD TEMPOS TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND
CEILINGS IF CURRENT THUNDERSTORMS TO THE WEST HOLD TOGETHER OR
DEVELOP FURTHER. BY 12Z MONDAY...CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL
INCREASE...WHICH WILL BRING A HIGHER CHANCE OF MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...LATTO
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...LATTO
Hazardous weather outlook, May 22, 3:53 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
353 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ060>063-070>073-077>082-
088-232000-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-
FAYETTE OH-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
353 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO
AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED DUE TO A WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS.
SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG WITH FAVORABLE SHEAR MAY LEAD TO
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE
MAIN THREATS.

A FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEK WITH PERIODS OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DUE TO THIS REPEATED
PERIOD OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MAY OCCUR THIS WEEK THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-064-065-074-232000-
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-
HOCKING-
353 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY
OF OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PRESENT IN THE WARM AND UNSTABLE
AIRMASS THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING
THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG WITH FAVORABLE SHEAR MAY LEAD TO
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE
MAIN THREATS.

A FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEK WITH PERIODS OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DUE TO THIS REPEATED
PERIOD OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MAY OCCUR THIS WEEK THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 22, 3:30 PM EDT, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
330 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     HAIL             LEBANON                 39.43N 84.21W
05/22/2011  M1.00 INCH       WARREN             OH   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&
Local storm report, May 22, 3:43 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
343 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HAIL             WINCHESTER              38.94N 83.65W
05/22/2011  E0.75 INCH       ADAMS              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&
Special weather statement, May 22, 3:45 PM EDT, 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
345 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

OHZ063-072-080-222015-
CLINTON OH-FAYETTE OH-HIGHLAND OH-
345 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN HIGHLAND...SOUTHERN
FAYETTE AND EASTERN CLINTON COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM EDT...

AT 343 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
HIGHLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...LEESBURG AND WASHINGTON
COURT HOUSE.

ALSO...HIGHLAND...EAST MONROE...NEW MARTINSBURG...STAUNTON...JASPER
MILLS...ROCK MILLS AND GOOD HOPE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3947 8330 3928 8362 3932 8371 3958 8349
      3948 8329
Local storm report, May 22, 3:54 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
354 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             4 N SEAMAN              39.00N 83.57W
05/22/2011  E1.75 INCH       ADAMS              OH   PUBLIC

&&
Local storm report, May 22, 4:01 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
401 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 PM     HAIL             LEESBURG                39.35N 83.55W
05/22/2011  E1.00 INCH       HIGHLAND           OH   PUBLIC

&&
Special weather statement, May 22, 4:07 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
407 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

OHZ070-077-222030-
BUTLER OH-HAMILTON OH-
407 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN HAMILTON AND
SOUTHEASTERN BUTLER COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

AT 405 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
NORTHGATE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...FOREST PARK...FAIRFIELD
AND HAMILTON.

ALSO...MOUNT HEALTHY HEIGHTS...PLEASANT RUN...PLEASANT RUN FARM...
MAUD...HUGHES AND BECKETT RIDGE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3944 8458 3937 8435 3921 8460 3928 8474

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 2:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNBrown30 min
May 22, 2:50 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNWarren25 min
May 22, 3:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNWarren32 min
May 22, 3:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNClinton, Warren52 min
May 22, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAdams, Highland, Pike, Scioto49 min
May 22, 3:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNFayette30 min
May 22, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFayette, Pickaway45 min
May 22, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Hamilton, Warren44 min
May 22, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNPike, Ross52 min
May 22, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAdams36 min
May 22, 4:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Hamilton, Warren44 min
May 22, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Warren32 min
May 22, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNHamilton46 min
May 22, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Hamilton, Warren39 min
May 22, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNClinton, Highland, Warren51 min
May 22, 5:45 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILNButler, Hamilton, Warren3 hr
May 22, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNClinton, Fayette, Highland, Ross49 min
May 22, 6:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNAdams, Pike, Scioto63 min
May 22, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAdams, Brown, Highland, Pike43 min
May 22, 6:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNHighland, Pike, Ross34 min
May 22, 7:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNPike, Ross, Scioto40 min
May 22, 7:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNHocking47 min
May 22, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDearborn, Franklin, Ripley52 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2011Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.