Severe Thunderstorm Warning 129, NWS Wilmington, OH

260 
WWUS51 KILN 221940
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
340 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

OHC027-165-222015-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110522T2015Z/
CLINTON OH-WARREN OH-
340 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN WARREN AND NORTHWESTERN CLINTON COUNTIES...

AT 339 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAD
WEAKENED BUT WAS STILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR STATE ROUTE 350 AT US ROUTE 22...MOVING EAST
AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILMINGTON.

IN ADDITION...HARVEYSBURG...KINGMAN...OGDEN...OAKLAND...BURTONVILLE
AND LUMBERTON ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 8407 3957 8389 3956 8384 3939 8379
      3941 8408
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 255DEG 21KT 3945 8403

$$

438 
WWUS51 KILN 222001
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
401 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

OHC165-222011-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110522T2015Z/
WARREN OH-
401 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN WARREN COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS MOVED EAST OF WARREN COUNTY. THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED. 

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3948 8396 3952 8391 3952 8383 3941 8380
      3943 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 266DEG 18KT 3947 8389

$$

OHC027-222015-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110522T2015Z/
CLINTON OH-
401 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL CLINTON COUNTY...

AT 357 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAD
WEAKENED BUT WAS STILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OAKLAND...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILMINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS!

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 8396 3952 8391 3952 8383 3941 8380
      3943 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 266DEG 18KT 3947 8389

$$

286 
WWUS51 KILN 222010
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
410 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

OHC027-222021-
/O.EXP.KILN.SV.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110522T2015Z/
CLINTON OH-
410 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CLINTON COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 415 PM EDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

SMALL HAIL IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3948 8396 3952 8391 3952 8383 3941 8380
      3943 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 266DEG 18KT 3947 8383

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
108 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TODAY...WITH A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE WARM AIRMASS. A COLD
FRONT WILL THEN APPROACH BY MONDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL BRING MORE UNSETTLED
WEATHER RESULTING IN SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE TODAY IN THE WARM SECTOR OF AN
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...CURRENTLY THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
THE BEST LIFTING MECHANISMS ARE CURRENTLY OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
WEST OF OUR FORECAST AREA...WHERE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED. THIS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO HOLD TOGETHER AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE NUDGED UP AFTERNOON
POPS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN ZONES THIS AFTERNOON TO
REFLECT THESE THUNDERSTORMS PROGRESSING ACROSS PARTS OF OUR CWA.
HAVE KEPT CHANCE POPS SOUTH OF THESE STORMS AS SCATTERED SHOWERS
HAVE HAD THE TENDENCY TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO TRACK INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT.
INSTBY LINGERS INTO THE EVENING AND THUS HAVE CONTD CHC/SLIGHT CHC
POPS CONTINUING EARLY AND THEN TAPERING TO SLIGHT CHC. UNCERTAINTY
EXITS REGARDING COVERAGE OF PRECIP LATER TONIGHT. LATEST NUMERICAL
MODEL RUNS INDICATING THAT A S/W WL PUSH INTO THE WEST LATE WITH
AN ASSOCIATED AREA OF FORCING PIVOTING ACRS THE FA. HAVE KEPT POPS
LOW BUT THIS MAY REQUIRE HIGHER POPS BETWEEN 06 AND 12Z IF
SUBSEQUENT RUNS CONT TO SHOW THIS FEATURE. HAVE TRENDED TONIGHTS
LOWS ON THE WARM SIDE OF GUID.

THE UPPER LOW TO OPEN UP WITH S/W ROTATING THRU THE SRN GREAT
LAKES WITH A BAND OF WESTERLY 45-50KT H5 WINDS PIVOTING THRU
MONDAY AFTN. MODERATE TO STRONG INSTBY TO DEVELOP AS SFC TD/S IN
THE UPR 60S YIELD BLYR CAPES OF 2000-2500 J/KG DURG THE AFTN. THIS
INSTBY COMBINED WITH S/W WL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP
CONVECTION MONDAY AFTN. WITH FAVORABLE BULK SHEAR EXPECT STORMS TO
BE ORGANIZED. WL EXPAND LKLY POPS MON AFTN INTO THE EVENING. WL
ALSO CONTINUE TO MENTION CHC FOR SEVERE WEATHER GIVEN INSTBY AND
SHEAR. HAVE ACCEPTED A BLEND OF MAV/MET FOR HIGHS MONDAY.

IN SPLIT FLOW REGIME...WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
WITH SFC FRONT DROPPING INTO OHIO AND LAYING OUT E-W PARALLEL TO
THE FLOW. NUMERICAL MODELS POINTING TO EMBEDDED S/W WHICH INDUCES
A SFC WAVE THAT RIPPLES THRU TUE AFTN/TUE EVENING. EXPECT A
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TO DEVELOP WITH THE BEST FORCING ACROSS NRN
SECTIONS OF ILN/S FA. WL BUMP UP POPS TO LKLY CAT TUE AFTN/EVE.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEK.
A FRONT WILL STRETCH WEST TO EAST WITH AN INITIAL WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVING ALONG IT ON TUESDAY. THEN THE MAIN SYSTEM WILL
APPROACH ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE COULD STILL BE SOME LINGERING PRECIPITATION INTO
SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT PASS TO THE EAST OF
THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A
KLUK/KILN LINE UNTIL 00Z TODAY. CURRENTLY HAVE ONLY VFR CONDITIONS
FORECAST...HOWEVER MAY NEED ADD TEMPOS TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND
CEILINGS IF CURRENT THUNDERSTORMS TO THE WEST HOLD TOGETHER OR
DEVELOP FURTHER. BY 12Z MONDAY...CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL
INCREASE...WHICH WILL BRING A HIGHER CHANCE OF MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...LATTO
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...LATTO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
605 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-231015-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
605 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
N THE WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT A
FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG WITH FAVORABLE SHEAR MAY LEAD TO
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE
MAIN THREATS.

A FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEK WITH PERIODS OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DUE TO THIS REPEATED
PERIOD OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MAY OCCUR THIS WEEK THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
245 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

OHZ078>080-221915-
BROWN OH-CLERMONT OH-HIGHLAND OH-
245 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN HIGHLAND...EASTERN
CLERMONT AND NORTHERN BROWN COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM EDT...

AT 244 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BETHEL...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...MOUNT ORAB AND
SARDINIA.

ALSO...LOCUST RIDGE...BUFORD...GREENBUSH AND MOWRYSTOWN ARE NEAR THE
PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3920 8389 3902 8371 3893 8405 3898 8411

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
250 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

OHZ070-071-221915-
BUTLER OH-WARREN OH-
250 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL WARREN AND EASTERN
BUTLER COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM EDT...

AT 248 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MAUD...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...MASON...MORROW AND
LEBANON.

ALSO...KINGS MILLS...HAGEMAN...GENNTOWN...PEKIN AND SOUTH LEBANON ARE
NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3956 8415 3935 8404 3933 8441 3939 8443

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
313 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

OHZ071-072-221945-
CLINTON OH-WARREN OH-
313 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL WARREN AND NORTHWESTERN
CLINTON COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM EDT...

AT 309 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HAGEMAN...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...LEBANON.

ALSO...SOUTH LEBANON...GENNTOWN...OREGONIA...CAESAR CREEK STATE
PARK...KINGMAN...HARVEYSBURG AND CLARKSVILLE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF
THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3956 8395 3935 8391 3936 8430 3945 8430

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
321 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     HAIL             LEBANON                 39.43N 84.21W
05/22/2011  E1.00 INCH       WARREN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&