Severe Thunderstorm Warning 267, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

664 
WWUS52 KGSP 052305
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
705 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

NCC121-199-052330-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0267.000000T0000Z-110605T2330Z/
MITCHELL NC-YANCEY NC-
705 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN YANCEY AND MITCHELL COUNTIES...

AT 706 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR BANDANA...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF BURNSVILLE...MOVING
SOUTH AT 35 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
MICAVILLE...SPRUCE PINE AND CELO.

LAT...LON 3607 8207 3602 8204 3600 8206 3596 8205
      3591 8200 3580 8227 3593 8235 3598 8238
      3599 8238 3609 8208
TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 338DEG 31KT 3596 8219

$$

HG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
508 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS FROM THE
WEST TONIGHT. WARM UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN FROM THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO MID WEEK. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE NORTH NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 2100 UTC...CONVECTION HAS REALLY TAKEN OFF ACRS OUR NC ZONES.
STILL NOT ORGANIZED...BUT MOST CELLS ARE REACHING SEVERE CRITERIA
FOR DOWNBURSTS AND LARGE HAIL. MEANWHILE...MCS OVER ERN TN HAS
TRENDED MORE OF A SWD MOVEMENT. MAIN AREA OF FOCUS SEEMS TO BE FROM
NRN NC BLUE RIDGE TO SW OF CLT ON A SUBTLE BNDRY. HAVE UPDATED THE
POPS/WX TO REFLECT TRENDS...BUT ANOTHER UPDATE MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN
NEXT COUPLE HOURS DUE TO QUICK EVOLUTION OF COVERAGE/INTENSITY.
OTHERWISE...ALL OTHER CHANGES TO FCST WERE MINOR.

CONVECTIVE TRENDS STILL UNCERTAIN EVEN AT THIS HOUR. GUIDANCE STILL
SUGGESTING A WAVE DROPS ACROSS OUR CWFA IN THE NLY FLOW PROVIDING
SCT COVERAGE NORTH AND EAST...AND ISOLATED AT BEST SW. HOWEVER...
MCS NEAR THE KY/TN BORDER HAS TAKEN A SOUTHWARD TURN. THE MCS COULD
TAKE A SOUTH OR SE TRACK. A SE TRACK WOULD BRING ORGANIZED
CONVECTION OVER THE WRN CWFA WHILE A S TRACK WOULD TAKE IT TO OUR
WEST. TAKING A LOOK AT CURRENT SYSTEM MOVEMENT...CORFIDI VECTORS AND
MEAN H85-H3 WIND...SHOWS THE WRN CWFA MAY BE UNDER THE GUN FROM THIS
SYSTEM. THEREFORE...WILL ADD SCT POP TO THE WESTERN CWFA. LATER
SHIFT HAS A COUPLE OF HOURS TO REFINE THE FCST AND GO WITH HIGHER
POP SHOULD THE SITUATION WARRANT. SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY...
ESPECIALLY IF THE MCS MOVES IN TO HELP ORGANIZE THE STORMS.
ATMOSPHERE IS VERY UNSTABLE WITH DCAPE OVER 1000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE
SHEAR IN THE 20 TO 40 KT RANGE. THE CONVECTION MAY LINGER THRU THE
EVENING AND FINALLY DISSIPATE/MOVE OUT NEAR MIDNIGHT. EXPECT QUITE A
BIT OF DEBRIS CLOUD MUCH OF THE NITE...WITH LOWS AGAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE ATMOS BECOMES UNSTABLE ONCE AGAIN MONDAY
AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERS ACROSS THE AREA. WITH COOLER
TEMPS IN PLACE...ATMOS APPEARS TO BE CAPPED ACROSS THE NRN CWFA.
HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE SOME WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW AND DIFFERENTIAL
HEATING TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TSRA OVER THE NE GA...UPSTATE AND THE
WRN MTNS. HAVE INCLUDED SLIGHT CHC POP FOR THESE AREAS. HIGHS WILL
BE COOLER...BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 155 PM SUNDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REASSERTS ITSELF ACROSS
THE SE CONUS DURING THE SHORT RANGE. MODELS AGREE WELL WITH
MAINTAINING A CLOSED 588 DM HIGH ACROSS MIDDLE TN SHIFTING SLOWLY
EAST TO THE TN/NC BORDER BEGINNING MID DAY TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT.
THERE IS TOO MUCH DIFFERENCE IN THE OP MODELS WRT TO A SE/WARD
DIVING S/W ON THE FRONT END OF THE ANTICYCLONE TO WARRANT MUCH
CONCERN....BUT SOME ENHANCEMENT OF DIURNAL MOUNTAIN CONVEC IS
CERTAINLY POSSIBLE LATER TUE WITH COLD POOL ORGANIZATION PUSHING
TSTMS INTO THE PIEDMONT INTO THE LATE EVENING. SOUNDINGS REMAIN
RATHER BENIGN OUTSIDE THE NC MTNS WITH THE MLVLS REMAINING TOO
WARM...HOWEVER HIGH AMOUNTS OF ELCAPE COULD BE REALIZED IF AN
ORGANIZED MCS GETS GOING ACROSS THE NC MTNS. POPS HAVE BEEN KEPT IN
THE ISOL RANGE FOR TUE EVENING...BUT THIS COULD BE SITUATION TO
WATCH FOR STRONG TO SEVERE POTENTIAL. ON WED...THE UPPER HIGH AND
STRONG NVA WILL HAVE MORE INFLUENCE OVER THE CWFA AND IT WILL BE
LESS LIKELY FOR ANYTHING BUT DIFFERENTIAL HEATING OR MOUNTAIN TOP
CONVECTION FIRING UP. POPS WERE MAINTAINED RIGHT AROUND CLIMO
FOR WED AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPS AGAIN WILL REACH WELL ABOVE
NORMAL...ABOUT 10 ABOVE FOR TUE AND EVEN A COUPLE MORE DEGREES
HOTTER ON WED. MINS WILL AVERAGE ABOUT 10-12 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT 2 PM EDT SUNDAY...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL EXIST OVER THE EASTERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE NATION FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS RIDGE WILL
FLATTEN OVER THE WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER OUR
AREA. A COLD FRONT SETTLES INTO THE POTOMAC RIVER VALLEY BY SUNDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL...WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE AS
HEIGHTS FALL ALOFT OVER THE WEEKEND. SMALL POPS WILL BE CARRIED
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE DURING DAYTIME
HEATING.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...CONVECTIVE TRENDS STILL UNCERTAIN ATTM. MCS
NEAR KY/TN BORDER TAKING A SRN JOG AND MAY MISS THE CWFA ENTIRELY.
STILL EXPECTING SOME WAVE TO DIVE INTO THE AREA AND PROVIDE FOCUS
FOR CONVECTION. ATMOS ALREADY VERY UNSTABLE...SO ANY FORCING SHOULD
SET OFF ORGANIZED CONVECTION. THE NC SITES STILL THE MOST LIKELY
LOCATION TO SEE ANY TSRA...SO HAVE KEPT CB THERE. LESS CHC OVER SC
SO NO CB. HAVE ADJUSTED TIMING SLIGHTLY TO LATEST THINKING. N TO NW
WIND OVER NC WITH W TO NW OVER SC THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMES LIGHT NLY
TO NELY THIS EVENING. CONVECTION COULD LINGER THRU MIDNIGHT OR SO...
THEN MAINLY HIGH VFR CIGS EXPECTED. MTN VALLEY FOG EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN. LIGHT NE WIND WITH DEVELOPING CU EXPECTED THRU THE MORNING
MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...A RETURN TO AN ISOLATED DIURNAL TSTM THREAT MON AFT THRU
THU WITH RIDGING ALOFT. MTN VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...ARK/RWH
SHORT TERM...SBK
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...RWH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
353 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-062000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
353 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST
OF THE FRONT AND ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP WITH THESE
STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

KRENTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
557 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0556 PM     HAIL             TAYLORS                 34.92N 82.31W
06/05/2011  E1.50 INCH       GREENVILLE         SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
604 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SPARTANBURG             34.94N 81.93W
06/05/2011                   SPARTANBURG        SC   911 CALL CENTER

            SPARTANBURG COUNTY REPORTS ONE TREE DOWN AT THE
            INTERSECTION OF OAKVIEW DRIVE AND PINENEEDLE DRIVE.

&&

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
608 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             3 NE FALLSTON           35.46N 81.46W
06/05/2011  E0.88 INCH       LINCOLN            NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BSH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
610 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

SCZ013-014-052300-
CHESTER-UNION-
610 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN UNION AND SOUTHWESTERN
CHESTER COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM EDT...

AT 607 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES WEST OF ADAMSBURG...OR 5 MILES NORTH OF
UNION...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LOCKHART...
  UNION...
  SANTUC...
  CARLISLE...

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3482 8168 3488 8156 3487 8154 3488 8153
      3487 8153 3487 8152 3463 8131 3447 8156

HG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
612 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

NCZ058-052300-
GRAHAM-
612 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT GRAHAM COUNTY THROUGH 700 PM
EDT...

AT 612 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF CITICO...OR 15 MILES
NORTHWEST OF ROBBINSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ROBBINSVILLE...

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3537 8401 3541 8403 3546 8396 3545 8394
      3546 8388 3539 8378 3528 8368 3527 8368
      3526 8369 3524 8373 3525 8384 3521 8396
      3523 8401 3528 8403 3536 8404

HG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
624 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

NCZ056-069-504-052315-
CATAWBA-GREATER BURKE-LINCOLN-
624 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN BURKE...WESTERN
CATAWBA AND WESTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...

AT 620 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HILDEBRAN...OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HICKORY...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  VALE...

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3543 8117 3541 8127 3542 8143 3542 8146
      3549 8149 3575 8155 3577 8143 3576 8138
      3579 8134

HG