Severe Thunderstorm Warning 258, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

541 
WWUS52 KGSP 052211
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
611 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

NCC071-109-052245-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0258.000000T0000Z-110605T2245Z/
GASTON NC-LINCOLN NC-
611 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR LINCOLN AND NORTHERN GASTON COUNTIES...

AT 609 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR IRON STATION...OR NEAR LINCOLNTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO HIGH
SHOALS...BESSEMER CITY...LOWESVILLE...STANLEY...DALLAS AND LUCIA

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN OCCUR
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND
DOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 8099 3536 8098 3526 8132 3529 8136
      3531 8137 3533 8136 3535 8139 3549 8147
      3556 8118 3540 8095
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 329DEG 16KT 3544 8118

$$

07

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
508 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS FROM THE
WEST TONIGHT. WARM UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN FROM THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO MID WEEK. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE NORTH NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 2100 UTC...CONVECTION HAS REALLY TAKEN OFF ACRS OUR NC ZONES.
STILL NOT ORGANIZED...BUT MOST CELLS ARE REACHING SEVERE CRITERIA
FOR DOWNBURSTS AND LARGE HAIL. MEANWHILE...MCS OVER ERN TN HAS
TRENDED MORE OF A SWD MOVEMENT. MAIN AREA OF FOCUS SEEMS TO BE FROM
NRN NC BLUE RIDGE TO SW OF CLT ON A SUBTLE BNDRY. HAVE UPDATED THE
POPS/WX TO REFLECT TRENDS...BUT ANOTHER UPDATE MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN
NEXT COUPLE HOURS DUE TO QUICK EVOLUTION OF COVERAGE/INTENSITY.
OTHERWISE...ALL OTHER CHANGES TO FCST WERE MINOR.

CONVECTIVE TRENDS STILL UNCERTAIN EVEN AT THIS HOUR. GUIDANCE STILL
SUGGESTING A WAVE DROPS ACROSS OUR CWFA IN THE NLY FLOW PROVIDING
SCT COVERAGE NORTH AND EAST...AND ISOLATED AT BEST SW. HOWEVER...
MCS NEAR THE KY/TN BORDER HAS TAKEN A SOUTHWARD TURN. THE MCS COULD
TAKE A SOUTH OR SE TRACK. A SE TRACK WOULD BRING ORGANIZED
CONVECTION OVER THE WRN CWFA WHILE A S TRACK WOULD TAKE IT TO OUR
WEST. TAKING A LOOK AT CURRENT SYSTEM MOVEMENT...CORFIDI VECTORS AND
MEAN H85-H3 WIND...SHOWS THE WRN CWFA MAY BE UNDER THE GUN FROM THIS
SYSTEM. THEREFORE...WILL ADD SCT POP TO THE WESTERN CWFA. LATER
SHIFT HAS A COUPLE OF HOURS TO REFINE THE FCST AND GO WITH HIGHER
POP SHOULD THE SITUATION WARRANT. SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY...
ESPECIALLY IF THE MCS MOVES IN TO HELP ORGANIZE THE STORMS.
ATMOSPHERE IS VERY UNSTABLE WITH DCAPE OVER 1000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE
SHEAR IN THE 20 TO 40 KT RANGE. THE CONVECTION MAY LINGER THRU THE
EVENING AND FINALLY DISSIPATE/MOVE OUT NEAR MIDNIGHT. EXPECT QUITE A
BIT OF DEBRIS CLOUD MUCH OF THE NITE...WITH LOWS AGAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE ATMOS BECOMES UNSTABLE ONCE AGAIN MONDAY
AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERS ACROSS THE AREA. WITH COOLER
TEMPS IN PLACE...ATMOS APPEARS TO BE CAPPED ACROSS THE NRN CWFA.
HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE SOME WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW AND DIFFERENTIAL
HEATING TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TSRA OVER THE NE GA...UPSTATE AND THE
WRN MTNS. HAVE INCLUDED SLIGHT CHC POP FOR THESE AREAS. HIGHS WILL
BE COOLER...BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 155 PM SUNDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REASSERTS ITSELF ACROSS
THE SE CONUS DURING THE SHORT RANGE. MODELS AGREE WELL WITH
MAINTAINING A CLOSED 588 DM HIGH ACROSS MIDDLE TN SHIFTING SLOWLY
EAST TO THE TN/NC BORDER BEGINNING MID DAY TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT.
THERE IS TOO MUCH DIFFERENCE IN THE OP MODELS WRT TO A SE/WARD
DIVING S/W ON THE FRONT END OF THE ANTICYCLONE TO WARRANT MUCH
CONCERN....BUT SOME ENHANCEMENT OF DIURNAL MOUNTAIN CONVEC IS
CERTAINLY POSSIBLE LATER TUE WITH COLD POOL ORGANIZATION PUSHING
TSTMS INTO THE PIEDMONT INTO THE LATE EVENING. SOUNDINGS REMAIN
RATHER BENIGN OUTSIDE THE NC MTNS WITH THE MLVLS REMAINING TOO
WARM...HOWEVER HIGH AMOUNTS OF ELCAPE COULD BE REALIZED IF AN
ORGANIZED MCS GETS GOING ACROSS THE NC MTNS. POPS HAVE BEEN KEPT IN
THE ISOL RANGE FOR TUE EVENING...BUT THIS COULD BE SITUATION TO
WATCH FOR STRONG TO SEVERE POTENTIAL. ON WED...THE UPPER HIGH AND
STRONG NVA WILL HAVE MORE INFLUENCE OVER THE CWFA AND IT WILL BE
LESS LIKELY FOR ANYTHING BUT DIFFERENTIAL HEATING OR MOUNTAIN TOP
CONVECTION FIRING UP. POPS WERE MAINTAINED RIGHT AROUND CLIMO
FOR WED AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPS AGAIN WILL REACH WELL ABOVE
NORMAL...ABOUT 10 ABOVE FOR TUE AND EVEN A COUPLE MORE DEGREES
HOTTER ON WED. MINS WILL AVERAGE ABOUT 10-12 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT 2 PM EDT SUNDAY...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL EXIST OVER THE EASTERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE NATION FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS RIDGE WILL
FLATTEN OVER THE WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER OUR
AREA. A COLD FRONT SETTLES INTO THE POTOMAC RIVER VALLEY BY SUNDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL...WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE AS
HEIGHTS FALL ALOFT OVER THE WEEKEND. SMALL POPS WILL BE CARRIED
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE DURING DAYTIME
HEATING.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...CONVECTIVE TRENDS STILL UNCERTAIN ATTM. MCS
NEAR KY/TN BORDER TAKING A SRN JOG AND MAY MISS THE CWFA ENTIRELY.
STILL EXPECTING SOME WAVE TO DIVE INTO THE AREA AND PROVIDE FOCUS
FOR CONVECTION. ATMOS ALREADY VERY UNSTABLE...SO ANY FORCING SHOULD
SET OFF ORGANIZED CONVECTION. THE NC SITES STILL THE MOST LIKELY
LOCATION TO SEE ANY TSRA...SO HAVE KEPT CB THERE. LESS CHC OVER SC
SO NO CB. HAVE ADJUSTED TIMING SLIGHTLY TO LATEST THINKING. N TO NW
WIND OVER NC WITH W TO NW OVER SC THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMES LIGHT NLY
TO NELY THIS EVENING. CONVECTION COULD LINGER THRU MIDNIGHT OR SO...
THEN MAINLY HIGH VFR CIGS EXPECTED. MTN VALLEY FOG EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN. LIGHT NE WIND WITH DEVELOPING CU EXPECTED THRU THE MORNING
MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...A RETURN TO AN ISOLATED DIURNAL TSTM THREAT MON AFT THRU
THU WITH RIDGING ALOFT. MTN VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...ARK/RWH
SHORT TERM...SBK
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...RWH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
353 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-062000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
353 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST
OF THE FRONT AND ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP WITH THESE
STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

KRENTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
512 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 SE SHELBY             35.23N 81.47W
06/05/2011                   CLEVELAND          NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD AT 831 LONGBRANCH ROAD

&&
CORRECTED FOR DIRECTION FROM CITY.

BSH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
516 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

NCZ048-052145-
MADISON-
516 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL MADISON COUNTY THROUGH
545 PM EDT...

AT 516 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WALNUT...OR 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MARSHALL...
MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MARSHALL...

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3578 8256 3575 8265 3573 8267 3573 8271
      3572 8272 3572 8273 3570 8276 3569 8280
      3590 8285 3595 8264

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
518 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 SSE SHELBY            35.18N 81.49W
06/05/2011                   CLEVELAND          NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN 1203 LAVENDER ROAD

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
527 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     HAIL             2 E FINGERVILLE         35.13N 81.97W
06/05/2011  E0.75 INCH       SPARTANBURG        SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BSH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
530 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

SCZ008-009-014-052215-
CHEROKEE-CHESTER-YORK-
530 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN CHEROKEE...NORTHWESTERN
CHESTER AND WESTERN YORK COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...

AT 526 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTH OF BLACKSBURG...OR 9 MILES EAST OF
GAFFNEY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SMYRNA...
  SHARON...MCCONNELLS...LOWRYS...HICKORY GROVE...BULLOCK CREEK AND
  BLACKSBURG.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH
ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3484 8105 3465 8140 3476 8146 3479 8146
      3482 8149 3484 8146 3487 8149 3487 8152
      3508 8164 3517 8147 3517 8144

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
536 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE BLACKSBURG         35.16N 81.47W
06/05/2011                   CHEROKEE           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ACROSS THE ROADWAY AT 590 ANTIOCH ROAD.

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE BLACKSBURG         35.13N 81.51W
06/05/2011                   CHEROKEE           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ACROSS THE ROADWAY NEAR MILE MARKER 102 ON
            I-85.

&&

BSH