Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS Hastings, NE

097 
WWUS53 KGID 122035
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
335 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

NEC019-163-122100-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-110512T2100Z/
BUFFALO NE-SHERMAN NE-
335 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
SHERMAN AND NORTH CENTRAL BUFFALO COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 331 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCKVILLE TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
RAVENNA TO LITCHFIELD...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LITCHFIELD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 9875 4100 9893 4105 9925 4105 9924
      4106 9921 4124 9921 4123 9875
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 139DEG 12KT 4115 9880 4111 9897
          4112 9918
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

900 
WWUS53 KGID 122047
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
347 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

NEC019-163-122100-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-110512T2100Z/
BUFFALO NE-SHERMAN NE-
347 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
SHERMAN AND NORTH CENTRAL BUFFALO COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 345 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCKVILLE TO RAVENNA TO 5 MILES
WEST OF HAZARD...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ROCKVILLE...HAZARD AND LITCHFIELD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 9875 4100 9893 4105 9925 4105 9924
      4106 9921 4124 9921 4123 9875
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 116DEG 17KT 4112 9881 4108 9899
          4109 9919
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
110 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

.AVIATION...18Z KGRI TAF. TRICKY FORECAST...ESPECIALLY REGARDING
CEILINGS AND TIMING OF POTENTIAL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. A BOUNDARY
LIES TO THE NORTH WITH LIFR/IFR STRATUS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
BOUNDARY. THE BOUNDARY HAD MADE A RETREAT NORTH EARLIER IN THE
MORNING...BUT NOW APPEARS TO BE MAKING A SLOW AND INEVITABLE MOVE
TO THE SOUTHEAST AS THE STUBBORN MID-LEVEL LOW CREEPS EAST ACROSS
NORTHERN KANSAS. WE SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE SOME
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY TOWARD MID-AFTERNOON INTO
PERHAPS THE EARLY EVENING. WITH A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...WE COULD
GET SOME BRIEF AND WEAK LANDSPOUT TYPE TORNADOES DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BOUNDARY...ESPECIALLY IF THE BOUNDARY MOVES SLOWLY ENOUGH. WE
WILL EVENTUALLY HAVE A LOW CEILING OF STRATUS BEHIND THE BOUNDARY
TONIGHT WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE BOUNDARY ONCE IT
PASSES THROUGH. TIMING OF THE BOUNDARY IS A BIT TRICKY AS MODELS
HAVE TRIED HURRYING THIS SYSTEM TO THE EAST FASTER THAN IT ACTUALLY
HAS.

.DISUSSION...UPDATED SEVERAL FIELDS OF THE FORECAST FOR THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...INCLUDING PROBABILITY OF
PRECIPITATION...DEW POINTS...SKY COVER...AND WIND. ITS BECOMING
MORE APPARENT THAT A BOUNDARY LOCATED IN THE NORTHERN CWA AND
CURVING SOUTH INTO THE WESTERN CWA WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY FOCUS
OF CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY MOVED A BIT FARTHER TO
THE NORTHWEST EARLIER IN THE MORNING...BUT IS FINALLY SHOWING
SIGNS OF BUDGING A BIT FARTHER SOUTHEAST. WE SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE SOME THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
TOWARD MID-AFTERNOON INTO PERHAPS THE EARLY EVENING. WITH A LOW
SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...WE COULD GET SOME BRIEF AND WEAK LANDSPOUT
TYPE TORNADOES DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY...ESPECIALLY IF THE
BOUNDARY MOVES SLOWLY ENOUGH. WE WILL EVENTUALLY HAVE A LOW
CEILING OF STRATUS BEHIND THE BOUNDARY TONIGHT WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE BOUNDARY ONCE IT PASSES THROUGH. TIMING
OF THE BOUNDARY IS A BIT TRICKY AS MODELS HAVE TRIED HURRYING THIS
SYSTEM TO THE EAST FASTER THAN IT ACTUALLY HAS. I ADJUSTED CHANCES
OF PRECIPITATION TO BE FOCUSED FARTHER NORTH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN
SHIFTING SOUTH INTO THE EVENING. I ALSO SHARPENED UP THE GRADIENT
OF DEWPOINTS...WITH SOME MOISTURE PULLING NEAR THE BOUNDARY AND
SHARPENED THE GRADIENT OF CLOUDINESS WITH RESPECT TO THE BOUNDARY
AS WELL. AGAIN...THIS IS A TOUGH CALL FOR MANY ELEMENTS AS MODELS
HAVE TENDED TO MOVE EVERYTHING TO THE EAST TOO FAST...BUT TOOK MY
BEST STAB BASED ON THE LATEST TRENDS ON SATELLITE AND RADAR.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011/

DISCUSSION...MAIN FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE SURFACE LOW IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS WITH A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STRETCHING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEBRASKA.

THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION YESTERDAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
THROUGH KANSAS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST TODAY. THE FRONT WILL BE PUSHED TO THE SOUTHEAST TODAY.
THIS MORNING THERE MAY BE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA. BY AFTERNOON THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES CLOSER
AND THE FRONT MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. THE MUCAPE
IS BEST IN THE EAST AND SUPPOSE THERE COULD BE A STRONG STORM
ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. AS THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH WINDS FROM THE NORTH WILL INCREASE AND EXPECT BREEZY
CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT.

TONIGHT THE UPPER LOW STARTS TO MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA...BUT
THERE WILL BE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN
THE EAST...BUT THE INSTABILITY DECREASES QUICKLY DURING THE
EVENING. OVERNIGHT WILL KEEP SOME SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA...BUT
THERE IS LITTLE INSTABILITY TO CAUSE MUCH MORE THAN SHOWERS. BY
FRIDAY THE UPPER LOW GETS FAR ENOUGH TO THE EAST THERE MAY BE SOME
LINGERING SHOWERS IN THE FAR EAST...BUT EVEN THESE SHOULD BE
COMING TO AN END. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER FOR FRIDAY. A
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT. COOLER AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY. MADE NO CHANGES TO SUNDAY AND BEYOND.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

AVIATION/UPDATE...HEINLEIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1155 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
131200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
1155 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA MAINLY BETWEEN 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND 8 PM THIS
EVENING. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH THE BEST CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER
GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SUMNER TO HOLDREGE
NEBRASKA...TO SMITH CENTER KANSAS. WHILE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL
BE WITH DAMAGING WINDS NEAR 60 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS TO THE OUTLOOK AREA WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS POINT IN
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BETWEEN 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND 8
PM THIS EVENING...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SUMNER
TO HOLDREGE NEBRASKA...TO SMITH CENTER KANSAS.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

ADO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
228 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

NEZ082-122000-
FURNAS NE-
228 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN FURNAS COUNTY UNTIL 300
PM CDT...

AT 221 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CAMBRIDGE...OR 33 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NORTON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHWESTERN FURNAS COUNTY.

ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF
FURNAS COUNTY BETWEEN 230 PM CDT AND 300 PM CDT.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4036 10020 4036 10010 4035 9997 4000 9992
      4001 10019 4016 10021 4035 10021
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 143DEG 11KT 4028 10017

EWALD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
247 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     HAIL             CAMBRIDGE               40.28N 100.17W
05/12/2011  E0.88 INCH       FURNAS             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EWALD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
249 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

NEZ046-122015-
SHERMAN NE-
249 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHERMAN COUNTY UNTIL
315 PM CDT...

AT 245 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOELUS...OR 25 MILES WEST OF
GRAND ISLAND...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  ROCKVILLE...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4113 9874 4105 9875 4104 9892 4105 9907
      4107 9906 4124 9888
TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 133DEG 17KT 4106 9883