River Flood Warning 95, NWS State College, PA

795 
WGUS81 KCTP 081226
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA
  PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK
  SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE
  CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL
  SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN
  SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY
  SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN
  CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED THIS MORNING.

&&

PAC081-113-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-110909T1731Z/
/LOYP1.3.ER.110907T1644Z.110908T0900Z.110909T1131Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.8 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* 14.0 FEET MANY RESIDENCES ON BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO BE AFFECTED.


$$

PAC043-075-107-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HTVP1.3.ER.110907T0212Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN.
* AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 25.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 25.0 FEET WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT HARPER TAVERN.


$$

PAC043-075-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HERP1.3.ER.110907T0342Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.8 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 23.0 FEET WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT HERSHEY.


$$

PAC043-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIDP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN.
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 30.6 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 28.5 FEET MUCH OF MIDDLETOWN IS AFFECTED BY FLOODING.


$$

PAC081-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0095.110908T1600Z-110909T2100Z/
/WILP1.1.ER.110908T1600Z.110909T0000Z.110909T1500Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* AT 21.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES AND ROADS IN THE AREA OUTSIDE
  THE LEVEE SYSTEM ARE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 31.0 FEET...NORTH MARKET...MAIN...AND WASHINGTON STREETS ARE 
  FLOODED.

$$

PAC081-097-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.3.ER.110908T0005Z.110908T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE AFFECTED BY 
  WIDESPREAD FLOODING.

$$

PAC097-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET THIS EVENING.
* AT 31.0 FEET...MANY HOMES IN WATSONTOWN ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER 
  LEVELS. A NUMBER OF STREETS AND ROADS ARE CLOSED.

$$

PAC097-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ILTP1.3.ER.110908T0128Z.110908T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 29.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MANY HOMES ON BOTH BANKS ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110911T0417Z/
/LWBP1.3.ER.110908T0116Z.110909T0000Z.110910T2217Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 29.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...WATER LEVEL REACHES THE INTERSECTION OF SAINT GEORGE
  AND 3RD STREETS IN LEWISBURG.

$$

PAC037-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BMBP1.3.ER.110908T0524Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG.
* AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 32.0 FEET...BLOOMSBURG HIGH SCHOOL IS AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC037-093-097-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DANP1.3.ER.110908T0446Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 31.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 32.0 FEET...AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE LEVEE SYSTEM EXPERIENCES 
  WIDESPREAD FLOODING. THE LEVEE SYSTEM PROTECTS MOST OF DANVILLE TO 
  A HEIGHT OF 34 FEET.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBYP1.3.ER.110908T0413Z.110910T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 34.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 34.0 FEET...MOST AREAS ADJACENT TO THE RIVER...WHICH ARE NOT 
  PROTECTED BY THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM...ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH
  WATER. CATASROPHIC FLOODING OCCURS IN SOME OF THESE AREAS.

$$

PAC041-043-067-071-097-099-109-133-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARP1.3.ER.110908T0501Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 28.7 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS IN THE RESIDENTIAL 
  SECTIONS OF FRONT AND SECOND STREETS AND IN THE SHIPOKE AREA OF 
  HARRISBURG.

$$

PAC071-133-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRTP1.3.ER.110908T0050Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 54.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 49.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 62.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 64.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING ON BOTH BANKS AFFECTS HOMES...
  BUSINESSES...AND THE WATER AND SEWAGE PLANTS.

$$

PAC071-133-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LNCP1.3.ER.110908T0102Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER.
* AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 22.9 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 22.0 WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT LANCASTER.


$$

PAC041-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HGSP1.2.ER.110907T0935Z.110909T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 11.7 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER ALL ALONG 
  THE CREEK.  THE APPROACHES TO THE BRIDGES ON ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...
  SAMPLE BRIDGE ROAD...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC041-133-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110907T0633Z.110909T1100Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT
  ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.  CEDAR CLIFF DRIVE ON THE LEFT BANK 
  UPSTREAM FROM THE BRIDGE IS INUNDATED. CREEKWOOD DRIVE HAS SEVERAL 
  FEET OF WATER ON IT, AND WATER IS APPROACHING HOMES.

$$

PAC117-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110909T0230Z/
/MFDP1.2.ER.110908T0545Z.110908T0700Z.110908T2030Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER CRESTED AT 13.07 FEET AT 330 AM AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE TODAY.
* AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT SEVERAL HOMES AND A BUSINESS 
  ALONG BUSINESS ROUTE 15 SOUTH OF THE CITY OF MANSFIELD NEXT TO 
  CANOE CREEK.

$$

PAC027-109-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-110910T1048Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.110908T0324Z.110909T0000Z.110910T0448Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET..
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* AT 10.0 FEET...HIGH WATER OVERFLOWS BOTH BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES AND 
  COTTAGES ON THE LEFT OR NORTH BANK ARE AFFECTED. MANY SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE CREEK ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER LEVELS.

$$

PAC099-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-110909T1330Z/
/SMDP1.2.ER.110907T0515Z.110907T1930Z.110909T0730Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE.
* AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES ALONG RIVER ROAD ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH 
  WATER.

$$

PAC061-081256-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-110908T2304Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.110907T0306Z.110907T1901Z.110908T1132Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8 AM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 8.9 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG EXCEEDS ITS 
  BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES ARE AFFECTED.

$$

902 
WGUS81 KCTP 081258
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED THIS MORNING.

&&

PAC081-090058-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0095.110908T1600Z-110909T1930Z/
/WILP1.1.ER.110908T1600Z.110909T0000Z.110909T1330Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 20.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MORNING TOMORROW.
* AT 21.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES AND ROADS IN THE AREA OUTSIDE
  THE LEVEE SYSTEM ARE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-090058-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.0 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 27.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN MUNCY ARE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-097-119-090058-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.2.ER.110908T0005Z.110908T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.0 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES ARE FLOODED. SEVERAL MORE 
  STREETS ARE ALSO AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-090058-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.0 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 28.0 FEET.
* AT 29.0 FEET...MANY RESIDENCES ON CANAL STREET FLOOD. SOME HOMES ON
  ELM STREET ARE ALSO AFFECTED. HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN OTHER LOW 
  LYING AREAS ARE ALSO AFFECTED.

$$

PAC097-119-090058-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ILTP1.3.ER.110908T0128Z.110908T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN MILTON AND WEST MILTON ARE 
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-090058-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110911T0600Z/
/LWBP1.2.ER.110908T0116Z.110909T0000Z.110911T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 26.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...THE RIGHT...OR WEST BANK OVERFLOWS AND AFFECTS 
  LEWISBURG. WIDESPREAD INUNDATION ON THE LEFT BANK AFFECTS SEVERAL 
  MOBILE HOME PARKS. MANY RESIDENCES AND BUSINESSES ON BOTH BANKS ARE
  AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC081-113-090058-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-110909T1815Z/
/LOYP1.3.ER.110907T1644Z.110908T0900Z.110909T1215Z.NR/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER APPEARS TO HAVE CRESTED EARLIER THIS MORNING AND SHOULD
  BEGIN SLOWLY RECEDING TODAY.
* AT 14.0 FEET MANY RESIDENCES ON BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO BE AFFECTED.


$$

PAC117-081328-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110909T0230Z/
/MFDP1.2.ER.110908T0545Z.110908T0700Z.110908T1000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6 AM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 4.9 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.


$$

063 
WGUS81 KCTP 081934
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE
  CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA
  CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL
  SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN
  SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY
  SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED THIS EVENING.

&&

PAC043-075-107-090734-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HTVP1.3.ER.110907T0212Z.110908T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN.
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 25.6 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 25.0 FEET WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE HARPER TAVERN
  AREA.


$$

PAC043-075-090734-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HERP1.3.ER.110907T0342Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 27.0 FEET WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE HERSHEY AREA.


$$

PAC043-090734-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIDP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 28.7 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 28.5 FEET MUCH OF MIDDLETOWN IS AFFECTED BY FLOODING.


$$

PAC081-082004-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-110909T1930Z/
/WILP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 19.8 FEET...AND WILL 
  CONTINUE FALLING TO 14.4 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...HIGH WATER AFFECTS A FEW HOMES AND SOME ROADWAYS IN 
  AREAS NOT PROTECTED BY THE LEVEE SYSTEM. THE CAMPING AREA WEST OF 
  WILLIAMSPORT IS SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-090733-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY NEAR CREST.
* AT 31.0 FEET...NORTH MARKET...MAIN...AND WASHINGTON STREETS ARE 
  FLOODED.

$$

PAC081-097-119-090733-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.3.ER.110908T0005Z.110908T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY NEAR CREST. 
* AT 26.0 FEET A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES ARE FLOODED. SEVERAL 
  MORE STREETS ARE ALSO AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-090733-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY NEAR CREST. 
* AT 27.0 FEET A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE WATSONTOWN AREA ARE
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-090733-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-110910T1000Z/
/ILTP1.3.ER.110908T0128Z.110908T1631Z.110910T0400Z.NO/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST AND WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 27.0 FEET A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE WATSONTOWN AREA ARE
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-090733-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110910T1300Z/
/LWBP1.2.ER.110908T0116Z.110908T1830Z.110910T0700Z.NO/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST AND WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS ON THE RIGHT...OR WEST BANK ARE 
  AFFECTED. THE LEFT BANK CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE INUNDATION.

$$

PAC081-113-090733-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-110909T1300Z/
/LOYP1.3.ER.110907T1644Z.110909T0000Z.110909T0700Z.NR/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE MISSING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER GAGES IS CURRENTLY OUT OF SERVICE THOUGH
  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ESTIMATES A CREST OF
  NEAR 24.0 FEET OCCURRED THIS AFTERNOON. THE CREEK
  WILL BEGIN TO RECEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
* AT 24.0 FEET WIDESPREAD MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN
  THE LOYALSOCKVILLE AREA AND POINTS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM.


$$

PAC037-090733-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BMBP1.3.ER.110908T0524Z.110909T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 32.0 FEET...BLOOMSBURG HIGH SCHOOL IS AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC037-093-097-090733-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DANP1.3.ER.110908T0446Z.110909T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST JUST BELOW 32.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 32.0 FEET...AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE LEVEE SYSTEM EXPERIENCES 
  WIDESPREAD FLOODING. THE LEVEE SYSTEM PROTECTS MOST OF DANVILLE TO 
  A HEIGHT OF 34 FEET.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-090733-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBYP1.3.ER.110908T0413Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST JUST OVER 34.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 34.0 FEET...MOST AREAS ADJACENT TO THE RIVER...WHICH ARE NOT 
  PROTECTED BY THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM...ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH
  WATER. CATASTROPHIC FLOODING OCCURS IN SOME OF THESE AREAS.

$$

PAC041-043-067-071-097-099-109-133-090733-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARP1.3.ER.110908T0501Z.110910T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 28.5 FEET BY LATE EVENING TOMORROW THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS IN THE RESIDENTIAL 
  SECTIONS OF FRONT AND SECOND STREETS AND IN THE SHIPOKE AREA OF 
  HARRISBURG.

$$

PAC071-133-090733-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRTP1.3.ER.110908T0050Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 56.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 49.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 62.1 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 64.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING ON BOTH BANKS AFFECTS HOMES...
  BUSINESSES...AND THE WATER AND SEWAGE PLANTS.

$$

PAC071-133-090733-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-110910T1800Z/
/LNCP1.3.ER.110908T0102Z.110909T0000Z.110910T1200Z.NO/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER.
* AT 1 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 21.6 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR NEAR THE RIVER IN LANCASTER.


$$

PAC041-090733-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HGSP1.2.ER.110907T0935Z.110908T1145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.0 FEET THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...SOME RESIDENCES IN THE VICINITY OF ERB'S BRIDGE 
  ROAD...PROWELL ROAD...STONE SPRING LANE...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE 
  FLOODED.

$$

PAC041-133-090733-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110907T0633Z.110909T1500Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
334 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR NEAR 10.0 FEET THROUGH LATE MORNING 
  TOMORROW THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW 
  BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
732 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED ADDITIONAL
FLOODING AND EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE OVER EASTERN SECTIONS
OF PENNSYLVANIA THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TODAY
WILL BE MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE ACROSS WESTERN AREAS. WHILE THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN...A MOIST AND SHOWERY PATTERN
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. DRIER AIR SHOULD LEAD TO
STEADILY IMPROVING CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
CATASTROPHIC FLOODING SCENARIO PLAYING OUT OVER MY EASTERN
COUNTIES AS TORRENTIAL OVERNIGHT RAINFALL ADDED TO ALREADY
STAGGERING 84 HOUR TOTALS FROM THE ENDLESS MOUNTAIN REGION OF
NORTHEAST PA TO THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA RIVER VALLEY. PEMA REPORTS
OVER 450 ROADS CLOSED AND AT LEAST 2 FATALITIES THUS FAR FROM
HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING. COLUMBIA COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS
MOST PRIMARY AND SECONDARY ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. EXCESSIVE
RUNOFF FROM OVERNIGHT RAINS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MID TO LATE
MORNING HOURS...AND THE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS (WITH FLASH FLOOD
EMERGENCY WORDING) WHICH HAD BEEN IN EFFECT SINCE LAST EVENING
HAVE GRADUALLY BEEN REPLACED BY AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH THIS MORNING AS ONGOING SEVERE FLOODING AND ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINS PREVENT MUCH IMPROVEMENT OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF MY
AREA.

IF THERE IS ANY GOOD NEWS THIS MORNING...IT'S THAT THE STATIONARY
BAND OF CONVECTIVE RAINFALL WHICH HAD EXTENDED FROM EASTERN VA AND
THE DELMARVA REGION NORTHWARD TO THE ENDLESS MOUNTAIN REGION OF NE
PA AND INTO NEW YORK STATE HAS FRACTURED INTO SEVERAL LINES OF
WEAKER SHOWERS BRINGING A MUCH NEEDED LULL IN THE RAINFALL.
HOWEVER...IT'S FAR TOO LITTLE TOO LATE AS EXTREME FLOODING IMPACTS
ARE JUST BEGINNING TO BECOME KNOWN THIS MORNING. GIVEN CONTINUED
RUNOFF...CONDITIONS WILL ONLY WORSEN THIS MORNING.
THEREFORE...AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MY EASTERN
THIRD OF COUNTIES.

MODEL CONENSUS BACKS 1.5" PW BACK INTO CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL
PA LATER TODAY...WITH SHOWERS EXPECTED TO BACK INTO THESE AREAS AS
A RESULT. HOWEVER THE 2"+ PW WHICH FED EXCESSIVE HEAVY RAINS OVER
EASTERN PA HAS NOW SHIFTED TO TO COAST WHICH IS ALSO A POSITIVE
SIGN. STILL...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS UNWELCOME AT THIS POINT.
MY QPF GRIDS DO SHOW AN ADDITIONAL 0.75" TO 1.5" ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL AND N CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE EXTENT OF FLOODING IN SOME AREAS...COMBINED WITH THE
ADDITIONAL RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO
CREATE DANGEROUS/LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE
EASTERN PORTION OF OUR CWA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
DEEP EASTERLY FLOW AND FILLING UPPER LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL
KEEP MOIST AND OCCASIONALLY SHOWERY CONDITIONS OVER CENTRAL PA
THROUGH FRIDAY. WHILE HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT OR
FRIDAY...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WOULD ADD INSULT TO INJURY OVER
THE EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER LOW FROM THE REMNANTS OF TS LEE WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AND
LIFT OUT...KEEPING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...THOUGH DAY TO DAY CHANCES SHOULD DECREASE. A
NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL BRING A FRONT THROUGH THE STATE TUE
INTO WED. HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THIS FRONT MAY BRING A PERIOD OF
DRY WEATHER TO THE REGION LATER NEXT WEEK.

WHILE TEMPS SHOULD NOT BE FAR FROM NORMAL REMAINS HARD TO SEE A
SEVERAL DAY PERIOD OF DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS. BEST CHC FOR DRY
WEATHER WILL BE MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT 4 AM...MOST OF THE CONVECTION WAS WEAK...BUT NOW HAS FILLED
IN. THUS ADJUSTED EASTERN SITES...IPT...MDT...AND LNS FOR
CONVECTION.

INCLEMENT FLYING CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY... WITH
MAINLY IFR CONDITIONS. HARD TO SEE THINGS GETTING MUCH BETTER THIS
AFT...AS WE WILL BE ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT WITH LOW CIGS.

IN ADDITION...STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR POSSIBLE WITHIN A FEW
THOUSANT FEET OF THE GROUND...GIVEN INTENSE WARM FRONT JUST TO THE
EAST OF THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. FAR WESTERN SITES LIKE JST MAY
SCATTER OUT FOR A BRIEF TIME...BUT EXPECT THE PREVAILING
CONDITIONS EVEN AT THESE WESTERN SITES TO BE POOR FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY.

A LITTLE IMPROVEMENT AS ONE HEADS INTO THE WEEKEND...AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT NOT GREAT...AS LOW CIGS WILL BE LIKELY
FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT AND DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS...GIVEN THE LACK OF A DRIER AIRMASS BEING
ADVECTED INTO THE AREA ANYTIME SOON.

OUTLOOK...
FRI...MVFR/IFR.
SAT-MON...MVFR BUT POCKETS OF IFR AT TIMES.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DEVASTATING/MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF
THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER. ADDITIONAL RUNOFF FROM LAST NIGHTS HEAVY
BANDS OF RAIN COMBINED WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1-2" OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS WILL LEAD TO CRESTS 1 TO 2 FEET HIGHER ON THE MAIN STEM THAN
THE PREVIOUS ISSUANCE. THE LATEST FORECAST CRESTS ON THE SUSQUEHANNA
ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE JUST BELOW THE LEVELS EXPERIENCED
DURING AGNES IN 1972. MAJOR TO RECORD FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON THE
SWATARA CREEK AND LOYALSOCKVILLE. MINOR FLOODING IS NOW POSSIBLE
AT WILLIAMSPORT...WITH MAJOR FLOODING ANTICIPATED AT THE LOWER WEST
BRANCH POINTS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT:
WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ERH/MARFC

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD 24 HOUR RAINFALL AT IPT AND MDT YESTERDAY. NOT ONLY
WAS THIS A RECORD FOR THE DATE...BUT FOR MONTH OF SEPTEMBER...
WITH THE HEAVIEST 24 AMT ON RECORD AT BOTH SITES.

7.71 INCHES AT MDT...OLD RECORD WAS 1.18 SET IN 1998.
6.76 INCHES AT IPT...OLD RECORD WAS 6.29 SET IN 1999.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR PAZ006-012-018-019-
026>028-036-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GRUMM/LAMBERT
NEAR TERM...DEVOIR/LAMBERT
SHORT TERM...GRUMM/DEVOIR
LONG TERM...GARTNER/MARTIN
AVIATION...MARTIN/RXR
HYDROLOGY...STEINBUGL
CLIMATE...MARTIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
345 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

PAZ006-012-018-019-026>028-036-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-090745-
POTTER-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-HUNTINGDON-
MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
345 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ004-005-010-011-017-024-025-033>035-090745-
WARREN-MCKEAN-ELK-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-
FULTON-
345 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
217 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

PAZ051>053-080645-
COLUMBIA PA-MONTOUR PA-NORTHUMBERLAND PA-
217 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL NORTHUMBERLAND...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTOUR AND SOUTHWESTERN COLUMBIA COUNTIES...

AT 213 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR LECK KILL...MOVING
NORTH AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL
AFFECT FARNSWORTH...ELYSBURG AND MECHANICSVILLE.

ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THIS STORM. BE PREPARED TO TAKE
ACTION IF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED.

THIS WILL IMPACT I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 222 AND 228.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 11...STATE
ROAD 61.

LAT...LON 4074 7648 4067 7667 4068 7674 4102 7667
      4098 7639

FORECASTER: STEINBUGL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
316 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

PAZ056-063>065-080815-
ADAMS PA-CUMBERLAND PA-PERRY PA-YORK PA-
316 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL PERRY...EASTERN
CUMBERLAND...NORTHEASTERN ADAMS AND NORTHWESTERN YORK COUNTIES...

AT 314 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR HEIDLERSBURG...MOVING
NORTH AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL
AFFECT YORK SPRINGS...BOILING SPRINGS...CARLISLE SPRINGS...
SHERMANSDALE AND NEW BLOOMFIELD.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...THE
PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 221 AND 235...I-81 BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 43 AND 61.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 11...ROUTE
11/15...ROUTE 15...ROUTE 30...STATE ROAD 94.

LAT...LON 3982 7721 4046 7730 4045 7698 4044 7698
      4042 7701 4038 7703 4036 7702 4036 7698
      3983 7698

FORECASTER: MARTIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
344 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

PAZ058-080830-
SCHUYLKILL PA-
344 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN SCHUYLKILL COUNTY...

AT 343 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR HAMBURG...MOVING NORTH
AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL
AFFECT DEER LAKE...NEW RINGGOLD...SNYDERS AND COALDALE.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 209...STATE ROAD
61...STATE ROAD 309.

LAT...LON 4069 7583 4064 7598 4057 7601 4058 7605
      4056 7608 4056 7612 4088 7596 4081 7588
      4075 7577 4073 7576

FORECASTER: MARTIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
519 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

PAZ065-066-080945-
LANCASTER PA-YORK PA-
519 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL YORK AND LANCASTER
COUNTIES...

AT 513 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR BROGUE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL
AFFECT MILLERSVILLE...LANCASTER AND LITITZ.

WEAK ROTATION HAS BEN DETECTED IN THIS STORM. BE PREPARED TO TAKE
SHELTER IF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 272
AND 277.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...STATE HIGHWAY
283...ROUTE 30...ROUTE 222...ROUTE 322...STATE ROAD 501.

LAT...LON 3984 7666 4025 7633 4026 7629 4015 7607
      3975 7643

FORECASTER: MARTIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
557 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

PAZ059-065-066-081100-
LANCASTER PA-LEBANON PA-YORK PA-
557 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN LEBANON...EASTERN YORK
AND LANCASTER COUNTIES...

AT 549 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR NORRISVILLE...MOVING
NORTH AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL
AFFECT SUNNYBURN...DELTA...FELTON...AND WINTERSTOWN...SAFE HARBOR...
SHENKS FERRY...BROGUE...AND HOLTWOOD...MILLERSVILLE AND MOUNTVILLE.

WEAK ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THIS STORM. BE PREPARED SEEK
SHELTER IF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED.

IN ADDITION...OTHER STORMS ARE FORMING ACROSS NORTHERN MARYLAND...
WHICH COULD ALSO ROTATE AS THEY MOVE NORTH AT 30 MPH.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...THE
PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 263 AND 295...I-78 BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 7 AND 8...I-83 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 8.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...STATE HIGHWAY
283...ROUTE 22...ROUTE 30...ROUTE 222...ROUTE 322...ROUTE 422...STATE
ROAD 41...STATE ROAD 501.

LAT...LON 4047 7639 4014 7587 4011 7593 4004 7593
      3996 7599 3987 7598 3972 7610 3971 7674
      3972 7674

FORECASTER: MARTIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
702 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

PAZ058-059-065-066-081200-
LANCASTER PA-LEBANON PA-SCHUYLKILL PA-YORK PA-
702 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL LANCASTER...EASTERN
LEBANON...EASTERN YORK AND SOUTH CENTRAL SCHUYLKILL COUNTIES...

AT 655 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR FAWN GROVE...MOVING
NORTH AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL
AFFECT SAFE HARBOR...EAST PETERSBURG...LITITZ...KLEINFELTERSVILLE AND
RICHLAND.

WEAK ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THIS STORM. BE PREPARED TO SEEK
SHELTER IF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED.

IN ADDITION...OTHER STORMS ARE FORMING ACROSS NORTHERN MARYLAND...
WHICH COLD ALSO ROTATE AS THEY MOVE NORTH AT 30 MPH.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...THE
PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 265 AND 285...I-78 BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 7 AND 8.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...STATE HIGHWAY
283...ROUTE 22...ROUTE 30...ROUTE 222...ROUTE 322...ROUTE 422...STATE
ROAD 501.

LAT...LON 4057 7637 4053 7621 4051 7625 4051 7636
      4048 7639 4045 7636 4037 7621 4027 7608
      3971 7631 3972 7664

FORECASTER: MARTIN