Alert archive / Pennsylvania / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 94, NWS State College, PA

September 8, 2011Tioga County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this river flood warning at Sep 8, 2011, 12:55 AM EDT for Tioga County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Sep 8, 2011, 5:28 AM EDT. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 8, 2011, 12:55 AM EDT (04:55 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 8, 2011, 5:28 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 8, 2011, 8:58 AM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Flood severity
Minor

County Tioga County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tioga River at Mansfield (MFDP1). The gauge peaked at 13.08 ft at Sep 8, 2011, 3:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderatemajor051009/0809/09
Action stage
9 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
13 ft
Major stage
14 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01516350, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

221 
WGUS41 KCTP 080456
FLWCTP
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
1255 AM EDT THU SEP 08 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA...

  TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING.

&&

PAC117-081656-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0094.110908T0952Z-110908T2100Z/
/MFDP1.1.ER.110908T0952Z.110908T1200Z.110908T1500Z.NO/
1256 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD
* FROM EARLY THIS MORNING TO THIS AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...9.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 12.6 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT SEVERAL HOMES AND A BUSINESS 
  ALONG BUSINESS ROUTE 15 SOUTH OF THE CITY OF MANSFIELD NEXT TO 
  CANOE CREEK.

$$
3 follow-up statements
196 
WGUS41 KCTP 080940
FLWCTP
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
540 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA...

  TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING.

&&

PAC081-082140-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
540 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN
  FALLING.
* AT 31.0 FEET...NORTH MARKET...MAIN...AND WASHINGTON STREETS ARE 
  FLOODED.

$$

PAC081-097-119-082140-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.3.ER.110908T0005Z.110908T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
540 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...25.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE AFFECTED BY 
  WIDESPREAD FLOODING.

$$

PAC097-119-082140-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
540 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET THSI EVENING THEN BEGIN
  FALLING.
* AT 31.0 FEET...MANY HOMES IN WATSONTOWN ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER 
  LEVELS. A NUMBER OF STREETS AND ROADS ARE CLOSED.

$$

PAC097-119-082140-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110911T0417Z/
/LWBP1.3.ER.110908T0116Z.110909T0000Z.110910T2217Z.NO/
540 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...23.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 29.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...WATER LEVEL REACHES THE INTERSECTION OF SAINT GEORGE
  AND 3RD STREETS IN LEWISBURG.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-082140-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBYP1.3.ER.110908T0413Z.110910T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
540 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...26.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 34.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 34.0 FEET...MOST AREAS ADJACENT TO THE RIVER...WHICH ARE NOT 
  PROTECTED BY THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM...ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH
  WATER. CATASROPHIC FLOODING OCCURS IN SOME OF THESE AREAS.

$$

PAC117-082140-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0094.110908T0928Z-110909T0230Z/
/MFDP1.2.ER.110908T0545Z.110908T1200Z.110908T2030Z.NO/
540 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...12.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 13.4 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT SEVERAL HOMES AND A BUSINESS 
  ALONG BUSINESS ROUTE 15 SOUTH OF THE CITY OF MANSFIELD NEXT TO 
  CANOE CREEK.

$$

EVANEGO
795 
WGUS81 KCTP 081226
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA
  PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK
  SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE
  CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL
  SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN
  SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY
  SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN
  CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED THIS MORNING.

&&

PAC081-113-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-110909T1731Z/
/LOYP1.3.ER.110907T1644Z.110908T0900Z.110909T1131Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.8 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* 14.0 FEET MANY RESIDENCES ON BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO BE AFFECTED.


$$

PAC043-075-107-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HTVP1.3.ER.110907T0212Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN.
* AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 25.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 25.0 FEET WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT HARPER TAVERN.


$$

PAC043-075-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HERP1.3.ER.110907T0342Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.8 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 23.0 FEET WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT HERSHEY.


$$

PAC043-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIDP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN.
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 30.6 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 28.5 FEET MUCH OF MIDDLETOWN IS AFFECTED BY FLOODING.


$$

PAC081-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0095.110908T1600Z-110909T2100Z/
/WILP1.1.ER.110908T1600Z.110909T0000Z.110909T1500Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* AT 21.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES AND ROADS IN THE AREA OUTSIDE
  THE LEVEE SYSTEM ARE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-090026-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 31.0 FEET...NORTH MARKET...MAIN...AND WASHINGTON STREETS ARE 
  FLOODED.

$$

PAC081-097-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.3.ER.110908T0005Z.110908T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE AFFECTED BY 
  WIDESPREAD FLOODING.

$$

PAC097-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET THIS EVENING.
* AT 31.0 FEET...MANY HOMES IN WATSONTOWN ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER 
  LEVELS. A NUMBER OF STREETS AND ROADS ARE CLOSED.

$$

PAC097-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ILTP1.3.ER.110908T0128Z.110908T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 29.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MANY HOMES ON BOTH BANKS ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110911T0417Z/
/LWBP1.3.ER.110908T0116Z.110909T0000Z.110910T2217Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 29.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...WATER LEVEL REACHES THE INTERSECTION OF SAINT GEORGE
  AND 3RD STREETS IN LEWISBURG.

$$

PAC037-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BMBP1.3.ER.110908T0524Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG.
* AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 32.0 FEET...BLOOMSBURG HIGH SCHOOL IS AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC037-093-097-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DANP1.3.ER.110908T0446Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 31.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 32.0 FEET...AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE LEVEE SYSTEM EXPERIENCES 
  WIDESPREAD FLOODING. THE LEVEE SYSTEM PROTECTS MOST OF DANVILLE TO 
  A HEIGHT OF 34 FEET.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBYP1.3.ER.110908T0413Z.110910T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 34.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 34.0 FEET...MOST AREAS ADJACENT TO THE RIVER...WHICH ARE NOT 
  PROTECTED BY THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM...ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH
  WATER. CATASROPHIC FLOODING OCCURS IN SOME OF THESE AREAS.

$$

PAC041-043-067-071-097-099-109-133-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARP1.3.ER.110908T0501Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 28.7 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS IN THE RESIDENTIAL 
  SECTIONS OF FRONT AND SECOND STREETS AND IN THE SHIPOKE AREA OF 
  HARRISBURG.

$$

PAC071-133-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRTP1.3.ER.110908T0050Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 54.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 49.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 62.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 64.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING ON BOTH BANKS AFFECTS HOMES...
  BUSINESSES...AND THE WATER AND SEWAGE PLANTS.

$$

PAC071-133-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LNCP1.3.ER.110908T0102Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER.
* AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 22.9 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 22.0 WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT LANCASTER.


$$

PAC041-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HGSP1.2.ER.110907T0935Z.110909T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 11.7 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER ALL ALONG 
  THE CREEK.  THE APPROACHES TO THE BRIDGES ON ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...
  SAMPLE BRIDGE ROAD...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC041-133-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110907T0633Z.110909T1100Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT
  ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.  CEDAR CLIFF DRIVE ON THE LEFT BANK 
  UPSTREAM FROM THE BRIDGE IS INUNDATED. CREEKWOOD DRIVE HAS SEVERAL 
  FEET OF WATER ON IT, AND WATER IS APPROACHING HOMES.

$$

PAC117-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110909T0230Z/
/MFDP1.2.ER.110908T0545Z.110908T0700Z.110908T2030Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER CRESTED AT 13.07 FEET AT 330 AM AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE TODAY.
* AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT SEVERAL HOMES AND A BUSINESS 
  ALONG BUSINESS ROUTE 15 SOUTH OF THE CITY OF MANSFIELD NEXT TO 
  CANOE CREEK.

$$

PAC027-109-119-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-110910T1048Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.110908T0324Z.110909T0000Z.110910T0448Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET..
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* AT 10.0 FEET...HIGH WATER OVERFLOWS BOTH BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES AND 
  COTTAGES ON THE LEFT OR NORTH BANK ARE AFFECTED. MANY SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE CREEK ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER LEVELS.

$$

PAC099-090025-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-110909T1330Z/
/SMDP1.2.ER.110907T0515Z.110907T1930Z.110909T0730Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE.
* AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES ALONG RIVER ROAD ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH 
  WATER.

$$

PAC061-081256-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-110908T2304Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.110907T0306Z.110907T1901Z.110908T1132Z.NO/
826 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8 AM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 8.9 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG EXCEEDS ITS 
  BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES ARE AFFECTED.

$$
902 
WGUS81 KCTP 081258
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED THIS MORNING.

&&

PAC081-090058-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0095.110908T1600Z-110909T1930Z/
/WILP1.1.ER.110908T1600Z.110909T0000Z.110909T1330Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 20.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MORNING TOMORROW.
* AT 21.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES AND ROADS IN THE AREA OUTSIDE
  THE LEVEE SYSTEM ARE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-090058-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.0 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 27.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN MUNCY ARE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-097-119-090058-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.2.ER.110908T0005Z.110908T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.0 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES ARE FLOODED. SEVERAL MORE 
  STREETS ARE ALSO AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-090058-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.0 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 28.0 FEET.
* AT 29.0 FEET...MANY RESIDENCES ON CANAL STREET FLOOD. SOME HOMES ON
  ELM STREET ARE ALSO AFFECTED. HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN OTHER LOW 
  LYING AREAS ARE ALSO AFFECTED.

$$

PAC097-119-090058-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ILTP1.3.ER.110908T0128Z.110908T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN MILTON AND WEST MILTON ARE 
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-090058-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110911T0600Z/
/LWBP1.2.ER.110908T0116Z.110909T0000Z.110911T0000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 26.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...THE RIGHT...OR WEST BANK OVERFLOWS AND AFFECTS 
  LEWISBURG. WIDESPREAD INUNDATION ON THE LEFT BANK AFFECTS SEVERAL 
  MOBILE HOME PARKS. MANY RESIDENCES AND BUSINESSES ON BOTH BANKS ARE
  AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC081-113-090058-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-110909T1815Z/
/LOYP1.3.ER.110907T1644Z.110908T0900Z.110909T1215Z.NR/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER APPEARS TO HAVE CRESTED EARLIER THIS MORNING AND SHOULD
  BEGIN SLOWLY RECEDING TODAY.
* AT 14.0 FEET MANY RESIDENCES ON BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO BE AFFECTED.


$$

PAC117-081328-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110909T0230Z/
/MFDP1.2.ER.110908T0545Z.110908T0700Z.110908T1000Z.NO/
858 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TIOGA RIVER AT MANSFIELD.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6 AM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 4.9 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 7, 10:53 PM EDT, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 7, 10:53 PM EDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1053 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL FLOODING THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...MAINLY OVER
EASTERN SECTIONS OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. RAIN WILL BE MORE
SCATTERED IN NATURE ACROSS WESTERN AREAS.

RAINFALL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SHOULD DIMINISH THURSDAY AS A
CUT-OFF LOW DRIFTS WESTWARD. LEAVING US IN A MOIST AND SHOWERY
PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. DRIER AIR SHOULD LEAD TO
STEADILY IMPROVING CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
00Z NAM AND 01Z RUC SHOW A PERSISTENT NORTH/SOUTH RIBBON OF 850 MB
THETA-E CONVERGENCE CONTINUING RIGHT UP THE SUSQ MAINSTEM...AND
FLUCTUATING EAST/WEST A BIT UNDER THE QUASI STNRY RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF A 70-80 KT JET ACROSS THE REGION.

COMPACT VORT LOBES WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH OVER THE SAME
AREA...WELL TO THE EAST OF THE SPRIRALING REMNANTS OF WHAT WAS
ONCE TROPICAL STORM LEE /CENTERED NEAR KCMH THIS EVENING/.

THIS SCENARIO IS ABOUT AS BAD AS IT GETS IN THE FLOOD/FLASH
FLOODING DEPT. LOCATIONS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND LOWE SUSQ VALLEY
HAVE ALREADY SEEN STORM TOTAL RAINFALL /OVER THE PAST 3-4 DAYS/
BETWEEN 7 AND 11 INCHES. OPTED TO INCLUDE THE RARE...FLASH
FLOOD EMERGENCY WORDING IN OUR FFWS.

THE NEARLY STATIONARY...EAST-WEST SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED
ACROSS FAR SERN PENN...AND THE 925 MB FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR
KIPT...ENE TO KAVP WILL LEND ADDITIONAL HELP TO FOCUS THE HEAVIEST
RAIN IN THIS REGION. PWAT VALUES IN THIS AREA ARE EXCESSIVELY
HIGH AND RIGHT AROUND 2.25 INCHES. RAINFALL RATES WILL BE
AVERAGING BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR
OVERNIGHT ALONG...AND JUST TO THE WEST THE SUSQ MAINSTEM
OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY MUCH HEAVIER RATES /OVER ONE INCH PER HOUR/
WILL OCCUR IN TRAINING TSRA ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQ VALLEY..AND
OCCASIONALLY INTO THE MID SUSQ REGION JUST SOUTH OF THE 925 MB
FRONT.

THIS WILL ONLY ADD TO THE ALREADY SERIOUS AND EXTENSIVE FLOODING
AND FLASH FLOODING ONGOING IN THAT AREA. THE EXTENT OF FLOODING IN
SOME AREAS...COMBINED WITH THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT
WILL CREATE DANGEROUS/LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF OUR EASTERN CWA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
RAIN BANDS SHOULD WEAKEN/BECOME LESS ORGANIZED /AND LESS OF AN
IMPACT/ AFTER ABOUT 15Z ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY.

WE WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH THE WATER IN CREEKS AND RIVERS AS IT
ROUTES DOWNSTREAM THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

SHOWERY RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS WELL. WHILE THE MODELS
HINT AT EASTERN AREAS NOT SEEING MUCH...THERE STILL COULD BE A
SHOWER. EXPECT THE HEAVIEST RAIN TO BE ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER LOW FROM THE REMNANTS OF TS LEE WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AND
LIFT OUT...KEEPING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...THOUGH DAY TO DAY CHANCES SHOULD DECREASE. A
NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL BRING A FRONT THROUGH THE STATE TUE
INTO WED. HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THIS FRONT MAY BRING A PERIOD OF
DRY WEATHER TO THE REGION LATER NEXT WEEK.

WHILE TEMPS SHOULD NOT BE FAR FROM NORMAL REMAINS HARD TO SEE A
SEVERAL DAY PERIOD OF DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS. BEST CHC FOR DRY
WEATHER WILL BE MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
INCLEMENT FLYING CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD
WITH WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS. BANDS OF MODERATE AND HEAVY
RAIN WILL PRIMARILY BE FOCUSED OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF CWA
TONIGHT...WITH ISOLD TSTMS POSS NEAR KLNS-KMDT. SCT SHOWERS LIKELY
IN THE WEST TONIGHT.

HIGHEST PROB OF RAIN REMAINS IN THE EAST THU...AS CHANCES AGAIN
RETURN TO THE WEST. CIGS IMPROVE SOMEWHAT DURING THE DAY...WITH
LOCALLY WORSE CONDITIONS.

OUTLOOK...
THU...MVFR/IFR.
FRI-SUN...VFR/MVFR.
MON...VFR/MVFR.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ERN TWO THIRDS OF THE CWA
THROUGH THURSDAY. AN ADDITIONAL 1-2 INCHES OF RNFL IS EXPECTED
NEAR AND JUST TO THE WEST OF THE SUSQ MAINSTEM...WITH LESSER
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN MTNS. LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY
ADDITONAL RAINFALL AMTS IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES ARE PSBL ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEASTERN ZONES. SIGNIFICANT AREAL AND RIVER/STREAM FLOODING
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ROUGHLY THE ERN HALF OF PENN FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. REFER TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER'S
HOMEPAGE MAP OF CLICKABLE STREAM/RIVER POINTS FOR THE LATEST ON
THE EXPECTED WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR /AND IN SOME CASES
RECORD/ FLOODING. THIS INFO CAN BE FOUND AT:
WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ERH/MARFC

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR PAZ006-012-018-019-
026>028-036-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GRUMM/LAMBERT
NEAR TERM...LAMBERT
SHORT TERM...GRUMM
LONG TERM...GARTNER/MARTIN
AVIATION...RXR
HYDROLOGY...LAMBERT
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 7, 9:49 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
949 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

PAZ006-012-018-019-026>028-036-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-090200-
POTTER-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-HUNTINGDON-
MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
949 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ004-005-010-011-017-024-025-033>035-090200-
WARREN-MCKEAN-ELK-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-
FULTON-
949 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

RXR

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 7, 7:46 PM EDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
746 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

PAZ058-080015-
SCHUYLKILL PA-
746 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN SCHUYLKILL
COUNTY...

AT 740 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR BERNVILLE...MOVING
NORTH AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM...WHICH COULD
EASILY DOWN TREES DUE TO THE WET GROUND. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL
FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND FILL
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN WILL CAUSE RAPID RISES ON SMALL
STREAMS AND CREEKS. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT SUMMIT STATION...AUBURN
AND DEER LAKE.

LAT...LON 4067 7589 4063 7599 4058 7600 4057 7601
      4058 7605 4053 7617 4051 7626 4075 7622
      4070 7588

FORECASTER: KF
Special weather statement, Sep 7, 8:32 PM EDT, 4 hours 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
832 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

PAZ058-059-066-080100-
LANCASTER PA-LEBANON PA-SCHUYLKILL PA-
832 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL SCHUYLKILL...
EAST CENTRAL LEBANON AND EASTERN LANCASTER COUNTIES...

AT 825 PM EDT...A NEARLY STATIONARY LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED FROM POTTSVILLE TO 28 MILES SOUTH OF WILLOW STREET...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...WHICH COULD
EASILY KNOCK TREES DOWN DUE TO THE VERY WET GROUND. VERY HEAVY RAIN
WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS
AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN WILL CAUSE RAPID RISES ON
SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

LAT...LON 3976 7627 4041 7631 4051 7629 4051 7631
      4080 7633 4086 7605 4058 7600 4051 7629
      4042 7630 4018 7593 4004 7593 3996 7599
      3987 7598 3977 7606 3972 7610 3972 7624

FORECASTER:
Special weather statement, Sep 8, 12:33 AM EDT, 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1233 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

PAZ052-057>059-080500-
DAUPHIN PA-LEBANON PA-NORTHUMBERLAND PA-SCHUYLKILL PA-
1233 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN DAUPHIN...
NORTHWESTERN LEBANON...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTHUMBERLAND AND WEST CENTRAL
SCHUYLKILL COUNTIES...

AT 1229 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR PENN NATIONAL
RACEWAY...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN
WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT DEHART
DAM...LYKENS AND WILLIAMSTOWN.

SLIGHT ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THESE STORMS. BE PREPARED TO
TAKE ACTION IF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED.

THIS WILL IMPACT I-81 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 71 AND 86.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 22...ROUTE
209...ROUTE 422.

LAT...LON 4074 7678 4071 7649 4029 7659 4031 7682

FORECASTER: STEINBUGL

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 7, 10:09 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCTPColumbia, Dauphin, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill and 4 more6 hr
Sep 7, 11:11 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Perry6 hr
Sep 8, 12:33 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPDauphin27 min
Sep 8, 12:59 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York8 hr
Sep 8, 1:05 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPDauphin25 min
Sep 8, 1:30 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLebanon30 min
Sep 8, 1:33 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPDauphin27 min
Sep 8, 1:52 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPNorthumberland23 min
Sep 8, 1:58 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLebanon, Schuylkill32 min
Sep 8, 2:17 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPNorthumberland28 min
Sep 8, 3:16 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPPerry59 min
Sep 8, 3:44 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPSchuylkill46 min
Sep 8, 4:01 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPColumbia, Dauphin, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill and 4 more34 hr
Sep 8, 5:01 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Perry22 hr
Sep 8, 5:19 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLancaster26 min
Sep 8, 5:57 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLancaster63 min
Sep 8, 7:02 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLancaster58 min
Sep 8, 7:46 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPLycoming8 hr
Sep 8, 7:53 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLancaster52 min
Sep 8, 9:22 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York24 hr
Sep 8, 7:59 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchCTPAdams, Bedford, Blair, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton and 5 more8 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.