River Flood Warning 80, NWS State College, PA

477 
WGUS81 KCTP 072122
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  JUNIATA RIVER AT MAPLETON DEPOT
  RAYSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA AT SAXTON

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG
  LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER AT SPRUCE CREEK
  JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON
  JUNIATA RIVER AT LEWISTOWN
  JUNIATA RIVER AT NEWPORT
  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA
  SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON
  BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION
  LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE
  PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK
  CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL
  SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN
  SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY
  SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN
  CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED BY LATE THIS EVENING. 

&&

PAC081-113-080922-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-110909T1549Z/
/LOYP1.3.ER.110907T1644Z.110908T0600Z.110909T0949Z.NR/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

PAC043-075-107-080922-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HTVP1.3.ER.110907T0212Z.110908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 21 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.


$$

PAC043-075-080922-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HERP1.3.ER.110907T0342Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 20.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

PAC043-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIDP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE CREEK IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 24 FEET THURSDAY EVENING.

$$

PAC081-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 26 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...THE SPROUT BAUER PLANT EXPERIECNES SIGNIFICANT 
  FLOODING. MANY HOMES IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ALSO AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-097-119-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0089.110908T0624Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.2.ER.110908T0624Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 26.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES ARE FLOODED. SEVERAL MORE 
  STREETS ARE ALSO AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 26 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 27.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE WATSONTOWN AREA ARE 
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0091.110908T0424Z-000000T0000Z/
/ILTP1.3.ER.110908T0424Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 25.5 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 25.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN MILTON AND WEST MILTON WILL FLOOD.
  HIGH WATER AFFECTS THE AMERICAN FOODS PLANT IN MILTON.

$$

PAC097-119-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0092.110908T0330Z-110910T1938Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.110908T0330Z.110908T1800Z.110910T1338Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 23.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE MOBILE HOME PARK ALONG ROUTE 405 DOWNSTREAM OF 
  THE BRIDGE WILL FLOOD.

$$

PAC037-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0083.110908T0538Z-000000T0000Z/
/BMBP1.3.ER.110908T0538Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 30.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MOST AREAS SOUTH OF 10TH STREET AND WEST OF RAILROAD
  STREET ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. FLOOD WATERS INUNDATE MORE THAN 
  25 PERCENT OF BLOOMSBURG.

$$

PAC037-093-097-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0084.110908T0212Z-000000T0000Z/
/DANP1.3.ER.110908T0212Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 30 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MUCH OF RIVERSIDE ON THE LEFT BANK IS AFFECTED BY 
  HIGH WATER. WATER LEVELS APPROACH THE PUMP STATION ON THE RIGHT 
  BANK JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0085.110908T0748Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBYP1.2.ER.110908T0748Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 32.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS IN AREAS NOT PROTECTED BY
  THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM. MANY HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE 
  AFFECTED.

$$

PAC041-043-067-071-097-099-109-133-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0086.110908T0817Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARP1.3.ER.110908T0817Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...GREEN AND VAUGHN STREETS FLOOD.

$$

PAC071-133-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0087.110908T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRTP1.3.ER.110908T0000Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 47.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 49.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND
  CREST NEAR 59 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 59.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE 
  RIVER. MANY HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. THE 
  WRIGHTSVILLE WATER SUPPLY IS AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC071-133-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0093.110908T0100Z-000000T0000Z/
/LNCP1.3.ER.110908T0100Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 16 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 15.0 FEET...MANY HOMES NEAR THE RIVER ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH 
  WATER.

$$

PAC013-061-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-110908T1232Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.110907T1822Z.110907T2030Z.110908T0632Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* AT 13.0 FEET...SECTIONS OF ROUTE 866 FROM WILLIAMSBURG TO GANISTER 
  ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC061-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-110909T1048Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.110907T0306Z.110907T1901Z.110909T0448Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

PAC041-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HGSP1.2.ER.110907T0935Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 12.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER ALL ALONG 
  THE CREEK.  THE APPROACHES TO THE BRIDGES ON ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...
  SAMPLE BRIDGE ROAD...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC041-133-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110907T0633Z.110909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 11.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW 
  BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC035-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BECP1.1.ER.110907T1411Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 13.0 FEET...HOMES IN THE COTTAGE AREA ARE ISOLATED BY HIGH WATER
  FROM BALD EAGLE CREEK.

$$

PAC013-061-080600-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-110908T0600Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.110908T0000Z.110908T0000Z.110908T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER AT SPRUCE CREEK.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* AT 8.0 FEET...THE LEFT...OR NORTH BANK OVERFLOWS...AFFECTING 
  SEVERAL HOMES.

$$

PAC061-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0076.110908T0600Z-110908T1200Z/
/HUJP1.1.ER.110908T0600Z.110908T0600Z.110908T0600Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 12.0 FEET...HIGH WATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AMES PLAZA ON 
  THE RIGHT...OR SOUTH BANK.

$$

PAC061-087-072152-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-110909T0112Z/
/MPLP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT MAPLETON DEPOT.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT AROUND 16 FEET BY THIS 
  EVENING.


$$

PAC061-067-087-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0081.110908T0450Z-000000T0000Z/
/LWSP1.1.ER.110908T0450Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT LEWISTOWN.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 25.0 FEET...BASEMENT FLOODING OCCURS IN THE LOW LYING AREAS 
  ADJACENT TO THE RIVER AND KISHACOQUILLAS CREEK.  ATHLETIC FIELDS 
  WILL BE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC067-099-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0082.110908T1800Z-110909T0000Z/
/NPTP1.1.ER.110908T1800Z.110908T1800Z.110908T1800Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT NEWPORT.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY AFTERNOON 
  TOMORROW.
* AT 22.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM TRIBUTARY STREAMS AFFECTS BASEMENTS 
  OF A NUMBER OF HOMES.

$$

PAC027-109-119-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.110908T0200Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 10 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10.0 FEET...HIGH WATER OVERFLOWS BOTH BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES AND 
  COTTAGES ON THE LEFT OR NORTH BANK ARE AFFECTED. MANY SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE CREEK ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER LEVELS.

$$

PAC099-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-110909T1800Z/
/SMDP1.2.ER.110907T0515Z.110907T1930Z.110909T1200Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG RIVER ROAD AND OTHER LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO SHERMAN CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC009-072152-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-110908T1306Z/
/SXTP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RAYSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA AT SAXTON.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT NEAR 13 FEET THIS EVENING...THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1015 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE CONTINUE INTERACT WITH A FRONTAL
SYSTEM OVER OUR REGION. MORE INTENSE NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED
RAIN BANDS ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND OVERNIGHT. THESE MORE
CONVECTIVE BANDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 1-3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IN AN HOUR INCREASING THE FLOOD AND NOW THE FLASH FLOOD
THREAT.

THE CUT-OFF LOW DRIFTS WESTWARD AND LEES IMPACTS DIMINISH
THURSDAY. LEAVING US IN A MOIST SHOWERY PATTERN THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. DRIER AIR SHOULD LEAD TO STEADILY IMPROVING
CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
MINOR UPDATE TO GRIDS SHOWING LIFTING OUT RAINFALL TO NORTH-
NORTHEAST. ONE N-S BAND OVER EASTERN AREA. TRIED TO TIME NEXT BAND
OVER VA/MD INTO ADAMS/FRANKLIN COUNTY LATER THIS MORNING.

WE TRANSITIONED TO MORE INTENSE NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED RAIN BANDS
WILL BECOME THE FORECAST PROBLEM OF CONCERN. THE FIRST N-S BAND IS
OVER THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY THIS MORNING PRODUCING LOCALLY INTENSE
RAIN (SEE LAST PARAGRAPH).

MODELS AND SATELLITE SHOW A PLUME OF HIGH PW AIR POISED MOVE OVER
THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SURGE WITH
1-2.5SD PW ANOMALIES AND 2-3.5SD SOUTHERLY WIND ANOMALIES SHOULD
BRING HEAVY RAIN INTO THE CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. RAINFALL RATES OF
2-3 INCHES AN HOUR ARE LIKELY. THE 4KM NAM TIMES THE FIRST BAND
OVER SE PA THIS MORNING WHICH IS THERE NOW AND A LARGER BAND INTO
CENTRAL PA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS BAND WILL MOVE INTO
NORTHERN PA LATER THIS EVENING.

THE RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 2 DAYS HAS PRIMED CENTRAL PA FOR
FLOODING AND THESE N-S BANDS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE RAPID RAINFALL
AND MORE FLASH FLOODING ISSUES THIS MORNING IN YORK-HARRISBURG TO
PERHAPS SUNBURY THIS AFTERNOON. MORE INTENSE BANDS ARE FORECAST
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ON THE BRIGHT SIDE...MOST CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS WILL SEE A
BREAK IN THE STEADY RAINFALL THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THERE ACTUALLY
AND HAVE BEEN BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS OVER SOMERSET AND CAMBRIA
COUNTIES THIS MORNING. MANY WESTERN AREAS FROM
SOMERSET...JOHNSTOWN...AND UP TO BRADFORD MAY SEE BRIGHTENING
SKIES AT TIMES AND A FEW PEAKS OF SUN. IT WILL NOT LAST.

TO THE EAST THE FIRST FEEDER BAND WILL POUND SOME AREAS WITH HEAVY
RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH ABOUT NOON. THIS BAND
EXTENDS FROM ABOUT YORK...HARRISBURG...AND SELINSGROVE AND WILL
STREAM TO THE NORTH THIS MORNING. THIS BAND IS PRODUCING HEAVY
RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD ISSUES.

NEED TO WATCH BAND OVER MD/VA MOVING INTO SOUTHERN PA BEFORE NOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MOST GUIDANCE IMPLIES A PERIOD OF INTENSE RAINFALL THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. IMPLICATION'S ARE FOR A PLUME OF HIGH PW AND STRONG
925 AND 850 HPA SOUTHERLY WINDS TO PRODUCE A SHARP NORTH-SOUTH
RAIN-BAND. THIS BAND WILL LIKELY PRODUCED HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT
MOVES SOUTH TO NORTH...SOMEWHERE...OVER CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

THIS IMPLIES THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID ACCUMULATIONS OF HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT
WITH FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL AND AREAL FLOOD POTENTIAL. THEN SOME
OF THIS WATER WILL ROUTE TO STREAMS...CREEKS AND RIVERS FOR RIVER
FLOOD ISSUES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. PLEASE SEE APPROPRIATE FLOOD
PRODUCTS AND OUR AHIPS WEBPAGE OFF OUR WEBSITE FOR RIVER POINTS
EXPECTED TO FLOOD.

THE INTENSITY AND VORACITY OF THE RAIN DECREASES THURSDAY MORNING!

RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS WELL. WHILE THE MODELS HINT
AT EASTERN AREAS NOT SEEING MUCH...THERE STILL COULD BE A
SHOWER. EXPECT THE HEAVIEST RAIN TO BE ACROSS WESTERN
SECTIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AGAIN...PACKAGE NOT BAD...MADE MINOR CHANGES FOR THE MOST
PART.

WHILE TEMPS SHOULD NOT BE FAR FROM NORMAL...AND WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED...HARD TO SEE A SEVERAL DAY
PERIOD OF DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS. BEST CHC FOR DRY WEATHER
WILL BE MONDAY. I PUT A SLIGHT CHANCE IN FOR NORTHERN AND
WESTERN AREAS FOR TUE...AS A COLD FRONT NEARS THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WIDESPREAD MVFR TO IFR FLYING CONDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD...AS POST-TROPICAL LEE INTERACTS WITH MID-ATLC FNTL SYS. AN
AXIS OF VERY HVY CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED RNFL IS FCST TO PERSIST
INVOF AOO/THV/MDT/SEG/IPT/UNV WITH LOCAL VIS 1-2SM. ISOLD TSTMS ARE
PSBL OVR SRN RTS.

OUTLOOK...
WED-THU...MVFR/IFR.
FRI-SUN...VFR/MVFR.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS THROUGH THURSDAY.
AN ADDITIONAL 1-3 INCHES OF RNFL IS EXPECTED WITH LOCAL AMTS IN
EXCESS OF 5 INCHES PSBL. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN BOTH
THE EXACT LOCATION/AXIS OF HEAVIEST RNFL AND AMTS. SIGNIFICANT
AREAL AND RIVER/STREAM FLOODING IS POSSIBLE GIVEN THE FCST AMTS.
SEVERAL RIVER POINT FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED WITH
WIDESPREAD MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING EXPECTED...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR FLOOD CRESTS IN SOME LOCATIONS.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR PAZ004>006-010>012-
017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GRUMM/STEINBUGL
NEAR TERM...GRUMM
SHORT TERM...GRUMM/MARTIN
LONG TERM...MARTIN
AVIATION...STEINBUGL
HYDROLOGY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
535 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>035-037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-080930-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-
JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-
535 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ036-056>059-063>066-080930-
FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-
LANCASTER-
535 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF FLOODING...THERE IS SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD
LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. SOME STORMS COULD PRODUCE
STRONG WINDS AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MARTIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
640 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

PAZ026-027-071115-
HUNTINGDON PA-MIFFLIN PA-
640 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN HUNTINGDON AND WESTERN
MIFFLIN COUNTIES...

AT 636 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR SHIRLEYSBURG...MOVING
NORTH AT 45 MPH. WEAK ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THIS STORM...AND
MAY STRENGTHEN. BE PREPARED TO ACT IF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR
TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN
WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND
FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN WILL CAUSE RAPID RISES ON SMALL
STREAMS AND CREEKS. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT NEWTON HAMILTON...
ALLENSVILLE...BELLEVILLE AND MILROY.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 22...ROUTE
22/522...ROUTE 322...ROUTE 522.

LAT...LON 4024 7797 4073 7787 4074 7784 4072 7778
      4073 7772 4072 7771 4074 7766 4073 7757
      4046 7766 4038 7775 4029 7771 4024 7773
      4021 7776

FORECASTER: DANGELO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
805 AM EDT WED SEP 07 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 AM     FLOOD            S BERLIN                39.92N  78.95W
09/07/2011                   SOMERSET           PA   911 CALL CENTER

            MUDSLIDE REPORTED ACROSS ROUTE 160 SOUTH OF BERLIN.

0505 AM     FLOOD            CRESSON                 40.46N  78.59W
09/07/2011                   CAMBRIA            PA   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL ROADS ARE FLOODED IN AND AROUND CRESSON.

0515 AM     FLOOD            ROARING SPRING          40.33N  78.40W
09/07/2011                   BLAIR              PA   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN TAYLOR TWP.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100401 CTP1100402 CTP1100403

EVANEGO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1030 AM EDT WED SEP 07 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1028 AM     FLOOD            DUSHORE                 41.53N  76.40W
09/07/2011                   SULLIVAN           PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS OCCURING IN DUSHORE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100404

EVANEGO