Alert archive / Pennsylvania / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 77, NWS State College, PA

September 6, 2011Clinton County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this river flood warning at Sep 6, 2011, 11:24 PM EDT for Clinton County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Sep 7, 2011, 11:05 AM EDT. It was in force for 19 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 6, 2011, 11:24 PM EDT (03:24 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 7, 2011, 11:05 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 8, 2011, 6:02 AM EDT
In force
19 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Flood severity
Moderate

County Clinton County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Bald Eagle Creek near Beech Creek Station (BECP1).

Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
13 ft
Major stage
14 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01548005, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

054 
WGUS41 KCTP 070324
FLWCTP
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
1124 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA...

  BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION
  JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON
  RAYSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA AT SAXTON

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING.

&&

PAC061-071524-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0076.110908T0320Z-000000T0000Z/
/HUJP1.2.ER.110908T0320Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1124 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...2.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE EVENING 
  TOMORROW AND CREST NEAR 14.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES OUTSIDE THE PROTECTIVE WORKS AND 
  ALONG STANDING STONE CREEK WILL FLOOD.  BACKWATER ON STANDING STONE
  CREEK ALSO AFFECTS THE ATHLETIC FIELD.

$$

PAC035-071524-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0077.110907T2247Z-000000T0000Z/
/BECP1.2.ER.110907T2247Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1124 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING
  AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 14.0 FEET...HOMES IN THE COTTAGE AREA ARE CUTOFF BY HIGH WATER 
  FROM BALD EAGLE CREEK.

$$

PAC009-071524-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0078.110908T0524Z-000000T0000Z/
/SXTP1.1.ER.110908T0524Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1124 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE RAYSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA AT SAXTON
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...6.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 18.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES ON THE RIGHT...OR EAST BANK IN 
  STONERSTOWN AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE AFFECTED.

$$
6 follow-up statements
388 
WGUS81 KCTP 070909
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION
  FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG
  LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER AT SPRUCE CREEK
  JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON
  RAYSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA AT SAXTON
  PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK
  SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE
  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG
  CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL
  SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN
  SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY
  SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED {**** ENTER GENERIC TIMING 
FOR NEXT ISSUANCE OF THIS PRODUCT.  I.E. "LATE THIS EVENING"*****}

&&

PAC041-072109-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HGSP1.3.ER.110907T0910Z.110909T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN.
* AT 5 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 12.5 FEET BY LATE THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER ALL ALONG 
  THE CREEK.  THE APPROACHES TO THE BRIDGES ON ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...
  SAMPLE BRIDGE ROAD...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC035-072108-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0077.110907T1900Z-000000T0000Z/
/BECP1.2.ER.110907T1900Z.110909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 13.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...HOMES IN THE COTTAGE AREA ARE ISOLATED BY HIGH WATER
  FROM BALD EAGLE CREEK.

$$

PAC013-061-072108-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0066.110908T0500Z-110909T0500Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.110908T0500Z.110908T1100Z.110908T2300Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 14.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...MANY HOMES ON THE RIGHT...OR SOUTH BANK WILL BE 
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC061-072108-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0076.110908T1100Z-110909T1000Z/
/HUJP1.2.ER.110908T1100Z.110908T1800Z.110909T0400Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON.
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING
  AND CREST NEAR 13.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES LOCATED OUTSIDE OF THE LEVEE SYSTEM 
  WILL FLOOD.

$$

PAC061-072108-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.110907T0306Z.110908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* AT 5 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 15.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.


$$

PAC027-109-119-072108-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0069.110907T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNCP1.2.ER.110907T2100Z.110908T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 12.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT OVERFLOW OF BOTH BANKS OCCURS. NUMEROUS 
  HOMES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER LEVELS.

$$

PAC099-072108-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0071.110907T0903Z-000000T0000Z/
/SMDP1.2.ER.110907T0515Z.110908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE.
* FROM EARLY THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 12.9 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG RIVER ROAD AND OTHER LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO SHERMAN CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC041-133-072108-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110907T0633Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 5 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 12.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW 
  BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER LEVELS.

$$

PAC043-075-107-072108-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HTVP1.2.ER.110907T0212Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN.
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 13.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 14.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG THE CREEK ARE AFFECTED.  
  SOME EVACUATIONS ARE NECESSARY. 

$$

PAC043-075-072108-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HERP1.2.ER.110907T0342Z.110908T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY.
* AT 5 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...HIGH WATER AFFECTS SEVERAL HOMES UPSTREAM OF THE 
  ROUTE 39 BRIDGE.

$$

PAC043-072108-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIDP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* AT 16.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS. NUMEROUS HOMES ARE 
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. ROUTE 230 IS AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-113-072108-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0079.110908T1200Z-110909T0000Z/
/LOYP1.1.ER.110908T1200Z.110908T1200Z.110908T1800Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE.
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 5 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...SEVERAL RESIDENCES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER 
  LEVELS.

$$

PAC013-061-072108-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0067.110908T0400Z-110909T0742Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.110908T0400Z.110908T1100Z.110909T0142Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER AT SPRUCE CREEK.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE EVENING TOMORROW.
* AT 10.0 FEET...HOMES ARE AFFECTED ON BOTH BANKS. SEVERAL ROADS ARE 
  ALSO AFFECTED INCLUDING ROUTE 45.

$$

PAC009-072108-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0078.110908T1000Z-110909T0000Z/
/SXTP1.1.ER.110908T1000Z.110908T1200Z.110908T1800Z.NO/
509 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RAYSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA AT SAXTON.
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING
  AND CREST NEAR 17.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 17.0 FEET...THE RIGHT...OR EAST BANK BEGINS TO OVERFLOW...
  AFFECTING LOW LYING AREAS. A FEW HOMES ARE AFFECTED.

$$
332 
WGUS81 KCTP 071509
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION
  FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG
  LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER AT SPRUCE CREEK
  JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON
  RAYSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA AT SAXTON
  PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK
  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG
  SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE
  CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL
  SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN
  SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

PAC061-080309-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0076.110908T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HUJP1.2.ER.110908T0000Z.110908T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND
  CREST NEAR 13.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* AT 13.0 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES LOCATED OUTSIDE OF THE LEVEE SYSTEM 
  WILL FLOOD.

$$

PAC043-075-107-080309-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HTVP1.2.ER.110907T0212Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN.
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 14.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 14.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG THE CREEK ARE AFFECTED.  
  SOME EVACUATIONS ARE NECESSARY. 

$$

PAC043-075-080309-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HERP1.2.ER.110907T0342Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 12.5 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...HIGH WATER AFFECTS SEVERAL HOMES UPSTREAM OF THE 
  ROUTE 39 BRIDGE.

$$

PAC013-061-080309-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-110909T1200Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.110907T1556Z.110907T1800Z.110909T0600Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 14.0 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...MANY HOMES ON THE RIGHT...OR SOUTH BANK WILL BE 
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC061-080309-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.110907T0306Z.110908T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 14.9 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 12.0 FEET FLOOD WATERS FROM AUGHWICK CREEK COVER PORTIONS OF GILBO ROAD...
  AUGHWICK MILLS ROAD AND KEYSTON ROAD IN SHIRLEY TOWNSHIP.

$$

PAC099-080308-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SMDP1.2.ER.110907T0515Z.110908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE.
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 12.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG RIVER ROAD AND OTHER LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO SHERMAN CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC041-080308-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HGSP1.2.ER.110907T0935Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 11.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER ALL ALONG 
  THE CREEK.  THE APPROACHES TO THE BRIDGES ON ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...
  SAMPLE BRIDGE ROAD...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC041-133-080308-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110907T0633Z.110908T2300Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW 
  BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC035-080308-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0077.110907T1505Z-000000T0000Z/
/BECP1.1.ER.110907T1411Z.110908T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION.
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 13.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...HOMES IN THE COTTAGE AREA ARE ISOLATED BY HIGH WATER
  FROM BALD EAGLE CREEK.

$$

PAC013-061-080300-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-110908T0300Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.110907T1600Z.110907T1800Z.110907T2100Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER AT SPRUCE CREEK.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 8.5 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 8.0 FEET...THE LEFT...OR NORTH BANK OVERFLOWS...AFFECTING 
  SEVERAL HOMES.

$$

PAC009-080308-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0078.110908T0600Z-110908T1306Z/
/SXTP1.1.ER.110908T0600Z.110908T0600Z.110908T0706Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RAYSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA AT SAXTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* AT 17.0 FEET...THE RIGHT...OR EAST BANK BEGINS TO OVERFLOW...
  AFFECTING LOW LYING AREAS. A FEW HOMES ARE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC027-109-119-080308-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0069.110907T1600Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.110907T1600Z.110908T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...HIGH WATER OVERFLOWS BOTH BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES AND 
  COTTAGES ON THE LEFT OR NORTH BANK ARE AFFECTED. MANY SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE CREEK ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER LEVELS.

$$
477 
WGUS81 KCTP 072122
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  JUNIATA RIVER AT MAPLETON DEPOT
  RAYSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA AT SAXTON

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG
  LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER AT SPRUCE CREEK
  JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON
  JUNIATA RIVER AT LEWISTOWN
  JUNIATA RIVER AT NEWPORT
  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA
  SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON
  BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION
  LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE
  PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK
  CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL
  SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN
  SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY
  SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN
  CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED BY LATE THIS EVENING. 

&&

PAC081-113-080922-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-110909T1549Z/
/LOYP1.3.ER.110907T1644Z.110908T0600Z.110909T0949Z.NR/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

PAC043-075-107-080922-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HTVP1.3.ER.110907T0212Z.110908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 21 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.


$$

PAC043-075-080922-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HERP1.3.ER.110907T0342Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 20.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

PAC043-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIDP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE CREEK IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 24 FEET THURSDAY EVENING.

$$

PAC081-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 26 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...THE SPROUT BAUER PLANT EXPERIECNES SIGNIFICANT 
  FLOODING. MANY HOMES IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ALSO AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-097-119-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0089.110908T0624Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.2.ER.110908T0624Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 26.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES ARE FLOODED. SEVERAL MORE 
  STREETS ARE ALSO AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 26 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 27.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE WATSONTOWN AREA ARE 
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0091.110908T0424Z-000000T0000Z/
/ILTP1.3.ER.110908T0424Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 25.5 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 25.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN MILTON AND WEST MILTON WILL FLOOD.
  HIGH WATER AFFECTS THE AMERICAN FOODS PLANT IN MILTON.

$$

PAC097-119-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0092.110908T0330Z-110910T1938Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.110908T0330Z.110908T1800Z.110910T1338Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 23.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE MOBILE HOME PARK ALONG ROUTE 405 DOWNSTREAM OF 
  THE BRIDGE WILL FLOOD.

$$

PAC037-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0083.110908T0538Z-000000T0000Z/
/BMBP1.3.ER.110908T0538Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 30.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MOST AREAS SOUTH OF 10TH STREET AND WEST OF RAILROAD
  STREET ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. FLOOD WATERS INUNDATE MORE THAN 
  25 PERCENT OF BLOOMSBURG.

$$

PAC037-093-097-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0084.110908T0212Z-000000T0000Z/
/DANP1.3.ER.110908T0212Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 30 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MUCH OF RIVERSIDE ON THE LEFT BANK IS AFFECTED BY 
  HIGH WATER. WATER LEVELS APPROACH THE PUMP STATION ON THE RIGHT 
  BANK JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0085.110908T0748Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBYP1.2.ER.110908T0748Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 32.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS IN AREAS NOT PROTECTED BY
  THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM. MANY HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE 
  AFFECTED.

$$

PAC041-043-067-071-097-099-109-133-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0086.110908T0817Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARP1.3.ER.110908T0817Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...GREEN AND VAUGHN STREETS FLOOD.

$$

PAC071-133-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0087.110908T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRTP1.3.ER.110908T0000Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 47.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 49.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND
  CREST NEAR 59 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 59.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE 
  RIVER. MANY HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. THE 
  WRIGHTSVILLE WATER SUPPLY IS AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC071-133-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0093.110908T0100Z-000000T0000Z/
/LNCP1.3.ER.110908T0100Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 16 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 15.0 FEET...MANY HOMES NEAR THE RIVER ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH 
  WATER.

$$

PAC013-061-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-110908T1232Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.110907T1822Z.110907T2030Z.110908T0632Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* AT 13.0 FEET...SECTIONS OF ROUTE 866 FROM WILLIAMSBURG TO GANISTER 
  ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC061-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-110909T1048Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.110907T0306Z.110907T1901Z.110909T0448Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

PAC041-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HGSP1.2.ER.110907T0935Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 12.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER ALL ALONG 
  THE CREEK.  THE APPROACHES TO THE BRIDGES ON ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...
  SAMPLE BRIDGE ROAD...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC041-133-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110907T0633Z.110909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 11.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW 
  BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC035-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BECP1.1.ER.110907T1411Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 13.0 FEET...HOMES IN THE COTTAGE AREA ARE ISOLATED BY HIGH WATER
  FROM BALD EAGLE CREEK.

$$

PAC013-061-080600-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-110908T0600Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.110908T0000Z.110908T0000Z.110908T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER AT SPRUCE CREEK.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* AT 8.0 FEET...THE LEFT...OR NORTH BANK OVERFLOWS...AFFECTING 
  SEVERAL HOMES.

$$

PAC061-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0076.110908T0600Z-110908T1200Z/
/HUJP1.1.ER.110908T0600Z.110908T0600Z.110908T0600Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 12.0 FEET...HIGH WATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AMES PLAZA ON 
  THE RIGHT...OR SOUTH BANK.

$$

PAC061-087-072152-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-110909T0112Z/
/MPLP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT MAPLETON DEPOT.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT AROUND 16 FEET BY THIS 
  EVENING.


$$

PAC061-067-087-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0081.110908T0450Z-000000T0000Z/
/LWSP1.1.ER.110908T0450Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT LEWISTOWN.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 25.0 FEET...BASEMENT FLOODING OCCURS IN THE LOW LYING AREAS 
  ADJACENT TO THE RIVER AND KISHACOQUILLAS CREEK.  ATHLETIC FIELDS 
  WILL BE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC067-099-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0082.110908T1800Z-110909T0000Z/
/NPTP1.1.ER.110908T1800Z.110908T1800Z.110908T1800Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT NEWPORT.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY AFTERNOON 
  TOMORROW.
* AT 22.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM TRIBUTARY STREAMS AFFECTS BASEMENTS 
  OF A NUMBER OF HOMES.

$$

PAC027-109-119-080921-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.110908T0200Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 10 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10.0 FEET...HIGH WATER OVERFLOWS BOTH BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES AND 
  COTTAGES ON THE LEFT OR NORTH BANK ARE AFFECTED. MANY SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE CREEK ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER LEVELS.

$$

PAC099-080921-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-110909T1800Z/
/SMDP1.2.ER.110907T0515Z.110907T1930Z.110909T1200Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG RIVER ROAD AND OTHER LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO SHERMAN CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC009-072152-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-110908T1306Z/
/SXTP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
522 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RAYSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA AT SAXTON.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT NEAR 13 FEET THIS EVENING...THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.


$$
731 
WGUS81 KCTP 072215
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG
  JUNIATA RIVER AT LEWISTOWN
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION
  LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE
  LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER AT SPRUCE CREEK
  JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON
  JUNIATA RIVER AT NEWPORT
  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA
  PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK
  SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE
  CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL
  SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN
  SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY
  SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN
  CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED BY LATE THIS EVENING. 

&&

PAC081-113-081015-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-110909T1549Z/
/LOYP1.3.ER.110907T1644Z.110908T0600Z.110909T0949Z.NR/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING. A CREST OF 19 
  FEET WOULD BE ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE THE PREVIOUS RECORD FLOOD OF JANUARY 
  19 1996. 


$$

PAC043-075-107-081015-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HTVP1.3.ER.110907T0212Z.110908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 21 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.


$$

PAC043-075-081015-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HERP1.3.ER.110907T0342Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 20.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING. THE PREVIOUS HIGHEST STAGE AT HERSHEY...DATING 
  BACK TO 1975...WAS 16 FEET ON JUNE 29 2006.


$$

PAC043-081015-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIDP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 24 FEET THURSDAY EVENING.

$$

PAC081-081015-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 26 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...THE SPROUT BAUER PLANT EXPERIENCES SIGNIFICANT 
  FLOODING. MANY HOMES IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ALSO AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-097-119-081014-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0089.110908T0452Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.2.ER.110908T0452Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 26.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES ARE FLOODED. SEVERAL MORE 
  STREETS ARE ALSO AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 26 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 27.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE WATSONTOWN AREA ARE 
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0091.110908T0424Z-000000T0000Z/
/ILTP1.3.ER.110908T0424Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 25.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN MILTON AND WEST MILTON WILL FLOOD.
  HIGH WATER AFFECTS THE AMERICAN FOODS PLANT IN MILTON.

$$

PAC097-119-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0092.110908T0330Z-110910T1938Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.110908T0330Z.110908T1800Z.110910T1338Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 23 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE MOBILE HOME PARK ALONG ROUTE 405 DOWNSTREAM OF 
  THE BRIDGE WILL FLOOD.

$$

PAC037-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0083.110908T0538Z-000000T0000Z/
/BMBP1.3.ER.110908T0538Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 30 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS IS JUST 
  1 FOOT BELOW THE CREST FROM HURRICANE AGNES IN 1972.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MOST AREAS SOUTH OF 10TH STREET AND WEST OF RAILROAD
  STREET ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. FLOOD WATERS INUNDATE MORE THAN 
  25 PERCENT OF BLOOMSBURG.

$$

PAC037-093-097-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0084.110908T0212Z-000000T0000Z/
/DANP1.3.ER.110908T0212Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 30 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MUCH OF RIVERSIDE ON THE LEFT BANK IS AFFECTED BY 
  HIGH WATER. WATER LEVELS APPROACH THE PUMP STATION ON THE RIGHT 
  BANK JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0085.110908T0748Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBYP1.2.ER.110908T0748Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 32.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 32.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS IN AREAS NOT PROTECTED BY
  THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM. MANY HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE 
  AFFECTED.

$$

PAC041-043-067-071-097-099-109-133-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0086.110908T0817Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARP1.3.ER.110908T0817Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...GREEN AND VAUGHN STREETS FLOOD.

$$

PAC071-133-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0087.110908T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRTP1.3.ER.110908T0000Z.110910T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 47.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 49.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND
  CREST NEAR 59 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 59.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE 
  RIVER. MANY HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. THE 
  WRIGHTSVILLE WATER SUPPLY IS AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC071-133-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0093.110908T0100Z-000000T0000Z/
/LNCP1.3.ER.110908T0100Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 16 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* AT 15.0 FEET...MANY HOMES NEAR THE RIVER ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH 
  WATER.

$$

PAC013-061-081014-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-110908T1443Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.110907T1822Z.110908T0000Z.110908T0843Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST BETWEEN 14 AND 15 FEET LATE THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...SECTIONS OF ROUTE 866 FROM WILLIAMSBURG TO GANISTER 
  ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC061-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-110909T1048Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.110907T0306Z.110907T1901Z.110909T0448Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

PAC041-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HGSP1.2.ER.110907T0935Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 12.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER ALL ALONG 
  THE CREEK.  THE APPROACHES TO THE BRIDGES ON ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...
  SAMPLE BRIDGE ROAD...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC041-133-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110907T0633Z.110909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 11.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW 
  BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC035-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BECP1.1.ER.110907T1411Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 13.0 FEET...HOMES IN THE COTTAGE AREA ARE ISOLATED BY HIGH WATER
  FROM BALD EAGLE CREEK.

$$

PAC013-061-080600-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-110908T0600Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.110908T0000Z.110908T0000Z.110908T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER AT SPRUCE CREEK.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* AT 8.0 FEET...THE LEFT...OR NORTH BANK OVERFLOWS...AFFECTING 
  SEVERAL HOMES.

$$

PAC061-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0076.110908T0600Z-110908T1200Z/
/HUJP1.1.ER.110908T0600Z.110908T0600Z.110908T0600Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT HUNTINGDON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 12.0 FEET...HIGH WATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AMES PLAZA ON 
  THE RIGHT...OR SOUTH BANK.

$$

PAC061-067-087-081014-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0081.110908T0527Z-000000T0000Z/
/LWSP1.1.ER.110908T0527Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT LEWISTOWN.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 25.0 FEET...BASEMENT FLOODING OCCURS IN THE LOW LYING AREAS 
  ADJACENT TO THE RIVER AND KISHACOQUILLAS CREEK.  ATHLETIC FIELDS 
  WILL BE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC067-099-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0082.110908T1800Z-110909T0000Z/
/NPTP1.1.ER.110908T1800Z.110908T1800Z.110908T1800Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JUNIATA RIVER AT NEWPORT.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY AFTERNOON 
  TOMORROW.
* AT 22.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM TRIBUTARY STREAMS AFFECTS BASEMENTS 
  OF A NUMBER OF HOMES.

$$

PAC027-109-119-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.110908T0200Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 10 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10.0 FEET...HIGH WATER OVERFLOWS BOTH BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES AND 
  COTTAGES ON THE LEFT OR NORTH BANK ARE AFFECTED. MANY SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE CREEK ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER LEVELS.

$$

PAC099-081014-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-110909T1800Z/
/SMDP1.2.ER.110907T0515Z.110907T1930Z.110909T1200Z.NO/
615 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE.
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG RIVER ROAD AND OTHER LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO SHERMAN CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$
917 
WGUS81 KCTP 080229
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON
  LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE
  FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG
  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA
  PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK
  SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE
  CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL
  SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN
  SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY
  SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN
  CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

PAC081-113-081429-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-110909T1727Z/
/LOYP1.3.ER.110907T1644Z.110908T0600Z.110909T1127Z.NR/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOYALSOCK CREEK AT LOYALSOCKVILLE.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE CREEK WILL CREST BETWEEN 21 AND 22 FEET EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. 
  THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING. A CREST OF 21.5 
  FEET WOULD BE ABOUT 3.5 FEET ABOVE THE PREVIOUS RECORD FLOOD OF JANUARY 
  1996. 


$$

PAC043-075-107-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HTVP1.3.ER.110907T0212Z.110908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 20.5 FEET THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.


$$

PAC043-075-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HERP1.3.ER.110907T0342Z.110908T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 20 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING. THE PREVIOUS HIGHEST STAGE AT HERSHEY...DATING 
  BACK TO 1975...WAS 16 FEET ON JUNE 29 2006.


$$

PAC043-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIDP1.3.ER.000000T0000Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SWATARA CREEK AT MIDDLETOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE CREEK IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 22 AND 23 FEET THURSDAY 
  EVENING.

$$

PAC081-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 27 AND 28 FEET THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 27.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN MUNCY ARE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-097-119-081428-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0089.110908T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.2.ER.110908T0005Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.5 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH 
  WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110908T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WATSONTOWN.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 27 AND 28 FEET THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 27.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE WATSONTOWN AREA ARE 
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-081428-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0091.110908T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ILTP1.3.ER.110908T0128Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO BETWEEN 26 AND 27 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THEN BEGIN FALLING. 
* AT 28.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN MILTON AND WEST MILTON ARE 
  AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110910T2300Z/
/LWBP1.2.ER.110908T0116Z.110908T1800Z.110910T1700Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AROUND 24 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS ON THE RIGHT...OR WEST BANK ARE 
  AFFECTED. THE LEFT BANK CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE INUNDATION.

$$

PAC037-081428-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0083.110908T0630Z-000000T0000Z/
/BMBP1.3.ER.110908T0630Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 30 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MOST AREAS SOUTH OF 10TH STREET AND WEST OF RAILROAD
  STREET ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. FLOOD WATERS INUNDATE MORE THAN 
  25 PERCENT OF BLOOMSBURG.

$$

PAC037-093-097-081428-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0084.110908T0655Z-000000T0000Z/
/DANP1.3.ER.110908T0655Z.110909T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 30 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MUCH OF RIVERSIDE ON THE LEFT BANK IS AFFECTED BY 
  HIGH WATER. WATER LEVELS APPROACH THE PUMP STATION ON THE RIGHT 
  BANK JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-081428-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0085.110908T0721Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBYP1.2.ER.110908T0721Z.110910T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST BETWEEN 32 AND 33 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 32.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS IN AREAS NOT PROTECTED BY
  THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM. MANY HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE 
  AFFECTED.

$$

PAC041-043-067-071-097-099-109-133-081428-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0086.110908T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARP1.3.ER.110908T0600Z.110910T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...GREEN AND VAUGHN STREETS FLOOD.

$$

PAC071-133-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRTP1.3.ER.110908T0050Z.110910T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 49.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 49.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST BETWEEN 59 AND 60 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 59.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE 
  RIVER. MANY HOMES AND BUSINESSES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. THE 
  WRIGHTSVILLE WATER SUPPLY IS AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC071-133-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LNCP1.3.ER.110908T0102Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 16.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...MANY HOMES NEAR THE RIVER ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH 
  WATER.

$$

PAC013-061-081428-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-110908T1520Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.110907T1822Z.110907T2315Z.110908T0920Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...SECTIONS OF ROUTE 866 FROM WILLIAMSBURG TO GANISTER 
  ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATERS.

$$

PAC061-081428-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.110907T0306Z.110907T1901Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 10.0 FEET BY FRIDAY 
  EVENING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS FROM AUGHWICK CREEK COVER PORTIONS OF 
  GILBO ROAD, AUGHWICK MILLS ROAD AND KEYSTONE ROAD IN SHIRLEY 
  TOWNSHIP.

$$

PAC041-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HGSP1.2.ER.110907T0935Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 12.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER ALL ALONG 
  THE CREEK.  THE APPROACHES TO THE BRIDGES ON ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...
  SAMPLE BRIDGE ROAD...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE INUNDATED. 

$$

PAC041-133-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110907T0633Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT
  ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.  CEDAR CLIFF DRIVE ON THE LEFT BANK 
  UPSTREAM FROM THE BRIDGE IS INUNDATED. CREEKWOOD DRIVE HAS SEVERAL 
  FEET OF WATER ON IT, AND WATER IS APPROACHING HOMES.

$$

PAC035-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BECP1.1.ER.110907T1411Z.110910T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON 
  AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 13.0 FEET...HOMES IN THE COTTAGE AREA ARE ISOLATED BY HIGH WATER
  FROM BALD EAGLE CREEK.

$$

PAC027-109-119-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.110908T0233Z.110909T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PENNS CREEK NEAR PENNS CREEK.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AROUND 
  1 AM THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10 FEET BY EARLY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10.0 FEET...HIGH WATER OVERFLOWS BOTH BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES AND 
  COTTAGES ON THE LEFT OR NORTH BANK ARE AFFECTED. MANY SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE CREEK ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER LEVELS.

$$

PAC099-081428-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-110909T1800Z/
/SMDP1.2.ER.110907T0515Z.110907T1930Z.110909T1200Z.NO/
1029 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHERMAN CREEK AT SHERMANS DALE.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES ALONG RIVER ROAD ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH 
  WATER.

$$
833 
WGUS81 KCTP 081002
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
602 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION
  FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING.

&&

PAC035-081032-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-110908T1002Z/
/BECP1.N.ER.110907T1411Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
602 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.8 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...OVERGROWN PASTURES AND AGRICULTURAL FIELDS ON THE 
  LEFT BANK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC013-061-081032-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-110908T1520Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.110907T1822Z.110907T2315Z.110908T0547Z.NO/
602 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FRANKSTOWN BRANCH OF THE JUNIATA AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 2 AM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 4.9 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

EVANEGO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 6, 10:58 PM EDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 6, 10:58 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1058 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE
APPALACHIANS AND INTERACT WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION...BRINGING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...AND THE THREAT
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING TO THE AREA THROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF T.S. LEE WAS
JUST TO THE NE OF CHATTANOOGA TN LATE THIS EVENING...WITH A WARM
FRONT EXTENDING EAST ALONG THE VA/NC BORDER...TO NEAR OCEAN CITY
MD.

VERY LITTLE CHANGE WAS NEEDED TO THE RUNNING TEXT FORECAST AND
GRIDDED FIELDS. I DID TRIM BACK POPS AND QPF A BIT ACROSS THE NRN
MTNS OF PENN OVERNIGHT.

SATELLITE SHOWS A DEEP PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE ALL THE WAY INTO THE NERN US. REGIONAL RADAR MOSAICS
CONTINUE TO SHOW PRECIPITATION SURGING NORTHWARD RIGHT INTO THE
FCST AREA. LOCALLY THE RAIN IS STRATIFORM IN NATURE...HOWEVER
INSTABILITY ISN'T THAT FAR OFF TO THE SOUTH WITH DEEP CONVECTION
EVIDENT FROM CENTRAL VA SOUTHWARD.

WE CONTINUE TO SEE THE SET UP OF AN ALMOST CLASSIC TROPICAL
SYSTEM-FRONTAL BAND INTERACTION HEAVY RAIN SCENARIO AS THE
MOISTURE AND REMNANTS OF LEE MOVE NORTH INTO A VERY STRONG JET
ENTRANCE REGION THAT HAS SET UP AHEAD OF THE DEEP TROF THAT MOVED
INTO THE GR LAKES. SITUATION IS RIGHT OUT OF JUNKER'S HEAVY RAIN
MANUAL AND IS PRIMED TO YIELD LOCALLY HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAIN
AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

925 MB FRONT...AND THE 850 MB BOUNDARY JUST TO ITS NORTH AND WEST
WILL LIFT TO THE NW OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 850 MB BASED LIFTED
INDICES DROP TO BETWEEN ZERO AND -1C ACROSS OUR FAR SERN ZONES
BEGINNING AROUND 04Z WED...WITH THE AXIS OF BEST ELEVATED
INSTABILITY STAYING ACROSS THE SUSQ VALLEY AND POINTS NE INTO WED
NIGHT.

THE MEAN 925-850 EASTERLY FLOW OF ABOUT 20KTS THIS EVENING WILL
VEER TO THE SSE OR SOUTH AT 25-35 KTS BY 12Z WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL
HELP TO ADVECT HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES /FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED
ELEVATED TSRA/ ACROSS THE NCENT MTNS AND CENTRAL RIDGE AND VALLEY
REGION.

OPERATIONAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO SHOW THE AXIS OF
HEAVIEST RAIN OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS SETTING UP BETWEEN THE
SUSQ VALLEY AND ALLEGHENY FRONT.

AS IS GENERALLY THE CASE AT THIS RANGE.../EXACTLY/ WHERE THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS END UP FALLING IS STILL NOT KNOWN. SREF ENSEMBLE
FOR 48 HR AMOUNTS OF 4 OR MORE INCHES STILL CENTERS OVER CENTRAL
PA. GEFS TARGETS MORE OF MY NWRN ZONES. NEW NAM PAINTS THE BULLS-
EYE PRETTY MUCH RIGHT OVERHEAD STATE COLLEGE.

12Z NAM REALLY INTENSIFIES THE DEEP LAYER FRONTOGENETIC FORCING
DURING THE OVERNIGHT SUPPORTING THE IDEA THAT THE RAINFALL RATES REALLY
BEGINS TO RAMP UP IN INTENSITY THE DEEPER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WE GET.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT HISTORICALLY OUR MOST SIGNIFICANT HVY
RAIN EVENTS COME BY WAY OF TC/FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS. LATEST
/22Z/ HPC TOTAL PRECIP FOR THE UPCOMING 2 DAYS IS AROUND 9.5
INCHES AND SIMILAR TO THE NAM - RIGHT OVER KUNV. SEE NO REASON TO
STRAY ANY FROM THEIR NUMBERS... WHICH GIVES MUCH OF THE FCST AREA
BETWEEN 2 AND 6 INCHES OF RAIN TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

COMBO OF NNELY SFC WNDS...OVC SKIES AND PERSISTENT RNFL WILL KEEP
OVERNIGHT MINS FROM DROPPING OFF SIGNIFICANTLY WITH DIURNAL
RANGES BASICALLY 5 DEGREES OR LESS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
ELEVATED INSTABILITY...DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND AN ANOMALOUSLY
STRONG SSE FLOW ALL POINTING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS TO CONTINUE AS THE SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM MAINTAINS ITS
CONTROL OVER THE REGION.

THE POTENTIAL ALREADY EXISTS FOR WIDESPREAD FLOODING. IF WE SEE
MORE THAN A FEW ISOLATED SMALL AREAS WITH AMOUNTS OVER 10
INCHES...WE WILL BE LOOKING AT AN HISTORIC EVENT.

AS FOR NOW...WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE REMNANTS OF TS LEE WILL MAINTAIN AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER
AT LEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...AS UPPER LOW ASSOCIATED WITH
THE SYSTEM REMAINS TO OUR WEST UNTIL THE WEEKEND. WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE IN PROGRESS AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WED
NIGHT THEN CONVECTION WILL BECOME MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. AS THE UPPER LOW FINALLY FILLS/WEAKENS OVER
THE WEEKEND...BUT REMAINS TO OUR WEST...IT IS HARD TO COMPLETELY
REMOVE THE THREAT OF ISOLATED/SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE
WEEKEND.

NEXT MONDAY APPEARS THE DRIEST DAY OF THE BUNCH WITH THE UPPER
TROF AXIS EAST OF THE AREA AND SFC WINDS FORECAST TO TURN WESTERLY. A
NORTHERN STREAM TROF IS PROGGED TO DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES BRINGING A RETURN OF SHOWERS FOR LATE TUE INTO NEXT WED.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
PERSISTENT INCLEMENT FLYING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THU
NIGHT AS REMNANTS OF LEE TRACK NEWD JUST W OF THE APPALACHIANS
AND MERGE WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY RETURNING NWD OVER THE MID ATLC
REGION. RAINFALL OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE ACRS MUCH OF
CNTRL PA THROUGH THE PERIOD...BRINGING WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS AS THIS IS A LARGE SLOW MOVING SYSTEM AND WILL TAKE
ITS TIME MOVING THROUGH.

OUTLOOK...
WED-THU...PROLONGED MVFR/IFR CONDS LIKELY.
FRI-SAT...IMPROVING CONDITIONS BUT STILL THE CHC OF REDUCED
          CONDITIONS IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SUN...VFR.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE PROLONGED HVY RNFL EVENT MAY LEAD TO VERY HI ADDITONAL RAINFAL
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL MTNS
AND SUSQ VALLEY. WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN BOTH THE
EXACT LOCATION AND AMTS...RNFL AMTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD LEAD
TO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IMPACTS.

AREAL...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN EXPANDED
FROM THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS...NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SCENT MTNS AND
NOW INCLUDE PORTIONS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE SUSQ VALLEY AS RAINFALL
RATES HAVE INCREASED TO BETWEEN 0.25 - 0.50 INCH PER HOUR AND 6
HOURLY FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS ONLY 1.25 -1.5 INCHES.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR PAZ004>006-010>012-
017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LA CORTE/LAMBERT
NEAR TERM...LA CORTE/LAMBERT
SHORT TERM...LA CORTE
LONG TERM...GARTNER
AVIATION...RXR
HYDROLOGY...LAMBERT
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 6, 5:36 AM EDT, 17 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
536 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

PAZ019-024>028-033>036-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-
070945-
SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET-
BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-
DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
536 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-037-070945-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA-
536 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MS

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 6, 8:32 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPFranklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin, Perry16 hr
Sep 6, 10:20 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPColumbia, Cumberland, Dauphin, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland and 3 more14 hr
Sep 6, 11:24 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPHuntingdon22 hr
Sep 6, 11:24 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPBedford18 hr
Sep 7, 2:53 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPBlair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton and 8 more6 hr
Sep 7, 4:49 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPLycoming, Sullivan41 hr
Sep 7, 6:15 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPCentre, Clinton, Lycoming6 hr
Sep 7, 6:40 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPMifflin35 min
Sep 7, 8:32 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPAdams, York3 hr
Sep 7, 9:33 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York10 hr
Sep 7, 10:23 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCTPColumbia, Dauphin, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill and 4 more12 hr
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPHuntingdon, Mifflin6 hr
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPHuntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin10 hr
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPJuniata, Perry10 hr
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPColumbia4 days
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland4 days
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPDauphin, Juniata, Northumberland, Perry, Union4 days
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Juniata, Lancaster, Northumberland, Perry and 2 more4 days
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPLancaster, York4 days
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPLycoming49 hr
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPLycoming, Northumberland, Union49 hr
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPNorthumberland, Union44 hr
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPNorthumberland, Union44 hr
Sep 7, 11:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPNorthumberland, Union53 hr
Sep 7, 12:09 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPAdams, Centre, Clinton, Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin and 17 more12 hr
Sep 7, 1:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLebanon23 min
Sep 7, 2:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLancaster13 min
Sep 7, 2:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLancaster34 min
Sep 7, 3:28 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPLancaster, York44 hr
Sep 7, 4:14 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCTPSchuylkill6 hr
Sep 7, 7:00 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York6 hr
Sep 7, 7:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPSchuylkill29 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.