Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Burlington, VT

841 
WGUS61 KBTV 261912
FFABTV

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
312 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>009-016>018-271200-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110527T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-
CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...PLATTSBURGH...
STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...
LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...
GOUVERNEUR...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...
UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON
312 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VERMONT.

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES 
 OF RAIN IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. 

* ROADWAYS CAN FLOOD QUICKLY AND CREATE DANGEROUS TRAVEL 
 CONDITIONS. RIVERS AND STREAMS CAN QUICKLY COME OUT OF THEIR 
 BANKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

&&

$$

EVENSON

078 
WGUS61 KBTV 270238
FFABTV

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1038 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

VTZ010>012-019-271200-
/O.EXB.KBTV.FF.A.0002.110527T0300Z-110527T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...RUTLAND...
SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
1038 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ORANGE...RUTLAND AND WINDSOR
  COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT.

* UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING
  IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

* ROADWAYS CAN FLOOD QUICKLY AND CREATE DANGEROUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS. RIVERS AND STREAMS CAN QUICKLY COME OUT OF THEIR 
  BANKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

&&

$$

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>009-016>018-271200-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110527T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-
CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...PLATTSBURGH...
STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...
LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...
GOUVERNEUR...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...
UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON
1038 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VERMONT.

* UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING
  IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

* ROADWAYS CAN FLOOD QUICKLY AND CREATE DANGEROUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS. RIVERS AND STREAMS CAN QUICKLY COME OUT OF THEIR 
  BANKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

&&

$$

WGH

353 
WGUS61 KBTV 270817
FFABTV

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
417 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-272100-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110528T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-
CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-
WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...PLATTSBURGH...
STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...
LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...
GOUVERNEUR...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
417 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE ENTIRE NORTH COUNTRY

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE REDEVELOPING OVER PORTIONS OF
  THE FORECAST AREA TODAY...AND WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
  ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING ON TOP OF WHAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED.

* ROADWAYS CAN FLOOD QUICKLY AND CREATE DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.
  RIVERS AND STREAMS CAN QUICKLY COME OUT OF THEIR BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

NEVER CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU WITNESS WATER
RUNNING OVER THE ROAD. THE ROADWAY MAY HAVE BEEN WASHED OUT.
REMEMBER...IT IS MORE DIFFICULT TO DETECT FLOODED ROADWAYS AT
NIGHT.

&&

$$

774 
WGUS61 KBTV 271522
FFABTV

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1122 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-280000-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110528T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-
CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-
WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...PLATTSBURGH...
STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...
LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...
GOUVERNEUR...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
1122 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* NORTHERN NEW YORK AND MUCH OF VERMONT.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHERN
  ESSEX COUNTY NEW YORK AND ADDISON...WASHINGTON...AND CALEDONIA
  COUNTIES IN VERMONT. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS
  AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT.

* THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE OVER AREAS THAT
  HAVE ALREADY BEEN HARD HIT BY HEAVY RAIN ON THURSDAY...IN
  PARTICULAR ADDISON...WASHINGTON...AND CALEDONIA COUNTIES. EXPECT
  1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WITH
  LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 3 INCHES. WATCH FOR WASHED OUT ROADS AND
  RIVERS AND STREAMS QUICKLY COMING OUT OF THEIR BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU WITNESS WATER
RUNNING OVER THE ROAD. THE ROADWAY MAY HAVE BEEN WASHED OUT.
REMEMBER...IT IS MORE DIFFICULT TO DETECT FLOODED ROADWAYS AT
NIGHT.

&&

$$

EVENSON

889 
WGUS61 KBTV 272002
FFABTV

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
402 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYZ026-027-087-272115-
/O.CAN.KBTV.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110528T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...OGDENSBURG...
POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR
402 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW YORK
HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN FROM THUNDERSTORMS
HAS DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY.

$$

NYZ028>031-034-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-280400-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110528T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-
CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-
WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...STAR LAKE...
SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...
PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...
NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...
ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...
RANDOLPH...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...
ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...
EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
402 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF NEW YORK AND
  MUCH OF VERMONT.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW YORK MAND MUCH OF
  VERMONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA
  WILL BE FROM ESSEX COUNTY NEW YORK EASTWARD ACROSS ADDISON...
  WASHINGTON...AND CALEDONIA COUNTIES OF VERMONT.

* THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE OVER AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY
  BEEN HARD HIT BY HEAVY RAIN ON THURSDAY...IN PARTICULAR
  ADDISON...WASHINGTON...AND CALEDONIA COUNTIES. EXPECT 1 TO 2
  INCHES OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WITH LOCALIZED
  AMOUNTS TO 3 INCHES. WATCH FOR WASHED OUT ROADS AND RIVERS AND
  STREAMS QUICKLY COMING OUT OF THEIR BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU WITNESS WATER
RUNNING OVER THE ROAD. THE ROADWAY MAY HAVE BEEN WASHED OUT.
REMEMBER...IT IS MORE DIFFICULT TO DETECT FLOODED ROADWAYS AT
NIGHT.

&&

$$

EVENSON

960 
WGUS61 KBTV 280247
FFABTV

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1047 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYZ028>031-034-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-280800-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110528T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-
CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-
WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...STAR LAKE...
SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...
PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...
NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...
ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...
RANDOLPH...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...
ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...
EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
1047 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VERMONT...AS WELL AS THE ADIRONDACKS AND
  AND THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF NEW YORK.

* UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY.

* MORE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE
  AREA OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK.

* WATCH OUT FOR WASHED OUT ROADS AND RIVERS AND STREAMS QUICKLY
  COMING OUT OF THEIR BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU WITNESS WATER
RUNNING OVER THE ROAD. THE ROADWAY MAY HAVE BEEN WASHED OUT.
REMEMBER...IT IS MORE DIFFICULT TO DETECT FLOODED ROADWAYS AT
NIGHT.

&&

$$

WGH

454 
WGUS61 KBTV 280814
FFABTV

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
414 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

NYZ028>031-034-035-VTZ001>010-016>018-282100-
/O.EXP.KBTV.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110528T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KBTV.FF.A.0003.110528T0814Z-110529T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-
CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...STAR LAKE...
SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...
PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...
NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...
ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...
RANDOLPH...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...
RIPTON
414 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MUCH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY

* THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA
  OVERNIGHT...AND REDEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON.

* THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE OVER AREAS THAT
  HAVE ALREADY BEEN HARD HIT BY HEAVY RAIN THE PAST 2 DAYS...IN
  PARTICULAR ADDISON...WASHINGTON...AND CALEDONIA COUNTIES. THE
  STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DROP A QUICK 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
  RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. WATCH FOR WASHED OUT ROADS
  AND RIVERS AND STREAMS QUICKLY COMING OUT OF THEIR BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU WITNESS WATER
RUNNING OVER THE ROAD. THE ROADWAY MAY HAVE BEEN WASHED OUT.
REMEMBER...IT IS MORE DIFFICULT TO DETECT FLOODED ROADWAYS AT
NIGHT.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

VTZ011-012-019-280915-
/O.EXP.KBTV.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110528T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...
WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
414 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN VERMONT HAS
EXPIRED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
711 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
ACTIVE WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS CONTINUES SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE REGION FOR
THE START OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 711 AM EDT THURSDAY...A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO PREVIOUS
FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR SURFACE TEMPS WARMING A LITTLE
FASTER...AND A LITTLE LESS SKY COVER THIS MORNING PER LATEST
SATELLITE. OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF FORECAST ON TRACK.

NEAR TERM FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE THE TIMING OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH AT
THIS TIME FORECASTER CONFIDENCE ON THE DETAILS IS VERY LOW BASED
ON POOR MODEL INITIALIZATION THIS MORNING. CURRENT RADAR SHOWS
DECAYING CONVECTION MOVING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...NONE OF
WHICH WAS HANDLED WELL BY MESOSCALE MODELS OVERNIGHT. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...WITH THE MAIN PLAYERS IN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG STORMS
TODAY BEING A WARM FRONT SURGING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION
THIS MORNING...AND A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA THIS
AFTERNOON. THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
STILL LOOKS TO BE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK...THE CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY...AND THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL SECTIONS OF VERMONT. TIMING OF
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL BE TRICKY...BUT ALL SIGNS POINT TO
STORMS FORMING BY EARLY/MID AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK
AND THEN EVENTUALLY SPREADING EASTWARD INTO THE EVENING. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE STRONG WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL GIVEN HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
AS OF 451 AM EDT THURSDAY...AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO
SLOWLY SAG SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TONIGHT...WITH THE
THREAT FOR STRONG STORMS CONTINUING AT LEAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN
WEAKENING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT WITH THE LOSS OF
SURFACE HEATING. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS AGAIN ON FRIDAY FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS SLOW TO MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION. STILL A LOT OF QUESTIONS AS TO THE LOCATION OF
THE BOUNDARY...WITH MID-RANGE MODELS DIFFERING A BIT FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH. A LARGE FACTOR IN THE LOCATION OF THE BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY
BE WHATEVER STORMS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH MAY COOL THE
BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE REGION ENOUGH TO KEEP THE BEST INSTABILITY
SOUTH OF THE REGION. AT THIS TIME...HAVE GONE WITH A BLEND OF
SOLUTIONS KEEPING THE MAIN THREAT FOR STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION...WITH LESSER CHANCES AND COOLER
AIR NORTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 339 AM EDT THURSDAY...UPR TROUGH EXPECTED TO SHEAR NEWD
ACROSS OUR REGION FRIDAY NIGHT OVER REMNANT FRONTAL ZONE AND NARROW
DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE AXIS WILL MAINTAIN LIKELY POPS FOR SHOWERS AND
PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT. PW
VALUES REMAIN NEAR 1.5 INCHES...SO A FEW HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ANY CONVECTIVE STORMS. WITH
GENERALLY OVERCAST CONDITIONS...SOUTH WINDS...AND MOIST
CONDITIONS...LOW TEMPS SHOULD BE FAIRLY UNIFORM ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY AND MAINLY IN THE UPR 50S TO LWR 60S. BNDRY RETREATS NWD
AS A WARM FRONT SATURDAY WITH NORTH COUNTRY GENERALLY IN THE WARM
SECTOR AND SW FLOW IN THE 700-500MB LAYER. SHOULD BE THE START OF
A WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS IN THE UPR 70S TO LOWER 80S. THAT
SAID...WILL CONTINUE WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WITH DAYTIME HEATING. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY 21Z SREF/SPC
CALIBRATED TSTM PROBS OF AROUND 40 PERCENT BETWEEN 18-21Z
SATURDAY. DAYTIME WINDS SATURDAY WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE S-SW
AT 10-15 MPH AND DEWPOINTS WILL BE RELATIVELY HIGH IN THE LOW TO
PERHAPS MID 60S.

A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY NEXT WEEK AS A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE BUILDS NEWD FROM THE GULF
COAST ALL THE WAY INTO NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL REPRESENT A
TRANSITION TOWARD HOT AND HUMID WEATHER CONDITIONS. AIR MASS
SUPPORTS TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S. LOW 90S CAN/T BE RULED OUT
FOR THE WARMER VALLEY LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY FOR TUESDAY WITH 00Z GFS
INDICATING 850MB TEMPS +18 TO +20C...AND ECMWF +20C TO +22C. HAVE
NOTED IN THE PAST A SLIGHT WARM BIAS IN ECMWF TEMPS IN SIMILAR
SITUATIONS...SO WOULD TEND TO LEAN TOWARD GFS 850MB TEMPERATURES.
COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS SUNDAY...BUT THEREAFTER STRONG MID-LEVEL
SUBSIDENCE SHOULD KEEP SUN NIGHT THRU TUESDAY DRY.

RIDGE FLATTENS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY IN RESPONSE TO
A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND PASSAGE OF ATTENDANT SFC COLD
FRONT. THIS WILL BRING PERIOD OF POSSIBLE SHOWER/ISOLD TSTM ACTIVITY
TUESDAY NIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY. MAY ALSO SEE SOME GUSTY WEST WINDS TO
35 MPH AFTER FROPA BASED ON CURRENT INDICATIONS. SEEING SOME
DIFFERENCE IN THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THE FRONT...WHICH WOULD
AFFECT TEMPS WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY. THE 00Z GFS INDICATES A RATHER
STRONG COLD FRONT WITH 850MB TEMPS DROPPING TO +3 TO +4C LATE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. 00Z ECMWF IS SLOWER WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE
WEDNESDAY...BUT DOES ALSO INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN BY
THURSDAY WITH SIMILAR 850MB TEMPERATURES. WILL INDICATE HIGHS BACK
INTO THE 70S FOR WEDNESDAY AND MAY ONLY SEE 60S FOR THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
6 HOURS AS WARM FRONTAL PRECIP OVERNIGHT HAS EXITED THE REGION AND
WE'LL BE IN THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM. MAIN AVIATION ISSUE
THEREAFTER WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AROUND AND AFTER 18Z. HARD TO NAIL DOWN EXACT TIMING AND IMPACTS AT
THIS JUNCTURE SO HAVE JUST MENTIONED VCTS AND CB'S FOR NOW. SHOULD
BE ABLE TO BETTER DEFINE TERMINAL IMPACTS CLOSER TO THE 18Z TAFS
AS THE DAY UNFOLDS. DO EXPECT TO EVENTUALLY SEE SOME SHRA AND TSRA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...LOCALLY LOWER CIGS/VSBY TO MVFR/IFR
AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION DIMINISHES OVERNIGHT...AND SO DO THE WINDS.
LIGHT WINDS COMBINED WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL SET THE STAGE
FOR LOW CIGS AND FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT. LIKELY TO SEE IFR TO
MVFR CONDITIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT...LOCALLY DOWN TO VLIFR AT KMPV/KSLK.

OUTLOOK 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
12Z FRIDAY THROUGH 15Z FRIDAY...LOW CIGS/VSBY BURNING OFF AFTER
SUNRISE...OTHERWISE VFR.
15Z FRIDAY THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM
REDEVELOPING...LIKELY REDUCING CIGS/VSBY TO MVFR/IFR AT TIMES.
06Z SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
POSSIBLE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 450 AM EDT THURSDAY...THE THREAT FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL FROM STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE INCREASING THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. STRONGER STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME...WHICH COMBINED WITH ALREADY SATURATED GROUND
CONDITIONS WILL POSE A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID RISES
ON SMALLER STREAMS AND RIVERS. THE FOCUS TODAY WILL BE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...SHIFTING EASTWARD TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
GIVEN THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE PRECIP...THE EXACT TIMING AND
LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS IS DIFFICULT TO
FORECAST AT THIS TIME. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL
DISCUSSIONS AND STATEMENTS ON THIS UPCOMING WEATHER EVENT.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF 345 AM EDT THURSDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME A MAJOR FACTOR ON LAKE
CHAMPLAIN TODAY AND A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. SOUTH WINDS
WILL INCREASE INTO THE 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE THIS MORNING WITH WAVES
BUILDING INTO THE 3 TO 5 FOOT RANGE. SEICHE EFFECTS FROM THE WIND
WILL CAUSE THE LAKE LEVEL TO RISE TO NEAR 102.7 FEET ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE LAKE THURSDAY...WITH SOME EROSION TO SOUTH
FACING SHORELINES. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE SOME BY LATE AFTN /15-25
KNOTS/...THEN BECOME NORTH THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS LAKE CHAMPLAIN.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY.

FOR BOATERS MANY HAZARDS STILL EXIST. BREAKWATER AND OTHER ROCKS
OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO NAVIGATION MAY BE OBSCURED BY THE HIGH WATER
LEVELS ON THE LAKE. IN ADDITION...PLENTY OF DEBRIS REMAIN IN THE
LAKE...ESPECIALLY NEAR RIVER MOUTHS. LASTLY...THE NEAR-SHORE LAKE
TEMPERATURES HAVE ONLY WARMED TO AROUND 50 DEGREES...WHICH COULD
LEAD TO POTENTIAL HYPOTHERMIC CONDITIONS IF ONE WERE TO FALL INTO
THE WATER. DUE TO THE ABOVE FACTORS...RECREATIONAL BOATING IS
DISCOURAGED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LAHIFF
NEAR TERM...LAHIFF
SHORT TERM...LAHIFF
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...LAHIFF
HYDROLOGY...
MARINE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
359 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-270800-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-
WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
359 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL
VERMONT...NORTHEAST VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LAKE CHAMPLAIN: SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED ON LAKE
CHAMPLAIN THIS MORNING THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS WILL
CREATE 3 TO 5 FOOT WAVES...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR EROSION ALONG SOUTH
FACING SHORELINE AREAS.

THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL: STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE
NORTH COUNTRY. THE GREATEST AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE FROM THE
NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF
OF VERMONT. STRONG WINDS... HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
BE THE MAIN IMPACTS FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS. ANY PERSISTENT AREAS
OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT LATE
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP DURING THE
DAY FRIDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS WILL SHIFT
SOUTHWARD TO INCLUDE CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VERMONT ON FRIDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS POSSIBLE...AND
ANY PERSISTENT AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY CREATE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

BANACOS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
959 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-262000-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-
CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-
WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...PLATTSBURGH...
STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...
LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...
GOUVERNEUR...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
959 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY AND NORTHERN ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS OF NEW YORK BY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND MOVE INTO THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND NORTHERN
VERMONT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS
GREATER THAN 70 MPH...LARGE HAIL...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL. AN ISOLATED TORNADO COULD BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW OF
THE STRONGER STORMS.

IN ADDITION...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AND PARTS OF WESTERN AND
NORTHERN VERMONT.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO
TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER
SITUATION.