Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011

Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Gaylord, MI

May 11, 2011Manistee County, Wexford County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at May 11, 2011, 1:59 PM EDT for Manistee County, Wexford County, Michigan. It was in force for 12 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2011, 1:59 PM EDT (17:59 UTC)
Expired
May 12, 2011, 2:00 AM EDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Manistee County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 11, 2:20 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 2.881 N Wellston, MI2.88 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 90 MINUTES.
May 11, 6:44 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 4.581 N Wellston, MISTORM TOTAL RAIN THROUGH 640 PM.
May 11, 9:00 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 5.051 N Wellston, MI12 HOUR TOTAL THRU 9 PM.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2011-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2011-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 102 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
782 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

010 
WGUS53 KAPX 111759
FFWAPX
MIC101-165-120000-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0004.110511T1759Z-110512T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
159 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
  SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 800 PM EDT

* AT 156 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE      
  WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR HAS ESTIMATED 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL 
  ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  CADILLAC...BOON...DUBLIN...HARRIETTA...HOXEYVILLE...MEAUWATAKA...
  MITCHELL STATE PARK...WELLSTON AND YUMA.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THE MID 
AFTERNOON HOURS.  

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...LITTLE MANISTEE 
RIVER...ADAMS CREEK...MANTON CREEK...EDDINGTON CREEK...BOSWELL 
CREEK...CLAM RIVER...STRONACH CREEK...PINE CREEK...PINE 
RIVER...MANISTEE RIVER...PETERSON CREEK AND JOHNSON CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

&&

LAT...LON 4428 8596 4436 8593 4437 8555 4436 8534
      4416 8534 4417 8613 4418 8613

$$
4 follow-up statements
079 
WGUS73 KAPX 112116
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
516 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

MIC101-165-120000-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110512T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
516 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE
AND SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

AT 511 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING TO TRACK
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF MANISTEE AND WEXFORD COUNTY.  RADAR 
RAINFALL ESTIMATES AND SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE RAINFALL TOTALS IN 
EXCESS OF FOUR INCHES SINCE THIS MORNING.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING AT LEAST ANOTHER ONE TO TWO 
INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 530 PM AND 730 PM.  RUNOFF FROM THIS 
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR. SOME 
LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...CADILLAC... 
BOON...DUBLIN...HARRIETTA...HOXEYVILLE...AND WELLSTON.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...MANISTEE 
RIVER...ADAMS CREEK...MANTON CREEK...EDDINGTON CREEK...BOSWELL 
CREEK...CLAM RIVER...LITTLE MANISTEE RIVER...STRONACH CREEK...PINE 
CREEK...SLAGLE CREEK...PERKINS CREEK...SMAIL CREEK...PRESTON 
CREEK...COLE CREEK...POPLAR CREEK...MITCHELL CREEK...JOHNSON 
CREEK...PINE RIVER...PETERSON CREEK...ARQUILLA CREEK...SEATON 
CREEK...GUNNERSON CREEK...CLAYBANK CREEK...AND DYER CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4428 8596 4436 8593 4437 8555 4436 8534
      4416 8534 4417 8613 4418 8613

$$


JPB
032 
WGUS53 KAPX 112355
FFWAPX
MIC101-165-120600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110512T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
755 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
  SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 200 AM EDT THURSDAY

* RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MANISTEE AND SOUTHERN WEXFORD 
  COUNTIES EXCEEDED FOUR INCHES DURING THE DAY TODAY.  ADDITIONAL
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA TONIGHT...AND MAY
  BRING ANOTHER INCH OR MORE OF RAINFALL.  THIS WILL EXACERBATE
  CURRENT FLOODING...AND POSSIBLY RESULT IN NEW FLASH FLOODING.  
  THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 200 AM 
  EDT.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  CADILLAC...BOON...DUBLIN...HARRIETTA...HOXEYVILLE...MEAUWATAKA...
  MITCHELL STATE PARK...WELLSTON AND YUMA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.  HIGH RAINFALL RATES WILL BE MOST DANGEROUS WITH 
RESPECT TO FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AS NIGHT APPROACHES WHEN IT IS HARDER TO 
RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO 
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4428 8596 4436 8593 4437 8555 4436 8534
      4416 8534 4417 8613 4418 8613

$$


JPB
828 
WGUS73 KAPX 120231
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1031 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

MIC101-165-120600-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110512T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
1031 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE
AND SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 200 AM EDT...

AT 1026 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED ADDITIONAL 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE AND 
SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTIES. RADAR ESTIMATES AND SPOTTER REPORTS 
INDICATE EARLIER VERY HEAVY RAIN TOTALED 2 TO AS MUCH AS 7 INCHES 
ACROSS THE AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO PERHAPS 2 INCHES 
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL ONLY SERVE TO EXACERBATE ONGOING 
FLOODING...AND POTENTIALLY RESULT IN NEW AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO 
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BOON...DUBLIN...HOXEYVILLE...MEAUWATAKA...WELLSTON AND YUMA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. NEVER 
DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD...AS ESTIMATING THE 
DEPTH OF WATER WILL BE IMPOSSIBLE AT NIGHT. SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER AT 
A DEPTH OF JUST 6 INCHES CAN FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT STAY IN 
AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4428 8596 4436 8593 4437 8555 4436 8534
      4416 8534 4417 8613 4418 8613

$$

LAWRENCE
716 
WGUS73 KAPX 120603
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
203 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

MIC101-165-120617-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110512T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
203 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN 
WEXFORD COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO 
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTING NO 
FLOODING ISSUES ONGOING IN WEXFORD COUNTY.

IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 4428 8596 4436 8593 4437 8555 4436 8534
      4416 8534 4417 8613 4418 8613

$$



JZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 8:30 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX90 min
May 11, 8:39 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX96 min
May 11, 9:09 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee66 min
May 11, 9:35 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX55 min
May 11, 9:42 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX93 min
May 11, 10:12 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXBenzie3 hr
May 11, 10:19 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXGrand Traverse, Kalkaska, Manistee, Wexford41 min
May 11, 10:33 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX117 min
May 11, 10:38 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX112 min
May 11, 11:01 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX89 min
May 11, 11:02 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXManistee, Wexford3 hr
May 11, 11:14 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX91 min
May 11, 11:15 AM EDTCoastal Flood WarningAPX105 min
May 11, 11:38 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford46 min
May 11, 11:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee64 min
May 11, 12:01 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXManistee14 hr
May 11, 12:31 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX119 min
May 11, 12:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee61 min
May 11, 1:12 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX93 min
May 11, 1:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee35 min
May 11, 1:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee, Wexford59 min
May 11, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee48 min
May 11, 2:35 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX85 min
May 11, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee64 min
May 11, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee, Wexford56 min
May 11, 6:34 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX97 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.