Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011
Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at May 11, 2011, 1:59 PM EDT for Manistee County, Wexford County, Michigan. It was in force for 12 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- May 11, 2011, 1:59 PM EDT (17:59 UTC)
- Expired
- May 12, 2011, 2:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Manistee County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2:20 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.88 | 1 N Wellston, MI | 2.88 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 90 MINUTES. |
| May 11, 6:44 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 4.58 | 1 N Wellston, MI | STORM TOTAL RAIN THROUGH 640 PM. |
| May 11, 9:00 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 5.05 | 1 N Wellston, MI | 12 HOUR TOTAL THRU 9 PM. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 782 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 105 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
010
WGUS53 KAPX 111759
FFWAPX
MIC101-165-120000-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0004.110511T1759Z-110512T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
159 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 800 PM EDT
* AT 156 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR HAS ESTIMATED 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CADILLAC...BOON...DUBLIN...HARRIETTA...HOXEYVILLE...MEAUWATAKA...
MITCHELL STATE PARK...WELLSTON AND YUMA.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THE MID
AFTERNOON HOURS.
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...LITTLE MANISTEE
RIVER...ADAMS CREEK...MANTON CREEK...EDDINGTON CREEK...BOSWELL
CREEK...CLAM RIVER...STRONACH CREEK...PINE CREEK...PINE
RIVER...MANISTEE RIVER...PETERSON CREEK AND JOHNSON CREEK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.
&&
LAT...LON 4428 8596 4436 8593 4437 8555 4436 8534
4416 8534 4417 8613 4418 8613
$$4 follow-up statements
079
WGUS73 KAPX 112116
FFSAPX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
516 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011
MIC101-165-120000-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110512T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
516 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE
AND SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...
AT 511 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING TO TRACK
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF MANISTEE AND WEXFORD COUNTY. RADAR
RAINFALL ESTIMATES AND SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE RAINFALL TOTALS IN
EXCESS OF FOUR INCHES SINCE THIS MORNING.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING AT LEAST ANOTHER ONE TO TWO
INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 530 PM AND 730 PM. RUNOFF FROM THIS
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...CADILLAC...
BOON...DUBLIN...HARRIETTA...HOXEYVILLE...AND WELLSTON.
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...MANISTEE
RIVER...ADAMS CREEK...MANTON CREEK...EDDINGTON CREEK...BOSWELL
CREEK...CLAM RIVER...LITTLE MANISTEE RIVER...STRONACH CREEK...PINE
CREEK...SLAGLE CREEK...PERKINS CREEK...SMAIL CREEK...PRESTON
CREEK...COLE CREEK...POPLAR CREEK...MITCHELL CREEK...JOHNSON
CREEK...PINE RIVER...PETERSON CREEK...ARQUILLA CREEK...SEATON
CREEK...GUNNERSON CREEK...CLAYBANK CREEK...AND DYER CREEK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 4428 8596 4436 8593 4437 8555 4436 8534
4416 8534 4417 8613 4418 8613
$$
JPB032
WGUS53 KAPX 112355
FFWAPX
MIC101-165-120600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110512T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
755 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 200 AM EDT THURSDAY
* RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MANISTEE AND SOUTHERN WEXFORD
COUNTIES EXCEEDED FOUR INCHES DURING THE DAY TODAY. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA TONIGHT...AND MAY
BRING ANOTHER INCH OR MORE OF RAINFALL. THIS WILL EXACERBATE
CURRENT FLOODING...AND POSSIBLY RESULT IN NEW FLASH FLOODING.
THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 200 AM
EDT.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CADILLAC...BOON...DUBLIN...HARRIETTA...HOXEYVILLE...MEAUWATAKA...
MITCHELL STATE PARK...WELLSTON AND YUMA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA. HIGH RAINFALL RATES WILL BE MOST DANGEROUS WITH
RESPECT TO FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AS NIGHT APPROACHES WHEN IT IS HARDER TO
RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
&&
LAT...LON 4428 8596 4436 8593 4437 8555 4436 8534
4416 8534 4417 8613 4418 8613
$$
JPB828
WGUS73 KAPX 120231
FFSAPX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1031 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011
MIC101-165-120600-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110512T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
1031 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE
AND SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 200 AM EDT...
AT 1026 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE AND
SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTIES. RADAR ESTIMATES AND SPOTTER REPORTS
INDICATE EARLIER VERY HEAVY RAIN TOTALED 2 TO AS MUCH AS 7 INCHES
ACROSS THE AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO PERHAPS 2 INCHES
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL ONLY SERVE TO EXACERBATE ONGOING
FLOODING...AND POTENTIALLY RESULT IN NEW AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING.
RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BOON...DUBLIN...HOXEYVILLE...MEAUWATAKA...WELLSTON AND YUMA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. NEVER
DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD...AS ESTIMATING THE
DEPTH OF WATER WILL BE IMPOSSIBLE AT NIGHT. SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER AT
A DEPTH OF JUST 6 INCHES CAN FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT STAY IN
AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
&&
LAT...LON 4428 8596 4436 8593 4437 8555 4436 8534
4416 8534 4417 8613 4418 8613
$$
LAWRENCE716
WGUS73 KAPX 120603
FFSAPX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
203 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011
MIC101-165-120617-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110512T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
203 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
WEXFORD COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...
EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTING NO
FLOODING ISSUES ONGOING IN WEXFORD COUNTY.
IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
LAT...LON 4428 8596 4436 8593 4437 8555 4436 8534
4416 8534 4417 8613 4418 8613
$$
JZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 8:30 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 90 min | |
| May 11, 8:39 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 96 min | |
| May 11, 9:09 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee | 66 min |
| May 11, 9:35 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 55 min | |
| May 11, 9:42 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 93 min | |
| May 11, 10:12 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | APX | Benzie | 3 hr |
| May 11, 10:19 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Manistee, Wexford | 41 min |
| May 11, 10:33 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 117 min | |
| May 11, 10:38 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 112 min | |
| May 11, 11:01 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 89 min | |
| May 11, 11:02 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | APX | Manistee, Wexford | 3 hr |
| May 11, 11:14 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 91 min | |
| May 11, 11:15 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | APX | 105 min | |
| May 11, 11:38 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Missaukee, Wexford | 46 min |
| May 11, 11:41 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee | 64 min |
| May 11, 12:01 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | APX | Manistee | 14 hr |
| May 11, 12:31 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 119 min | |
| May 11, 12:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee | 61 min |
| May 11, 1:12 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 93 min | |
| May 11, 1:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee | 35 min |
| May 11, 1:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee, Wexford | 59 min |
| May 11, 2:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee | 48 min |
| May 11, 2:35 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 85 min | |
| May 11, 4:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee | 64 min |
| May 11, 5:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee, Wexford | 56 min |
| May 11, 6:34 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 97 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.