Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011

Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI

May 11, 2011Manistee County, Wexford County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at May 11, 2011, 11:02 AM EDT for Manistee County, Wexford County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2011, 11:02 AM EDT (15:02 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2011, 2:00 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Manistee County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 11, 12:10 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 2.94 E Dublin, MIRAINFALL TOTAL SINCE 0800 AM.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2011-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2011-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 102 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
782 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

580 
WGUS53 KAPX 111502
FFWAPX
MIC101-165-111800-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0002.110511T1502Z-110511T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1102 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
  SOUTHWESTERN WEXFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 200 PM EDT

* AT 1100 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
  RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IN THREE HOURS HAS
  OCCURRED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN
  WEXFORD COUNTY.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  DUBLIN AND WELLSTON.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
  LITTLE MANISTEE RIVER
  STRONACH CREEK
  PINE CREEK
  JOHNSON CREEK
  PINE RIVER
  MANISTEE RIVER
  PETERSON CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

&&

LAT...LON 4417 8612 4422 8604 4424 8572 4416 8572

$$


JPB
1 follow-up statement
559 
WGUS73 KAPX 111630
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1230 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

MIC101-165-111800-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110511T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-
1230 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MANISTEE
AND SOUTHWESTERN WEXFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM EDT...

AT 1227 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE TO TRAIN ACROSS THE 
WARNED AREA.  RADAR ESTIMATES AND SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE IN EXCESS
OF THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN SINCE AROUND 9 AM...AND AN 
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 2 PM.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO 
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...DUBLIN 
AND WELLSTON.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
LITTLE MANISTEE RIVER...STRONACH CREEK...PINE CREEK...PINE 
RIVER...MANISTEE RIVER...PETERSON CREEK AND JOHNSON CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4417 8612 4422 8604 4424 8572 4416 8572

$$


JPB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 8:30 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX90 min
May 11, 8:39 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX96 min
May 11, 9:09 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee66 min
May 11, 9:35 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX55 min
May 11, 9:42 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX93 min
May 11, 10:12 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXBenzie3 hr
May 11, 10:19 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXGrand Traverse, Kalkaska, Manistee, Wexford41 min
May 11, 10:33 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX117 min
May 11, 10:38 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX112 min
May 11, 11:01 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX89 min
May 11, 11:14 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX91 min
May 11, 11:15 AM EDTCoastal Flood WarningAPX105 min
May 11, 11:38 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford46 min
May 11, 11:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee64 min
May 11, 12:01 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXManistee14 hr
May 11, 12:31 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX119 min
May 11, 12:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee61 min
May 11, 1:12 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX93 min
May 11, 1:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee35 min
May 11, 1:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee, Wexford59 min
May 11, 1:59 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXManistee, Wexford12 hr
May 11, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee48 min
May 11, 2:35 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX85 min
May 11, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee64 min
May 11, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee, Wexford56 min
May 11, 6:34 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX97 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.