Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011
Gale Warning 509, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 17, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 17, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 18, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
485 FZAK51 PAJK 180026 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-181400- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE TO THE EASTERN GULF BY LATE SUN AFTERNOON...THEN THROUGH SE ALASKA SUN NIGHT. OUTLOOK. A LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-181400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. .SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-181400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-181400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN...SNOW. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-181400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-181400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ031-181400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-181400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN...SNOW. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-181400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-181400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ035-181400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ036-181400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
027 FZAK51 PAJK 180756 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-190200- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE TO THE EASTERN GULF BY LATE SUN AFTERNOON...THEN THROUGH SE ALASKA SUN NIGHT. OUTLOOK. A LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-190200- GLACIER BAY- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. .SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-190200- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-190200- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN...SNOW. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-190200- ICY STRAIT- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-190200- CROSS SOUND- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ031-190200- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-190200- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN...SNOW. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-190200- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-190200- FREDERICK SOUND- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ035-190200- SUMNER STRAIT- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ036-190200- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1056 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
979 FZAK51 PAJK 181302 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-190100- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON...THEN THROUGH SE ALASKA SUN NIGHT. OUTLOOK. A LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-190100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-190100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-190100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-190100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-190100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ031-190100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-190100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-190100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES... SEAS 9 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-190100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ035-190100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ036-190100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT... EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT SHIFTING NW IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
073 FZAK51 PAJK 182323 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-190100- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON...THEN THROUGH SE ALASKA SUN NIGHT. OUTLOOK. A LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-190100- GLACIER BAY- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-190100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-190100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-190100- ICY STRAIT- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-190100- CROSS SOUND- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ031-190100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-190100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-190100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-190100- FREDERICK SOUND- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ035-190100- SUMNER STRAIT- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ036-190100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 220 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED TODAY AND TONIGHT ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS AROUND 50 KT NORTHERN AREA. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT... EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT SHIFTING NW IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 17, 2:14 PM AKST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 17, 2:14 PM AKST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
214 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011
.SHORT TERM...RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TONIGHT...THEN
DRIFT E OF THE AREA SUN. A STRONG OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE NE
INTO THE SW GULF TONIGHT...THEN TO THE EASTERN GULF BY SUN
AFTERNOON. USED A BLEND OF THE 00Z AND 12Z ECMWF FOR THE SHORT
TERM.
MAIN FORECAST ISSUES WILL BE WINDS AND SNOWFALL. FOR TONIGHT THE
MOST WIND WILL BE IN LYNN CANAL...AND OVER THE FAR WESTERN AREA.
LYNN CANAL WINDS ARE NOW SCA LEVEL BUT THEY SHOULD DROP OFF TO
15-20 KT BY 00Z. THEY WILL PICK UP AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AS SW FLOW
ALOFT INCREASES ESPECIALLY AFTER MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS MOVES BY
THEM. THEY WILL CONTINUE INCREASING ON SUN...REACHING GALE FORCE
BY AFTERNOON. WILL ALSO SEE GALES DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN AREA
LATE TONIGHT...THEN SPREAD TO THE REMAINING GULF WATERS SUN.
THERE WILL BE A SMALL AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS W OF ICY BAY SUN
AS A BARRIER JET GETS GOING. THE INNER CHANNELS OUTSIDE OF NRN
LYNN CANAL WILL PICK UP TO SCA LEVELS DURING SUN. WILL BE ISSUING
STRONG WIND HEADLINES FOR THE PAGY AREA STARTING AT 15Z SUN...AND
FOR THE PAYA/PAEL/PASI AREAS AT 18Z SUN. REMAINING INNER CHANNEL
LAND AREAS SHOULD BE JUST BELOW STRONG WIND LEVELS BY LATE SUN
AFTERNOON.
AS FOR SNOWFALL...RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE AREA WILL
SEE A SHORT PERIOD OF SNOW BEFORE WARMER AIR MOVES IN AND CAUSES
AT LEAST RAIN TO MIX IN...IF NOT CHANGE OVER TO RAIN. AREAS THAT
COULD GET SIGNIFICANT SNOW INCLUDE THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
PAHN AND PAGY ZONES. WILL BE ISSUING A WS WARNING FOR THOSE AREAS
BUT IT WILL BE MAINLY FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AWAY FROM BOTH THE
PAHN AND PAGY AREAS THEMSELVES. 850 MB FLOW BECOMES SSE SUN
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BE UPSLOPE FOR THE CHILKAT VALLEY AREA...SO
THEY SHOULD GET SOME ENHANCEMENT TO PRECIP THEN. RIGHT NOW AM
THINKING OF GOING 6-12 INCHES FOR THE PAHN ZONE ABOVE 400 FEET
AND PAGY ZONE ABOVE 1000 FEET. WILL MENTION BLOWING SNOW IN WHITE
PASS WITH TEMPS REMAINING IN THE 20S THERE. ELSEWHERE SNOW WILL
BE ON WET SIDE SO BLOWING SNOW IS MUCH LESS LIKELY. OUTSIDE THE
WARNING AREA...DO NOT EXPECT MORE THAN 3 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH
MOST PLACES GETTING AN INCH OR LESS.
OTHERWISE...WILL SEE PATCHY FOG OVER THE CENTRAL AND SRN AREA
WITH LARGE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS EXPECTED AND LIGHT WINDS. HIGHER
CLOUDS AND INCREASED WINDS TOWARD DAYBREAK SUN WILL DIMINISH THE
FOG THREAT FROM NW TO SE. WILL HAVE SNOW SHOWERS AROUND THE PAYA
AREA AS A WEAK TROF MOVES THRU THIS EVENING...THEN STEADIER
PRECIP WITH THE FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE THERE LATE TONIGHT. THIS
PRECIP SHOULD REACH THE CENTRAL COAST SUN MORNING...THEN ALL BUT
THE HYDER AREA SUN AFTERNOON. A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER
THE NW HALF OF THE PANHANDLE WILL DIMINISH EARLY THIS
EVENING...THEN MAY PICK BACK UP LATE TONIGHT AND SUN MORNING AS A
WEAK MID-LEVEL TROF MOVES THRU.
&&
.LONG TERM...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT TODAY AS
A LONG WAVE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SIT OVER THE NORTHERN
PACIFIC AND BERING SEA THROUGH THE ENTIRE EXTENDED PERIOD. THIS
PATTERN IS RIPE FOR THE CONTINUED PUSH OF MORE FRONTS AND LOWS
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. PLUS THE CONTINUED
GENERAL SW FLOW INTO THE PANHANDLE WILL KEEP THE FLIP FLOP
BETWEEN RAIN AND SNOW ON GOING THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
FIRST PART OF THE EXTENDED IS DEALING WITH THE REMAINS OF THE
STRONG FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. STRONG WINDS WILL
STILL BE ONGOING ALONG THE OUTER COAST SUN NIGHT AND MAY BRING
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS INLAND AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE
SUN NIGHT. MEANWHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT TOO WARM TO
SUPPORT SNOW FOR MOST OF THE PANHANDLE EXCEPT FOR THE EXTREME
NORTHER PANHANDLE. AREAS ALONG THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS
MAY SEE SOME SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS SUN EVENING.
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM IS A WEAKER LOW THAT IS MAKING A BEE LINE FOR
THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE MON NIGHT. CURRENT MODEL TRENDS STARTED OUT
TRACKING THE LOW INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE OR DIXON ENTRANCE.
NOW THEY HAVE MOVED FARTHER NORTH WITH A LAND FALL SOME WHERE ON
BARANOF ISLAND LATE MON NIGHT. DECIDED TO SETTLE ON THE EC FOR
UPDATES TO THIS SYSTEM AND TRENDED TOWARD THE MORE NORTHERLY LOW
TRACK. P-TYPE MAY BE A BIT TRICKY WITH THIS ONE AS THE EASTERLY
FLOW ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE LOW TRACK MAY BRING JUST ENOUGH
COLD AIR FOR SNOW TO FALL AT HOONAH, GUSTAVUS AND JUNEAU. MAINLY
NEAR THE LOW BEFORE INCREASING DISTANCE FROM THE LOW AND EASTERLY
DOWNSLOPING FLOW NORTH OF THE LOW DIMINISH THE PRECIP. NOT TOO
MUCH WIND WITH THIS ONE AS THE HIGHEST WINDS APPEAR TO BE GALES
ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LOW.
FOLLOWING THIS IS A RIDGE THAT WILL GIVE US A BRIEF BREAK BEFORE
THE NEXT SYSTEM SHOWS UP FOR THURS. MODEL AGREEMENT IS STARTING
TO SHOW MORE INCONSISTENCIES. THEY ALL AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE
SOMETHING HEADING UP TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF WED NIGHT BUT THE
STRENGTH AND FRONT PLACEMENT ARE A BIT DIFFERENT MODEL TO MODEL.
GIVEN THE DIFFERENCES STARTED USING MORE HPC DATA WITH ITS
EMPHASIS ON ENSEMBLE MEANS PAST TUES NIGHT. FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS AVERAGE THROUGH TUES THEN DROPS TO A LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE
BEYOND TUES.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
AKZ017-022-023.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT AKST SUNDAY
NIGHT FOR AKZ018-019.
STRONG WIND FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
AKZ018.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ052.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-041>043-051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031>036-053.
&&
RWT/EALIn the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 17, 11:50 AM AKST, 4 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1150 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 AM SNOW HYDER 55.91N 130.02W
12/17/2011 M10.3 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
SNOW AMOUNT FOR PAST 24 HOURS.
&&
KAVThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 3:31 PM AKST | Winter Storm Warning | AJK | 30 hr | |
| Dec 17, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 17, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 17, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 17, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 18, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.