Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 365, NWS Juneau, AK

October 30, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 30, 2011, 8:13 PM AKDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 30, 2011, 8:13 PM AKDT (04:13 UTC)
Expired
Oct 31, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

880 
FZAK51 PAJK 310418 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-312215-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE NORTHEAST GULF MONDAY AFTERNOON.  

$$

PKZ011-312215-
GLACIER BAY-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-312215-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AND INCREASING TO 35 KT
LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-312215-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-312215-
ICY STRAIT-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-312215-
CROSS SOUND-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-312215-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N INCREASING TO WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-312215-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-312215-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-312215-
FREDERICK SOUND-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-312215-
SUMNER STRAIT-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...
EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-312215-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
813 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF ERNEST SOUND.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT...EXCEPT
15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$
2 follow-up statements
072 
FZAK51 PAJK 310627 AAC
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-010015-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE NORTHEAST GULF MONDAY AFTERNOON.  

$$

PKZ011-010015-
GLACIER BAY-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-010015-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-010015-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-010015-
ICY STRAIT-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-010015-
CROSS SOUND-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT...DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-010015-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N INCREASING TO WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-010015-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-010015-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-010015-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-010015-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-010015-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1015 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT...EXCEPT
15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$
343 
FZAK51 PAJK 311201
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-010100-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA MONDAY NIGHT. A DEVELOPING
LOW ALONG THE TRAILING FRONT IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL RAPIDLY
INTENSIFY AS IT LIFTS NORTH INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TUESDAY. A VERY
STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF TUE.  

$$

PKZ011-010100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT DEVELOPING THROUGH THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT DEVELOPING BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-010100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 7 LATE. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N GALE TO 45 KT DEVELOPING BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-010100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT DEVELOPING BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-010100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 45 KT DEVELOPING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT DEVELOPING BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-010100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 45 KT DEVELOPING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE LATE EVENING. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E GALE TO 40 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS...DEVELOPING BY THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-010100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 40 KT DEVELOPING BY THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...DEVELOPING BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-010100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 40 KT DEVELOPING BY THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT DEVELOPING BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-010100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT
8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...S GALE TO 45 KT DEVELOPING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9
FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 8
FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DEVELOPING BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-010100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT DEVELOPING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DEVELOPING BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-010100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN LATE.
.TUE...E GALE TO 45 KT DEVELOPING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-010100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.TUE...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT DEVELOPING IN THE MORNING.
GUSTS TO 85 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN
THE EVENING. GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT...
EXCEPT 17 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 30, 4:11 PM AKDT, 4 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 30, 4:11 PM AKDT, 4 hours 2 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
411 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

.SHORT TERM...RESIDUAL TROUGH FROM A FILLING LOW OVER THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. SHOWERS WITH
THE THROUGH ARE LOCALLY HEAVY. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWERS ACROSS
THE EASTERN GULF HEADED TOWARDS THE PANHANDLE. STRONG GALE FORCE
WINDS OVER THE GULF WILL CONTINUE INTO THOUGH TONIGHT AND
DIMINISH THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF AND PANHANDLE AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM HEADED INTO THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA....PARENT LOW OF THE FRONT WEST OF SAINT
PAUL ISLAND...A NEW WEAKER LOW WILL DEVELOP EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND
AND MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARDS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WITH THE FRONTAL
BAND EXTENDING WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST. AHEAD OF THE FRONT
DEPENDING ON THE MODEL SOLUTIONS 35 TO 50 KTS OF WINDS OVER THE
GULF. THIS FRONTAL BAND HAD A MID TROPIC MOISTURE SOURCE MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAIN WILL BE SPREADING BACK INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

 SUNDAY NIGHT LOOKS LIKE THERE MAY BE SOME COLD ENOUGH AIR
SPILLING OUT OF THE INTERIOR THAT A THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT
SNOW MIXED IN OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST AND PERHAPS FAR
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL AREA OVER THE INLAND VALLEYS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...THE EXTENDED FORECAST
STARTS OFF WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE AND A
LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF. THE RIDGE WILL CAUSE STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS THROUGH N-S ORIENTED CHANNELS...BECOMING WINDY IN SKAGWAY
AND GALES THROUGH LYNN CANAL. THE APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION DUE TO THE ASSOCIATED
WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES STARTING
IN YAKUTAT MONDAY NIGHT AND INCREASING OVER THE REMAINING PANHANDLE
TUESDAY WITH THE COLD FRONT. EXPECT WINDY CONDITIONS AREAWIDE
TUESDAY WITH THE COLD FRONT AS A LOW LEVEL JET IS ORIENTED ALONG
IT AND GUSTY WINDS WILL MIX DOWN WITH THE RAIN.

AFTER THE FRONT PASSES TUESDAY NIGHT THE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM
OFF THE YAKUTAT AREA...THIS WILL CAUSE WINDS TO DECREASE THEN
SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH ONCE THE LOW PASSES SOUTH. RAIN WILL BECOME
MORE SCATTERED AND TURN TO SHOWERS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE
LOW MOVES TO THE SOUTH A HIGH WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH CAUSING A
COLD NORTH WIND OUT OF CANADA. A MID LEVEL OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
DEVELOP AS THE LOW PASSES CREATING A DRYING AFFECT...THIS WILL
DIMINISH ANY REMAINING SHOWERS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH
DECREASING CLOUDS TO THE NORTH. TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME MUCH
COLDER OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE COLD
AIR ADVECTION AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

ON FRIDAY THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING WITH RAIN REACHING
THE COASTAL AREAS FRIDAY MORNING. DUE TO MORNING TEMPERATURES IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S SOME AREAS WILL SEE RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW.

MODELS HAVE BEEN STRUGGLING WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE LOW
PRESSURE FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND TIMING OF WHEN IT MOVES
TO THE SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. USED A BLEND OF
MODELS DURING THIS TIME-FRAME WITH AN EMPHASIS ON THE SREF AND 06Z
GFS AND MANUALLY TWEAKED THE LOW PLACEMENT TO GET A SMOOTH
TRANSITION SOUTHWARD. THE ULTIMATE LOCATION OF THE LOW CENTER WILL
DETERMINE TIMING OF WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. AS A RESULT
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS TIME-FRAME IS BELOW AVERAGE.
HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE TO ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE STRONG
WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. MODELS
COME BACK INTO AGREEMENT FROM WEDNESDAY ONWARD AND USED A BLEND OF
THE ECMWF AND GFS FOR PRESSURE AND MAINLY THE GFS FOR OTHER
FIELDS. MODELS ARE ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE COLD AIR
OUTBREAK WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...AND COULD EVEN
BE COLDER THAN IN THIS PACKAGE...WILL MONITOR AND DECREASE AS IT
GETS CLOSER.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-022-041>043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-031>036.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ053.

&&

BEZENEK/HANNON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 30, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK6 hr
Oct 30, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Oct 30, 10:07 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK18 hr
Oct 31, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Oct 31, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Oct 31, 9:49 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK6 hr
Oct 31, 11:34 AM AKDTHigh Wind WatchAJK4 hr
Oct 31, 3:37 PM AKDTHigh Wind WarningAJK27 hr
Oct 31, 3:37 PM AKDTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK24 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.