Gale Warning 8, NWS Fairbanks, AK

638 
FZAK52 PAFG 061135
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
235 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-070245-
235 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 998 MB LOW OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA MAINLAND WILL DRIFT NORTH AND
WEAKEN THU. A 970 MB LOW NEAR ADAK WILL MOVE TO 150 NM WEST OF ST
MATTHEW ISLAND AND WEAKEN TO 982 MB BY 9AM FRI. A NEW 972 MB LOW
WILL BE NEAR ADAK BY 9PM FRI.

$$

PKZ200-070245-
NORTON SOUND-
235 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-070245-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
235 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI...SE WINDS 40KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 35 KT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT.  
.SUN...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. 

$$

PKZ215-070245-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
235 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS DECREASING TO 15 KT.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-070245-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
235 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE  WINDS 25 KT.
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

JK/RT JAN 11

383 
FZAK52 PAFG 062319
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
219 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-071430-
219 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 977 MB LOW 650 NM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL
MOVE NORTH. AT 3 PM AKST FRI...THE LOW WILL BE 987 MB 300 NM WEST
OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE NORTH OVER THE
CHUKOTSK PENINSULA FRI NIGHT AND SAT. A NEW 986 MB LOW WILL BE
120 NM WEST OF ADAK BY 9PM FRI. THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH SAT
THROUGH SUN.

$$

PKZ200-071430-
NORTON SOUND-
219 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-071430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
219 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT. SNOW.
BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI...SE WINDS 45 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 40 KT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 45 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-071430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
219 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-071430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
219 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

SAK/DA JAN 11

011 
FZAK52 PAFG 071241
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-080415-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 977 MB LOW 650 NM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL
MOVE NORTH. AT 3 PM AKST FRI...THE LOW WILL BE 987 MB 300 NM WEST
OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE NORTH OVER THE
CHUKOTSK PENINSULA FRI NIGHT AND SAT. A NEW 986 MB LOW WILL BE
120 NM WEST OF ADAK BY 9PM FRI. THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH SAT
THROUGH SUN.

$$

PKZ200-080415-
NORTON SOUND-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT BY NOON. BLOWING SNOW
DEVELOPING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG...RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. RAIN OR SNOW.  
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-080415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. RAIN OR SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT.  
.SUN...SE WINDS 45 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-080415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT BY NOON. BLOWING SNOW
DEVELOPING. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-080415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.SUN...S WINDS 30 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

RT/DJH JAN 11

569 
FZAK52 PAFG 072344
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
244 PM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-081445-
244 PM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 986 MB LOW 300 NM WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL MOVE NORTH 
OVER SIBERIA FRI NIGHT. A 970 MB LOW 200 NM WEST OF ADAK SAT
EVENING WILL MOVE NORTH. AT 3 PM AKST SAT...THE LOW WILL BE 982 MB
400 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE
NORTH OVER SIBERIA SAT NIGHT. A THIRD LOW WILL FOLLOW A SIMILAR
PATH SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN.

$$

PKZ200-081445-
NORTON SOUND-
244 PM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-081445-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
244 PM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING
RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.
.SUN...S WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-081445-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
244 PM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING
RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-081445-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
244 PM AKST FRI JAN 7 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.SAT...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.
.SUN...S WINDS 40 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

SAK/DA JAN 11

977 
FZAK52 PAFG 081300
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-090400-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD OVER WRANGEL ISLAND
SAT INTO THE NORTH CHUKCHI SEA. 966 MB LOW 250 NM NORTH OF
AMCHITKA ISLAND WILL CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHWARD INTO THE
GULF OF ANADYR LATE SAT AND REACH THE NORTH CHUKCHI SEA BY MID DAY
SUN. THE WEATHER FRONT AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL MOVE NORTHWARD OVER
SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND SAT PM AND REACH CAPE LISBURNE SUN AM.

$$

PKZ200-090400-
NORTON SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. SNOW OR RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-090400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT. SNOW OR RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. FOG.
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-090400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT BY NOON. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SNOW OR FREEZING RAIN.
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-090400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. FREEZING RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SNOW OR FREEZING RAIN. 
.SUN...S WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

TF/DJH JAN 11

713 
FZAK52 PAFG 082221
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
121 PM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-091230-
121 PM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 976 MB LOW 600 MILES W OF DALL POINT WILL MOVE TO
650 MILES NW OF BARROW BY 4 PM SUN WEAKENING TO 1012 MB.

$$

PKZ200-091230-
NORTON SOUND-
121 PM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-091230-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
121 PM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT. GUSTS 60 KT NEAR THE BERING STRAIT.
 SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT.
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-091230-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
121 PM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. FREEZING RAIN.
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-091230-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
121 PM AKST SAT JAN 8 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. FREEZING RAIN.
.SUN...S WINDS 30 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT.
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RF/CC JAN 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1251 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER AIR: MODELS AGREE WITH BUILDING RIDGE OVER NORTHERN ALASKA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FRI AFTERNOON...THE RIDGE AXIS
WILL EXTEND NORTH OVER KODIAK ISLAND TO THE CHUKCHI SEA NORTH OF
WAINWRIGHT. BY SAT AFTERNOON...THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN OVER
NORTHERN ALASKA WITH CENTER OF 568 DM ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
KODIAK. FURTHER BUILDING OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL OCCUR INTO THE MID
RANGE. ANOTHER RIDGE OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA WED AFTERNOON WILL BE
PUSHED NORTH THU NIGHT AS LOW STRENGTHENS WEST OF BANKS ISLAND. BY
SAT AFTERNOON...THE LOW WILL BE 518 DM NORTH OF BANKS ISLAND. LOW
PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA THU.

SURFACE: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE INTERIOR DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS TO REPLACE THE CURRENT BROAD LOW PRESSURE. IN THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY TO 971 MB EARLY
THU MORNING...THEN WEAKEN TO 1003 MB AS IT MOVES NORTH TO THE
CHUKOTSK PENINSULA BY EARLY SAT MORNING. A COUPLE OF FRONTS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND
THU THROUGH FRI. ANOTHER STRONGER LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
WESTERN BERING SEA ON SAT.

NORTH SLOPE: FLURRIES AND FOG WILL BE THE GENERAL PATTERN THROUGH
SAT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.

WEST COAST: SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL ENTER A VERY ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN BEGINNING THU AND CONTINUING INTO SUN. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ISLAND BEGINNING THU AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUING UNTIL FRI EVENING. ON SAT...ANOTHER WEATHER EVENT
PRODUCED BY STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL
AGAIN INCREASE WINDS...TEMPERATURES MAY BE TOO WARM FOR A
BLIZZARD. ON FRI...ZONES 211 AND 214...IN PARTICULAR THE COAST OF
214...MAY ALSO HAVE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...LOW OVER
NORTHWEST ALASKA MAY PRODUCE SNOWFALL OF AROUND 1 INCH IN THE
NORTHWEST ZONES. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL END THE SNOW ON THU.

INTERIOR: LOW PRESSURE OVER THE INTERIOR MAY PRODUCE ACCUMULATIONS
OF UP TO 1 INCH TONIGHT THROUGH THU. AFTER WARDS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BECOME THE DOMINATE WEATHER PATTERN.

MID RANGE: THE MID RANGE LOOKS TO BE A RECORD BREAKER FOR JANUARY
500 MB HEIGHTS. THIS WOULD MEAN DRY WEATHER AND VERY STEEP
TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS FOR NORTHERN ALASKA IN THE MID RANGE. THE
RECORD FOR BARROW IS 566 DM SET IN 1991. MODELS FORECAST RECORD
HEIGHTS FOR JANUARY AND CLOSE TO ALL TIME RECORD HEIGHTS. BY
12Z/TUE...THE GFS BUILDS A 582 DM CENTER OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA AND
THE ECMWF BUILDS A 585 DM HIGH. CLIMATOLOGY INDICATES THAT A NEAR
ALL TIME RECORD 500 MB HEIGHT SET IN JANUARY TO BE VERY UNLIKELY.
THE ALL TIME RECORD FOR BARROW WAS SET IN AUGUST 2002 AT 5870 DM.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ213.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

DA JAN 11