Alert archive / Alaska / Blizzard Watches in 2011

Blizzard Watch 1, NWS Fairbanks, AK

January 5, 2011

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this blizzard watch at Jan 5, 2011, 2:55 PM AKST. It took effect at Jan 6, 2011, 3:00 PM AKST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 5, 2011, 2:55 PM AKST (23:55 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 6, 2011, 3:00 PM AKST
Expired
Jan 6, 2011, 12:08 PM AKST
In force
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

628 
WWAK42 PAFG 052355
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
255 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

AKZ213-061500-
/X.NEW.PAFG.BZ.A.0001.110107T0000Z-110108T0300Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
255 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THURSDAY
MORNING AND MOVE NORTH OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 35 MPH
OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD TO THE
BERING STRAIT THURSDAY EVENING. SOUTHEAST WINDS THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 45 MPH. SNOW COMBINING WITH THE WIND
WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
997 
WWAK42 PAFG 060132
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
432 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

AKZ210-060600-
/X.NEW.PAFG.BZ.W.0003.110106T0132Z-110106T0600Z/
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...BUCKLAND...DEERING...CANDLE...COUNCIL...HAYCOCK...
PILGRIM SPRINGS...SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS...TAYLOR
432 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH OVER THE NORTHERN SEWARD
PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THESE STRONG WINDS
COMBINED WITH FALLING SNOW ARE CREATING VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE
QUARTER MILE AT TIMES OVER THE AREA. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO EASE LATE THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND
MAKE ANY TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

AKZ213-060600-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.A.0001.110107T0000Z-110108T0300Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
432 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THURSDAY
MORNING AND MOVE NORTH OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 35 MPH
OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD TO
THE BERING STRAIT THURSDAY EVENING. SOUTHEAST WINDS THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 45 MPH. SNOW COMBINING
WITH THE WIND WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$
842 
WWAK42 PAFG 060625
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
925 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

AKZ210-060730-
/X.EXP.PAFG.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110106T0600Z/
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...BUCKLAND...DEERING...CANDLE...COUNCIL...HAYCOCK...
PILGRIM SPRINGS...SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS...TAYLOR
925 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE BLIZZARD WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 



$$

AKZ213-061500-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.A.0001.110107T0000Z-110108T0300Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
925 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THURSDAY
MORNING AND MOVE NORTH OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 35 MPH
OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD TO
THE BERING STRAIT THURSDAY EVENING. SOUTHEAST WINDS THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 45 MPH. SNOW COMBINING
WITH THE WIND WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$
724 
WWAK42 PAFG 061222
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
322 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

AKZ213-070000-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.A.0001.110107T0000Z-110108T0300Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
322 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

LOW PRESSURE NEAR ADAK WILL MOVE TO WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND
BY 6AM FRI. SOUTHEAST WINDS AEAD OF THIS STORM WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO
40 MPH OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND THURSDAY...THEN SPREAD TO THE
BERING STRAIT THURSDAY EVENING. SOUTHEAST WINDS THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY WILL GUST TO 50 TO 60 MPH. SNOW COMBINING WITH THE WIND
WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
BEGINNING LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$
RT JAN 11
147 
WWAK42 PAFG 062108
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1208 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

AKZ213-070100-
/X.UPG.PAFG.BZ.A.0001.110107T0000Z-110108T0300Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.BZ.W.0004.110107T0300Z-110108T0900Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
1208 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
AKST FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
AKST FRIDAY NIGHT. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LOW PRESSURE 100 MILES NORTHWEST OF ADAK AT NOON TODAY WILL MOVE
NORTH OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THROUGH FRIDAY. AT 3 PM AKST
FRIDAY...THE LOW WILL BE 250 MILES WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND.
THE LOW WILL CONTINUE NORTH OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA FRIDAY
NIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AHEAD OF THIS STORM WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO
40 MPH OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND BY EVENING... THEN SPREAD TO THE
BERING STRAIT AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL GUST TO 50 TO 60 MPH. SNOW COMBINING WITH
THE WIND WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
BEGINNING THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT A SECOND STORM WILL FOLLOW A SIMILAR
PATH NORTH OVER THE BERING SEA SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
THEREFORE PEOPLE EFFECTED BY THIS BLIZZARD WARNING SHOULD BE AWARE
THAT ANOTHER BLIZZARD MAY FOLLOW SHORTLY AFTER WARDS. A NEW
BLIZZARD WARNING MAY BE ISSUED A SHORT TIME AFTER THIS ONE
ENDS...OR THIS BLIZZARD WARNING MAY BE EXTENDED BEYOND FRIDAY
EVENING. WARM AIR PULLED NORTH WITH THE TWO STORMS MAY BE ENOUGH
TO CAUSE SNOW TO CHANGE TO RAIN ON SATURDAY...THUS ENDING THE
BLIZZARD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND
MAKE ANY TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this blizzard watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard watch went out at Jan 5, 12:51 PM AKST, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 5, 12:51 PM AKST, 2 hours 4 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1251 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER AIR: MODELS AGREE WITH BUILDING RIDGE OVER NORTHERN ALASKA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FRI AFTERNOON...THE RIDGE AXIS
WILL EXTEND NORTH OVER KODIAK ISLAND TO THE CHUKCHI SEA NORTH OF
WAINWRIGHT. BY SAT AFTERNOON...THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN OVER
NORTHERN ALASKA WITH CENTER OF 568 DM ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
KODIAK. FURTHER BUILDING OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL OCCUR INTO THE MID
RANGE. ANOTHER RIDGE OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA WED AFTERNOON WILL BE
PUSHED NORTH THU NIGHT AS LOW STRENGTHENS WEST OF BANKS ISLAND. BY
SAT AFTERNOON...THE LOW WILL BE 518 DM NORTH OF BANKS ISLAND. LOW
PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA THU.

SURFACE: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE INTERIOR DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS TO REPLACE THE CURRENT BROAD LOW PRESSURE. IN THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY TO 971 MB EARLY
THU MORNING...THEN WEAKEN TO 1003 MB AS IT MOVES NORTH TO THE
CHUKOTSK PENINSULA BY EARLY SAT MORNING. A COUPLE OF FRONTS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND
THU THROUGH FRI. ANOTHER STRONGER LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
WESTERN BERING SEA ON SAT.

NORTH SLOPE: FLURRIES AND FOG WILL BE THE GENERAL PATTERN THROUGH
SAT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.

WEST COAST: SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL ENTER A VERY ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN BEGINNING THU AND CONTINUING INTO SUN. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ISLAND BEGINNING THU AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUING UNTIL FRI EVENING. ON SAT...ANOTHER WEATHER EVENT
PRODUCED BY STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL
AGAIN INCREASE WINDS...TEMPERATURES MAY BE TOO WARM FOR A
BLIZZARD. ON FRI...ZONES 211 AND 214...IN PARTICULAR THE COAST OF
214...MAY ALSO HAVE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...LOW OVER
NORTHWEST ALASKA MAY PRODUCE SNOWFALL OF AROUND 1 INCH IN THE
NORTHWEST ZONES. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL END THE SNOW ON THU.

INTERIOR: LOW PRESSURE OVER THE INTERIOR MAY PRODUCE ACCUMULATIONS
OF UP TO 1 INCH TONIGHT THROUGH THU. AFTER WARDS...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BECOME THE DOMINATE WEATHER PATTERN.

MID RANGE: THE MID RANGE LOOKS TO BE A RECORD BREAKER FOR JANUARY
500 MB HEIGHTS. THIS WOULD MEAN DRY WEATHER AND VERY STEEP
TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS FOR NORTHERN ALASKA IN THE MID RANGE. THE
RECORD FOR BARROW IS 566 DM SET IN 1991. MODELS FORECAST RECORD
HEIGHTS FOR JANUARY AND CLOSE TO ALL TIME RECORD HEIGHTS. BY
12Z/TUE...THE GFS BUILDS A 582 DM CENTER OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA AND
THE ECMWF BUILDS A 585 DM HIGH. CLIMATOLOGY INDICATES THAT A NEAR
ALL TIME RECORD 500 MB HEIGHT SET IN JANUARY TO BE VERY UNLIKELY.
THE ALL TIME RECORD FOR BARROW WAS SET IN AUGUST 2002 AT 5870 DM.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ213.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

DA JAN 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 4, 7:31 PM AKSTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAFG4 hr
Jan 5, 5:13 AM AKSTDense Fog AdvisoryAFG4 hr
Jan 5, 2:04 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG13 hr
Jan 5, 2:04 PM AKSTGale WarningAFG4 days

Nearby

Blizzard Watches in Alaska, 2011Every blizzard watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.