Gale Warning 27, NWS Fairbanks, AK

926 
FZAK52 PAFG 162342
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
242 PM AKST WED FEB 16 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-171215-
242 PM AKST WED FEB 16 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A STRONG 963 MB LOW IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO 200 NM
WEST OF CAPE LISBURNE AS A 974 MB LOW BY 3PM THU AND TO 300 NM
NORTHWEST OF BARROW AS A 979 MB LOW BY 3PM FRI. A STRONG WEATHER
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST OF
ALASKA WED NIGHT AND MOVE TO THE CENTRAL ARCTIC COAST THU PM. 

$$

PKZ200-171215-
NORTON SOUND-
242 PM AKST WED FEB 16 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY
LESS THAN 1NM.
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY
LESS THAN 1NM.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1NM.
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-171215-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
242 PM AKST WED FEB 16 2011

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS INCREASING TO 50 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY
LESS THAN 1NM.
.THU...S WINDS 55 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1NM.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 45 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
VSBY LESS THAN 1NM.
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-171215-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
242 PM AKST WED FEB 16 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING 35 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
VSBY LESS THAN 1NM.
.THU...SE WINDS 40 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1NM.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1NM.
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-171215-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
242 PM AKST WED FEB 16 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
VSBY LESS THAN 1NM.
.THU...SE WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1NM.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1NM.
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

FEB 11

987 
FZAK52 PAFG 170959
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1259 AM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-180045-
1259 AM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 968 MB LOW IN THE GULF OF ANADYR WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN
CHUKCHI SEA THIS AFTERNOON AND BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. BY 3 PM
AKST FRIDAY THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE 978 MB 250 NM NORTHEAST OF
POINT BARROW. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL
EXTEND FROM NEAR ICY CAPE AND INTO THE WESTERN INTERIOR BY THIS
AFTERNOON. A 1000 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE BERING STRAIT ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ200-180045-
NORTON SOUND-
1259 AM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT BECOMING S AFTER NOON. SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM AT
TIMES.
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...SW WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-180045-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
1259 AM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SNOW BLOWING SNOW. VSBY
NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...SW WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-180045-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
1259 AM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-180045-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
1259 AM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT BECOMING SW BY MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW ENDS.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

JK/CB FEB 11

508 
FZAK52 PAFG 172329
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
229 PM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-181430-
229 PM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 971 MB LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE TO 370 MILES
NORTH OF LISBURNE AND WEAKEN TO 977 MB AND CONTINUE NORTHEAST. A
SECOND LOW WILL MOVE NORTH TO THE GULF OF ANADYR 3AM SUN AT 979 MB
AND TO CAPE LISBURNE 3PM SUN WEAKENING TO 994 MB.

$$

PKZ200-181430-
NORTON SOUND-
229 PM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...SW WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-181430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
229 PM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SUN...SW WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-181430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
229 PM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW
DIMINISHING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...S WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-181430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
229 PM AKST THU FEB 17 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT BECOMING S. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...S WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

RL/CC/JL FEB 11

194 
FZAK52 PAFG 181302
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
402 AM AKST FRI FEB 18 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-190430-
402 AM AKST FRI FEB 18 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1003 MB LOW NEAR CAPE NAVARIN WILL MOVE TO THE
SEWARD PENINSULA BY 9 PM FRI. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT
WILL APPROACH ST LAWRENCE ISLAND LATE SAT AFTERNOON.


$$

PKZ200-190430-
NORTON SOUND-
402 AM AKST FRI FEB 18 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING NW. LOCAL GUSTS 30 KT
NEAR CHANNELED AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING S 5 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 35 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT.  
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-190430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
402 AM AKST FRI FEB 18 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING
TO SE 40 KT WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT BECOMING SW. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT.  
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...SW WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-190430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
402 AM AKST FRI FEB 18 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT. SNOW. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...SE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-190430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
402 AM AKST FRI FEB 18 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 5 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SW. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 10 KT.

$$

RF/DJH FEB 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
136 PM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE...THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS EMBEDDED
IN A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH TO NORTHEAST
ALONG THE FAR EASTERN SIBERIAN COAST ATTM AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.
ASSOCIATED FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BRINGING AN
END TO THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS LATE THIS MORNING. SATELLITE
IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THE FRONT STRETCHING AND WEAKENING AS
IT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA. THE FRONT WILL MOVE ONTO THE
BERING COAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE MOVE INLAND THIS
EVENING. WINDS CONTINUE TO DECREASE AT PASA AND PAGM ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE FRONT HOWEVER WINDS SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW CONTINUE TO
INCREASE ALONG THE BERING COAST WITH PATC GUSTING OVER 40 KTS AND
VISIBILITY AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS DROPPING TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT
CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. TEMPERATURES BEGINNING TO RECOVER FROM
COLD START THIS MORNING WITH WITH SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHER FEBRUARY
SUN ANGLE. FAIRBANKS TEMPERATURE DROPPED TO 44 BELOW THIS MORNING
WHICH IS THE COLDEST TEMPERATURE OF THE SEASON FOR FAIRBANKS. THE
LAST TIME THE TEMPERATURE REACHED 44 BELOW AT THE FAIRBANKS
AIRPORT WAS JANUARY 11 2009.

NORTH SLOPE...WINDS CONTINUE TO GUST TO 40 KTS AT PALU WITH
REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO BLOWING SNOW...ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTH
SLOPE WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN UNDER 20 KTS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING. SNOW AHEAD OF THE EASTWARD
MOVING BERING COAST FRONT EXPECTED WILL MOVE INTO PABR THIS
EVENING WITH CHANCE POPS AND POINTS EASTWARD BY LATE NIGHT.

WEST COAST...FOCUS QUICKLY TURNS TO A SECOND MORE POWERFUL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL IMPACT THE AREA LATE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY
EVENING. SYSTEM CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 160 EAST AND 55 NORTH
PROGGED TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND DEEPEN TO 965 MB WILL MOVE INTO THE
ANADYR GULF THURSDAY MORNING WHICH WILL LIKELY SPREAD BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS INTO ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND ALONG THE Y-K DELTA
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND PORTIONS OF THE SEWARD PENINSULA THURSDAY.
MAX GALES LIKELY FOR BERING SEA MARINE ZONES WITH STORM CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE SOUTHWEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.

INTERIOR...WEST AND SOUTHWEST FLOW FROM SFC TO 500 MB DEVELOPS AS
THE ABOVE MENTIONED LOW MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ANADYR AND HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR HIGH BEGINS TO
BREAK DOWN AND MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST. DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW ALONG
WITH FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT SNOW TO
THE WESTERN INTERIOR BEGINNING THURSDAY AND MAY MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR THURSDAY NIGHT.

MODELS...MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN STRONG AGREEMENT ON THE TRACK
AND STRENGTH OF THE DEVELOPING GULF OF ANADYR LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WITH ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES NOTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RMOPS
REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE FOR LONG WAVE FEATURES LEADING TO ABOVE
AVERAGE FORECAST CONFIDENCE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ213.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ214.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230-PKZ235.
&&

RL/CC FEB 11