Brisk Wind Advisory 48, NWS Fairbanks, AK

633 
FZAK51 PAFG 091112
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
212 AM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-100215-
212 AM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO BETTLES AS A 1002 MB
LOW TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP FROM EAST TO
WEST OFFSHORE TONIGHT WITH A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE
NORTH SLOPES OF THE BROOKS RANGE.

$$

PKZ225-100215-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
212 AM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-100215-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
212 AM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-100215-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
212 AM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-100215-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
212 AM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SNOW.
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-100215-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
212 AM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

SDB/CB FEB 11

954 
FZAK51 PAFG 100014
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
314 PM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-101215-
314 PM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR BETTLES WILL MOVE EAST TO BE NEAR ARCTIC VILLAGE
AT 9 PM AND OVER THE CANADIAN BORDER BY 3AM THU. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE CHUKCHI AND THE NORTHERN BERING
SEA...WITH A RIDGE BUILDING INLAND OVER THE ARCTIC SLOPE. A TROUGH
OFF THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST WILL PERSIST.

$$

PKZ225-101215-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
314 PM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT...DIMINISHING BY MIDNIGHT. BLOWING
SNOW.
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-101215-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
314 PM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-101215-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
314 PM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SNOW.
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-101215-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
314 PM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SNOW.
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-101215-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
314 PM AKST WED FEB 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW.
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

DJH FEB 11

378 
FZAK51 PAFG 101111
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
211 AM AKST THU FEB 10 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-110215-
211 AM AKST THU FEB 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LIE ALONG THE COAST THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ALONG THE
NORTH SIDE OF THE BROOKS RANGE TODAY THEN DRIFT OVER THE COAST
FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ225-110215-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
211 AM AKST THU FEB 10 2011

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-110215-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
211 AM AKST THU FEB 10 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-110215-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
211 AM AKST THU FEB 10 2011

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-110215-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
211 AM AKST THU FEB 10 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT BECOMING W AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SNOW.
BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-110215-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
211 AM AKST THU FEB 10 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

SDB/CB FEB 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
305 AM AKST TUE FEB 8 2011

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHEN
THE ECMWF BECOMES THE OUTLIER WITH LOWER HEIGHTS ACROSS THE AREA.

ALOFT...RIDGE ALONG SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE COAST EXTENDS NORTH AND
WEST ACROSS THE SEWARD PENINSULA. CLOSED LOW SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH INTO BRISTOL BAY TUESDAY EVENING. RIDGE
WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY AS THE LOW WORKS ITS WAY NORTH AND WEAKENS
LEAVING A TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE TROUGH
WILL SLIDE EAST OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE WITH A CLOSED LOW
DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST THURSDAY NIGHT.

SURFACE...1044 MB HIGH OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIFT EAST. A 1012 LOW IN THE NORTHERN BERING STRAIT WILL DRIFT
EAST OVER THE ARCTIC COAST. 982 MB LOW NEAR SAND POINT TUESDAY
MORNING WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TO NEAR
BETHEL TUESDAY EVENING AT 998 MB. THE LOW WILL THEN CONTINUE NORTH
TO SELAWIK WEDNESDAY MORNING AND TO 100 NM SOUTH OF DEADHORSE BY
THURSDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL EXTEND FROM
ANAKTUVUK PASS TO TANANA TO COOK INLET WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN
FROM DEADHORSE TO NENANA TO COOK INLET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND FROM
CHALKYITSIK TO NABESNA BY THURSDAY MORNING.

NORTH SLOPE...WEAK TROUGH ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST WILL BRING
CLOUDS WITH LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES BEGINNING LATER TUESDAY. LOW
MOVING UP THE WEST COAST WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA JUST SOUTH OF
DEADHORSE WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTENSIVE
SNOWFALL ACROSS ALL THE ZONES. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED IN ZONE 205 WITH 6 TO 10 INCHES.

WESTERN ALASKA...AREAS OF FOG THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO A MIX
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT
MOST AREAS TO SEE SNOW LATER THIS MORNING WITH AREAS SOUTH OF THE
SEWARD PENINSULA SEEING A MIX OF DRIZZLE...RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOCALIZED AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT. FROM THE SEWARD
PENINSULA NORTH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE AREA NORTH OF UNALAKLEET EAST OF NOME
SOUTH OF RED DOG AND WEST OF GALENA. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL
DEVELOP AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH TO THE ARCTIC COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND COLD AIR PUSHES INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...SOUTHERLY WINDS THROUGH THE ALASKA
RANGE WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY THOUGH STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD
BE THIS AFTERNOON. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL KEEP AREAS JUST NORTH OF
THE ALASKA RANGE RELATIVELY PRECIPITATION FREE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS INTO THE WESTERN INTERIOR TUESDAY NIGHT
THEN CONTINUE EAST INTO THE FAIRBANKS AREA BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND THEN TO THE BORDER BY THURSDAY MORNING. AROUND 2
INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN MOST AREAS WITH 2 TO 8 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND THE SOUTH SLOPES OF THE BROOKS
RANGE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ225-AKZ226-AKZ227.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ205-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-
AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ216-AKZ217.

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ218-AKZ219.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

SDB FEB 11