Brisk Wind Advisory 173, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1125 AM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS HANDLING THE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA QUITE WELL
AND SOMEWHAT GOOD AGREEMENT AFTER MONDAY OUT TO 96 HOURS.

ALOFT...500 MB...584 DAM HIGH IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL BUILD
NORTH OVER MAINLAND ALASKA THE SHARP RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP THROUGH SUNDAY AS IT ROTATES TO THE EAST OVER CANADA.
502 DAM CLOSED LOW DEVELOPS NEAR ADAK THIS EVENING AND MOVES TO
NEAR ST MICHAEL AS A 497 DAM CLOSED LOW SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THEN
TO THE BERING STRAIT AT 494 DAM SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS IT RIDES UP
THE BACK SIDE OF THE RIDGE.
700 MB...VERY STRONG WINDS TO 80 KNOTS AROUND THE LOW.
850 MB...STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION INTO THE INTERIOR AREAS WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FREEZING RAIN AS THE ZERO CELSIUS
ISOTHERM PUSHES ALMOST TO THE BROOKS RANGE. FOLLOWING THE BIG PUSH
OF WARM AIR WE WILL SEE STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AS THE
TEMPERATURES PLUMMET TO AROUND 15 CELSIUS BELOW BY MONDAY MORNING.

SEE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS FOR MORE IN DEPTH REGIONAL WEATHER
DISCUSSION.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ202-AKZ203.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ201-AKZ205-AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-
AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ227.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ220-AKZ221.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ216-AKZ217-AKZ218-
AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220.

STORM WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

SDB DEC 11