Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 94, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Feb 2, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 2, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 3, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
867 FZAK51 PAFC 021253 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-030300- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 988 MB LOW NEAR GORE POINT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. A 986 MB LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT AT 986 MB WED AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL MERGE WITH THE FIRST LOW WED EVENING AND DRIFT TO 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT. $$ PKZ120-030300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ121-030300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. .THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-030300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-030300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT AND SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ130-030300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-030300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ138-030300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-030300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-030300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. .THU...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
071 FZAK51 PAFC 030019 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-031500- 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 985 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THIS EVENING WILL MOVE INLAND OVERNIGHT 50 NM EAST OF CORDOVA. A 997 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS AND DRIFT EAST TO 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AS IT WEAKENS TO 1015 MB FRIDAY AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-031500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-031500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-031500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-031500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-031500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ132-031500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 11 FT. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ138-031500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-031500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .SUN AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-031500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. SNOW. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ JAM FEB 11
185 FZAK51 PAFC 031256 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-040300- 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1003 MB LOW WILL FORM 25 NM SE OF GORE POINT FRI AFTERNOON AND DRIFT TO NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1008 MB THU NIGHT AND THEN TO NEAR SITKA WHERE IT WILL DISSIPATE FRI NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-040300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ121-040300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-040300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-040300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ130-040300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .TONIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ132-040300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ138-040300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-040300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TODAY...S WIND LESS THAN 15 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-040300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$
554 FZAK51 PAFC 031846 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 935 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 UPDATED 130 138 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-040300- 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1003 MB LOW WILL FORM 25 NM SE OF GORE POINT FRI AFTERNOON AND DRIFT TO NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1008 MB THU NIGHT AND THEN TO NEAR SITKA WHERE IT WILL DISSIPATE FRI NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-040300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ121-040300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-040300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-040300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ130-040300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 930 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .TONIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ132-040300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ138-040300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 935 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-040300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TODAY...S WIND LESS THAN 15 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-040300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$
256 FZAK51 PAFC 040029 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-041500- 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1002 MB LOW 75 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL DRIFT EAST TO 80 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AND WEAKEN TO 1017 MB FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATE FRIDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-041500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ121-041500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-041500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-041500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE EVENING. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-041500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ132-041500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...W WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 14 FT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-041500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-041500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-041500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKST THU FEB 3 2011 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W WIND 15 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ JAM FEB 11
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 1, 5:15 PM AKST, 10 hours 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 1, 5:15 PM AKST, 10 hours 45 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
515 PM AKST TUE FEB 1 2011
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE ALASKA REGION WITH
A RIDGE AXIS THAT STRETCHES FROM THE COASTAL WATERS OF CALIFORNIA TO
THE EASTERN NORTHWEST TERRITORIES. A SHARP TROUGH DIGS FROM RUSSIA
TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO
INDICATE THAT MOISTURE IS SURGING NORTHWARD TOWARDS SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA. FURTHER WEST...A RIDGE COVERS MUCH OF THE BERING WHILE AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS MOVING TOWARDS THE CENTRAL ALEUTAINS.
.AT THE SURFACE...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW PRESSURE MOVING
NORTHWARD OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA AND A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEMS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC STREAMING TOWARDS THE GULF OF ALASKA.
THE
KENAI LOW IS RELATIVELY WEAK...BUT THERE HAS BEEN SUFFICIENT MOISTURE
WITH THIS SYETEM FOR STEADY SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
THIS MORNING. ALONG THE GULF COAST AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE KENAI
PENINSULA...THERE HAS BEEN ENOUGH WARM GULF AIR FOR A RAIN AND SNOW
MIX. MEANWHILE A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS
IS GRADUALLY PUSHING COOLER AIR INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. A 978 MB
LOW SOUTHEAST OF ADAK IS BRINGING A RAIN SNOW MIX AND GALE WINDS TO
THE EAST AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE POSITIONS OF THE LOWS SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF ALASKA. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE DETAILS OF
THESE
LOWS AND HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR AS THEY INTERACT WITH THE
COMPLEX COASTAL TOPOGRAPHY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE ECMWF
APPEARS TO BE CAPTURING THE DETAILS OF THESE LOWS WITH THE GREATEST
ACCURACY AND WAS USED FOR THE SOUTHCENTRAL FORECAST. OUT WEST THE
GFS
CONTINUES WITH THE BEST RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY ON THE EAST
PROGRESSION
OF THE BERING RIDGE AND NORTH PROGRESSION OF CENTRAL ALEUTAIN LOW.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MUCH OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AS A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVE SOUTH
FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA. DOWNSLOPING WILL BE LIMITED ACROSS THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL SO ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE VARIETY OF TRACKS OF THE LOWS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL
FAVOR SNOW TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE SUSITNA VALLEY WITH
SOME AREAS RECEIVING 10 TO 14 INCHES OF FRESH SNOW. ALONG THE COAST
AND WEST KENAI PENINSULA ...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE.
SNOW
IS EXPECTED TO TAPER ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AS STRONG
DOWNSLOPING OCCURS DUE TO PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW....WHILE ON THE
OTHER SIDE OF THE CHUGACH RANGE ANOTHER FOOT OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN
THOMPSON PASS. DRY AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO SOUTHCENTRAL
THURSDAY...LIMITING MOST OF THE SNOW TO FLURRIES OR SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
MUCH
OF THE REGION...ALTHOUGH A FEW SPILLOVER SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SOUTHCENTRAL LOWS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN ALASKA PENINSULA.
COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD...BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT COOLING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...A LOW SOUTHWEST OF ADAK IS EXPECTED TO REACH
ITS 977 MB PEAK INTENSITY THIS EVENING AS IT CROSSES FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC INTO THE BERING. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA WITH SNOW ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND A MIX ACROSS
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE WINDS AND PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH AS THE LOW MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 132 172 175 176
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...160
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
ELN JAN 11The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Feb 1, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Feb 2, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.