Small Craft Advisory 861, NWS Anchorage, AK

685 
FZAK51 PAFC 270337 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
630 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATE TO ZONES 125 129 132 138 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271500-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 996 MB LOW NEAR CORDOVA WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A 980 MB DEVELOPS
TONIGHT NEAR COLD BAY AND MOVES TO 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS TO 992 MB AS IT MOVES TO 40 NM
NORTHWEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-271500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO SE 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-271500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.  

$$

PKZ125-271500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
630 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES THIS EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-271500-
PASSAGE CANAL
630 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.  

$$

PKZ130-271500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT IN THE EVENING SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO E 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT IN THE MORNING BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-271500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
630 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT SE WIND 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT SOUTH OF
DANGEROUS CAPE.  SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-271500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
630 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-271500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT EXCEPT SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT EXCEPT 2 FT
N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-271500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

777 
FZAK51 PAFC 271159
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280300-
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 997 MB LOW 20 NM SOUTH OF HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE DISSIPATES THIS
MORNING. A 977 MB LOW 50 NM EAST OF SAND POINT MOVES TO 40 NM SOUTH
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 983 MB LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN WEAKENS TO 994
MB AS IT MOVES ONSHORE 65 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA MON AFTERNOON. A
999 MB LOW FORMS OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND MON EVENING AND REMAINS
STATIONARY WHILE WEAKENING TO 1005 MB THROUGH LATE MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-280300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-280300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-280300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL
ISLAND. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-280300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-280300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT SOUTH OF
DANGEROUS CAPE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-280300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING
TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-280300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE  AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

272 
FZAK51 PAFC 271613 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
710 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

UPDATED ZONES 138 140 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280300-
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 997 MB LOW 20 NM SOUTH OF HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE DISSIPATES THIS
MORNING. A 977 MB LOW 50 NM EAST OF SAND POINT MOVES TO 40 NM SOUTH
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 983 MB LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN WEAKENS TO 994
MB AS IT MOVES ONSHORE 65 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA MON AFTERNOON. A
999 MB LOW FORMS OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND MON EVENING AND REMAINS
STATIONARY WHILE WEAKENING TO 1005 MB THROUGH LATE MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-280300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-280300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-280300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL
ISLAND. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-280300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-280300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT SOUTH OF
DANGEROUS CAPE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-280300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
710 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
710 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SNOW N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. SNOW. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...
N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-280300-
KACHEMAK BAY
710 AM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE  AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

677 
FZAK51 PAFC 280036
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281500-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 45 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL WEAKEN TO 994 MB 
AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR CAPE SUCKLING MON AFTERNOON. A STRONG 
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-281500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT THIS EVENING. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-281500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-281500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-281500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-281500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT IN THE EVENING SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-281500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-281500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO NW 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-281500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NORTH OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NORTH WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT NORTH OF KALGIN
ISLAND. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO NW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-281500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

550 
FZAK51 PAFC 280145 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA...CORRECTION    
445 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

CORRECTION ZONE 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281500-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 45 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL WEAKEN TO 994 MB 
AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR CAPE SUCKLING MON AFTERNOON. A STRONG 
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-281500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT THIS EVENING. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-281500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-281500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-281500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-281500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT IN THE EVENING SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-281500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-281500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO NW 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT IN THE EVENING SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-281500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NORTH OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NORTH WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT NORTH OF KALGIN
ISLAND. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO NW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-281500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

132 
FZAK51 PAFC 280552 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA...CORRECTION    
845 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

UPDATE TO ZONES 120 125 129 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281500-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 45 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL WEAKEN TO 994 MB 
AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR CAPE SUCKLING MON AFTERNOON. A STRONG 
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-281500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
845 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 35
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-281500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-281500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
845 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-281500-
PASSAGE CANAL
845 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-281500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT IN THE EVENING SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-281500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-281500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO NW 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT IN THE EVENING SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-281500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NORTH OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NORTH WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT NORTH OF KALGIN
ISLAND. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO NW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-281500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

182 
FZAK51 PAFC 281158
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290300-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WEAKENS TO 994 MB 
AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR CAPE SUCKLING LATE MON AFTERNOON. THE FIRST
IN A SERIES OF STRONG FRONTS MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF LATE TUESDAY
MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-290300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-290300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-290300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-290300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-290300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-290300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-290300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-290300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-290300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
130 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
MUCH QUIETER WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEKEND THAN THE PREVIOUS DAYS AS
THE STATE TRANSITIONS FROM ONE STORM SYSTEM TO THE NEXT. A COLD CORE
UPPER LEVEL LOW STILL RESIDES OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WHILE
A TRANSITORY RIDGE RACES TOWARDS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. OUT WEST...A FRONT
IS NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND PRIBILOFS WHICH IS STEMMING FROM A
LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE FAR WESTERN BERING. SATELLITE AND
SURFACE OBS ARE INDICATING THAT A TRIPLE POINT LOW IS DEVELOPING NEAR
DUTCH HARBOR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THE MODELS AGAIN AGREE ON THE OVERALL PATTERN BUT
DIFFER ON THE DETAILS AS THE LOWS PROGRESS EAST. THE FIRST CHALLENGE
WILL BE THE TRIPLE POINT LOW DEVELOPING NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.
WE HAVE PREFERRED THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF THE FRONT AND DEVELOPING
LOW OF THE NAM...BUT IT APPEARS TOO FAST. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON THE TIMING BUT SEEM TO NOT CAPTURE THE
COMPLEXITY OF THE FRONT INTERACTING WITH THE TERRAIN THE WAY THE
HIGHER RESOLUTION NAM DOES. FOR THIS REASON...HAVE MAINLY GONE WITH
THE GFS/EC SOLUTION BUT HAVE ADJUSTED THE FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
MORE COMPLEX STRUCTURE THAT WE HAVE COME TO EXPECT WITH THIS TYPE OF
SYSTEM.

THE PICTURE AGAIN IS A BIT MUDDLED AS THE OCCLUDED LOW MOVES
NORTHEAST TOWARD PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND EARLY NEXT WEEK. AT THIS
TIME...DID A BLEND OF THE INHERITED FORECAST WITH THE GFS WHICH
RESULTED IN A FORECAST THAT CLOSELY RESEMBLES THE ENSEMBLE MEAN.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE SHORT TERM FORECAST CHALLENGES IN THE
EASTERN DOMAIN MAINLY INVOLVE STRATUS AND THE CHANCE OF FOG AROUND
SOUTHCENTRAL OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. STRATUS WAS VERY
SLOW TO BURN OFF IN THE MATANUSKA VALLEY THIS MORNING AND SUSPECT
THAT IT WILL RETURN OVERNIGHT. THERE SHOULD BE JUST ENOUGH MIXING TO
PREVENT FOG FROM SETTLING IN...BUT WILL BE MENTIONING THAT
POSSIBILITY MAINLY ALONG KNIK ARM DOWN COOK INLET THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.

MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS INVADE SOUTHCENTRAL SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AHEAD OF THE TRIPLE POINT LOW. THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A
SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF SNOW OVER THE INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE STATE
UNTIL LATER ON MONDAY AS THE UPPER TROF FINALLY APPROACHES THE
REGION. THE EXCEPTION ARE COASTAL COMMUNITIES INCLUDING
KODIAK...WHERE THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL WITH
THIS STORM. WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE THIS POSSIBILITY KEEPING IN
MIND A SLIGHT SHIFT IN THE POSITION OF THE LOW TO THE WEST WOULD
RESULT IN WARMER TEMPERATURES AND NO SNOW. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH
THE MODELS DEVELOPING THE TRIPLE POINT...WILL STAY AWAY FROM AN
ADVISORY FOR KODIAK ISLAND UNTIL THE PICTURE BECOMES A LITTLE MORE
CLEAR.

.SOUTHWEST AK AND BERING SEA...THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR WILL SEE VERY
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE ONLY
CONCERN AT THIS POINT IS WIND CHILLS NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. RECORD
COLD TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING WINDS RESULTING IN THE
DANGEROUS CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.

OTHERWISE...THE TRACK OF THE LOW WILL STAY FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO
PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO INVADE THE REGION. THIS WILL BE
THE CASE UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING WHEN THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND SPREADS SNOW OVER THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE.

FARTHER WEST...MOST OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER IS ALONG THE ALEUTIANS AND
BERING SEA WHERE A FRONT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE PRIBILOFS.
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS HAVE NOT DEVELOPED AS THOUGHT...SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION ALONG THE BOUNDARY HAS NOT BEEN QUITE
AS HEAVY. THE SOURCE OF MOISTURE QUICKLY BECOMES CUT OFF THIS EVENING
AS THE TRIPLE POINT LOW DEVELOPS AND MOVES TOWARD THE WESTERN GULF.
THIS WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD SNOW ALONG THE BOUNDARY BECOMING SHOWERS
THROUGH TONIGHT AND THE REST OF THE WEEKEND. THE REMNANTS OF THE
PARENT LOW TO THE WEST SLOWLY DRIFTS SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MEANWHILE...A POTENT NORTH PACIFIC LOW DEVELOPS MONDAY NIGHT WITH
EYES FOR THE PENINSULA BY TUESDAY. THIS LOW WILL LIKELY BE A PATTERN
CHANGER FOR MUCH OF THE STATE AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF RETROGRADES
BACK TO THE WESTERN INTERIOR ALLOWING FOR WARMER AIR TO STREAM
NORTHWARD OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. THIS WARMER AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO
TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING MUCH CLOSER TO NORMAL AROUND THE STATE AFTER
NEARLY 3 WEEKS OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPS. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE
RAIN WILL BE LIMITED TO THE COAST WHILE THE INTERIOR STAYS JUST COLD
ENOUGH FOR SNOW BUT WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY SINCE RAIN AFTER AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF EXTREME COLD RESULTS IN VERY TREACHEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

EXTENDED...WATCHING A PATTERN CHANGE EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE BEING PUSHED UP TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THE EC AND GFS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY ADVERTISING A SIMILAR
PICTURE. TEMPERATURES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WILL WARM UP
RESULTING IN RAIN...BUT JUST INLAND AND OVER THE MOUNTAINS THE PRECIP
WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND WILL BE VERY HEAVY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 181
MARINE...STORM WARNING 185
         GALES 120 121 130 132 138 351 352 150 155 160 165 170 171
               172 175 176 179 411 412 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AB NOV 11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
135 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

AKZ125-131-270600-

...PATTERN CHANGE COULD LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT SNOW AROUND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND EARLY NEXT WEEK...

A VERY PERSISTENT COLD PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE SHIFT IN THE PATTERN WILL LEAD TO A MORE FAVORABLE SETUP FOR
HEAVY SNOWFALL AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

A SERIES OF WEAK SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...THEN A STRONG LOW DEVELOPS AROUND THE ALASKA PENINSULA
TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW A LONG FETCH OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TO
POINT RIGHT TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH OR
RISE ABOVE FREEZING IN MANY AREAS ALONG THE COAST RESULTING IN RAIN.
WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN JUST BELOW FREEZING...THIS PRECIPITATION
WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND WILL LIKELY BE VERY HEAVY.

AT THIS TIME...THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION APPEARS TO FALL BETWEEN
TUESDAY EVENING AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED TO THE FORECASTS
LATER THIS WEEKEND AS THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT LOCATION
OF THE DEVELOPING LOW AND THE SUBSEQUENT POSITION OF THE ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

AB NOV 11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
135 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

AKZ125-131-272000-

...PATTERN CHANGE COULD LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT SNOW AROUND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND EARLY NEXT WEEK...

A VERY PERSISTENT COLD PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE SHIFT IN THE PATTERN WILL LEAD TO A MORE FAVORABLE SETUP FOR
HEAVY SNOWFALL AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

A SERIES OF WEAK SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...THEN A STRONG LOW DEVELOPS AROUND THE ALASKA PENINSULA
TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW A LONG FETCH OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TO
POINT RIGHT TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH OR
RISE ABOVE FREEZING IN MANY AREAS ALONG THE COAST RESULTING IN RAIN.
WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN JUST BELOW FREEZING...THIS PRECIPITATION
WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND WILL LIKELY BE VERY HEAVY.

AT THIS TIME...THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION APPEARS TO FALL BETWEEN
TUESDAY EVENING AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED TO THE FORECASTS
LATER THIS WEEKEND AS THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT LOCATION
OF THE DEVELOPING LOW AND THE SUBSEQUENT POSITION OF THE ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

AB NOV 11