Small Craft Advisory 792, NWS Anchorage, AK

774 
FZAK51 PAFC 021429 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
625 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

UPDATED ZONES 129 130 132 138 140

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030300-
400 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 985 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT WILL WEAKEN TO 994 MB AS IT
TRACKS OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC BY THIS AFTERNOON. A FRONT ENTERS
THE WESTERN GULF THU AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF
THU NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-030300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10
FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-030300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE 
EVENING.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-030300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-030300-
PASSAGE CANAL
625 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-030300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
625 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NW WIND 30 KT NW OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON...EXCEPT SEAS 9 FT 
NW OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-030300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
625 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-030300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
625 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-030300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
625 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-030300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

564 
FZAK51 PAFC 022332
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031500-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT WILL ENTER THE WESTERN GULF THU AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF THU NIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE FRI. A 984 MB LOW WILL FORM 65 NM
SOUTH OF SEWARD THU NIGHT AND MOVE TO 30 NM NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
FRI AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ120-031500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-031500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-031500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS 
TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-031500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS 
TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-031500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 
FT EXCEPT 7 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-031500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 
FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-031500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-031500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE
WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-031500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

367 
FZAK51 PAFC 031149
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040300-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT WILL ENTER THE WESTERN GULF THU...THEN TRACKS TO THE NORTHERN
AND EASTERN GULF THU NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING FRI. A 984 MB LOW
WILL FORM 110 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK THU NIGHT AND THEN MOVE TO 100
NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT FRI NIGHT AT 994 MB.
$$

PKZ120-040300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W OF CAPE CLEARE...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. E OF CAPE CLEARE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND
45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-040300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-040300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-040300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

434 
FZAK51 PAFC 031903 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1100 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

UPDATED 129 130 132 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040300-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT WILL ENTER THE WESTERN GULF THU...THEN TRACKS TO THE
NORTHERN
AND EASTERN GULF THU NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING FRI. A 984 MB LOW
WILL FORM 110 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK THU NIGHT AND THEN MOVE TO 100
NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT FRI NIGHT AT 994 MB.
$$

PKZ120-040300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W OF CAPE CLEARE...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. E OF CAPE CLEARE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND
45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-040300-
PASSAGE CANAL
1100 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-040300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1100 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
13 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
1100 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT.

.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-040300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

088 
FZAK51 PAFC 032346
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041500-
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT MOVES TO THE NORTH GULF COAST TONIGHT AND DISSIPATES FRIDAY.
A 985 MB LOW DEVELOPS 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF SEWARD LATE TONIGHT AND
MOVES TO 40 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AT 1002 MB.

$$

PKZ120-041500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W OF CAPE CLEARE...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. E OF CAPE CLEARE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 55 KT E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.FRI...W OF CAPE CLEARE...NW WIND 25 KT. E OF CAPE CLEARE...E WIND 
40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF
BAYS AND PASSES E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-041500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-041500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-041500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-041500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...BARREN ISLANDS E...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT. 
W OF BARREN ISLANDS...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-041500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT EXCEPT W 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-041500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-041500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO NE WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
ELSEWHERE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE
MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-041500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1240 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...AT 11 AM SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
DEEP LOW MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF TO THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
CAPE SUCKLING. THE CIRRUS SHIELD WITH THIS SYSTEM EXTENDS WELL NORTH
AND WEST OF THE LOW CENTER ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TO THE BORDER
WITH SOUTHWEST ALASKA ALONG THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES. AS THE
LOW TRACKS NORTHWARD THE MOISTURE IS ROTATING SOUTHWARD DOWN THE
WEST SIDE OF THE LOW. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A SOLID AREA OF
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGION. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THE PREDOMINANT
PRECIP-TYPE IS SNOW. OBSERVATIONS ALSO SHOW WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS RAPIDLY
TIGHTENING ACROSS THE REGION AND THIS COMBINED WITH WEAK COLD AIR
ADVECTION FROM THE INTERIOR IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE SURFACE WINDS
IN MOST AREAS. THE TALKEETNA WIND PROFILER AND KENAI RADAR VAD WIND
PROFILE SHOW 35 TO 50 KT WITHIN A FEW THOUSAND FEET OFF THE SURFACE.
THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE THIS AFTERNOON.
THE SNOW AND WINDS ARE CAUSING DIFFICULT TRAVEL ACROSS THE EASTERN
KENAI PENINSULA AND COPPER BASIN WHERE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
ARE IN EFFECT AND THROUGH THOMPSON PASS WHERE A BLIZZARD WARNING
IS IN EFFECT.

THE INFLUENCE OF THE GULF LOW EXTENDS WESTWARD TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA
AND THE EASTERN BERING WHERE GUSTY WINDS ARE BEING OBSERVED. HIGH
PRESSURE WEST OF THIS AREA IS RESULTING IN QUIET CONDITIONS AT THE
MOMENT...BUT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEVELOPING LOW ABOUT 500 NM
SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WITH MOISTURE SPREADING WELL OUT
AHEAD OF THE LOW CENTER.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...DUE TO MODEL INGEST PROBLEMS THIS MORNING DID
NOT RECEIVE A LOT OF THE 12Z MODEL DATA. THE ECMWF APPEARED TO
INITIALIZE BEST WITH POSITION OF DEEP LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
AND IT AT LEAST HINTS AT A SECONDARY LOW SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
THE NAM SOLUTION DOES CLOSELY FOLLOW THE ECMWF BEGINNING THIS
AFTERNOON AS THESE TWO LOWS COMBINE INTO A SINGLE CONCENTRIC LOW.
SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING. WILL UPDATE THE SHORT-TERM FORECAST ACROSS
THE GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BASED ON THE AVAILABLE 12Z NAM
DATA WHICH GOES THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY. MINIMAL CHANGES WILL BE
MADE BEYOND THIS POINT. OUT WEST THE 12Z ECMWF AND 12Z 190 KM GFS
ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS RUNS OF EACH MODEL. WITHOUT
A FULL MODEL SUITE TO WORK WITH PLAN ON VERY MINOR CHANGES TO
EXISTING FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE GULF LOW WILL START TO TRACK AWAY FROM
SOUTHCENTRAL THIS EVENING WHICH WILL BRING PRECIP TO AN END.
PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL CONTINUE TO TIGHTEN THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WHICH MEANS WIDESPREAD STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION.
EXPECT THE VALDEZ AREA TO APPROACH WARNING LEVEL WINDS...BUT THE
CURRENT BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THOMPSON PASS HIGHLIGHTS THE MOST
DANGEROUS THREAT IN THE AREA. ONCE THIS EXPIRES LATE THIS EVENING
MAY HAVE TO CONSIDER ISSUING A HIGH WIND WARNING. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY TREND DOWNWARD OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
THE LOW TRACKS OUT OF THE REGION. STRONG WINDS WILL HOLD ON LONGEST
ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS AS COLDER AIR ADVECTS DOWN INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF. THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT SOUTHCENTRAL WILL BE A VERY LARGE
BERING LOW. AS IT MOVES ONSHORE OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA THURSDAY PRECIP
AND WIND WILL SPREAD TO MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL. AS IS TYPICAL ALSO
EXPECT A TRIPLE POINT LOW TO DEVELOP IN THE GULF. IT IS A BIT TOO
EARLY TO SAY WHETHER ANY ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS WILL BE NEEDED...BUT
BASED ON THE EXPECTED SIZE AND STRENGTH OF THE BERING SYSTEM IT IS
A STRONG POSSIBILITY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WINDS WILL DIE DOWN ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA
TONIGHT AS THE GULF LOW TRACKS AWAY FROM THE REGION. WITH LIGHTER
WINDS...A COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE...AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVERHEAD
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO QUICKLY DROP TO SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS. THE
COLD AND QUIET WEATHER WON'T LAST LONG THOUGH AS A VERY LARGE BERING
LOW MOVES TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
MUCH WARMER AIR WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM WHICH MEANS PRECIP-TYPE
WILL BECOME PREDOMINANTLY RAIN. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW BEFORE THE WARM AIR ARRIVES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST. DON'T PLAN TO ISSUE ANY ADVISORIES OR
WARNINGS AT THE MOMENT...BUT WILL CONSIDER ISSUING SOMETHING WITH
THE NEW FORECAST EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...A STRONG SOUTHERLY JET AHEAD OF THE PACIFIC
STORM WILL LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT OF A TRIPLE POINT LOW OVER THE
SOUTHCENTRAL BERING SEA ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL QUICKLY BECOME THE
DOMINANT LOW. WIDESPREAD GALE TO A STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
AS THIS LOW DEEPENS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WINDS AS THE
FRONTAL SYSTEM TRACKS EASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA. AT THIS POINT THOUGH...IT IS LOOKING
LIKE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW WARNING LEVELS. AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES TO MAINLAND ALASKA LATE THURSDAY ANOTHER WILL ENTER FROM
THE WEST...ALBEIT A MUCH WEAKER STORM.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN VERY
PROGRESSIVE THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. THUS...ACTIVE
WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...127 128 130 132 150 170 172 175 176 179
                         180 185.
         GALE WARNING...120 121 125 126 129 138 140 141 155 160
                        165 171.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 11