Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 780, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 29, 2011, 6:40 AM AKDT. It was in force for 21 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 29, 2011, 6:40 AM AKDT (14:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 30, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
318 FZAK52 PAFC 291443 AAA CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 640 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 UPDATED ZONES 155 176 179 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-300300- 400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 973 MB LOW EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE EASTWARD ON SAT. A 998 MB LOW 75 NM WEST OF ATTU LATE SAT MORNING MERGES WITH A BERING LOW TO FORM A NORTH TO SOUTH ELONGATED 990 MB LOW SAT EVENING ALONG 180. THIS LOW DEEPENS TO 978 MB SUN EVENING 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL AND THEN MOVES 75 NM SOUTHEAST OF ST GEORGE LATE MON MORNING AT 983 MB. $$ PKZ150-300300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ155-300300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 640 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ160-300300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ165-300300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ180-300300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ170-300300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM UNALASKA E...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ171-300300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ172-300300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ175-300300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ176-300300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 640 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ185-300300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ179-300300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 640 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
439 FZAK52 PAFC 292321 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-301500- 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 994 MB LOW 75 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 980 MB AS IT MOVES TO 210 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL SUN MORNING. THIS LOW WILL THEN TRACK TO 65 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR MON AFTERNOON AT 990 MB. A 985 MB LOW WILL 25 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL SUN AFTERNOON AND TRACK TO 20 NM NORTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM MON MORNING AT 996 MB. $$ PKZ150-301500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT...GUSTING TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ155-301500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. $$ PKZ160-301500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ165-301500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT...WITH SE GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ180-301500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...S AND W OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. N AND E OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ170-301500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 45 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. $$ PKZ171-301500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT...GUSTING TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT...BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT...GUSTING TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ172-301500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...SW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...W WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...BERING SIDE...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 26 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. $$ PKZ175-301500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ176-301500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ185-301500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. .MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ179-301500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT THIS EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO S 30 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ JAM
205 FZAK52 PAFC 292351 CCA CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 CORRECTED SYNOPSIS COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-301500- 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 994 MB LOW 75 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 980 MB AS IT MOVES TO 210 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL SUN MORNING. THIS LOW WILL THEN TRACK TO 65 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR MON AFTERNOON AT 990 MB. A 985 MB LOW WILL FORM 25 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL SUN AFTERNOON AND TRACK TO 20 NM NORTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM MON MORNING AT 996 MB. $$ PKZ150-301500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT...GUSTING TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ155-301500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. $$ PKZ160-301500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ165-301500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT...WITH SE GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ180-301500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...S AND W OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. N AND E OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ170-301500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 45 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. $$ PKZ171-301500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT...GUSTING TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT...BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT...GUSTING TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ172-301500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...SW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...W WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...BERING SIDE...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 26 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. $$ PKZ175-301500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ176-301500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ185-301500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. .MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ179-301500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT THIS EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO S 30 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ JAM
694 FZAK52 PAFC 301137 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-310300- 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 983 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF ST PAUL MOVES OVER SAND POINT AT 994 MB MON NIGHT AND THEN INTO THE WESTERN GULF. HIGH PRESSURE FORMS OVER THE WESTERN BERING MON. A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE TUE MORNING. $$ PKZ150-310300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ155-310300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 13 FT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ160-310300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ165-310300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 40 KT EXCEPT S 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ180-310300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST NUNIVAK ISLAND N. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST NUNIVAK ISLAND N. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ170-310300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ171-310300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ172-310300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...W WIND 50 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 45 KT...SEAS 19 FT. .MON...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT BERING SIDE...23 FT PACIFIC SIDE. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ175-310300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...BERING SIDE...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ176-310300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ185-310300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ179-310300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT, 2 hours 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011
.MODEL DISCUSSION...NAM AND GFS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON SOLUTION
FOR GULF OF ALASKA BUT CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE ON STRENGTH ON SYSTEM
IN THE BERING...WITH THE GFS RUNNING 5 TO 7 MB DEEPER. EC ALSO WEAKER
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE FOR THE BERING SYSTEM AND THEN IN THE LONGER TERM
FORMS A VERY DEEP LOW IN THE GULF AND MOVES IT UP NEAR MIDDLETON
ISLAND...THIS WOULD APPEAR TO BE AN EXTREME OUTLIER. FORECASTERS
TENDING TO USE GFS SOLUTIONS THIS MORNING.
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...CURRENT WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION IS
DOMINATED BY ELONGATED LOW STRETCHING FROM THE AK PEN INTO THE
WESTERN GULF. THIS IS A DEEP SYSTEM AND SHOULD ONLY WEAKEN SLOWLY ON
SUN. LOOKS AS IF PRIMARY LOW SPINS IN THE NORTHERN GULF WHILE A
SECONDARY LOW FORMS SOUTH OF PWS SUN MORNING. THIS WILL ADD A GIVEN
AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY TO COOK INLET FORECAST FOR SUN MORNING. IF GFS
SOLUTION DOES VERIFY SHOULD SEE SOME WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS KENAI PEN
AND NORTHERN COOK INLET AS A RESULT OF SOME LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION
FROM THE NORTHWEST IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING REGION...NEXT SYSTEM IS OVER THE WESTERN AL THIS AFTERNOON
GENERATING SNOW SHOWERS AND SOME 20 TO 30 MPH NORTHWEST WINDS. THIS
SYSTEM IS PROGED TO SPIN IN THE CENTRAL BERING THROUGH MON SO LITTLE
CHANGE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SOUTHWEST...WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OFF WEST COAST TODAY JUST STRONG
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS AND CLOUD COVER. SOME
CLEARING ON SUN MORNING BUT THEN EXPECT AREAS OF FOG NEAR THE COAST.
WEATHER FRONT MOVES ONSHORE SUN AFTERNOON WITH GOOD CHANCE OF SNOW
OVER NIGHT.
SOUTHCENTRAL...FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE WESTERN
GULF THIS MORNING IS MOVING ONSHORE THIS MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW
LIKELY ALONG THE COAST WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS INLAND. AS NOTED
ABOVE CHANCE FOR SNOW SAT EVENING THROUGH SUN MORNING FOR NORTHERN
COOK INLET BUT CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY LOW FOR ANYTHING SUBSTANTIAL AT
THIS POINT.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE OF MODEL
SOLUTIONS ALTHOUGH THE GFS WHICH HAD BEEN THE MODEL OF CHOICE THE
PAST FEW DAYS DOES ONCE AGAIN INDICATE A SERIES OF LOWS MOVING INTO
THE GULF FROM THE BERING THROUGH NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER WOULD NOT COMMIT
TO DETAILS AS FAR TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY. LOOKS AS NEXT POTENT STORM
IN THE WEST IMPACTS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL AL TUE EVENING.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NO
MARINE...STRM: 172 175 185 130 GALES: 150 155 160 165 180 170 176
179 120 132 138 140
FIRE WEATHER...NO
JOHN OCT 11The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.