Gale Warning 774, NWS Anchorage, AK

297 
FZAK51 PAFC 291424 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
625 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

UPDATED ZONES 140 AND 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300300-
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 973 MB PARENT LOW 100 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO
75 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT LATE SUN MORNING AT 988 MB AND THEN MOVES
ONSHORE. A 990 MB SECONDARY LOW FORMS OVER HINCHINBROOK ISLAND SUN
MORNING AND THEN WEAKENS TO 1001 MB SUN EVENING NEAR ICY BAY BEFORE
MOVING ONSHORE. A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF FROM THE
BERING MON MORNING.


$$

PKZ120-300300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-300300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATER THIS MORNING. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-300300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE
DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-300300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
SUBSIDING TO 1 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-300300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 45 KT
BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.  
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-300300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-300300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-300300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
625 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING
TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 2 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...
VARIABLE WIND 10 KT...SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-300300-
KACHEMAK BAY
625 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT OR LESS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

018 
FZAK51 PAFC 292301
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301500-
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 974 MB LOW 125 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 155 NM SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT SAT NIGHT AT 985 MB AND THEN TRACK INLAND 
OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA SUN AFTERNOON. A 991 MB LOW WILL FORM 40 NM
NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN MORNING AND DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES
INLAND NEAR CAPE SUCKLING SUN EVENING. A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF SUN NIGHT AND TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF ON MON.

$$

PKZ120-301500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E OF CAPE CLEARE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT
TOWARD MORNING. GUSTS TO 35 KT THROUGH HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. RAIN. CAPE CLEARE WEST...NE
WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-301500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-301500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 
30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-301500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-301500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT EXCEPT WIND DIMINISHING TO 35 KT WEST OF BARREN
ISLAND IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-301500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-301500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
 SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-301500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING
NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 2 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N
OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FOOT BUILDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-301500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 25 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.

.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

629 
FZAK51 PAFC 301142
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-310300-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 985 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT MOVES ONSHORE
NEAR LITUYA BAY LATE THIS MORNING. A 990 MB LOW FORMS OVER PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND THIS MORNING AND DISSIPATES THIS EVENING NEAR CORDOVA
AT 1000 MB. A 999 MB LOW FORMS 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY MON EVENING
AND MOVES 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT TUE AFTERNOON AT 980 MB.

$$

PKZ120-310300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 40 THIS THIS AFTERNOON. E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND...EAST WINDS 25 KT BECOMING W 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 BUILDING TO 15 FT EXCEPT SEAS 10 FT EAST OF MONTAGUE ISLAND.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-310300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.  
.MON...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-310300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 THIS MORNING. WINDS
INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-310300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35
KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-310300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 40 KT
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 14 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS SUBSIDING TO
13 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-310300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. WINDS BECOMING SW 35 KT THIS AFTERNOON EXCEPT
SW 25 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-310300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-310300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SW 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HIGHER
GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-310300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT SAT OCT 29 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...NAM AND GFS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON SOLUTION
FOR GULF OF ALASKA BUT CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE ON STRENGTH ON SYSTEM
IN THE BERING...WITH THE GFS RUNNING 5 TO 7 MB DEEPER. EC ALSO WEAKER
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE FOR THE BERING SYSTEM AND THEN IN THE LONGER TERM
FORMS A VERY DEEP LOW IN THE GULF AND MOVES IT UP NEAR MIDDLETON
ISLAND...THIS WOULD APPEAR TO BE AN EXTREME OUTLIER.  FORECASTERS
TENDING TO USE GFS SOLUTIONS THIS MORNING.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...CURRENT WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION IS
DOMINATED BY ELONGATED LOW STRETCHING FROM THE AK PEN INTO THE
WESTERN GULF. THIS IS A DEEP SYSTEM AND SHOULD ONLY WEAKEN SLOWLY ON
SUN.  LOOKS AS IF PRIMARY LOW SPINS IN THE NORTHERN GULF WHILE A
SECONDARY LOW FORMS SOUTH OF PWS SUN MORNING.  THIS WILL ADD A GIVEN
AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY TO COOK INLET FORECAST FOR SUN MORNING. IF GFS
SOLUTION DOES VERIFY SHOULD SEE SOME WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS KENAI PEN
AND NORTHERN COOK INLET AS A RESULT OF SOME LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION
FROM THE NORTHWEST IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

BERING REGION...NEXT SYSTEM IS OVER THE WESTERN AL THIS AFTERNOON
GENERATING SNOW SHOWERS AND SOME 20 TO 30 MPH NORTHWEST WINDS. THIS
SYSTEM IS PROGED TO SPIN IN THE CENTRAL BERING THROUGH MON SO LITTLE
CHANGE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SOUTHWEST...WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OFF WEST COAST TODAY JUST STRONG
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS AND CLOUD COVER. SOME
CLEARING ON SUN MORNING BUT THEN EXPECT AREAS OF FOG NEAR THE COAST.
WEATHER FRONT MOVES ONSHORE SUN AFTERNOON WITH GOOD CHANCE OF SNOW
OVER NIGHT.

SOUTHCENTRAL...FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE WESTERN
GULF THIS MORNING IS MOVING ONSHORE THIS MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW
LIKELY ALONG THE COAST WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS INLAND.  AS NOTED
ABOVE CHANCE FOR SNOW SAT EVENING THROUGH SUN MORNING FOR NORTHERN
COOK INLET BUT CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY LOW FOR ANYTHING SUBSTANTIAL AT
THIS POINT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE OF MODEL
SOLUTIONS ALTHOUGH THE GFS WHICH HAD BEEN THE MODEL OF CHOICE THE
PAST FEW DAYS DOES ONCE AGAIN INDICATE A SERIES OF LOWS MOVING INTO
THE GULF FROM THE BERING THROUGH NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER WOULD NOT COMMIT
TO DETAILS AS FAR TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY.  LOOKS AS NEXT POTENT STORM
IN THE WEST IMPACTS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL AL TUE EVENING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NO
MARINE...STRM: 172 175 185 130  GALES: 150 155 160 165 180 170 176
                                       179 120 132 138 140
FIRE WEATHER...NO

JOHN OCT 11