Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 43, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 15, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 15, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jan 15, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired: Jan 17, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
In force: 48 hr
Issued by: NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

548 
FZAK51 PAFC 160015
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161500-
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL DEVELOP INTO A
999 MB LOW 75 NM SOUTH OF KAYAK ISLAND SUN AFTERNOON AND PERSIST
THROUGH MON.
$$

PKZ120-161500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-161500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-161500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-161500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-161500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-161500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-161500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-161500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-161500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

5 follow-up statements

292 
FZAK51 PAFC 161249
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170300-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF DEVELOPS INTO 
A 997 MB LOW 75 NM SOUTH OF KAYAK ISLAND SUN AFTERNOON THEN 
WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES MON. A 1010 MB LOW MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL 
GULF OF ALASKA MON THEN MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF EARLY TUE.  
$$

PKZ120-170300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND INCREASING 
TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT SHIFTING TO NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT EXCEPT 9 FT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT SW WIND 20 KT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-170300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY 
IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-170300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-170300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING 
TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.  

$$

PKZ130-170300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N WIND 20 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-170300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-170300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-170300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-170300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

502 
FZAK51 PAFC 170048
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171500-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1004 MB LOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 75 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND MON MORNING AT 1009 MB AND THEN MOVE NEAR YAKUTAT
MON EVENING AT 1010 MB. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-171500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT SHIFTING TO NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 30 KT SHIFTING TO S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT SW WIND 25 KT S AND E OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-171500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-171500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON THROUGH TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-171500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
50 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-171500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-171500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-171500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-171500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-171500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

693 
FZAK51 PAFC 171301
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1007 MB LOW 100 NM E OF KODIAK MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF 
MIDDLETON ISLAND MON EVENING AT 1010 MB AND CONTINUES ONSHORE 
NEAR CROSS SOUND TUE MORNING. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT MOVES 
INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...WIND BECOMING 
SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN 
THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT 
BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... 
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE WIND 25 KT NW OF THE BARREN 
ISLANDS. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NW OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE 
BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. NW OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...WIND BECOMING 
NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE 
BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

916 
FZAK51 PAFC 171837 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
935 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

UPDATED ZONES 130 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1007 MB LOW 100 NM E OF KODIAK MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF 
MIDDLETON ISLAND MON EVENING AT 1010 MB AND CONTINUES ONSHORE 
NEAR CROSS SOUND TUE MORNING. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT MOVES 
INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...WIND BECOMING 
SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN 
THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT 
BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
935 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... 

.TODAY...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 
25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NW OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. NW OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...WIND BECOMING 
NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
935 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

687 
FZAK51 PAFC 180037
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181500-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1009 MB LOW 80 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE ONSHORE
50 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT LATE TONIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO
THE WESTERN GULF TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-181500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...W WIND 25 KT 
DIMINISHING TO NW 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-181500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ129-181500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-181500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE
WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-181500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-181500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-181500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY DURING THE EVENING. 
.TUE...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING
SPRAY S OF KALGIN ISLAND.
.TUE NIGHT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-181500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING T 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
DURING THE EVENING. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

JAM JAN 11

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 15, 1:30 PM AKST, 2 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 1:30 PM AKST, 2 hours 30 minutes before

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
130 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON WEAK NORTHERN GULF
TROUGH THAT CONTINUES TO DEVELOP TODAY. SHOULD BOTTOM OUT AROUND 998
MB SUN EVENING AND HELP KEEP PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER COPPER RIVER
BASIN STRONG. ALL MODELS ALSO HINTING AT SOME TYPE OF WEAK LOW
FORMING MON NE OF KODIAK ISLAND WHICH COULD GENERATE SOME SNOW
SHOWERS ON SO. KENAI PEN MON EVENING AND TUE.
    THE MAJOR WEATHER ISSUE IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A VERY STRONG LOW
SW OF THE ATTU ON SUN.  ALL MODELS PORTRAIT A DEEP LOW WITH A MAX
CENTRAL PRESSURE IN THE 945 TO 935 MB RANGE EARLY MON.  SOME MODEL
DIFFERENCE ON NATURE OF SECONDARY LOW THAT FORMS TO THE EAST ALONG
175W MON MORNING...GFS TENDS TO BE DEEPER SOLUTION WITH NAM CLOSE
BEHIND.  THIS LOW IS THEN PROGED TO MOVE INTO WESTERN ALEUTIANS NEAR
DATELINE LATE TUE MORNING AROUND 945 MB.  DESPITE THE MODEL
DIFFERENCES THE MESSAGE IS CLEAR...A SERIES OF POWERFUL STORMS WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BEGINNING SUN EVENING.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...DEEP COLD AIR CONTINUES TO RESIDE OVER
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE WITH RELATIVELY WARMER AIR TO THE WEST
DUE TO VERY HIGH PRESSURE.  EXPECTING STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OUT OF
SOUTHERN COPPER RIVER BASIN TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUN NIGHT AND THEN
DIMINISH.  CONTINUED COLD AND CLEAR EAST OF 155W OVER WEEKEND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...LITTLE CHANGE IN STORE THROUGH MON.  COLD IN AREAS OF
LIGHT WINDS. NORTH WINDS IN MTN PASSES TO CONTINUE.

SOUTHWEST...SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY CLEAR AND COLD. COLDEST TEMPS IN
LOW LYING AREAS.

BERING SEA...WEAK SURFACE LOW FORMING OVER PRIBILOF ISLANDS DUE TO
UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING FROM THE EAST SHOULD GENERATE SOME SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY OVER THE CENTRAL BERING.
ALSO SOME COOLER SURFACE TEMPS WITH THIS BRIEF DISTURBANCE.
    FIRST STRONG FRONT SHOULD IMPACT WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUN EVENING
AND INTO EASTERN ALEUTIANS MON EVENING. RIGHT NOW WE ARE ADVERTISING
50 TO 55 KT WINDS IN THE MARINE ZONES BUT COULD BE PUSHED HIGHER AS
MODELS ATTEMPTED TO ZERO IN ON SOLUTION.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MAJOR EVENT IS FRONT AND ASSOCIATED LOWS IN THE
WESTERN BERING CONTINUING THROUGH WED. MAIN FRONT ALTHOUGH WEAKENED
MOVES OVER AK PEN EARLY WED WITH CONSIDERABLE PUNCH.  THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR THIS FRONT TO REACH COOK INLET WED NIGHT BRING CLOUDS
AND WARMER TEMPS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WIND CHILL ADV 145 131
MARINE...GALES: 172 185      STRMS: 175 176
FIRE WEATHER...NADA

JMP JAN 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	12 hr
Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	12 hr
Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	48 hr
Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST	Storm Warning	AFC	24 hr
Jan 16, 4:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	24 hr
Jan 16, 4:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	4 days
Jan 16, 4:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	12 hr
Jan 16, 4:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	24 hr
Jan 16, 4:00 AM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	12 hr
Jan 16, 4:00 AM AKST	Storm Warning	AFC	12 hr
Jan 16, 4:00 AM AKST	Storm Warning	AFC	60 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011 Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.