Gale Warning 870, NWS Anchorage, AK

359 
FZAK51 PAFC 170632 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
932 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

UPDATED ZONES 120 121 140

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171500-
400 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 980 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
AND WEAKEN THROUGH THU NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH FRI. A 1010 MB LOW 75 NM SOUTHWEST
OF SITKINAK THU NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 350 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
AT 1006 MB FRI AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-171500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
932 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 65 KT OUT OF THE COPPER 
RIVER DELTA. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 18 FT WEST OF MONTAGUE ISLAND.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS 55 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.

.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 45 KT OUT
OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY FRI NIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-171500-
RESURRECTION BAY
932 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT
TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-171500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 45 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-171500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-171500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT...EXCEPT 35 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 9 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
18 FT EXCEPT 8 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-171500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
22 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-171500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-171500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
932 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-171500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

659 
FZAK51 PAFC 171215
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL
WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON BUT PERSIST THROUGH FRI NIGHT. A 1009 MB LOW
WILL DEVELOP 45 NM WEST OF SITKINAK TONIGHT THEN STRENGTHEN TO 1003
MB ABOUT 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY FRI AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING
INTO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES THIS
MORNING. HIGHER GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER THIS MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 20 FT N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 7 FT. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 10 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

474 
FZAK51 PAFC 172126 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1225 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

UPDATED AREA 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL
WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON BUT PERSIST THROUGH FRI NIGHT. A 1009 MB LOW
WILL DEVELOP 45 NM WEST OF SITKINAK TONIGHT THEN STRENGTHEN TO 1003
MB ABOUT 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY FRI AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING
INTO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES THIS
MORNING. HIGHER GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1225 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT...LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS E OF NAKED ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER THIS MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 20 FT N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 7 FT. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 10 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

599 
FZAK51 PAFC 180025
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181500-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1012 MB LOW 75 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN PRESSURE THROUGH SAT. A 1010 MB LOW
75 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK THU NIGHT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND OUT OF
THE AREA.
$$

PKZ120-181500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
$$

PKZ121-181500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-181500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
$$

PKZ129-181500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35
KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-181500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
$$

PKZ132-181500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SOUTH OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
$$

PKZ138-181500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 1 FOOT BUILDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
$$

PKZ140-181500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-181500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
VERY HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN TODAY...AN ELONGATED BROAD UPPER LOW
STRETCHES FROM THE BEAUFORT SEA WITH THE MAIN CORE OF THE LOW OVER
THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE UPPER LOW IS PART OF A VERTICALLY
STACKED SYSTEM BRINGING SNOW AND RAIN TO THE GULF WITH STRONG WINDS
AND BLOWING SNOW FOR MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. ANOTHER STACKED
SYSTEM IS ANCHORED OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA BRINGING WIDESPREAD
RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.
THAT UPPER LOW AND ATTENDANT SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
WEATHER IN THE COMING WEEK. BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS A HIGH AMPLITUDE
RIDGE STRETCHES FROM THE NORTHERN PACIFIC THROUGH THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND UP INTO SIBERIA ACCOMPANIED BY A DECENT PUSH OF
RELATIVELY WARM AIR INTO THE BERING SEA. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE/SURFACE
LOW COMBO IS CURRENTLY PASSING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BRINGING ANOTHER
ROUND OF RAIN.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
GUIDANCE IS IN A BIT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER AIR FEATURES
TODAY. CONSISTENCY FROM YESTERDAYS RUNS ROUGHLY THE SAME WITH THE
MAJOR FEATURES...THE GULF LOW WILL DROP DOWN NEAR THE PANHANDLE AND
THE SHORTWAVE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE
BERING SEA. TODAY'S PACKAGE IS IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK WITH THE EVOLUTION OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED
IN THE FLOW OF THE KAMCHATKA LOW. THE NEXT SHORTWAVE/WEAK TRIPLE
POINT LOW WILL PUSH INTO BRISTOL BAY AND THE AKPEN BY EARLY FRIDAY.
BY THE WEEKEND THE MODEL AGREEMENT STARTS TO BREAK DOWN. WHILE THE
EXACT PLACEMENT AND TIMING IS STILL IN QUESTION...THE ORIGINAL
KAMCHATKA UPPER LOW WILL DISSOLVE INTO ANOTHER IN EAST ASIA AND A NEW
UPPER LOW WILL FORM FROM THE NORTHERN PACIFIC INTO THE CENTRAL BERING
SEA. BOTH GLOBAL AND MESOSCALE MODELS HINT AT A DEEP SURFACE LOW IN
THE BERING PROPAGATING EASTWARD WITH A TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMING IN
THE VICINITY SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND BY THE WEEKEND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE INTERIOR AND LOW IN THE
GULF WILL KEEP THE GUSTY/WINDY CONDITIONS IN PLACE THROUGH THURSDAY.
BY THURSDAY EVENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO RELAX AND
WINDS WILL SUBSEQUENTLY SLACKEN. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE
COPPER RIVER DELTA...THOMPSON PASS...AND MATANUSKA VALLEY AREAS. THE
WINDY CONDITIONS  WILL CAUSE BLOWING SNOW WITH INTERMITTENT REDUCTION
OF VISIBILITY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...BRISK NORTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES FOR EASTERN BRISTOL
BAY AND EASTERN KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. WINDS WILL SLACKEN AND TURN FROM
THE SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY EVENING AHEAD OF AN INCOMING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. RIGHT NOW THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL JUST BRING SNOW TO
COASTAL AREAS AND THE AKPEN ON LATE THURSDAY EVENING CONTINUING INTO
FRIDAY. ANOTHER FRONTAL PUSH WILL BRING SNOW AGAIN ON SATURDAY...THIS
ONE SPREADING NORTHWARD THROUGH MOST OF THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...THE ACTIVE PATTERN OUT WEST CONTINUES.
RAIN WITH GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHING EAST WILL BRING
PRECIPITATION TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS FIRST BEGINNING AS SNOW OR A
RAIN/SNOW MIX THEN TRANSITIONING TO ALL RAIN. A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE
WILL WORK NORTH TOWARD THE WESTERN CHAIN BY THE WEEKEND BRINGING
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MORE RAIN.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
LONG TERM GUIDANCE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT FROM MODEL TO MODEL.
LOOKS LIKE THE STACKED SYSTEM WILL PUSH INTO THE GULF BY THE END OF
THE WEEKEND WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL STAY ACTIVE AS ANOTHER KAMCHATKA LOW TAKES SHAPE WITH ZONAL FLOW
CONTINUING FOR THE REST OF THE CHAIN. MOST OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
LOOKS TO STAY DRY EXCEPT FOR COASTAL AREAS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131 HIGH WIND WARNING 131 135 WIND CHILL
ADVISORY 145
MARINE...STORM 130 132 150 179 351 352 411 412 414 GALE 120 121 129
138 140 141 155 160 165 170 172 175 176 180 413 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
121 129 130 138 140 141 HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

MTL NOV 11