Alert archive / Utah / Tornado Watches in 2010

Tornado Watch 694

October 6, 20105 counties in Arizona; 10 counties in Utah

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 6, 2010, 9:29 AM MST for 5 counties in Arizona; 10 counties in Utah. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 6, 2010, 9:29 AM MST (16:29 UTC)
Expired
Oct 6, 2010, 4:12 PM MST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Apache County, AZ, Coconino County, AZ, Gila County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ, Carbon County, UT, Emery County, UT, Garfield County, UT, Grand County, UT, Kane County, UT, Piute County, UT, San Juan County, UT, Sanpete County, UT, Sevier County, UT, Wayne County, UT

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 162 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 6, 9:30 AM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai45 min
Oct 6, 9:43 AM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai32 min
Oct 6, 10:00 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino45 min
Oct 6, 10:08 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino3 hr
Oct 6, 10:12 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSLCKane, San Juan48 min
Oct 6, 10:13 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino62 min
Oct 6, 10:14 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai46 min
Oct 6, 10:25 AM MSTTornado WarningSLCKane, San Juan20 min
Oct 6, 10:32 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino43 min
Oct 6, 10:35 AM MSTTornado WarningFGZYavapai40 min
Oct 6, 10:51 AM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino39 min
Oct 6, 11:01 AM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai29 min
Oct 6, 11:02 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSLCGarfield, Kane, San Juan43 min
Oct 6, 11:15 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai45 min
Oct 6, 11:24 AM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai41 min
Oct 6, 11:29 AM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino31 min
Oct 6, 11:34 AM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai26 min
Oct 6, 11:45 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSLCGarfield, San Juan, Wayne60 min
Oct 6, 12:01 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai44 min
Oct 6, 12:09 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino36 min
Oct 6, 12:11 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino34 min
Oct 6, 12:16 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai29 min
Oct 6, 12:47 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino16 min
Oct 6, 12:47 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSLCEmery, Wayne43 min
Oct 6, 12:50 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSLCEmery40 min
Oct 6, 1:15 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai31 min
Oct 6, 1:17 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai43 min
Oct 6, 1:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSLCEmery, Wayne46 min
Oct 6, 1:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSLCEmery61 min
Oct 6, 1:32 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTGrand43 min
Oct 6, 1:39 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache36 min
Oct 6, 1:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTSan Juan49 min
Oct 6, 2:03 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai19 min
Oct 6, 2:12 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTSan Juan48 min
Oct 6, 2:13 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTGrand47 min
Oct 6, 2:15 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTGrand, San Juan45 min
Oct 6, 2:15 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSLCCarbon, Duchesne27 min
Oct 6, 2:16 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache14 min
Oct 6, 2:59 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTGrand, Uintah46 min
Oct 6, 3:14 PM MSTTornado WarningGJTGrand, Uintah16 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2010-10-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 376 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2010-10-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 286 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
376 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-12 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
638 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
286 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
320 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
4.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 5, 6:06 PM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGila, Maricopa, Pima, Pinal, Yavapai54 min
Oct 5, 11:57 PM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGila, Maricopa, Pinal2 hr
Oct 6, 3:20 AM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGila, Maricopa, Pinal, Yavapai115 min
Oct 6, 4:07 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCoconino, Gila, Maricopa, Navajo, Yavapai6 hr
Oct 6, 6:51 AM MSTTornado WatchSPCCoconino, Yavapai3 hr
Oct 6, 6:57 AM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCYavapai2 hr
Oct 6, 8:23 AM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoconino2 hr
Oct 6, 8:38 AM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCApache2 hr
Oct 6, 11:08 AM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCApache, Navajo2 hr
Oct 6, 11:12 AM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCochise, Graham, Greenlee63 min
Oct 6, 2:43 PM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCApache, Navajo92 min
Oct 6, 1:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCUintah5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Utah, 2010Tornado Watches in Arizona, 2010Every tornado watch in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.