Alert archive / New Jersey / River Flood Warnings in 2010
River Flood Warning 46, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this river flood warning at Mar 29, 2010, 6:32 PM EDT for Burlington County, New Jersey. It was in force for 5 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 29, 2010, 6:32 PM EDT (22:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 3, 2010, 1:25 PM EDT
- In force
- 5 days
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
- Flood severity
- Moderate
County Burlington County, NJ
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point North Branch Rancocas Creek at Pemberton (PEBN4). The gauge peaked at 3.51 ft at Mar 31, 2010, 1:00 PM EDT.
- Action stage
- 2.3 ft
- Minor stage
- 2.5 ft
- Moderate stage
- 3.5 ft
- Major stage
- 4.2 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01467000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
877
WGUS41 KPHI 292232
FLWPHI
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
632 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-300432-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FL.W.0046.100329T2232Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2220Z.100331T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
632 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.48 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE
TO NEAR 4.1 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.48 MON 6 PM 4.1 WED 8 AM
&&21 follow-up statements
937
WGUS81 KPHI 300415
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1215 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.
&&
NJC005-301415-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.1.ER.100329T2315Z.100401T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1215 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 12:00 AM THE STAGE WAS 2.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE RISING AND IT IS FORECAST
TO REACH 3.3 FEET ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN IT SHOULD BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS IN EASTAMPTON.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.60 TUE 12 AM 3.3 WED 8 PM
&&
IOVINO906
WGUS81 KPHI 300829
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
429 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.
&&
NJC005-301829-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.1.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
429 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 4:00 AM THE STAGE WAS 2.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE RISING AND IT SHOULD CREST
NEAR 3.1 FEET FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS IN EASTAMPTON.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.67 TUE 4 AM 3.1 WED 2 PM
&&
IOVINO550
WGUS81 KPHI 301414
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1014 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-310014-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.1.ER.100329T2315Z.100401T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1014 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 10:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 3.3 FEET BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.81 TUE 10 AM 3.3 WED 8 PM
&&465
WGUS81 KPHI 301958
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
358 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-310558-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.1.ER.100329T2315Z.100401T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
358 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 3:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 3.3 FEET BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 3.01 TUE 3 PM 3.3 WED 8 PM
&&101
WGUS81 KPHI 310240
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1040 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-311240-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.1.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1040 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 10:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.25 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 3.4 FEET BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 3.25 TUE 10 PM 3.4 WED 2 PM
&&575
WGUS41 KPHI 310915
FLWPHI
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
515 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010
...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.
&&
NJC005-311515-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
515 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 5:00 AM THE STAGE WAS 3.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND IT SHOULD CREST NEAR
3.5 FEET FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS IN EASTAMPTON.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 3.41 WED 5 AM 3.5 WED 2 PM
&&
IOVINO892
WGUS81 KPHI 311428
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1028 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-010028-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1028 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 10:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.48 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 3.5 FEET BY THIS
EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 3.48 WED 10 AM 3.5 WED 2 PM
&&553
WGUS81 KPHI 311648
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1248 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK
AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-010248-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100401T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1248 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 12:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 3.6 FEET BY THIS
EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 3.50 WED 12 PM 3.6 WED 8 PM
&&562
WGUS81 KPHI 311959
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
359 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-010559-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
359 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 3:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 3.4 FEET BY
TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 3.51 WED 4 PM 3.5 WED 7 PM
&&905
WGUS81 KPHI 010032
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
832 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-011132-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
832 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.48 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE REST OF THIS EVENT.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AT 3.51 FEET AND WILL
SLOWLY FALL. THE RIVER SHOULD NOT BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE
UNTIL THIS WEEKEND.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 3.48 WED 8 PM CRESTED AT 3.51 FEET AND
IS FALLING VERY SLOWLY.
&&399
WGUS81 KPHI 010827
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
427 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-011827-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
427 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 4:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL FALL SLOWLY OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 3.35 THU 4 AM CRESTED AND FALLING SLOWLY
&&400
WGUS81 KPHI 011403
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1003 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-020003-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1003 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 3.0 FEET BY
TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 3.22 THU 10 AM CRESTED AND FALLING SLOWLY
&&963
WGUS81 KPHI 012001
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
401 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-020601-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
401 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 3:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 3.0 FEET BY
TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 3.10 THU 3 PM 3.1 THU 8 PM
&&007
WGUS81 KPHI 020148
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
948 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK
AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-021148-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-100405T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.100404T1800Z.NR/
948 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 9:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.99 THU 9 PM CRESTED AND FALLING
&&515
WGUS81 KPHI 020817
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
417 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS
CREEK...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.
&&
NJC005-021817-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-100405T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.100404T1800Z.NR/
417 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 4:00 AM THE STAGE WAS 2.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IT SHOULD
RETURN BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS IN EASTAMPTON.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.86 FRI 4 AM CRESTED
&&
IOVINO876
WGUS81 KPHI 021353
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
953 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-022353-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.100403T1800Z.NR/
953 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 9:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.78 FRI 9 AM 2.7 FRI 2 PM
&&264
WGUS81 KPHI 021748
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
148 PM EDT FRI APR 2 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-030348-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.100403T1800Z.NR/
148 PM EDT FRI APR 2 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 1:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.73 FRI 1 PM 2.6 FRI 8 PM
&&235
WGUS81 KPHI 030107
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
906 PM EDT FRI APR 2 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK
AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-031106-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.100403T1800Z.NR/
906 PM EDT FRI APR 2 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 9:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.65 FRI 9 PM CRESTED AND FALLING
&&341
WGUS81 KPHI 030647
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
247 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-031547-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.100403T1800Z.NR/
247 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 2:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE
THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.60 SAT 2 AM CRESTED AND FALLING
&&997
WGUS81 KPHI 031328
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
928 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-032328-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.100403T1800Z.NR/
928 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 9:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE
THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 2.5 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN EASTAMPTON
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.53 SAT 9 AM 2.5 SAT 2 PM
&&781
WGUS81 KPHI 031725
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
125 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK
AT PEMBERTON AFFECTING BURLINGTON COUNTY...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.
&&
NJC005-031755-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
/PEBN4.2.ER.100329T2315Z.100331T1945Z.100403T1700Z.NR/
125 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE NORTH BRANCH RANCOCAS CREEK AT PEMBERTON.
* AT 1:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.49 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 2.5 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 1:15 PM SATURDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 2.4 FEET BY TOMORROW
MORNING.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME CREST
RANCOCAS CREEK
PEMBERTON 2.5 2.49 SAT 1 PM CRESTED AND FALLING
&&What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 29, 3:40 PM EDT, 2 hours 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 3:40 PM EDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
340 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010
.SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NWD FROM NEAR NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT AND BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAINFALL TO THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. THE LOW WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA
TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, BRING A CLEAR SKY AND UNSEASONABLY
WARM TEMPERATURES.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE BRUNT OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS
CURRENTLY OFF THE NJ COAST, WITH MAINLY LIGHTER RAIN ACRS THE CWA.
THE MDL GUID WAS PRETTY MUCH SPOT ON WITH THIS TREND. EXPECT THE
LIGHTER RAIN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. THEN, AS A
SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OFF THE NC CST AND MOVES NWD
AND THEN NWWD, EXPECT THE RAIN HEAVIER RAIN TO OVERSPREAD THE
REGION AND ENCOMPASS THE ENTIRE AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD BE OVER BY AROUND 30/12Z. GENLY 0.5
TO 1.00 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACRS THE DELMARVA, 1 TO 2 INCHES ACRS
NRN DE AND EXTREME SRN NJ AND 2 TO 3 INCHES ELSEWHERE. THESE AMTS
SHOULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING. PLS SEE HYDRO SECTION BELOW FOR
ADDITIONAL INFO. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AND
BECOME QUITE GUSTY AS THE LOW APPROACHES THE REGION. OBVIOUSLY,
WITH THE CLOUDS AND RAIN, DON'T EXPECT MUCH OF A CHANGE IN TEMPS.
MOS GUID LOOKS REASONABLE AND WERE GENLY FOLLOWED.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE LOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION EARLY ON TUESDAY, BUT BEGIN
TO WEAKEN AND PULL AWAY. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE SHOWERY
AND SHOULD DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE FROM S TO N DURG THE DAY.
STILL EXPECT A CLOUDY AND COOL DAY. THE LOW PULLS FURTHER AWAY
TUESDAY NIGHT AND EXPECT THE PRECIP TO COME TO AN END DURG THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND ESSENTIALLY BE DONE OR ALMOST DONE BY DAYBREAK
WEDNESDAY.
CONDITIONS WILL THEN MARKEDLY IMPROVE LATER WEDNESDAY AND INTO
THURSDAY AS A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TAKES AIM AT THE AREA.
THE SKY WILL CLEAR AND TEMPS WILL RISE OVER 20 DEGREES BETWEEN
TUESDAY AND THURSDAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 50S TUESDAY AND IN THE
M-U 70S ON THURSDAY. MOS GUID MAY YET AGAIN BE TOO COOL AS NEAR
FULL APRIL SUNSHINE WORKS ITS MAGIC.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE UPPER AND SURFACE RIDGE THAT WILL BE MOVING TOWARD THE AREA
AT THE END OF THE SHORT TERM...WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE
WEATHER DURING MUCH OF THE LONG TERM PART OF THE FORECAST AS WELL.
THIS WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER AND PLEASANT TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE TEMPERATURES IN TODAY/S FCST ARE A LITTLE
BIT COOLER THAN YESTERDAYS...BUT OVERALL 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL WILL STILL BE A WELCOME CHANGE TO TH RECENT COOL/WET
PATTERN. HIGHS FRI-SUN WILL MAINLY BE IN THE LOW 70S WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE BEACHES. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 50 IN
MOST AREAS.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS SHOWN MOVING ACROSS EASTERN CANADA ON
SUNDAY WITH AN ATTACHED COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA EARLY
MONDAY. IT/S TOO EARLY TO BE VERY PRECISE REGARDING LOCATIONS AND
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WITH THE FEATURE. IT APPEARS, HOWEVER, THAT THE
BETTER MOISTURE/LIFT WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH. I HAVE INCLUDED SMALL
CHC POPS FOR THE NORTHER COUNTIES FOR NOW.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY SETTLED INTO OUR AREA EARLIER BUT IT
HAS APPEARED TO HAVE STALLED. A MOISTURE AXIS RUNNING ALONG THE
COAST HAS TRIED TO SHIFT WESTWARD DURING THE DAY, HOWEVER WE ARE
WAITING FOR LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING TO OUR SOUTH TO BECOME STRONGER
AND MOVE NORTHWARD. THIS STORM WILL BECOME THE MAIN FEATURE OF
CONCERN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. WHILE THE AREA IS SOCKED IN WITH
CLOUDS, THERE HAS BEEN A TENDENCY FOR SOME IMPROVEMENT TO TAKE PLACE
AS A LITTLE BIT OF DRYING WORKS IN FROM THE WEST. THIS HAS ALLOWED
THE MVFR/IFR CEILINGS TO BECOME ERODED A GOOD AMOUNT AT SOME OF THE
TERMINALS. WHILE THIS TREND MAY CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING, WE
BELIEVE THE THE LOWER CEILINGS WILL WIN OUT AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO
SURGE NORTH AND WESTWARD TONIGHT. AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP THE COAST
AND INTO OUR AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY, RAIN IS EXPECTED TO
OVERSPREAD ALL OF OUR TERMINALS AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN LOW CEILINGS AND AT TIMES REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH
TUESDAY.
THE WIND FORECAST IS A BIT CHALLENGING AND CARRIES LOWER CONFIDENCE.
THE WINDS TODAY HAVE BEEN RATHER LIGHT AND MOSTLY FROM THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER, AS LOW PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH STRENGTHENS AND
MOVES CLOSER, THE SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE. THEY WILL
ALSO SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH WITH TIME. AS THE STORM DRAWS
CLOSER LATER TONIGHT AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS, THE WINDS
ARE ANTICIPATED TO INCREASE A DECENT AMOUNT AND TURN GUSTY. FOR NOW,
WE WENT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM
AND THE GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...
LINGERING LOW CEILINGS AND POCKETS OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND RAIN
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TUESDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE GRADUALLY
WEAKENS OVERHEAD AND BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY. A GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WIND WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE STORM THEN MOVES AWAY
WEDNESDAY WITH MUCH IMPROVED CONDITIONS SETTLING IN. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EXPECTED.
&&
.MARINE...
A LULL IN THE OVERALL CONDITIONS OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS RELAXED. THE SEAS HOWEVER ON THE OCEAN
CONTINUE TO BE RATHER ROUGH DESPITE THE WINDS DIMINISHING A GOOD
AMOUNT. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY AS LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING
TO OUR SOUTH MOVES NORTHWARD AND STRENGTHENS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
AS THIS OCCURS, A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS
OUR AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW THE SURFACE WINDS TO INCREASE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY AND TURN RATHER GUSTY AT TIMES. WHILE THE WIND FORECAST IS
OF LOWER CONFIDENCE, THERE APPEARS TO BE A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR
GALE FORCE WINDS TO OCCUR. WE WILL KEEP IT SIMPLE AND GO WITH A GALE
WARNING RIGHT FROM THE START. FOR THE MARINE AREA FROM OCEAN COUNTY
NORTHWARD, THE GALE WARNING WILL RUN UNTIL NOON TUESDAY AS THERE
SHOULD BE A WEAKNESS IN THE WIND FIELD OCCURRING AS THE SURFACE LOW
MOVES OVERHEAD. THE SEAS WILL LIKELY REMAIN ELEVATED SO AN ADVISORY
WILL NEED TO FOLLOW THE WARNING. SOUTH OF HERE AND INCLUDING
DELAWARE BAY, A GALE WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. THESE AREAS SHOULD BE MORE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE STORM
LONGER ALLOWING BETTER VERTICAL MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
ONCE THE STORM PULLS AWAY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, THE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE INCLUDING LOWERING SEAS. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS INTO THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CONTINUED AS IS. AS MENTIONED ABOVE, THE
HEAVY RAIN IS ALL OF THE NJ CST. EXPECT LIGHT RAIN AND POSSIBLY
SOME DRY BREAKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. LATER TONIGHT,
THE LOW NR NC IS EXPECTED TO MOVE N AND THEN NWWD TOWARD NJ. RAIN
IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE AS THE LOW
APPROACHES. A GENL 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED WITH AMTS AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES. IF THE WWD TREND OF THE
MDLS DOES NOT MATERIALIZE, THEN THE CORE OF THE PRECIP COULD
REMAIN CLOSER TO OR OFF THE CST, WHICH WOULD YIELD LOWER PRECIP AMTS.
THE FORECAST RAINFALL WOULD CAUSE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OF
THE SMALLER STREAMS AND RIVERS...WITH A CHANCE OF MAJOR FLOODING
IF THE HEAVIEST RAIN FALLS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY,
WHERE RIVERS AND STREAMS CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH FROM THE PREVIOUS RAINS.
REGARDING THE LARGER RIVERS, THE HEADWATER AREAS OF THE DELAWARE,
SUSQUEHANNA AND SCHUYLKILL RIVERS LOOK TO BE SPARED HEAVY
RAINFALL, AND THOSE RIVERS WILL LIKELY BE LESS OF A CONCERN WITHIN
THE FLOOD WATCH AREA. THE RARITAN, MILLSTONE, AND THE PASSAIC
RIVERS ARE ANOTHER STORY. FLOODING THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE MINOR
TO MODERATE...WITH A CHANCE OF MAJOR FLOODING.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THE TIDES CONTINUE TO RUN AROUND 1.0 TO 2.0 FEET ABOVE THE
ASTRONOMICAL FORECAST, AND THIS HAS BEEN TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT. THE
STORM SURGE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN OFF BY QUITE A BIT, THEREFORE WE RAN
OUR IN-HOUSE TIDAL DEPARTURE TOOL AND THAT GAVE US 1.5 FEET ABOVE. AS
LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS TO OUR SOUTH TONIGHT AND MOVES NORTHWARD, A
STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED. THIS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THE LONGEST ACROSS OUR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTAL ZONES. FARTHER TO
THE SOUTH, THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN SOONER THEREFORE SOME
UNCERTAINTY COMES INTO PLAY ON HOW THE TIDES WILL BEHAVE. SINCE WE
CONTINUE TO HAVE TIDES RUNNING ABOVE NORMAL AND THE FULL MOON OCCURS
TONIGHT, WE DECIDED TO UPGRADE TO A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR NEW
JERSEY AND DELAWARE INCLUDING THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY. ALSO, WE
FACTORED IN THE POTENTIAL OF THE FRESHWATER RUNOFF ENHANCING THE
TIDAL FLOODING. THE WARNING WILL GO UNTIL NOON TUESDAY TO COVER THE
HIGH TIDES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. WE MAY HAVE MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING PERSISTING BEYOND THIS TIME FRAME.
FOR THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND LOWER DELAWARE RIVER, THE TIDES ALSO
CONTINUE TO RUN RATHER HIGH. SINCE A PROLONGED SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW UP
THE BAY AND RIVER IS NOT EXPECTED, THE TIDES SHOULD COME DOWN SOME.
HOWEVER, MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED WHICH CAN ALSO BE ENHANCED
BY THE FRESHWATER RUNOFF. THIS WAS OBSERVED EARLY THIS MORNING. AS A
RESULT, WE WILL CONTINUE WITH THE ADVISORY BUT EXTEND IT THROUGH
4 PM TUESDAY FOR NOW.
FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY, THE WATER LEVELS HAVE COME DOWN SOME AS THERE IS
NOT A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW OCCURRING. THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO TURN NORTHERLY TONIGHT AND STRENGTHEN, HOWEVER MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING MAY STILL OCCUR ON THE EASTERN SHORE. THEREFORE, WE
WILL LEAVE THE ADVISORY IN PLACE UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR NOW AS THE
DEPARTURE TRENDS ARE A LITTLE UNCERTAIN ATTM.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR PAZ067>071.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR PAZ070-071.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR NJZ008>010-012>027.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY FOR NJZ012>014-
020>027.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR NJZ016>019.
DE...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR DEZ001.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY FOR DEZ002>004.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR MDZ008-
012-015-019-020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TUESDAY NIGHT FOR ANZ430-431-
452>455.
GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ450-451.
&&
SYNOPSIS...NIERENBERG
NEAR TERM...NIERENBERG
SHORT TERM...NIERENBERG
LONG TERM...NIERENBERG
AVIATION...GORSE
MARINE...GORSE
HYDROLOGY...NIERENBERG
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...GORSEHazardous weather outlook, Mar 29, 3:53 PM EDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 353 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 NJZ008>010-015-PAZ067>069-302000- MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS- 353 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ012>014-020>027-302000- MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND- ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC- COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 353 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-302000- SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- 353 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT TIMES TODAY AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ALSO, HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT TIMES INTO TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-302000- NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE- PHILADELPHIA- 353 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ002>004-302000- KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES- 353 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. ALSO, HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT TIMES INTO TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MDZ008-012-015-019-020-302000- CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE- 353 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ALSO, HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT TIMES INTO TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-452>455-302000- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 353 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TUESDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ450-451-302000- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 353 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 12:56 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PHI | Camden, Gloucester | 4 hr |
| Mar 29, 4:59 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester | 6 hr |
| Mar 29, 7:24 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Ocean | 31 hr |
| Mar 29, 9:25 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | PHI | Monmouth | 53 hr |
| Mar 29, 3:04 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Middlesex, Monmouth and 1 more | 20 hr |
| Mar 29, 3:21 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | PHI | Passaic | 3 days |
| Mar 29, 3:23 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | PHI | Morris | 4 days |
| Mar 29, 3:30 PM EDT | Gale Warning | PHI | 36 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2010Every river flood warning in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.