Alert archive / New Jersey / River Flood Warnings in 2010

River Flood Warning 45, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

March 29, 2010Morris County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this river flood warning at Mar 29, 2010, 3:23 PM EDT for Morris County, New Jersey. It took effect at Mar 29, 2010, 4:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Mar 29, 2010, 3:23 PM EDT (19:23 UTC)
In effect from: Mar 29, 2010, 4:00 PM EDT
Expired: Apr 2, 2010, 6:46 AM EDT
In force: 4 days
Issued by: NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Flood severity: Minor

County Morris County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Rockaway River at Boonton below reservoir (BONN4). The gauge peaked at 6.33 ft at Mar 31, 2010, 10:00 AM EDT.

Action stage: 4.5 ft
Minor stage: 5 ft
Moderate stage: 7 ft
Major stage: 8 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01381000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

202 
WGUS41 KPHI 291923
FLWPHI
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
323 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY... 

  ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-300123-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FL.W.0045.100329T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2000Z.100331T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
323 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 3:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 6.7 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    4.84  MON 3 PM     6.7  TUE 8 PM 

&&

16 follow-up statements

797 
WGUS81 KPHI 300118
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
918 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
  
  ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-301118-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
918 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 6.5 FEET BY EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    5.09  MON 9 PM     6.5  TUE 8 PM 

&&

563 
WGUS81 KPHI 300425
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1225 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON
   BELOW THE RESERVOIR...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

&&

NJC027-301425-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1225 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 12:00 AM THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE RISING AND IT IS EXPECTED
  TO CREST NEAR 5.9 FEET ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    5.13  TUE 12 AM    5.9  WED 2 AM 

&&

IOVINO

808 
WGUS81 KPHI 300808
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
408 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON
BELOW THE RESERVOIR...

NJC027-301808-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
408 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. 
* AT 3:15 AM THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RISING AND
  IT SHOULD CREST NEAR 5.5 FEET ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    5.17  TUE 3 AM     5.5  WED 2 AM 

&&

IOVINO

250 
WGUS81 KPHI 301411
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1011 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
 
 ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-310011-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 AM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 9:16 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 5.7 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    5.11  TUE 9 AM     5.7  WED 7 AM 

&&

932 
WGUS81 KPHI 301955
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
355 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...

  ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-310555-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
355 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 3:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 5.7 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    5.19  TUE 3 PM     5.7  WED 8 AM 

&&

035 
WGUS81 KPHI 310234
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1034 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  PEQUANNOCK RIVER BELOW MACOPIN DAM AFFECTING MORRIS AND PASSAIC 
  COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-031-311234-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0051.100331T0347Z-100401T1800Z/
/MCPN4.1.ER.100331T0347Z.100331T1200Z.100401T1200Z.NO/
1034 PM EDT TUE MAR 30 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEQUANNOCK RIVER BELOW MACOPIN DAM.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 5.8 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

PEQUANNOCK RIVER
  MACOPIN DAM      5.5    5.43  TUE 10 PM    5.8  WED 8 AM 

&&

614 
WGUS81 KPHI 310807
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCKAWAY RIVER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

&&

NJC027-311807-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-100401T0300Z/
/BNTN4.1.ER.100330T2330Z.100331T0800Z.100331T2100Z.NO/
407 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON ABOVE THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 4:00 AM THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WAS NEAR CREST AND IT SHOULD FALL BACK BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

NJC027-311807-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
407 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 3:00 AM THE STAGE WAS 6.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND IT SHOULD CREST NEAR
  6.2 FEET THIS MORNING.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON ABOVE T  5.0    5.49  WED 4 AM     CRESTING 
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    6.09  WED 3 AM     6.2  WED 8 AM 

&&

IOVINO

025 
WGUS81 KPHI 311437
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1037 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON ABOVE THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY 
  ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-010037-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-100401T0600Z/
/BNTN4.1.ER.100330T2330Z.100331T0845Z.100401T0000Z.NO/
1037 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON ABOVE THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.

$$

NJC027-010037-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-100402T0700Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1416Z.100402T0100Z.NO/
1037 AM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 10:16 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE TOMORROW EVENING.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON ABOVE T  5.0    5.38  WED 10 AM     CRESTED 
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    6.35  WED 10 AM     CRESTING 

&&

247 
WGUS81 KPHI 311951
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
351 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON ABOVE THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY 
  ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-010400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-100401T0400Z/
/BNTN4.1.ER.100330T2330Z.100331T0845Z.100331T2200Z.NO/
351 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON ABOVE THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 3:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.

$$

NJC027-010551-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-100402T0600Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1416Z.100402T0000Z.NO/
351 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 3:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON ABOVE T  5.0    5.14  WED 3 PM     CRESTED 
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    6.27  WED 3 PM     CRESTED 

&&

206 
WGUS81 KPHI 312247
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
647 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
JERSEY...
   ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON ABOVE THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY..
  ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-312347-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-100401T0400Z/
/BNTN4.1.ER.100330T2330Z.100331T0845Z.100331T2200Z.NO/
647 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON ABOVE THE RESERVOIR.
* AT  6:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.98 FEET AND FALLING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6:00 PM WEDNESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 4.4 FEET BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.


$$

NJC027-010947-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-100402T0600Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1416Z.100402T0000Z.NO/
647 PM EDT WED MAR 31 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING.


$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON ABOVE T  5.0    4.98  WED 615 PM   CRESTED, BELOW FLOOD STAGE. 
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    6.17  WED 6 PM     CRESTED AT 6.35 FEET AND FALLING  

&&

163 
WGUS81 KPHI 010807
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON 
BELOW THE RESERVOIR...

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WANAQUE RIVER... 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

&&

NJC027-011807-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-100402T0700Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1416Z.100402T0100Z.NO/
407 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 3:15 AM THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IT SHOULD 
  RETURN BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.

$$

NJC031-011807-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100402T0000Z/
/WNQN4.2.ER.100329T2345Z.100331T0845Z.100401T1800Z.NO/
407 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM.
* AT 3:00 AM THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IT SHOULD 
  RETURN BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    5.76  THU 3 AM     CRESTED 

WANAQUE RIVER
  WANAQUE DAM      5.0    5.45  THU 3 AM     CRESTED 

&&

IOVINO

708 
WGUS81 KPHI 011401
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
1001 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY 
  WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM AFFECTING PASSAIC COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-020001-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-100402T1200Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1416Z.100402T0600Z.NO/
1001 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.

$$

NJC031-020000-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100402T0000Z/
/WNQN4.2.ER.100329T2345Z.100331T0845Z.100401T1800Z.NO/
1001 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM.
* AT 9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS
  AFTERNOON.


$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST/STAGE

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    5.56  THU 9 AM     5.4  THU 2 PM 
WANAQUE RIVER
  WANAQUE DAM      5.0    5.26  THU 9 AM     5.0  THU 2 PM 

&&

907 
WGUS81 KPHI 011959
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
359 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW JERSEY...
 
  ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY 
  WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM AFFECTING PASSAIC COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC027-020559-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-100403T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1416Z.100402T1800Z.NO/
359 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 3:16 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

$$

NJC031-020217-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100402T0217Z/
/WNQN4.2.ER.100329T2345Z.100331T0845Z.100401T2017Z.NO/
359 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM.
* AT 3:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.


$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    5.35  THU 3 PM     CRESTED AND FALLING 
WANAQUE RIVER
  WANAQUE DAM      5.0    5.07  THU 3 PM     CRESTED AND FALLING 

&&

246 
WGUS81 KPHI 012305
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY
705 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM 
AFFECTING PASSAIC COUNTY...

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW 
THE RESERVOIR AFFECTING MORRIS COUNTY...
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK.

&&

NJC031-012335-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100402T0217Z/
/WNQN4.2.ER.100329T2345Z.100331T0845Z.100401T2200Z.NO/
705 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WANAQUE RIVER AT WANAQUE DAM.
* AT  6:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.96 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6:00 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 4.4 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.

$$

NJC027-020905-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-100403T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1416Z.100402T1800Z.NO/
705 PM EDT THU APR 1 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT  6:16 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    5.27  THU 6 PM     CRESTED AND FALLING 

WANAQUE RIVER
  WANAQUE DAM      5.0    4.96  THU 7 PM     CRESTED AND FALLING 

&&

947 
WGUS81 KPHI 020814
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
414 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON 
BELOW THE RESERVOIR...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

&&

NJC027-021814-
/O.CON.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-100403T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1416Z.100402T1800Z.NO/
414 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 3:31 AM THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IT SHOULD
  RETURN BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    5.05  FRI 4 AM      CRESTED 

&&

IOVINO

234 
WGUS81 KPHI 021046
FLSPHI
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
646 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE ROCKAWAY RIVER...

&&

NJC027-021116-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-100403T0000Z/
/BONN4.1.ER.100329T2215Z.100331T1416Z.100402T1016Z.NO/
646 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ROCKAWAY RIVER AT BOONTON BELOW THE RESERVOIR.
* AT 6:31 AM THE STAGE WAS 4.99 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6:16 AM.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

                   FLD      OBSERVED          FORECAST
 LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME       CREST

ROCKAWAY RIVER
  BOONTON BELOW T  5.0    4.99  FRI 7 AM      CRESTED

&&

IOVINO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 29, 11:59 AM EDT, 3 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 11:59 AM EDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1159 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE NEARING OUR AREA FROM THE WEST EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
STALL OVER OUR AREA TODAY. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
AND STALL OVER OUR REGION OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS LOW WILL MOVE
GRADUALLY EASTWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM OUR AREA
LATER TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW AND
BUILD ALONG THE EAST COAST FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AND WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE EVENT HAS GOTTEN WELL UNDERWAY...AND SOME FLOODING HAS ALREADY
OCCURRED IN URBAN AREAS AND SOME OF THE PHILADELPHIA AND WILMINGTON
METROPOLITAN AREA SMALL STREAMS. MORE RAIN IS ON THE WAY...MAINLY
FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF OUR AREA...AS A CONVERGENCE AXIS WAS IN
THE PROCESS OF SETTING UP OVER OUR EASTERN ZONES. THE 00Z GUIDANCE
WAS SIMILAR IN THEME TO PREVIOUS RUNS...BUT THE GFS WAS STILL
STRONGER WITH THE LOW MOVING UP ALONG THE COAST LATER TODAY. WITH
ALL THAT/S BEEN GOING ON...ONLY A QUICK LOOK AT THE 00Z ECMWF WAS
TAKEN...AND THE FORCING APPEARS TO BE A BIT STRONGER THAN PREVIOUS
EUROPEAN SOLUTIONS...BUT STILL NOT QUITE AS STRONG AS THE GFS. SO,
HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES WILL STILL BE FORECAST TODAY FOR THE EASTERN
HALF OR TWO THIRDS OF OUR AREA. THE NARROW EMBEDDED RAIN BAND
THAT WAS MOVING THROUGH DELAWARE EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE
OFFSHORE...BUT THERE STILL SEEMS LIKE THERE COULD BE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY TO FORM SOME CONVECTION DURING TODAY OVER OUR SOUTHERN
ZONES...SO THE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MENTION WAS LEFT INTACT. THE
STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET WAS MOVING EAST AND WEAKENING EARLY
THIS MORNING...SO ONE FORCING MECHANISM SHOULD BE LOSING EFFECT
DURING THE MORNING. AS ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
OVERNIGHT...AN ADDITIONAL HALF TO ONE INCH IS FORECAST FOR
TODAY...AND LOCALLY 2 INCHES.

MOS TEMPERATURES WERE USED AS IS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS THE LOW MOVES UP THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON, WE EXPECT RENEWED
RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES ESPECIALLY EAST. ONE AND A HALF TO TWO AND A
HALF INCHES LOCALLY 3 INCHES...INCLUDING WHAT FELL OVERNIGHT...
IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. ADDITIONAL GENERAL RAIN
AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES...LOCALLY TWO
INCHES...ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS FOR THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF OUR AREA.

ANOTHER ISSUE WAS THE CAPES THAT THE MODELS SHOWED FOR EASTERN NEW
JERSEY TONIGHT. SINCE THIS WAS JUST NORTH OF THE LOW IN THE
HEAVIER PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED THUNDER WAS ADDED HERE THIS
EVENING. ALSO...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE LOW
OVER NEW JERSEY THIS EVENING AND INTO LATER TONIGHT...WITH THE GFS
SHOWING PERHAPS THE STRONGEST WINDS OF NEAR 35 MPH. THIS IS UNDER
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT THOUGHT WAS GIVEN TO ISSUANCE OF AN
ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL NEW JERSEY ANYWAY SINCE THE GROUND WILL
BE SATURATED AND SOME TREES OR LIMBS MAY BE DOWNED. STABILITY
EFFECTS WILL NO DOUBT COME INTO PLAY AND KEEP THE STRONGER WINDS
FROM THE SURFACE...BUT LATER SHIFTS MAY WANT TO THINK ABOUT THE
NEED FOR A WIND ADVISORY THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT FOR OUR
NORTHEASTERN ZONES REGARDLESS.

THE LOW SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER OUR AREA MUCH OF
TUESDAY...BUT WILL START TO MAKE SOME PROGRESS AWAY FROM OUR
REGION TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH MORE PROGRESS WEDNESDAY. IT LOOKS TO
TAKE UNTIL LATER WEDNESDAY UNTIL WE ARE CLEAR OF CLOUDS, DRIZZLE
OR ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN.

CONTINUITY WAS THE RULE ON TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AFTER BEING BOMBARDED WITH COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF RAIN THIS MONTH IT
WILL BE NICE TO SEE AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR MASS MOVE INTO THE
REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATE WEDNESDAY AND KEEP US IN A
DRY PATTERN FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 4 DAYS. SUNNY WITH FEW CLOUDS AND
LIGHT WINDS MAKE FOR A GREAT SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. AT THIS POINT
WE DON'T THINK THERE WILL BE TOO MANY COMPLAINTS WITH REGARDS TO
TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS REACHING WELL INTO THE 70S ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. AS THE WEEKEND MAKES ITS APPEARANCE, WE COULD SEE
TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE LOWER 80S, ALTHOUGH THIS SEEMS MORE
LIKELY TO OCCUR ON EASTER SUNDAY THAN ON SATURDAY. 850MB
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE IN THE 10-15C RANGE /THE ECMWF EVEN HAD
17C FOR SUNDAY/ AND WITH THIS CONTINUITY CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO
RISE. THIS TIME OF YEAR, HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS START TO REACH
INTO THE 80S AND QUICK LOOK AT THE BIG 4 CLIMATE SITES SHOWS THAT
APRIL 4 /EASTER SUNDAY/ STILL HAS COOLER RECORDS AT THIS POINT.
RIGHT NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE SUNDAY IS THE MOST LIKELY DAY FOR NEAR
RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES.

ALL IN ALL, A GREAT HOLIDAY WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE ON TAP FOR OUR
ENTIRE REGION.

THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH OUR AREA UNTIL
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

LOW CLOUDS AND RAIN CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE WEST AND LOW PRESSURE
ORGANIZING TO OUR SOUTH. THE WINDS ARE RATHER LIGHT, HOWEVER IT
APPEARS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS JUST WEST OF KTTN TO KILG. THIS
BOUNDARY MAY END UP STAYING PUT OR WEAKEN FURTHER AS LOW PRESSURE
TO OUR SOUTH BECOMES THE MAIN ENTITY. THIS NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
REDUCED CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR THROUGH
TUESDAY. LESS IN THE WAY OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR AWHILE FOR KABE
AND KRDG AS THE MAIN FOCUS IS CLOSER TO THE COAST. HERE THOUGH,
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO WRAP BACK IN ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AS THE STORM
SYSTEM MOVES INTO OUR AREA. WE WILL LIKELY SEE SOME OF THE
CEILINGS BOUNCE AROUND SOME, HOWEVER AT LEAST MVFR CEILINGS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. A LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND WILL
GENERALLY SWING AROUND TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS THE SURFACE LOW STRENGTHENS TO OUR SOUTH. THESE
WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE AND TURN RATHER GUSTY FOR AWHILE
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH. THE WIND
FORECAST CARRIES LOWER CONFIDENCE AS IT WILL DEPEND ON THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.

OUTLOOK...
LOW CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES DUE TO RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TUESDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
WINDS MAY BE GUSTY TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY FOR A PORTION OF THE
AREA AS THE LOW SLOWLY MOVES AWAY. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL
FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS WEAKENED ACROSS THE AREA AS THE INCOMING
LOW FROM THE WEST HAS WEAKENED AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS
LESSENED. WE NOW AWAIT FOR THE SECOND SURFACE LOW TO STRENGTHEN TO
OUR SOUTH AND THEN MOVE NORTHWARD INTO OUR AREA TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN UP.
THEREFORE, WE LOWERED THE WINDS SOME TOWARD MARGINAL ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH A RAMPING UP OF THEM TONIGHT.
WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM, GUSTY WINDS
ARE THEN EXPECTED THE NEXT DAY OR SO ACROSS THE WATERS. ALSO,
SEAS WILL REMAIN QUITE ROUGH ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE OCEAN ZONES.
THEREFORE, A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR ALL AREAS THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE A PERIOD WHEN THE WINDS MAY BE
BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA, ESPECIALLY AS THE CENTER OF
THE LOW MOVES CLOSER AND PASSES OVERHEAD, BUT WE DO EXPECT GUSTS
TO AROUND 30 KNOTS THROUGH TUESDAY. WE WILL HAVE TO MONITOR IF
GALES CAN BE REACHED, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
OUR WATERS TONIGHT GIVEN THE LONGER DURATION OF ONSHORE FLOW AND
TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT. FOR NOW, WE CAPPED GUSTS JUST BELOW
GALE FORCE.

AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY, WINDS MAY STILL BE GUSTY, SO THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN LATER FORECASTS. HOWEVER, AS
WE GO THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS
THE WATERS, KEEPING CONDITIONS BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH WAS CONTINUED AS IS...AS HEAVY RAIN HAS AFFECTED
THE METRO AREAS OVERNIGHT...AND THESE SPOTS WILL BE ON THE EDGE
FOR MORE RAIN LATER TODAY. EASTERN AREAS WILL LOOK TO GET MUCH
MORE RAIN DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. AT THIS TIME, RAIN
AMOUNTS MAY NOT GET QUITE TO EARLIER FORECAST AMOUNTS...SO WE'LL
RATCHET DOWN JUST A TAD AND GO WITH TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
LOCALLY 5 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS MAINLY NORTHEAST.

THE FORECAST RAINFALL WOULD CAUSE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OF
THE SMALLER STREAMS AND RIVERS...WITH A CHANCE OF MAJOR FLOODING
IF RAIN FALLS OVER JUST THE RIGHT SPOTS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY.

REGARDING THE LARGER RIVERS, THE HEADWATER AREAS OF THE DELAWARE,
SUSQUEHANNA AND SCHUYLKILL RIVERS LOOK TO BE SPARED HEAVY
RAINFALL, AND THOSE RIVERS WILL LIKELY BE LESS OF A CONCERN WITHIN
THE FLOOD WATCH AREA. THE RARITAN, MILLSTONE, AND THE PASSAIC
RIVERS ARE ANOTHER STORY. FLOODING THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE MINOR
TO MODERATE...WITH A CHANCE OF MAJOR FLOODING AT A SPOT OR TWO.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
TIDES CONTINUE TO RUN AROUND 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE THE ASTRONOMICAL
FORECAST. EVEN THOUGH THE SSE GUIDANCE IS SHOWING NEGATIVE VALUES
LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT, THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT. THE FULL MOON TONIGHT WITH AN ONSHORE
FLOW STRENGTHENING AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD
THE AREA LATER TODAY INTO TUESDAY, SHOULD RESULT IN MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING. ALSO, WITH THE AMOUNT OF RAIN WE EXPECT THROUGH TUESDAY,
THE FRESHWATER RUNOFF MAY ENHANCE ANY TIDAL FLOODING.

THE PHILADELPHIA GAGE EARLY THIS MORNING REACHED MODERATE, AND
THIS APPEARED TO BE ENHANCED FROM A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW UP THE BAY
AND LOWER DELAWARE RIVER. THIS PROLONGED FLOW IS NO LONGER EXPECTED,
THEREFORE THE TIDE LEVELS SHOULD COME DOWN SOME, HOWEVER THE
FRESHWATER RUNOFF MAY COUNTERACT THAT SOME.

THE TIDES IN CHESAPEAKE BAY HAVE BEEN RUNNING RATHER HIGH, HOWEVER
NOW THAT THE STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS ENDED, WE WILL MAINTAIN
THE ADVISORY FOR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING. ALL OF THIS HOWEVER WILL BE
MONITORED.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR PAZ067>071.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR PAZ070-
     071.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR NJZ008>010-012>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR
     NJZ012>014-016>027.
DE...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR DEZ001.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR
     DEZ001>004.
MD...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR MDZ008-
     012-015-019-020.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ430-431-
     450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS.../
NEAR TERM.../
SHORT TERM...DELISI/
LONG TERM...MEOLA
AVIATION...GORSE/ROBERTSON
MARINE...GORSE/ROBERTSON
HYDROLOGY.../DELISI
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...ROBERTSON/GORSE

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 29, 3:36 AM EDT, 11 hours 47 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
336 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

NJZ008>010-015-PAZ067>069-300745-
MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
336 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

DEZ001-NJZ012>014-016>027-PAZ070-071-300745-
NEW CASTLE-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
336 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-300745-
SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
336 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT TIMES TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ALSO, HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT TIMES INTO TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEEDED.

DEZ002>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-300745-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-
336 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ALSO, HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT TIMES INTO TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-450>455-300745-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
336 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 29, 12:56 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Camden, Gloucester	4 hr
Mar 29, 4:59 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Burlington, Camden, Gloucester	6 hr
Mar 29, 7:24 AM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	PHI	Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Ocean	31 hr
Mar 29, 9:25 AM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	PHI	Monmouth	53 hr
Mar 29, 3:04 PM EDT	Coastal Flood Warning	PHI	Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Middlesex, Monmouth and 1 more	20 hr
Mar 29, 3:21 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	PHI	Passaic	3 days
Mar 29, 3:30 PM EDT	Gale Warning	PHI		36 hr
Mar 29, 6:32 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	PHI	Burlington	5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2010 Every river flood warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.