Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Milwaukee, WI

938 
WGUS73 KMKX 150645
FFSMKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
145 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

WIC079-133-150930-
/O.CON.KMKX.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-100715T0930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WAUKESHA WI-MILWAUKEE WI-
145 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM CDT FOR
MILWAUKEE AND WAUKESHA COUNTIES...

AT 142 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED
AREA.

TRAINED SPOTTERS HAVE REPORTED 3.37 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE CITY OF 
MILWAUKEE...AND 3.75 INCHES IN WAUKESHA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO GLENDALE...
UW-MILWAUKEE CAMPUS...MILWAUKEE TIMMERMAN AIRPORT...WHITEFISH BAY...
SUSSEX...RIVER HILLS...PEWAUKEE...OKAUCHEE LAKE...MERTON...MENOMONEE
FALLS...LANNON...HARTLAND...FOX POINT...DELAFIELD...BUTLER...BROWN
DEER AND BAYSIDE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 8783 4291 8840 4318 8851 4319 8787
      4316 8787 4313 8789 4309 8785 4307 8785
      4302 8788 4296 8783

$$

ZABEL

122 
WGUS73 KMKX 150810
FFSMKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
310 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

WIC079-133-150930-
/O.CON.KMKX.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-100715T0930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WAUKESHA WI-MILWAUKEE WI-
310 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM CDT FOR
MILWAUKEE AND WAUKESHA COUNTIES...

AT 305 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT A SERIES OF SHOWERS AND 
STORMS WERE AFFECTING THE WARNED AREA. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE 
THROUGH 430 PM. 

RAINFALL ESTIMATES AND SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE THAT 2.5 TO 3.5 
INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN A BAND FROM DOUSMAN TO WAUKESHA TO DOWNTOWN 
MILWAUKEE WEDNESDAY EVENING AND THE OVERNIGHT HOURS THROUGH 3 AM.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1/2 TO 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 3 
AM AND 430 AM.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO GLENDALE...
UW-MILWAUKEE CAMPUS...MILWAUKEE TIMMERMAN AIRPORT...WHITEFISH BAY...
SUSSEX...RIVER HILLS...PEWAUKEE...OKAUCHEE LAKE...MERTON...MENOMONEE
FALLS...LANNON...HARTLAND...FOX POINT...DELAFIELD...BUTLER...BROWN
DEER AND BAYSIDE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 8783 4291 8840 4318 8851 4319 8787
      4316 8787 4313 8789 4309 8785 4307 8785
      4302 8788 4296 8783

$$

KAPELA

488 
WGUS73 KMKX 150853
FFSMKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
353 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

WIC079-133-150930-
/O.CON.KMKX.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-100715T0930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WAUKESHA WI-MILWAUKEE WI-
353 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM CDT FOR
MILWAUKEE AND WAUKESHA COUNTIES...

AT 350 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
WEAKENING BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER DANE AND COLUMBIA 
COUNTIES...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN 
PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN 3/4 AND 1 INCH PER HOUR. 

WHILE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ENDED OVER WAUKESHA AND MILWAUKEE 
COUNTIES...IF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAINTAIN THEIR CURRENT STRENGTH AND 
HOURLY RAINFALL RATES...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING MAY HAVE TO BE 
EXTENDED.  

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO GLENDALE...
UW-MILWAUKEE CAMPUS...MILWAUKEE TIMMERMAN AIRPORT...WHITEFISH BAY...
SUSSEX...RIVER HILLS...PEWAUKEE...OKAUCHEE LAKE...MERTON...MENOMONEE
FALLS...LANNON...HARTLAND...FOX POINT...DELAFIELD...BUTLER...BROWN
DEER AND BAYSIDE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 8783 4291 8840 4318 8851 4319 8787
      4316 8787 4313 8789 4309 8785 4307 8785
      4302 8788 4296 8783

$$

REM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
349 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010

.SHORT TERM...MDT RISK CONTINUES FOR TNT WITH SVR TSTORMS AND
HEAVY RAINFALL MAINLY THIS EVENING. NEW SVR SQUALL LINE FORMING
JUST EAST OF MINNEAPOLIS. THIS IS A REGION 4000 J/KG OF MLCAPE
WITH LITTLE CIN AND STRONG WIND SHEAR ESPECIALLY IN THE LOW
LEVELS. MAIN UPPER DYNAMICS WILL MOVE FROM MN INTO CANADA TNT WITH
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS SRN WI ON THU.

DESPITE DYNAMICS AND BEST WARM ADVECTION LIFTING NWD...SEVERAL
MESO MODELS BUILD SQUALL LINE TO THE SW AND MOVE IT SEWD THROUGH
SRN WI THIS EVENING. SINCE MODE OF CONVECTION WILL BE A
LINE...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MOST WIDESPREAD THREAT...HOWEVER
STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IN THE WRN CWA MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
MESO VORTICES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LINE AND
PRODUCE TORNADOES. SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE TO THE RIGHT OF THE MEAN
WIND...FOLLOWING CORFIDI VECTORS AND BETTER CAPE. GIVEN THIS AND
WITH ONLY MODEST WINDS IN THE MID LEVELS...THE OVERALL SPEED COULD
BE LOWER THAN YOUR TYPICAL SQUALL LINE. HAVE THUS MENTIONED HEAVY
RAIN WITH A FLASH FLOOD THREAT. WILL HOLD OFF ON A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH GIVEN RECENT DRY WEATHER...ABUNDANT VEGETATION...AND FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE AROUND 3 INCHES.

A CHANCE OF TSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON THU WITH BEST CHANCES IN SE
WI WHERE FROPA WILL NOT OCCUR UNTIL MID AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SETTLE FROM NE TO OHIO FOR THU NT THROUGH FRI NT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER WI ON SAT. A DRIER BUT CONTINUED VERY WARM
AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL FRI AND SAT.

.LONG TERM...WARM SUMMER TEMPS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EXTENDED. A
WARM FRONT WILL RETURN TO THE REGION SAT NT WITH FROPA ON SUN.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE TO PREVAIL MON INTO TUE WHILE ANOTHER WARM
FRONT RETURNS FOR TUE NT AND WED.

&&

.AVIATION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO EARLY
MORNING THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. MAIN CONCERNS ARE
TIMING OF THE STORMS. CURRENT MESOSCALE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING
THAT STORMS WILL ORGANIZE INTO A LINE...MOVING NW TO SE THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA FROM ABOUT 00Z TO 05Z. AS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
IS TRICKY TO FORECAST...THE TIMING OF THESE STORMS ARE NOT SET IN
STONE. TAFS WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE AMENDED FOR TIMING AS THE
STORMS DEVELOP TO THE WEST.

IF A SQUALL LINE DOES DEVELOP...COULD SEE SEVERE WINDS WITHIN
STORMS AS WELL AS HAIL. EXPECT CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS OUTSIDE
OF PRECIP. WITHIN SHOWERS AND STORMS...MVFR SEEMS LIKELY...WITH
IFR AND LIFR POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST STORMS. CHANCE FOR STORMS
WILL CONTINUE LATER IN THE NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS IN THE AREA. QUIETER CONDITIONS SHOULD
RETURN DURING THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR WIZ062-067>069.

LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...20
AVIATION/MARINE...07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
110 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-152115-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
110 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE SEVERE STORMS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM.

IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE A FLASH FLOODING THREAT AS A SERIES OF
STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AND
INTO THE AFTERNOON...THE BEST CHANCE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AS A
WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS
RETURNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE WEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

LMZ643>646-152115-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
110 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT...WITH A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE SEVERE STORMS. A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES THURSDAY MORNING AND INTO THE
AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THERE IS A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN SUNDAY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT.

KAPELA

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1203 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE BEAVER DAM         43.47N 88.82W
07/14/2010  E60 MPH          DODGE              WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SEARS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1205 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NE BEAVER DAM         43.47N 88.82W
07/14/2010  E60.00 MPH       DODGE              WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

FRANKS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1238 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

WIZ046-047-056-057-150630-
COLUMBIA-GREEN LAKE-MARQUETTE-SAUK-
1238 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO PORTAGE...

AT 1236 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PORTAGE...MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH.

WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PORTAGE AND I90/94 WI RIVER BRIDGE BY 1245 AM CDT...
  PARDEEVILLE AND RIO BY 100 AM CDT...
  CAMBRIA BY 110 AM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

FRANKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1248 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 AM     FLOOD            BARABOO                 43.47N 89.74W
07/15/2010                   SAUK               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTS OF WATER COVERING LOW SPOTS ON ROADS IN RIVER
            VALLEYS ACROSS NORTHERN PART OF COUNTY. NOTHING
            SERIOUS...NORMAL FOR THAT AREA WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY
            RAINS.

&&

RKAPELA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1256 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1248 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BARABOO                 43.47N 89.74W
07/15/2010  E2.50 INCH       SAUK               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET FLOODING ALONG HWY 33...RAINFALL ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR

&&

SEARS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1258 AM CDT THU JUL 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PORTAGE                 43.55N 89.47W
07/15/2010                   COLUMBIA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN 6 MILES ENE OF PORTAGE...4 MILES WEST OF
            PORTAGE...5 MILES WEST OF PORTAGE

&&

SEARS