Severe Thunderstorm Warning 82, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1220 PM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

.DISCUSSION...
1215 PM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

AT 1815Z DRYLINE JUST PUSHING THROUGH KLIC AND KLHX WITH STORMS
GOING UP ALONG THE CO/KS BORDER. STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FIRE
GENERALLY EAST OF WHERE THEY DID YESTERDAY AS DRYLINE CONTINUES TO
MOVE INTO THE AREA. AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT MOST OF THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BE ACROSS THE FAR EAST/SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE
AREA OR JUST OUT OF THE AREA.

WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS SHOWS UPPER RIDGING
ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE WEST. THIS PATTERN WONT CHANGE MUCH TIL PERHAPS SATURDAY WHEN
THE WEST COAST TROUGH LIFTS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...FLATTENING
THE RIDGE A BIT.

AS HAS BEEN MENTIONED THE PAST FEW DAYS...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST TOMORROW AND TOMORROW
NIGHT CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. A BRIEF LULL TIL THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS THE WEST
CLOSER TO INSTABILITY...MOISTURE AND UPPER TROUGH.

99
&&

.AVIATION...
1122 AM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

FOR THE 18Z TAF...PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERN THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD
WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE CONVECTION WHICH COULD IMPACT BOTH
TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEVERAL ATTEMPTS AT
CONVECTION JUST SOUTH OF KGLD HAVE RAPIDLY DIMINISHED DUE TO
STRONG SHEAR OVERPOWERING THE STORM. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30
TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS
EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BOTH TERMINALS TONIGHT
WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST. WINDS BECOME EASTERLY AFTER
15Z TOMORROW.

FOLTZ

99
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
     KSZ001-013.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
     KSZ002>004-014>016-027>029-041-042.

NE...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
     NEZ079-080.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR NEZ081.

CO...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ090>092.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1045 AM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-251230-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1045 AM MDT MON MAY 24 2010 /1145 AM CDT MON MAY 24 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST
COLORADO AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS BY LATE THIS MORNING. AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES...THESE STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE TRI-STATE
REGION. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS
BUT TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

MORE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. OF COURSE
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING OCCURS WITH EVERY THUNDERSTORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1151 AM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1148 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST FLAGLER                 39.29N 103.07W
05/24/2010  M59 MPH          KIT CARSON         CO   MESONET

&&

DTHEDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1152 AM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 AM     HAIL             6 SE ARAPAHOE           38.79N 102.09W
05/24/2010  E1.25 INCH       CHEYENNE           CO   PUBLIC

&&

MENTZER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1158 AM MDT MON MAY 24 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1152 AM     HAIL             2 WSW WESKAN            38.85N 101.99W
05/24/2010  E2.00 INCH       WALLACE            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HAIL BROKE A TRACTOR WINDSHIELD

&&

MENTZER

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