River Flood Warning 4, NWS Cleveland, OH

978 
WGUS81 KCLE 110735
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
235 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC093-111535-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100311T2100Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.100311T0908Z.100311T1200Z.100311T1500Z.NO/
235 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 1 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 9.6 FEET THIS MORNING.
* AT 9.5 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF ELYRIA IN CARLISLE TOWNSHIP.

$$

OHC085-111534-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.100311T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
235 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 8.5 FEET 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER REACHES VROOMAN ROAD.  LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  IN THE METROPARKS ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

OHC101-111534-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100312T0138Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.100311T0743Z.100311T1200Z.100311T1938Z.NO/
235 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.3 FEET THIS MORNING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS IN AND AROUND THE 
  VILLAGE OF LARUE. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME FLOODING OF SECONDARY 
  ROADS.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

$$

973 
WGUS81 KCLE 111109
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
609 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE
  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC093-111909-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100311T2351Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.100311T0737Z.100311T1200Z.100311T1751Z.NO/
609 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* AT 9.5 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF ELYRIA IN CARLISLE TOWNSHIP.

$$

OHC085-111909-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100313T0326Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.100311T1800Z.100312T2126Z.NO/
609 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.0 FEET 
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER REACHES VROOMAN ROAD.  LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  IN THE METROPARKS ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

OHC101-111909-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100312T0138Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.100311T0800Z.100311T1200Z.100311T1938Z.NO/
609 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 6 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.3 FEET
  THIS MORNING. 
* AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS IN AND AROUND THE 
  VILLAGE OF LARUE. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME FLOODING OF SECONDARY 
  ROADS.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

$$

107 
WGUS81 KCLE 111904
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
204 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE
  KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC093-120304-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100312T0728Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.100311T0737Z.100311T1800Z.100312T0128Z.NO/
204 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 1 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL BEGIN A SLOW FALL LATE THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* AT 9.5 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF ELYRIA IN CARLISLE TOWNSHIP.

$$

OHC101-120304-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100313T0200Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.100311T0800Z.100311T1800Z.100312T2000Z.NO/
204 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 1 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL BEGIN A SLOW FALL OVERNIGHT AND IS 
  EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS IN AND AROUND THE 
  VILLAGE OF LARUE. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME FLOODING OF SECONDARY 
  ROADS.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

$$

OHC075-169-120304-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-100312T2000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.100311T1923Z.100312T0000Z.100312T1400Z.NO/
204 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 15.1 FEET THIS EVENING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOWLYING AREAS WEST OF WATER 
  STREET IN THE VILLAGE OF KILLBUCK.

$$

017 
WGUS81 KCLE 120305
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1005 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE
  KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK
  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC093-121105-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100313T0000Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.100311T0737Z.100312T0600Z.100312T1800Z.NO/
1005 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.3 FEET
  LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE RIVER IN
  ELYRIA.  FORD ROAD MAY BE CLOSED FOR HIGH WATER.

$$

OHC085-121104-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNVO1.1.SM.100311T2015Z.100312T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 9.7 FEET 
  LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER REACHES VROOMAN ROAD.  LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  IN THE METROPARKS ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

OHC101-121104-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100313T0000Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.100311T0800Z.100311T1800Z.100312T1800Z.NO/
1005 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 11.3 FEET LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

$$

OHC075-169-121104-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-100313T0100Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.100312T0600Z.100312T1900Z.NO/
1005 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 15.2 FEET LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOWLYING AREAS WEST OF WATER 
  STREET IN THE VILLAGE OF KILLBUCK.

$$

321 
WGUS81 KCLE 120951
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
451 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK
  BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC093-121751-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100313T0000Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.100311T0737Z.100312T0500Z.100312T1800Z.NO/
451 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 1 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE RIVER IN
  ELYRIA.  FORD ROAD MAY BE CLOSED FOR HIGH WATER.
* AT 9.5 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF ELYRIA IN CARLISLE TOWNSHIP.

$$

OHC085-121751-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNVO1.1.SM.100311T2015Z.100312T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
451 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER LEVEL WILL SLOWLY FALL TODAY.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER REACHES VROOMAN ROAD.  LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  IN THE METROPARKS ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

OHC101-121021-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100313T0000Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.100311T0800Z.100311T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
451 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE.
* AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL TODAY. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL        RAINFALL TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MAY CAUSE THE RIVER TO GO BACK INTO FLOOD.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

$$

OHC075-169-121751-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.100312T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
451 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 15.6 FEET 
  THIS MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOWLYING AREAS WEST OF WATER 
  STREET IN THE VILLAGE OF KILLBUCK.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1148 PM EST WED MAR 10 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND IT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN
OHIO. IT APPEARS THAT IT WILL HANG UP OVER LAKE ERIE INTO NW PA.
ANY LIGHT SHOWERS THAT OCCUR WILL BE ALONG AND NORTHER OF THIS
BOUNDARY. EXPECT ANOTHER WARM NIGHT TONIGHT WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
40S SOUTH OF A KYNG TO KCLE LINE. THIS WILL KEEP LOWS AT MOST
LOCATIONS IN THE 40S...MAYBE EVEN PUSHING 50 ACROSS THE
SOUTHWESTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA.

IF WINDS REMAIN LIGHT ENOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME FOG
ISSUES...ESPECIALLY WHERE A DECENT SNOWPACK REMAINS ACROSS NW PA.
DID NOT MENTION IN THE ZONES AT THIS TIME BUT LATER SHIFTS WILL
NEED TO WATCH FOR A DENSE FOG POTENTIAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
THERE WILL BE SEVERAL PERIODS OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
AS PIECES OF ENERGY ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL THROUGH
FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO. THIS REGION IS THE MAIN
CONCERN FOR FLOODING INTO FRIDAY WITH A COUPLE RIVERS ALREADY
APPROACHING FLOOD STAGE.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOK BEST FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS
COULD LEAD TO SOME HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES THAT COULD ADD TO THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL. IN ANY EVENT THE CONTINUED MELT OF THE
SNOWPACK ACROSS THE HILLS INTO NW PA WILL BE AN ISSUE. STILL LOOKS
LIKE THE MAIN FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. WILL LIKELY HAVE A FLOOD WATCH ISSUED BY THURSDAY
MORNING WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEE A HALF INCH TO INCH OF RAINFALL
FROM THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS STILL LOOK
POSSIBLE.

TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL ABOVE AVERAGE INTO THE WEEKEND AS THIS
WARM AIRMASS PERSISTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LONG TERM TREND OF THE MODELS IS THE SAME.   BY SUNDAY MORNING THE
SURFACE LOW WILL BE EAST OF THE AREA.  THE GFS HAS THE LOW LOCATED
IN CENTRAL PA...WHILE THE ECMWF IS A LITTLE FASTER AND FURTHER
SOUTH.  SOME SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE FROM THE WEST AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC EARLY MONDAY.  RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY
RECEDE. LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TUESDAY WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES.
REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

WENT A LITTLE COOLER THAN THE MEX MOS WITH A NORTHEASTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
LIGHT WINDS...LACK OF CLOUDS AND RELATIVELY WARM AND MOIST AIR OVER
COLD GROUND/REMAINING SNOW COVER WILL ALLOW FOR FOG TO CONTINUE TO
FORM MOST TAF SITES REST OF TONIGHT. CLE AND ERI WILL GET SOME HELP
FROM LIGHT DOWNSLOPE FLOW BUT STILL LIKELY TO SEE MVFR FOG AT THESE
SITES ALSO. NOT SURE IF FOG WILL RESULT IN ACTUAL CIGS OR NOT AS FOG
MAY BE SHALLOW ENOUGH BUT WILL CARRY SCT OR BKN LOW CLOUDS WHEN FOG
IS EXPECTED TO BE AT ITS WORST TOWARD DAYBREAK.

FOG AND POSSIBLE STRATUS SHOULD LIFT INTO SCT TO BKN CU BY LATE THU
MORNING AS AREA REMAINS IN WARM SECTOR. NEXT ISSUE IS WHEN SHRA WILL
ARRIVE THU EVE. LATEST MODELS REMAIN ON TRACK FOR SHRA TO REACH FDY
AND TOL NEAR 00Z. STALLED UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM OVER PLAINS WILL
CONTINUE TO PULL THE SHRA MORE NORTH THAN EAST SO MAY NOT SEE SHRA
GET MUCH FURTHER EAST THAN FDY AND TOL THROUGH 06Z THU NIGHT. MORE
FOG AND STRATUS LIKELY TO DEVELOP THU NIGHT.

.OUTLOOK...WIDESPREAD NON-VFR LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.
EXPECT PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
WARM FRONT NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE IT NORTH OF THE LAKE SO FROM
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED...TRENDING
MORE NORTHEASTERLY FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY AS THE LOW ELONGATES WITH A
LOW CENTER DEVELOPING ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC. AS THE ENERGY IS
TRANSFERRED TO THIS NEW LOW... FLOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PICK UP
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY FROM THE NORTHEAST AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT AND A NEUTRAL/SLIGHT COLD ADVECTION WITH ONLY
WEAK LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE...WILL PROBABLY KEEP WINDS UNDER GALES.
WILL STAY WITH A FORECAST TO 30 KNOTS. AT ANY RATE THIS WILL BE
ENOUGH TO HAVE MOVEMENT OF THE BROKEN ICE FLOES. WINDS BECOME MORE
NORTHERLY BY MONDAY AS THIS SYSTEM FINALLY PULLS AWAY AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT LAKES.

AS THE DEW POINTS START RISING THE NEXT FEW DAYS DENSE FOG MAY BEGIN
DEVELOPING ON THE LAKE. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MULLEN
NEAR TERM...MULLEN
SHORT TERM...MULLEN
LONG TERM...DJB
AVIATION...ADAMS
MARINE...OUDEMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
746 PM EST WED MAR 10 2010

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-120100-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
746 PM EST WED MAR 10 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MELTING SNOW...A SATURATED GROUND AND THE THREAT OF RAIN WILL
INCREASE THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF AN INCH TO AN
INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. FLOODING ALONG
SEVERAL OF THE RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY FOR
LOCATIONS THAT STILL HAVE A SUBSTANTIAL SNOWPACK ACROSS
NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-120100-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
746 PM EST WED MAR 10 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WARM MOIST AIR FLOWING OVER LAKE ERIE COULD LEAD TO DENSE FOG
AT TIMES INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.