River Flood Warning 2, NWS Cleveland, OH

978 
WGUS81 KCLE 110735
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
235 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC093-111535-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100311T2100Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.100311T0908Z.100311T1200Z.100311T1500Z.NO/
235 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 1 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 9.6 FEET THIS MORNING.
* AT 9.5 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF ELYRIA IN CARLISLE TOWNSHIP.

$$

OHC085-111534-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.100311T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
235 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 8.5 FEET 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER REACHES VROOMAN ROAD.  LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  IN THE METROPARKS ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

OHC101-111534-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100312T0138Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.100311T0743Z.100311T1200Z.100311T1938Z.NO/
235 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.3 FEET THIS MORNING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS IN AND AROUND THE 
  VILLAGE OF LARUE. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME FLOODING OF SECONDARY 
  ROADS.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

$$

973 
WGUS81 KCLE 111109
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
609 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE
  SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC093-111909-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100311T2351Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.100311T0737Z.100311T1200Z.100311T1751Z.NO/
609 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT ELYRIA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* AT 9.5 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF ELYRIA IN CARLISLE TOWNSHIP.

$$

OHC085-111909-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100313T0326Z/
/PNVO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.100311T1800Z.100312T2126Z.NO/
609 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.0 FEET 
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER REACHES VROOMAN ROAD.  LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  IN THE METROPARKS ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

OHC101-111909-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100312T0138Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.100311T0800Z.100311T1200Z.100311T1938Z.NO/
609 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER NEAR LARUE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 6 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.3 FEET
  THIS MORNING. 
* AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS IN AND AROUND THE 
  VILLAGE OF LARUE. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME FLOODING OF SECONDARY 
  ROADS.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN AGRICULTURAL AREAS NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

$$

126 
WGUS81 KCLE 111911
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
211 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER MAY BE 
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

OHC085-111941-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100313T0326Z/
/PNVO1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
211 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE.
* AT 1 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND IS NOW BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
  SATURDAY.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER REACHES VROOMAN ROAD.  LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  IN THE METROPARKS ALONG THE RIVER.

$$
BM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
605 PM EST WED MAR 10 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND IT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN
OHIO. IT APPEARS THAT IT WILL HANG UP OVER LAKE ERIE INTO NW PA.
ANY LIGHT SHOWERS THAT OCCUR WILL BE ALONG AND NORTHER OF THIS
BOUNDARY. EXPECT ANOTHER WARM NIGHT TONIGHT WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
40S SOUTH OF A KYNG TO KCLE LINE. THIS WILL KEEP LOWS AT MOST
LOCATIONS IN THE 40S...MAYBE EVEN PUSHING 50 ACROSS THE
SOUTHWESTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA.

IF WINDS REMAIN LIGHT ENOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME FOG
ISSUES...ESPECIALLY WHERE A DECENT SNOWPACK REMAINS ACROSS NW PA.
DID NOT MENTION IN THE ZONES AT THIS TIME BUT LATER SHIFTS WILL
NEED TO WATCH FOR A DENSE FOG POTENTIAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
THERE WILL BE SEVERAL PERIODS OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
AS PIECES OF ENERGY ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL THROUGH
FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO. THIS REGION IS THE MAIN
CONCERN FOR FLOODING INTO FRIDAY WITH A COUPLE RIVERS ALREADY
APPROACHING FLOOD STAGE.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOK BEST FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS
COULD LEAD TO SOME HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES THAT COULD ADD TO THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL. IN ANY EVENT THE CONTINUED MELT OF THE
SNOWPACK ACROSS THE HILLS INTO NW PA WILL BE AN ISSUE. STILL LOOKS
LIKE THE MAIN FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. WILL LIKELY HAVE A FLOOD WATCH ISSUED BY THURSDAY
MORNING WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEE A HALF INCH TO INCH OF RAINFALL
FROM THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS STILL LOOK
POSSIBLE.

TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL ABOVE AVERAGE INTO THE WEEKEND AS THIS
WARM AIRMASS PERSISTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LONG TERM TREND OF THE MODELS IS THE SAME.   BY SUNDAY MORNING THE
SURFACE LOW WILL BE EAST OF THE AREA.  THE GFS HAS THE LOW LOCATED
IN CENTRAL PA...WHILE THE ECMWF IS A LITTLE FASTER AND FURTHER
SOUTH.  SOME SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE FROM THE WEST AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC EARLY MONDAY.  RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY
RECEDE. LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TUESDAY WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES.
REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

WENT A LITTLE COOLER THAN THE MEX MOS WITH A NORTHEASTERLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
CIGS BELOW 5K FEET HAVE BECOME SCT IN MOST PLACES AS WARM SECTOR HAS
PUSHED INTO THE NE PART OF THE AREA. QUESTION TONIGHT WILL BE
WHETHER WINDS WILL BE LIGHT ENOUGH AND CLOUDS STAY SCATTERED TO
ALLOW FOR LOW LEVELS TO COOL TO POSSIBLY GENERATE FOG AND STRATUS.
NOW THAT PRESENT CONDITIONS ARE MUCH BETTER THAN THOUGHT EARLIER
WILL BACK UP FORMATION OF FOG UNTIL LATER AND TRY AND LEAVE LOWEST
DECK OF CLOUDS AROUND 1K FEET SCT TO BKN. THINK FOG WILL BOTTOM OUT
AT ABOUT 2SM MOST PLACES.

FOG AND POSSIBLE STRATUS SHOULD LIFT INTO SCT TO BKN CU BY LATE THU
MORNING AS AREA REMAINS IN WARM SECTOR. NEXT ISSUE IS WHETHER ANY
SHRA FROM NEXT TROUGH ROTATING AROUND LOW OVER NORTHERN MO WILL MOVE
NE INTO FDY BY 23Z OR NOT. MODELS GENERALLY HAVE THE PRECIP NEAR FDY
BY 00Z. FOR NOW WILL JUST MENTION VCSH STARTING AT 22Z FOR FDY.

.OUTLOOK...WIDESPREAD NON-VFR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. EXPECT
PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
WARM FRONT NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE IT NORTH OF THE LAKE SO FROM
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED...TRENDING
MORE NORTHEASTERLY FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY AS THE LOW ELONGATES WITH A
LOW CENTER DEVELOPING ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC. AS THE ENERGY IS
TRANSFERRED TO THIS NEW LOW... FLOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PICK UP
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY FROM THE NORTHEAST AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT AND A NEUTRAL/SLIGHT COLD ADVECTION WITH ONLY
WEAK LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE...WILL PROBABLY KEEP WINDS UNDER GALES.
WILL STAY WITH A FORECAST TO 30 KNOTS. AT ANY RATE THIS WILL BE
ENOUGH TO HAVE MOVEMENT OF THE BROKEN ICE FLOES. WINDS BECOME MORE
NORTHERLY BY MONDAY AS THIS SYSTEM FINALLY PULLS AWAY AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT LAKES.

AS THE DEW POINTS START RISING THE NEXT FEW DAYS DENSE FOG MAY BEGIN
DEVELOPING ON THE LAKE. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MULLEN
NEAR TERM...MULLEN
SHORT TERM...MULLEN
LONG TERM...DJB
AVIATION...ADAMS
MARINE...OUDEMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
401 PM EST WED MAR 10 2010

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-112115-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
401 PM EST WED MAR 10 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WARM TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN WILL LEAD TO
FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF AN INCH TO AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. FLOODING ALONG SEVERAL OF THE RIVERS
AND CREEKS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS THAT STILL
HAVE A SUBSTANTIAL SNOWPACK ACROSS NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-112115-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
401 PM EST WED MAR 10 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WARM MOIST AIR FLOWING OVER LAKE ERIE COULD LEAD TO DENSE FOG
AT TIMES INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.