Storm Warning 19, NWS Anchorage, AK

129 
FZAK52 PAFC 221327 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

CORRECTED ZONE 171

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-230300-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 980 MB LOW 180 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 360 NM NORTH OF
SHEMYA THIS AFTERNOON THEN MOVE INLAND OVER SIBERIA TONIGHT. A 996 
MB LOW 550 NM SOUTH OF ADAK LATE TONIGHT WILL MOVE TO 350 NM SOUTH 
OF ADAK BY LATE SAT NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ150-230300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG
THE COAST. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-230300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45  KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-230300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ165-230300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-230300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-230300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BERING SIDE...NW 25 KT PACIFIC SIDE. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM UNALASKA E...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-230300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-230300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT S 25 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT S 20 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS
14 FT.  
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 15 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-230300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-230300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 55 KT. FROM SHEMYA W...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W
30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-230300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 45 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 22 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 45 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 22 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-230300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

819 
FZAK52 PAFC 230024
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-231500-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 978 MB LOW 400 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SIBERIA
TONIGHT. A 996 MB LOW 420 NM SOUTH OF AMCHITKA WILL MOVE TO 450 NM
SOUTH OF ADAK BY SAT AFTERNOON THEN BECOME STATIONARY BEFORE
DEEPENING TO 990 MB BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-231500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-231500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-231500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ165-231500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-231500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-231500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT FROM UNALASKA E. SEAS
9 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-231500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-231500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT S 20 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS
11 FT BERING SIDE...17 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT IN THE
MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT BERING SIDE...16 FT
PACIFIC SIDE. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-231500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-231500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NW 15 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-231500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 45 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 24 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-231500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AKST THU JAN 21 2010

.MODEL DISCUSSION...NOT MUCH TO SAY ABOUT THE MODELS TODAY AS THEY
HAVE INITIALIZED WELL AND ARE ALL IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL AND SURFACE HIGH IS
OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE STATE AND GULF IS ALSO FEEDING A
SURFACE LOW IN THE GULF. THIS IS CREATING A PATTERN OF OFF SHORE
NORTHERLY FLOW OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA INCLUDING THE
GULF COAST AND KODIAK ISLAND.
THERE IS A STRONG FRONT IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA THAT WILL WEAKEN AS
IT SLOWLY MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THIS WEEKEND.
THERE IS SOME UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WITH THIS FRONT AS A JET STREAK IS
VISIBLE AT 250 MB ALONG IT.
THAT IS THE ONLY PART OF THE JET STREAM IN THE FORECAST AREA AS THE
MAIN SECTION OF THE JET REMAINS WELL SOUTH OF THE STATE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN GULF
AS A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE FOLLOWS THE GULF LOW WESTWARD. THIS MOISTURE
IS NOT REACHING INLAND AND THAT LEAVES FOG AS THE MAIN ISSUE IN SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA. THE WORST OF IT LOOKS TO BE IN THE ANCHORAGE AREA.
THIS WILL PROBABLY BE THE CASE INTO TOMORROW.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MODELS INDICATE A CUTOFF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLOWLY MOVE FROM EASTERN ALASKA INTO YUKON AND THE NORTHWEST
TERRITORIES. AS A RESULT...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS IN THE GULF WILL BE
BLOCKED AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE GENERALLY LIMITED ACROSS THE
FORECAST REGION IN THE EAST. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL ALSO TRACK
GENERALLY SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS IN THE LONG TERM.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 132 150 155 172 175 185.
         STORM 176.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 138 150 155 165.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JAN 10