Storm Warning 151, NWS Anchorage, AK

727 
FZAK51 PAFC 261620 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
820 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010

UPDATED ZONES 130 AND 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270000-
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 984 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE
TO 50 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON AT 991 MB THIS AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE
TONIGHT. A 974 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT THIS EVENING WILL MOVE
TO 90 NM WEST OF SITKA BY MON AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO 985 MB THEN
MOVE INLAND NEAR JUNEAU MON NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH
KODIAK ISLAND FROM THE SOUTH LATE MON NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ120-270000-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-270000-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-270000-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-270000-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-270000-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
820 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...GALES WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KTS INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. STRONGER WINDS TO 55 KT OUT OF KAMISHAK
BAY. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 10 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING
SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT EXCEPT 12 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-270000-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NW 35 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SEAS 16 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-270000-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
820 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. STRONGER WINDS TO 50 KTS OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES ALONG THE WEST SIDE. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-270000-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 6 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-270000-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AKDT SAT SEP 25 2010

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY
AND WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LOW OVER BEAUFORT SEA IS
EXTENDING A TROUGH INTO THE NORTHERN MAINLAND. A WEAK UPPER HIGH HAD
MOVED INTO THE CENTRAL BERING FROM THE SIBERIA OVERNIGHT. A DRY NORTH
TO NORTHWEST FLOW REMAINS OVER WESTERN ALASKA.

A SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE GULF. THE GUSTY WINDS THAT
PLAGUED SOUTHCENTRAL FRIDAY HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISHED. GUSTY
NORTH WINDS STILL PERSIST OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA, BRISTOL BAY, THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN BERING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.UPPER LEVELS...LOW OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR WILL EXTEND INTO SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND THE NORTHERN GULF BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE DRY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER WESTERN ALASKA WILL
INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND KENAI PENINSULA AND THE REST OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA MONDAY.

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND THE GULF...A SURFACE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE NEAR
MIDDLETON ISLAND SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW SOUTH OF THE GULF SUNDAY WILL
MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OVER PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AND RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND THE TALKEETNA
AND CHUGACH MOUNTAINS THROUGH MONDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THROUGH MONDAY. RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA MONDAY
AFTERNOON AS A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

BERING SEA...A STORM OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY NIGHT AND THE SOUTHCENTRAL BERING MONDAY.
RAIN AND STRONG WINDS WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING THEN SPREAD TO THE  THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SUNDAY
EVENING AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS MONDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY WILL DISSIPATE MONDAY NIGHT. THE
LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC
TUESDAY THEN TURN NORTHEAST INTO THE GULF WEDNESDAY. AREAS OF RAIN
AND WIND KODIAK ISLAND AND THE WESTERN GULF MONDAY NIGHT AND THE REST
OF THE GULF AND THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TUESDAY. AREAS OF RAIN WILL
MOVE INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL INTERIOR WEDNESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 175 176
         GALE 130 150 160 165 170 172
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM SEP 10